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Bowl Season - Dec 19 to Dec 30

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Posted: #126
Enjoy the games today guys 
 
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Posted: #127
THANKS A LOT PAL...........
  *for making everyone else's thread look like a piece of crap.........

Happy Holidays....all the best buddy...........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #128
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

THANKS A LOT PAL...........
  *for making everyone else's thread look like a piece of crap.........

Happy Holidays....all the best buddy...........


Happy Holidays buddy !! Thanks for all your hard work this year
 
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Posted: #129
San Diego Credit Derivative Jello Pudding POINSETTIA BOWL

Boise 8.5 N Illnois (56)

Megalocks line 10

Sagarin 6.5 

Boise has been a pretty strange team this year. We had the Huskies TT under in a 24572489357234895 platinum diamond plutonium BOMB in week 1 and that was the only Broncos game that we touched all year...They have been plagued by injuries but to be truthful just a lot of inconsistency particularly on offense....Rypien has stepped up nicely at QB....The McWeapon has over 1200Y rushing at 18 rushing TD....Sperbeck has 1300Y receiving,,,,They just do not have that prototypical bruiser at RB nor a variety of receiving weapons as per usual. The defense has been decent when not playing option teams but have probably given up more big plays that you would want to see. Think they get corner Deayon back this week which would be a plus. The last 3 games kinda summarize their season - the game we have bored you about before - losing to New Mexico despite a 40-11 first down edge and 638Y offense....then giving up over 600Y to Air Force in a loss...Then handling a decent SJ team. Earlier in the year they also had a game -7 in turnover margin doing their best BYU vs Utah impersonation. The takeaway - expect flashes of brilliance - but not sure that we want to lay more than a TD with this Boise team particularly given the question around motivation. Always anybody's guess but playing NIU in this bowl probably not what they had hoped for after winning the Fiesta Bowl last year.

Much like Boise - we think highly of the NIU program. Consistent. Play smart. Handle injuries. Tough to beat. They end of season loss to Ohio was bad but they have been dealing with some REAL QB issues not just a backup - but have to play big games with backup QBs to the point of walk-on fourth stringers and not look horrible is a testament to the makeup of that team. Graham should be back at QB from what we are reading and what the line is telling us. That at least gives them a fighting chance. Nothing against Fiedler - but if he has to play this game - do not think they can hang with Boise. The problem here is that even if Graham starts - how long can he go? What if he gets hurt again? NIU has a decent 1-2 punch at RB a star WR.....A crafty D that can be tough to move the ball against - but it appears they have missed Thomas on the DL vs the run. 

NIU HC is 0-3 in bowl games. 2 of them they were big dogs. But still a question here. Overall NIU on a 19-8 run ATS as road dogs so if you consider that to be the case here - techncially a neutral site game - but do not think they will be intimidated by Boise....especially after watching the tape and they must believe this Boise D is down a notch and can be scored upon.

Summary. No play on this game yet....Cannot trust Boise to cover a big number the way they have played this year....and hard to lay TD+ in bowl games. NIU - cannot take them with the uncertainty at QB because this is not your standard starter/backup issue - we are talking capable down to ???. Bowl practices may help a bit.

mega
 
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Posted: #130
GL this Bowls season Bud 
R.I.P. Legend
 
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Posted: #131
You're assessment of Boise is right on, have been following them from the first game and I can't tell you rather they are on foot or horseback. I think they are waiting for coach P to give them a trick play
 
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Posted: #132
Really liking that Temple pick now that I look at it. I'm going to tail you on it and give you shyt if they lose and blame it on you and your below average capping skills BOL Mega nicenwrite ups as usual
 
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Posted: #133
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

first pick

Toyota Atari Shreddies Count Chocula MIAMI BEACH BOWL

South Florida +3

Megalocks line SF -1

Sagarin WK -2.5

This should be a blast. Last year's game was fantastic Memphis/BYU tons of scoring - a lot of hatred - and a big Memphis comeback leading to a 47239087857289345 STAR Megalocks winner. 

Many other popular power ratings have WK as a much bigger fav in this one - we have seen as high as 10/10.5 so maybe we are peeing into the wind. Maybe not. 

We have had our eye on S Florida for a while. They finished the season on quite a roll....Whipped Temple at home putting up 556Y in the process.....Then they destroyed Cincy at home - putting up another 561Y....they led 51-3 at half....Cincy was point shaving as per usual with 6 turnovers early but SFlo looked good....They finished with a 44-3 pasting of UCF. Flowers has the potential to be really special at QB and he and Mack have combined for over 2100Y rushing and 18 TD....They only rank #105 in passing yards but they are 21st in efficiency....Very crisp and balanced offense do not think they will have any problem moving on WK. WK is excellent in turnover margin but SF is also very good in that regard. Defense is ranked #33 vs run and #26 in pass eff D....Have the speed to matchup well vs WK and they proved they could handle good passing teams vs Memphis (gave up 24) and Cincy was unable to do anything until the game was decided.

USF should be plenty motivated and have the edge here - or at a minimum - we feel it is even. First bowl game in 5 years for South Florida and they have to be jacked to grab momentum going into 2016. WK won CUSA. Playing USF. As a favorite. In Florida. Not a great spot for them but they did not win 11 games by accident.

Doughty is a great QB. He had 45 TD passes and just may end up with over 5000Y this season. Against a D with a pulse - and away from home - think SF gets more stops on D than WK.

USF HC Willie Taggart goes up against his old team. Interesting matchup. It has been a long time - left after 2012 - so once again - if anything this provides a motivational edge - players will go hard for the HC. Just my opinion. 

We read that former USF White is with WK maybe giving them some intel. Different offense this year. From what we read that should not be a problem - but don't say we do not scour the internet for our DOUBLE PLATINUM PREMIUM subscribers.

GL....mega



MEGA, how do we feel about a TT over for South Florida?  There won't be many stops in this game and if Western Kentucky does cover you have to think they will need to put up a big number.  Maybe do equal volume on South Florida and TT over so if Western Kentucky covers you push?  Only thing I don't like is the time off for South Florida because they were hot, hot, hot but riding them today either way.
 
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Posted: #134
Gl today Bro
 
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Posted: #135
Metallica  BOL pal

gogirl  glad you agree....Happy Holidays ! 

Trey ......Feel like Temple is going to get it done that defense should be good against a non-mobile QB and they are plenty motivated - GL 

Vankiep 

WynnWynn ....I think both team totals over are decent plays - i mean - i would not be shocked it WK won the game and scored a lot or vice versa - or if both teams went nuts. SF in particular does not get enough credit for the way their offense has developed. GL with how you see it !
 
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Posted: #136
just reading through your thread and i think people get confused b/c they don't understand your sarcasm at times.  like how can a Pac-12 team not romp little New Mexico ;)

good luck on the bowls and with your first play today.  i'm on that as well.
 
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Posted: #137
Quote Originally Posted by LAGameofInches:

just reading through your thread and i think people get confused b/c they don't understand your sarcasm at times.  like how can a Pac-12 team not romp little New Mexico ;)

good luck on the bowls and with your first play today.  i'm on that as well.


  good observation - yes - sarcasm can be tricky sometimes GL today !
 
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Posted: #138
Thanks Mega for your work.
 
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Posted: #139
 
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Posted: #140
jeepnjake  GL

dish 
 
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Posted: #141
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

next pick

Marmot Exxon Filthy Dirty Over-Tanned MILF BOCA RATON BOWL 

Temple -1.5

Temple D is excellent and get a good running team with a non-mobile QB who has a brain fart every 7 plays or so. 55% completions for Ely and 10 int not what you want here.


This Toledo QB is hard to watch - your assessment is spot on.  This will be my first real play of the season, Tho I took Both Team Total overs today for degen action
 
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Posted: #142
GoDaddy GoDaddy Go Go Go Daddy Bowl 

Bowling Green 7.5 Ga Southern (65)

Megalocks line 10

Sagarin 10

Very difficult game to handicap. Made even more difficult by the fact that BOTH teams lost their head coaches and there is some troubling weather headed for that area around game time if the MEGALOCKS WEATHER EXPERTS on staff are correct - and if they are not - #whatinthehell are we paying them for?

We do lean BG in this one. Regardless of weather just cannot pull the trigger yet.

Everyone is aware of how efficient and explosive BG offense is....Neat storyline is that QB Johnson will probably go over 5000Y for the year and only needs 7 TD passes for FITTY....stranger things have happened...They also boast a very nice running game Green and Coppet have over 2000Y and 19TD....How do they react with their HC gone after winning the MAC down south in the rain ? Jeepers. Just do not know. What we do know is that we were impressed all year watching them.

 we interrupt this write-up for a POLICE BLOG update....DL Minns - who is a 5'10 300+ monster and can help stop the GS option - according to a police report......"SURREPTITIOUSLY placed a controlled substance in a VICTIM'S beverage" and is suspended for the game. Two thoughts. 1) ew. creepy if true 2) we love the word surreptitiously and it is very hard to type.

GS finished the season well smoking Tex St and Troy and lost in OT to Georgia. We suppose getting blown out last game by Ga St was a letdown. We have not been as impressed by them this year BUT one of our many important rules is take results at face value and do not try and be a hero - they DO have a great rushing attack - BG has NOT faced one recently - and if their are weather issues maybe just maybe it favors them a bit??  Our worry - only the kind of HARD HITTING FACTS you get from MEGALOCKS - the Sunbelt is 0-2 so far and we were not really impressed with either Ark St or Ga St.

Summary. Lean BG. No play yet. Waiting on weather. 

mega

 
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Posted: #143
Quote Originally Posted by BandosWB:



This Toledo QB is hard to watch - your assessment is spot on.  This will be my first real play of the season, Tho I took Both Team Total overs today for degen action


Thanks buddy  Glad you agree - one of most underrated cappers on the net  GL !
 
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Posted: #144
No shrooms do not count, inspirational man! Started bowl season 9-0, and glad to see those that I respect on South Florida. Happy Holidays to all and be safe! And listen to Mega, stay off all the other drugs.
 
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Posted: #145
Desmond Howard just said Quentin Flowers is "slippery like a fish in oil".    Line of the year    
 
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Posted: #146
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:

Desmond Howard just said Quentin Flowers is "slippery like a fish in oil".    Line of the year    

Buddy Desmond Howard needs to go !
 
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Posted: #147
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:


Buddy Desmond Howard needs to go !

OMG he's brutal
 
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Posted: #148
Popeyes Heart Attack On A Plate Bahamas Bowl 

W Michigan 5 MTSU (63.5)

Megalocks line 5

Sagarin 4.5

This has been the toughest bowl to get a handle on so far for us. Line looks about right. Have seen both teams play a couple times. Can visualize either team coming up big. Maybe taking the points is the way to go? Who knows.

W Michigan does not really have a weakness. I mean their tackling on D from what we have seen is sketchy but they are playing in their weight class in this bowl game. They should be motivated after LY bowl loss. Very efficient balanced offense. Again - not much to say negative about this team. The HC is a psycho but is growing on us and has been doing a good job. 

MTSU finished the season on a roll winning 4 in a row including the last 2 in blowout fashion over creampuffs. Have to believe they will be motivated as well - got the bowl snub last yr at 6-6 and have not won a bowl game since 2009 which is kinda surprising since they are usually pretty solid. HC is 1-3 in BG. MTSU also has no glaring weakness so when we tried to analyze the matchup came up empty.

Sunmmary. Sorry nothing to say here. Gonna pass.

mega
 
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Posted: #149
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:


Buddy Desmond Howard needs to go !


EXACTLY!!!!!!!
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
 
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Posted: #150
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:


Buddy Desmond Howard needs to go !


bring back Pam Ward. Seriously.
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