Bowl Money ~ HooTrain Collab

Kyle McCord has left Ohio St and jumped into the portal. 

Iowa bar had free beer until Iowa scored or game ended. Good thing they added or game ended. 

Congrats to Washington! Great season.

@WahooS

 welcome back!

@WahooS

 Glad to see you again!

@UNIMAN

 Is this true?

Even without the addition there was likely to be a LOT of beer drunk before anyone had to pay!

OK  Brothas  ..what are the initial leans...I've got mine, how bout y'all OWN first impressions...INDIVIDUALLY, not collaborative  

.......

The total on the Georgia FSU game caught my eye . Yes it’s an NFL total at 45.5 but I’d be hard pressed to see Florida state sniff anything over like 13 points with that offense and think they keep Georgia off the field just enough for them to look like they did in first half against mizzou or even worse 

Sept 25 I put 50 to win $700 on wash but also did Oregon I like pennix and that D I was impressed with against Oregon imo pennix and that offense can’t be stopped 

@Moose1986

It's actually much easier than the regular season....

  >> the reason why it's hard for most guys is because they do it wrong

WE are as a rule - BINARY thinkers > here players care or they don't. Bettors also think running on the field 'fired up' is all it really takes.  Both takes are extremely stupid - yet most everybody does it .....

FACT: you play like you practice

     >> bowl practices over the holidays is tough - you don't actually think Georgia is practicing with the same FOCUS vs Fla St / Orange Bowl, as they would for a play-off game, OR vs Bama do you?. Of course they 'care' - but it ain't 100%.  This carries over to coaches BTW - who are without a doubt recruiting more than they would otherwise. They also don't bring the same intensity to practice. Notre Dame just killing itself for the stinking SUN BOWL ya think? Ducks really fired up, ready to get down to work for LIBERTY?  Maybe it won't matter sure, but if handicapping you have to factor it in.

SO, rather than AX yourself do they care :

  * where did they want to be when the season began?

  * what was the realistic goal? - a winning season, bowl game, bowl game W, conf. title, play-off spot, nat. title.

  * has their goal been met, or is there more work to be done?

       " HAS THEIR STORY BEEN WRITTEN?" 

Then check on the head coach - some simply don't care about bowls at all, and do a poor job - they would rather be recruiting (Kiffin). Some feel they are very important and do a great job. What direction is the program heading - getting worse each year, or better? This game might be HUGE for a program on the rise. Ton of factors, esp. who TF is gonna even be there? But always go back to:

        " WHO WANTS IT MORE?" 

BOL this bowl season boys .............

Is it just me or is FSU +14 the easiest bowl bet of the season? You’ve got one time, Georgia, clearly disappointed in the outcome of the season. And then you’ve got a very MAD fsu team that wants to do everything it can to prove to the committee they got it wrong.

Only confounding variable is how many of those FSU guys actually play….

BA ,       

@Morphine8X

Tough to know who is motivated, but I agree that FSU should be motivated in this situation.

Shop around, +14.5 is starting to show at some books.

And BA, good to see you around and dropping some knowledge.  

Kick sum as. S boyz! 

wassup boys .....

FSU? - I wouldn't look at it like "they'll want to prove the committee wrong!"

What's the rule?

If in fall camp you told them they would play Georgia in the Orange Bowl - they woulda taken it in a heartbeat. So they'll be fine. It's only their 2nd bowl under Norvell ffs. 

Dawgs? (FSU in OB) this is a death sentence - pride only.

@bookieassassin

  AGREE 100% with your post regarding bowl season. I’m an Oregon fan and they could care less now after the Huskys swept them. LIBERTY WILL BE SKY HIGH And it wouldn’t surprise me if they win outright!!!! GLTA this bowl season. 

I’ve heard FSU wants to boycott the bowl, they don’t want to play.  That’s from a friend that lives there.  Honestly don’t blame them.  I would hope they change their mentality and want to prove the doubters though 

One of your 'purest' posts yet. Thank you. I learned some more 

@bookieassassin

 Thank you for taking the time and responding to my post. I completely understand your pre season take in terms of “where is the end goal?”. Of course, teams are practicing just the same.

I think there are some points we agree with and some we differ. For example, normally we would try to get a line right away and get the best line possible. Now, with players sitting, head coaches leaving, transfer portal, etc., are you taking a line early in anticipation of that OR are you waiting to see who is playing?

IE: I would jump on Liberty +16 because their mission isn’t done yet! Oregon can have a TON of guys sitting and Lanning is focused on Dillon Gabriel. Does that equate to what you’re talking about?

To me it is always interesting because Bowl Games can be very profitable or very bad. I appreciate your insight and attention, as you are one of the best I have ever read. Merry Christmas to you and your family! 

@Moose1986

 good man Moose ......

LIBERTY? - sure they kinda fit .....

BUT - IMO their goal has been met, and then some - so how hungry will they be here? They lose?  so what

Step 2 is to consider the emotional state, and possible matchup issues presented by their opponent. Here it is really nasty......

Ordinarily - you would fade the Ducks in a big way here - but HC Lanning is still in PROGRAM BUILDING MODE - and off an embarrassing loss.  Ducks need a nice showing here.  What cancels a play on Liberty for me, is that Bo Nix has said he will play. YOU (almost) NEVER FADE A GREAT COLLEGE QB - PLAYING IN HIS LAST GAME.

    eg.  you like Marshall? - you better rethink that S

I'll probably play the Ducks live/2H (maybe a massive play) if set up - GTTH I think Liberty gets annihilated.

BA , I also think Lanning doesn't want to stumble going into the BIG next season.

GL Covers in Bowl Games. 

Hey guys, just for curiosity sake, how many points would it take to bribe you over to the Liberty side? 

WahooS  

Hate to say this Doc , but it's more than Bookmakers would be

willing to give me.  

Recommendation Number 1 

UTSA - 9.5 

marshall is a terrible football team with no identity, they have more opt outs, program is a mess, utsa got better as the season went along, I called the Train & we agree this is a smash, lesss go homies