First off-I respect all bettors. It's your money, put it on whatever team you want, that is your right.
I understand what you're saying Hawk, but I do not bet with my heart, and I've never proclaimed this to be my GOY. I have bet against Bama 3 times this year (Florida International, South Carolina & Auburn 1st half (although I lost my Bama game bet)). So I'm not at all opposed to betting against the Tide if I feel the situation warrants it. Nevertheless, I have placed a max bet on Bama (call it 10 Units) in this game.
While I don't pretend for a second that Clemson or Georgia is in the same class as Florida, for me this bet is very similar to those games last year. In all of these games Bama was a 3 - 7 point underdog. In all of these games, very few people gave Bama much of a chance to win. In all of these games I placed a 10 Unit bet on Bama, and in all of these games I boldly predicted that Bama would comfortably win the game straight-up.
Now I'm sure there will be many people who will come on here and say how they knew Bama would win those games last year, but I can tell you, believers were far and few between.
In the Clemson game, Bama was coming off of a dismal 7 & 6 season, and was opening against the #6 team in the nation.
In the Georgia game, the Dawgs were predicted by many to win the national championship, and the game was being played in front of a "Blackout" home crowd.
In my threads for those two games, I was called an idiot, a homer and everything in between. In both threads I said Bama would win the games convincingly. In both threads I begged people not to bet on Clemson and Georgia.
So were my 10 Unit bets in those games foolish bets? Of course in hindsight the answer is evident. But for me, this game is exactly like those games in that the team I am very certain will win the game is getting points, and this is exactly the type of betting situation I shop for on a weekly basis.
While I acknowledge that all bets are inherently risky, and while to many this appears to be a very risky bet, to me it is an extremely solid play.
I guess come Saturday night I'll either look like a genius or a sucker.