Boise State vs Oregon State

This is one of the easier Bowls to get a read on.  You generally find out who really wants to win this game because the weather is so nice and the place is so beautiful it's easy to get distracted if you are in your late teens or early 20's.  Oregon St. has given up.  They played their hearts out and gave everything they had against their rival and was a heartbreaking loss at that, this game means nothing to them.  

Don't get crazy this time of year about trying to fade the forum either because it doesn't work.  Bet to the coach is the most important thing.

I haven't posted in 3 years but I had to chime in.  This is one of the most sensible threads I have seen in years.  I am a professional sports handicapper and this is spot on.  I will be placing 10k (small wager) on bsu+3.  thank you 165 for your insight. 

If this is true, please post your plays...record, insight...ANYTHING

Agree with ya on Boise. What's your thoughts on the Bowling Green play. GL. 165

Yes good write up

Peterson didnt get fired....he left this team and players. Big difference.

Train I never said he got fired.  

Good luck 165

Boise guys Pissing off a Balcony doesn't sound like a team taking things seriously, there was more than one guy involved obviously. Other than than that very nice write up. Best of luck.

@165 I'm all in brother !! BOL

I am a professional bettor as well. I am taking Boise st but for a very minimal bet. 50k on Boise Ml. Merry Xmas to all. Rumor has it southwick was pissing pineapple juice on a hula girl.

well I would have to write a book to give you all of my insight.  I usually don't post my plays because it's tough finding the time.  I enjoyed 165's post because it involves psychology and perception.  And clearly perception is much different than reality.  Theres a reason why ugly guys get hot chicks.

  No coach with a backup qb but the line hasn't changed at all since it opened.  Vegas doesn't respect Oregon State at all.  People talk about fishy lines etc but who cares.  Let a line be fishy. You must distinguish the perception from the reality.  If you can do this you will come out ahead.  I have been doing this since 1993. Don't fade the public, don't fade your friend, fade the perception.... 

 

GL 165......

That was my first thought. It doesn't sound like a business trip to me when your coach isn't there and your pissing off balconies. I'm sure Oregon St. is doing the same things. It's Hawaii. That's what you do when you go there. That's why that almost year after year it's the most unpredictable bowl of all.

well i guess its a helluva motivation , to know, the coach that take ur program to unthinkable heights, just dropped u because he could forsee the sinking ship in a mediocre conference in wich boise has become, and i dont blame petersen, he es a great recruiter and made great things with tight budget, but last season and this season we all could see where boise was heading, yeah orst hasnt won as of late, but they are the better coached, wih the better qb and receiving corps, and, i know they struggle on stopping the running game, but, boise running game is average at most, orst,  will be prepared for that, boise st rushing attak doesnt even compare with stanford, oregon, washington

Charger Fan: finally I see someone else with what I have said for a long time in regards to public perception. Analyze the games and line movement and the perception of the teams involved. I have done very well using this method as well. Best of luck.

Ahhhhh........165.......from your lips to god's ears.

I am not in love with either side here.  I agree that losing the QB isn't a huge deal.  But I would definitely want the 5th year senior starting his last bowl game if I had a choice.

It is amazing to me how many people are on Oregon St.  I mean, your backing a team that is on a 5 game losing streek and has looked downright horrible.

Again, everyone is talking about the QB, what about him.  He's been the QB.  Not much changed.  I don't think the coach change will make one bit of difference.  Boise St is proven in bowl games and in the later part of the year with some great ATS records.  Seems like an easy play to me (nothing is easy) Boise St +3

@ 165yds Im leaning Boise as well but with the president in town and his brother in law being the OSU basketball coach do you think this motivates the football team??? 

What does anyone think about the over/under. I was leaning under. I like Boise +10.5 under 73.5

shark,

I wasn't choosing a side based on what 165 said.  I was simply complimenting his angle.  A true sports handicapper spends 20% of his time making 80% of his profits, not the other way around.  Judging the number of posts you have contributed (value may be questionable) we know where you stand.  Garbage in garbage out.