Bowl Game Winners

0-0

I am only posting my 5-6 largest bowl plays...

VA Tech +3 (play ML, +2.5, whatever you can get)

UC is improved and doing well in this new conference configuration but they have not played much of a schedule - their defense is still soft though it appears "shored up" after playing Tulane, Houston, etc.  VA Tech after 3-4 weeks prep will be prepared on offense (strike Wake Forest game from mind), therefore I expect a VA Tech win by 7.

I have Bengals ML (WIN), VA Tech +3 also pending.

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Penn State +2.5

Penn State comes in as a dog against Boston College?  Why?  Probably because of the lack-luster finish by Penn State combined with the FSU dog-fight that Boston College mustered.  A few tips here as to why I am backing Penn State large.  I like to remember Penn State as a tough run defense, the team that took OSU to OT.  A team that has not been to a bowl game in quite a while and with surprise sanctions lifted, I expect this team to by extra hyped.  Boston College beat USC and took FSU to the wire...that is exactly why BC is a fav and a public darling.  Good luck.

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More later...

Pick #4

Arkansas / Texas Under 44.5

This game is will be, in short, what most expected when betting the under of the Penn State / Boston College game.  I believe we are talking about a first to 20 ball game. 

Both passing games are suspect, truthfully.  QBs aren't going to light up a solid defense and both teams truly have a better defense (compared to their offensive counter parts).  They will be forced to win on the ground, using their running game to pound the rock and limit mistakes.  Problem is, both teams also are solid against the run.  We will have a running clock, long delay between plays, and two teams who will not risk the turn-overs with deep plays.  both coaches need this win for the sake of stating their program is on the rise...both need it equally as bad.  it will be a conservative game, who makes a mistake first game...first to 20.

my two cents.

Pick #5

Georgia Bulldogs -6.5

I understand that Louisville is a tough squad and much respect to them this year; they are tough against the run and have shown great strength in defense.  Fact is:  Georgia is no slouch the running game - we all know that that.  Hudson Mason is not an elite QB but a game manager, and that's all that is required in this match-up. 

What will decide this is the GA defense.  Louisville is playing a QB with 3 starts and absent their premier RB due to suspension.  GA defense smothers this squad and slowly puts up 7 versus the UL 3 points and lands us an easy cover.

Good Luck.

4-0

1 pending (see pick #4 above for play on Miss State)

Good luck.