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Better defense bowl season trend

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Posted: #226
Quote Originally Posted by Nesby:

For all you scholars who can't figure out the opposites, I've posted them in a new thread.  

Perfect
 
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Posted: #227
boom nice 2-0 to start the day. How do you neutralize good offenses with better defenses.
 
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Posted: #228
defenses always kills offenses  most of the time.
 
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Posted: #229
Regression in systems do happens but we are trucking it in the long haul.  

Question is, do you believe?

When we win, we praises.  When we lose, it sure got quiet quickly.  It's human nature at play.  

Now the last two games are degenerate's favorite since we know that there are people in this world who only bets on chalk and the over.  

Let's go 4-0 day.  Give us that day to reflect.  


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Posted: #230
Quote Originally Posted by Nesby:

For all you scholars who can't figure out the opposites, I've posted them in a new thread.  

so the system is 2-0 today and you're 0-2. Keep preaching and keep fading. Not only is it 2-0 but 2 ML dogs wins.
 
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Posted: #231
Sorry guys I’ve been really I’ve even on the road the road, early plays were Iowa State and miss state- next plays are Penn State and Wisconsin tonight. As always good luck
 
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Posted: #232
Guys, your wasting your time posting your write ups in here, I don’t even know why that makes sense, oh well. You guys have the site I am using for the trend , you can go back and back check the last ten years in the bowl games. I just briefly looked at the last 2 years and noticed that it was about 65% / if you isolate certain games (after New Year’s Day) you’ll notice it isn’t as successful for those after net years days games. So upper 60s/low 70s which is solid. How some people come in here and trash something they haven’t even researched makes sense to me, someone has gotta hate. Calling people sheep because they notice a winning trend is pretty silly, sorry we can all have a film room in our house where we can watch jt all day, lol. 
 
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Posted: #233

So to be clear. 

 

I bet penn state/Washington 1st half under and the system now says to double down if I lost first half?

 
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Posted: #234
Buddy you got the wrong thread - but yes that ups be the under under trend- not the better defense trend
 
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Posted: #235
System today 3-0.  Cmon Wisky!
 
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Posted: #236
4-0 
 
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Posted: #237
Home run.  Time to reflect.  

Till next time.  
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Posted: #238

4-0 today, just absolutely crushed after 2 bad days


12/30 4-0

12/29 2-3

12/28 1-3


ATS 27-9 Good for 75%

 
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Posted: #239
Next up

Michigan
Auburn
Lsu
Georgia
Clemson

#1 defense vs #2 defense

Georgia wins it all

Lol


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Posted: #240

4-0 baby!an_worship

 
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Posted: #241
Just went over the two years prior. 

2016

Pre 1/1 

25-11 ats (69.4%)

Total

26-14-1 ats (65%)

-----------

2015

Pre 1/1/15

20-11 ats (64%)

Post 1/1/15

7-3  (70%)

Total

27-14 (65.8%)

Playoff 

2-0  (100%)

Champ

0-1

As I said High 60's / Low 70's - obviously there is more to be looked at here but its a snapshot. good luck folks. 
 
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Posted: #242
Next plays 

Michigan
Auburn
Georgia
Clemson

Again don't go crazy, or go all in, stay focused and balanced. As always good luck!
 
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Posted: #243
BDT has been solid for the first round of the play offs since they started, going 5-1 ATS so those plays would be Georgia & Clemson
 
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Posted: #244
LSU -3
 
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Posted: #245

Great thread.  Stumbled upon this same stat last night and went through each bowl game.  One more interesting stat I stumbled upon.  Teams with defenses ranked 81st or worse are 1-14 ATS this bowl season.  Didn't check previous years like you did.  One game had both teams above the 81 mark and best defense won that one.

 
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Posted: #246

Would like to hear thoughts on Michigan in light of the following:

1. Michigan defense is ranked higher than South Carolina but the Gamecocks D is pretty good. In games where the better D has not won in this year's bowl games I believe 2 were in games where the defenses were ranked not far apart. 

2. The Outback Bowl is not where the Wolverines aspired to be when the season started. Will they be fully focused and give max effort?

 
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Posted: #247

Cont>

3. With the bowl in Tampa the crowd is likely to be heavily garnett and black.

4. The list of players out for this game for each team was much longer for UM than USC. Many more draftable players for Michigan. 

5. UM's starting a QB who hasn't played in a couple of months and was out due to a serious concussion. Offenses have shown to be off due to the layoff anyway. This would seem to make a pedestrian UM offense even more so. 

 
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Posted: #248

Quote Originally Posted by mneel:

Just went over the two years prior. 2016Pre 1/1  25-11 ats (69.4%) Total 26-14-1 ats (65%)-----------2015Pre 1/1/1520-11 ats (64%)Post 1/1/157-3  (70%)Total27-14 (65.8%)Playoff 2-0  (100%)Champ 0-1As I said High 60's / Low 70's - obviously there is more to be looked at here but its a snapshot. good luck folks.

 

Man, this is some good chit....   had to be a lot of work!!!   Great job and Thanks!!!!   Wish there were more threads like this than kids arguing and pretending to know everything.    Again, thanks for your hard work and have a safe and happy new year to you and your family!!!  

 
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Posted: #249
Thanks mneel have a great and safe New Year's Eve talk to you tomorrow 
 
 
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Posted: #250

Sorry about that. The clicked the wrong thread.

Are you taking the spread on the games you listed above?

 

i got confused reading it.

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