(Baylor +8, One of the ongoing arguments in college football is whether high-ranked teams from “non” BCS schools (Boise State, Texas Christian) deserve a shot to play in the national championship game if they run the table. Due to ESPN having the opportunity to televise their games, it has been Boise State who has received the bulk of the national “small school” attention as they had the opportunity to play Virginia Tech in an ESPN Monday primetime battle opening week. Almost completely ignored on opening week was TCU’s victory over an opponent (Baylor) who very quietly is having one of the nation’s biggest turnaround campaigns. For those who have yet to watch Baylor, they are led by quarterback Robert Griffin who at one time was a high school star in the state of Texas (Friday Night Lights) as his coach was offensive mastermind Art Briles. When Briles advanced to the collegiate level (Houston Cougars) Griffin followed him. After a run of success with the Cougars, Briles moved up to a bigger paycheck with Baylor and once again Griffin followed him. For those who watch FOX-NET early today you will see that Griffin has the speed of a world-class hurdler which is why he rushed for more than 840 yards on the ground during his freshman season of 2008. Due to a severe knee injury most of 2009 was wiped away, but Griffin obviously is back to full health in 2010 where Baylor has already become “bowl eligible” for the first time in fifteen long years when the Big-12 Conference as we know it was formed in 1995. One would have thought that after garnering enough wins for postseason consideration two weeks ago that Baylor would suffer an emotional letdown on the road last Saturday, but that was not the case as the Bears pulled off a stunning underdog OUTRIGHT upset of the Texas Longhorns. One of the reasons why Baylor’s attack has been so successful has to do with a massive offensive line which features a pair of 300-POUND giants that can literally move concrete in the pits. Baylor also has a special teams weapon in Derek Epperson who a year ago was one of the nation’s best punters averaging more than 45 yards per boot. Regarding today’s game I am fully aware that Oklahoma State has owned Baylor in this series (13-2 SU/11-3 ATS) and that the Cowboys have reinstated wide receiver star Justin Blackmon (62 receptions, 112 yards, 14 touchdown catches) after a one-game suspension. But due to the fact that Oklahoma State is involved in such high scoring games, their secondary has statistically been shaky which opens the door to an interesting database angle. Baylor just happens to be on a productive 11-3 ATS roll when facing a poor pass defense that allows the opposition on average to complete at least 58% of their attempts. In the past three years Baylor has successfully COVERED the spread at an 8-1 clip on the road when facing an opponent with a “winning” record and Oklahoma State certainly fits that bill
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(Baylor +8, One of the ongoing arguments in college football is whether high-ranked teams from “non” BCS schools (Boise State, Texas Christian) deserve a shot to play in the national championship game if they run the table. Due to ESPN having the opportunity to televise their games, it has been Boise State who has received the bulk of the national “small school” attention as they had the opportunity to play Virginia Tech in an ESPN Monday primetime battle opening week. Almost completely ignored on opening week was TCU’s victory over an opponent (Baylor) who very quietly is having one of the nation’s biggest turnaround campaigns. For those who have yet to watch Baylor, they are led by quarterback Robert Griffin who at one time was a high school star in the state of Texas (Friday Night Lights) as his coach was offensive mastermind Art Briles. When Briles advanced to the collegiate level (Houston Cougars) Griffin followed him. After a run of success with the Cougars, Briles moved up to a bigger paycheck with Baylor and once again Griffin followed him. For those who watch FOX-NET early today you will see that Griffin has the speed of a world-class hurdler which is why he rushed for more than 840 yards on the ground during his freshman season of 2008. Due to a severe knee injury most of 2009 was wiped away, but Griffin obviously is back to full health in 2010 where Baylor has already become “bowl eligible” for the first time in fifteen long years when the Big-12 Conference as we know it was formed in 1995. One would have thought that after garnering enough wins for postseason consideration two weeks ago that Baylor would suffer an emotional letdown on the road last Saturday, but that was not the case as the Bears pulled off a stunning underdog OUTRIGHT upset of the Texas Longhorns. One of the reasons why Baylor’s attack has been so successful has to do with a massive offensive line which features a pair of 300-POUND giants that can literally move concrete in the pits. Baylor also has a special teams weapon in Derek Epperson who a year ago was one of the nation’s best punters averaging more than 45 yards per boot. Regarding today’s game I am fully aware that Oklahoma State has owned Baylor in this series (13-2 SU/11-3 ATS) and that the Cowboys have reinstated wide receiver star Justin Blackmon (62 receptions, 112 yards, 14 touchdown catches) after a one-game suspension. But due to the fact that Oklahoma State is involved in such high scoring games, their secondary has statistically been shaky which opens the door to an interesting database angle. Baylor just happens to be on a productive 11-3 ATS roll when facing a poor pass defense that allows the opposition on average to complete at least 58% of their attempts. In the past three years Baylor has successfully COVERED the spread at an 8-1 clip on the road when facing an opponent with a “winning” record and Oklahoma State certainly fits that bill
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