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Bowl Thread 2010 (continued)

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Posted: #26

Thanks for the 4 unt play!!

 
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Posted: #27
4 units on WV? Your biggest bowl game play? Yet you come in my thread giving me shit? You could have had WV +100000000 and all you get to do is wipe your ass with it.


Get fuckin real man. Look in the mirror dude..
 
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Posted: #28
 
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Posted: #29

But wait, he still has a 5 UNIT PLAY!!!!!

TCU will get rolled on by Wisconsin!!! Thanks for the pick!!

 
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Posted: #30
thanks for another sweet fade !!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Honestly, it is mostly a numbers play.

WVU defensive stats are off the charts.  Even adjusted for strength of opponent they are off the charts. The only way I see NCS covering this one is to score 20+, and I just cant make a case for that - and my stats model supports it.  I have NCS at a 82% probability to score 18 or less.

Almost every stat favors WVU - and that is adjusted stats for strength of opponent.

Most of this does not take in to the coaching issues you are talking about - and to be fair - they can be significant or immaterial.  The thing is, I cant put a value on it.  Year after year we have these, and to my knowledge overall they even out - teams with assistants coaching and teams with lame duck coaches do not do any better or worse than expected (to my recollection, maybe someone could provide some solid stats).  I just dont know how to value it, so personally I ignore it as noise.

WVU 31 NCS 14



 Numbers, Numbers, Numbers

  just pass up the totally lopsided coaching mismatch, motivation, etc

 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Honestly, it is mostly a numbers play.

WVU defensive stats are off the charts.  Even adjusted for strength of opponent they are off the charts. The only way I see NCS covering this one is to score 20+, and I just cant make a case for that - and my stats model supports it.  I have NCS at a 82% probability to score 18 or less.

Almost every stat favors WVU - and that is adjusted stats for strength of opponent.

Most of this does not take in to the coaching issues you are talking about - and to be fair - they can be significant or immaterial.  The thing is, I cant put a value on it.  Year after year we have these, and to my knowledge overall they even out - teams with assistants coaching and teams with lame duck coaches do not do any better or worse than expected (to my recollection, maybe someone could provide some solid stats).  I just dont know how to value it, so personally I ignore it as noise.

WVU 31 NCS 14



Stats model? Get fucking real
 
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Posted: #33

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:



Stats model? Get fucking real

That was the best!! Tomorrow he will come back and say he's a winner over the long haul and that his yatch and Rolls Royce at there to prove it...........if you want to come see them!!

 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Heading out to the game.  If a fan rushes the filed to block a game winning FG for NCST, someone please call the Orlando jail with bail money.

at least on the bright side you were never in jeopardy of having to do that. gl on the next game
 
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Posted: #35
not that i have a dog in this fight, but... YATCH... who has a YATCH...


and NO, I don't know you, but.... If you are going to talk shit, talk shit correctly....
 
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Posted: #36
c'mon.... it was, and still is.... 
 
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Posted: #37
sorry, my mom made me read the paper as a kid....
 
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Posted: #38
Gentlemen, lets all step back and realize what we are doing here.

Be the better person, if you will.

And I know, coming from me this sounds ridiculous.


 
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Posted: #39
guys, we all win and lose, don't be too hard on this chap


Many more fun games to come!
 
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Posted: #40

You guys crack me up... Vanzack is one of the more skilled cappers on here.. He didn't have a gun to your head making u play WVU.....  not his fault u followed his play and unloaded ur account.... 

 

 
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Posted: #41
unload your account with 4 units..... this shit is killing me. (van is more knowing than most)



you guys are still cracking me up..... Screw "smokey", Chris Rock and Tommy Boy!!!
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by brewha42:

You guys crack me up... Vanzack is one of the more skilled cappers on here.. He didn't have a gun to your head making u play WVU.....  not his fault u followed his play and unloaded ur account.... 

 



Skilled? The guy is 3-3 in bowls and down 4 units and is asking other people where they got lines like he is god. He can go fuck himself and his .500 (and losing units) record
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:



Skilled? The guy is 3-3 in bowls and down 4 units and is asking other people where they got lines like he is god. He can go fuck himself and his .500 (and losing units) record

 I agree, he always acts high & mighty, every time I see him post he gets crushed, he got buried last bowl season

 WVU was an awful play, i was on NC ST LARGE, 
 
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Posted: #44
train very surprised with the bashing. don't know what the beef is but i read both of you. good reads.

 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by rogers12:

train very surprised with the bashing. don't know what the beef is but i read both of you. good reads.



Beef is that this dude came in MY THREAD talking shit. Fuck him
 
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Posted: #46
For what it's worth..... I like Choo-Choo and Van..... good info from both. However, tonight, Choo-Choo is warranted.
 
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Posted: #47
If I could just get that Karate Kid picture of Vans out of my head???
 
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Posted: #48

Come on guys. Bashing is not necessary.

Van is a solid capper.  It was 1 play.

 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:



Stats model? Get fucking real




Newsflash for you Coach Zack. The game is played on the field and not on paper.

Too bad Zack isn't coaching for WVU, he would have guided them to a flawless victory with his superb knowledge of clock management and probability.


 
 
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