Bags Week 3 LARGE **Tennessee vs Oklahoma**

Oklahoma +7 @ +100 (LARGE)

Oklahoma ML +235 (small)

Been studying this game for a couple days and here’s quick reason on why I love OU to upset Tennessee in W3. 

1. QB Jackson Arnold is a bad a$$ mf. Dude is confident as hell and doesn’t let pressure get the best of him. Remember, he’s been practicing with one of the best defenses nationally…this will pay off against Tennessee. 

2. Tennessee plays a fast paced RPO style O. Not only will they be going against a really good defense they’ve,  but they’ll need to factor in the heavy stadium noise. I really think Niko will have challenges running this offense as smoothly as he has been.

3. Evry1  is raving about Niko this, Niko that..OU isn’t that good this year offensively…true Niko is good and true OU’s offense isn’t as good….but there’s some underlying things people don’t quite see… Niko has a really bad tendency to stare his WRs down. Remember he only threw for 210 yards and 2 picks against an avg NC State defense…compared the secondary and the LB group NC State’s nas vs OU and not even close in comparison. The  lateral movement, vision, and physicality of this OU defense is unreal. Tennessee coach Heupel is a smart dude. He’s not going to put his freshman QB in the spotlight. I expect plenty of ground game for Tennessee which will play in the hands of OU style of game. 

As a side note, I feel NC State played Tennessee close early…it wasn’t until that pick 7 in the 2Q where it went downhill and Tennessee just ran off with it. NC State’s QB and Offense never looked the same. 

Again this OU offense isn’t the best, but one thing I’m relying one is the leadership and composure of Arnold. He’ll do enough with his quick legs and quick arm to frustrate Tennessee’s defense Imo. 

OU +7 is really solid value imo. Love them to win SU and upset. This team is playoff caliber once they get some confidence…. 

I have them winning a 27-23 kind of game. 

Fill em’ 

**should read Week 4 in the title…long day and night of studying +  I do this sh** for free so shouldn’t be a big deal. 

again fill em’

@LB_Dirtbags

 Let’s get em Lb 

huepel back in town

 Oklahoma 

awesome 

Monster post like it get em Bags

Good luck Bags.  

OU

Home Dog with a bite. 

Good Luck 

Saw this line at betmgm OU -3.5....i was 

Then Monday Vols -7.5.....

Now -7.....

Been a Sooners fan since the 70's...

But think the Vols have there way with them....

Very good on both sides of the ball....

Houston almost beat them in Norman....

Line is insane....hoping it drops to 6...

GL  on your other picks...

@LB_Dirtbags

 I KNEW you would have a play on this game and i couldn’t wait for it. Love seeing Tennessee literally destroy everyone they’ve faced before coming to Oklahoma. Line was 7.5 and now seeing 6.5 at some places is good, but you on Oklahoma is even better. Go Sooners

@bigred84

10.5 point swing??? That’s like Caitlyn Jenner 2.0. 

Rewatch that Tennessee /NC State game…that secondary for the NC was pretty bad. Players was clueless at times…couldn’t read the offense, slow to react, no motor to get to the runner, etc. like I said OU’s defense is way different and will rattle Niko. 

@MadeInDade

Yes sir. …mentality of a vulture with a sniper riffle. 

Fill em Bags! Nice MLB ply last night.

Vegas Insider had Sooners -3.5  to open...

Google it......

Come on mannnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

@LB_Dirtbags

I agree brotha!  Folks think its easy go into Norman and just win by DD ? Brent Venables have something cooked up for FRESHMAN Nico. OU defense will feast !!!

Houston who got trampled by UNLV gave them fits @  Norman...

Tulane down 5 with the ball threw a horrible pass on 3rd and 1 on their own 35

with 7 mins left....@ Norman...

Line .....now is begging Sooner money...GL...

@bigred84

Yes! I will surely put money on OU to cover and good chance win outright!  New week brotha, OU have couple starters back! This is a night game in Norman. Freshman QB will come in and ball out? Naw man don’t think so. It will be a dog fight no doubt.  OU defense will keep them in the game and possibly win outright. 

Thomas Lott Elvis Peacock...Leroy and Dewey Selmon

Greg Pruitt  Brian Bosworth  Steve Owens  Joe Washington....

Maybe..................

The OU -3.5 "opening" line was the spread released preseason. So not very surprising that it has flipped after 3 weeks.

11 points is shocking 

Sooners are 3-0.......

Ummmm ... so, I get your thought process and there's some validity to it. However, there's another side too.

1. Niko vs NC State - first true road start of his career on prime time national TV against a ranked opponent. Not surprising that he was both tight and the offensive game plan was limited and slow to get going. 

2. OU's defense is better than NC State's ... I think most everyone thinks that. However, OU really has played only 1 team with any sort of offense (Tulane) and they gave up 19 points in Norman. Tennessee's offense may be one of the best in the nation AND they run an offense OU has shown to struggle to stop. Trust me, I know. It's very similar to the old Briles offense. Go watch the 2014 game in Norman. Crowd noise won't be an issue for the Vols.

3. Jackson Arnold is a true freshman and he has shown already that he can look great one week and really bad the next. Unreal debut against Temple and then struggled to complete easy throws against Houston. And let's be honest, Houston is not good. Arnold (and OU) have not faced a defense remotely close to the level of what the Vols are bringing to Norman. Tennessee's front 7 is REALLY good, maybe even elite, and very deep. OU's offensive line has given up 17 TFL's and 8 sacks through 3 games against defenses ranked 46th, 76th and 124th. Tennessee's defense is currently ranked 3rd.

The truth is OU is just not that good this year. Arnold is a freshman, the skill players are not dynamic outside of Burks the Purdue transfer and the OL is clearly still figuring things out. The defense is solid, especially up front.

Tennessee is on a completely different level than anyone OU has faced so far. If they play up to their level at all, they win and cover. If they turn it over a few times and OU plays out of their minds, then it's a close game and who knows.

Damn  nice ink....

And that's 100%  facts....

Tennessee all day long

win double digits 

superior in all departments 

nico,s gonna kick okie arse

It all starts up front. Tennessee has a top 5 d-line, possibly #1 especially considering the depth. The offensive line ranked 3rd in the country in combined starts coming into the season and has looked solid so far.

You would be correct to expect a heavy dose of the ground game as you should always expect with Heupel's run-heavy offensive approach. It is not very surprising that Nico ONLY had 211 yards in a game where he attempted 23 passes and the offense ran for 249 yards.

Massive VOL fan here. Couple things:

1. Tennessee has one of the best front 7's in the country, specifically the DL where they play up to 12 guys all game. Constantly fresh. Let's take a look at OU's biggest weakness? The OL. They will get dominated on the line.

2. Who exactly has OU faced to have such a stout defense? Not saying they dont, just seems unproven to me.

3. Arnold is prone to turnovers, he hasnt thrown the ball well this year either. They dont have elite WR's like in the past.