2024 NATTY TALK .. A few others to think about .. really want much better odds .. Penn State 40-1 was down to like 1 WR last year that guy and 2 TE's were makin all the grabs .. the stud they got from UTSA turned out to be a pretty serious dud as he was basically 4th best target on a team w almost no targets .. would watch close to see how that changes now bringing in Kansas' OC and yeah Allar on no gamblers friend request list at the moment but new OC attracts some legit targets and we're probably thinking much diff about him next year .. my guess .. ..
Julian Fleming on board .. #3 WR target w the Buckeyes LY OSU LY and depending on what Egbuka does he might be the top guy back .. he's not going to the Nitneys to be a sub 1K yd receiver I wouldn't think ..
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Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1:
2024 NATTY TALK .. A few others to think about .. really want much better odds .. Penn State 40-1 was down to like 1 WR last year that guy and 2 TE's were makin all the grabs .. the stud they got from UTSA turned out to be a pretty serious dud as he was basically 4th best target on a team w almost no targets .. would watch close to see how that changes now bringing in Kansas' OC and yeah Allar on no gamblers friend request list at the moment but new OC attracts some legit targets and we're probably thinking much diff about him next year .. my guess .. ..
Julian Fleming on board .. #3 WR target w the Buckeyes LY OSU LY and depending on what Egbuka does he might be the top guy back .. he's not going to the Nitneys to be a sub 1K yd receiver I wouldn't think ..
@WISEGUY36 Happy new year brother .. good luck on the natty I hit over 54.5 at FD right away .. kinda surprised they lowballed the market by any amount even 1 pt .. seems like after watching Wash they coulda put 57 up there and got plenty of over money .. idk that total could def be a frantic betting frenzy by kickoff on the over .. maybe wait till then and go under ? .. if we we're zip-zip after 2 drives that total plummets quick .. if Mich reallly can't sack this guy and he's got 3 NFL receivers roaming around to hit it feels like eventually they will drive some scoring .. could see Mich start slow try to crank a 10 play 5 min drive but their run game should pop some biiig plays hard to see Wash getting stops its gotta be Mich making mistaks i think .. UM starts lettin JJ throw and pull it at some point they can be scoring quick too .. their D can for sure tack a score on or set one up at some point too .. if they really can't stop Wash then idk how we're not lookin at MICH/TCU Part 2 here so def leaning over but wanna find a good in-gm spot to take it .. good luck buddy!
Bridge , Hope it does go to 57. I'm already locked in to the Over at 49 ,
I'd love to get a piece of the under as well. Maybe at 63 on a teaser.
Bridge
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1:
@WISEGUY36 Happy new year brother .. good luck on the natty I hit over 54.5 at FD right away .. kinda surprised they lowballed the market by any amount even 1 pt .. seems like after watching Wash they coulda put 57 up there and got plenty of over money .. idk that total could def be a frantic betting frenzy by kickoff on the over .. maybe wait till then and go under ? .. if we we're zip-zip after 2 drives that total plummets quick .. if Mich reallly can't sack this guy and he's got 3 NFL receivers roaming around to hit it feels like eventually they will drive some scoring .. could see Mich start slow try to crank a 10 play 5 min drive but their run game should pop some biiig plays hard to see Wash getting stops its gotta be Mich making mistaks i think .. UM starts lettin JJ throw and pull it at some point they can be scoring quick too .. their D can for sure tack a score on or set one up at some point too .. if they really can't stop Wash then idk how we're not lookin at MICH/TCU Part 2 here so def leaning over but wanna find a good in-gm spot to take it .. good luck buddy!
Bridge , Hope it does go to 57. I'm already locked in to the Over at 49 ,
I'd love to get a piece of the under as well. Maybe at 63 on a teaser.
Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1: @WISEGUY36 Happy new year brother .. good luck on the natty I hit over 54.5 at FD right away .. kinda surprised they lowballed the market by any amount even 1 pt .. seems like after watching Wash they coulda put 57 up there and got plenty ofover money .. idk that total could def be a frantic betting frenzy by kickoff on the over .. maybe wait till then and go under ? .. if we we're zip-zip after 2 drives that total plummets quick .. if Mich reallly can't sack this guy and he's got 3 NFL receivers roaming around to hit it feels like eventually they will drive some scoring .. could see Mich start slow try to crank a 10 play 5 min drive but their run game should pop some biiig plays hard to see Wash getting stops its gotta be Mich making mistaks i think .. UM starts lettin JJ throw and pull it at some point they can be scoring quick too .. their D can for sure tack a score on or set one up at some point too .. if they really can't stop Wash then idk how we're not lookin at MICH/TCU Part 2 here so def leaning over but wanna find a good in-gm spot to take it .. good luck buddy! Bridge , Hope it does go to 57. I'm already locked in to the Over at 49 , I'd love to get a piece of the under as well. Maybe at 63 on a teaser. Bridge
Bridge , Looks like that line is starting to move. Now at 56 , 56'
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
0
Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:
Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1: @WISEGUY36 Happy new year brother .. good luck on the natty I hit over 54.5 at FD right away .. kinda surprised they lowballed the market by any amount even 1 pt .. seems like after watching Wash they coulda put 57 up there and got plenty ofover money .. idk that total could def be a frantic betting frenzy by kickoff on the over .. maybe wait till then and go under ? .. if we we're zip-zip after 2 drives that total plummets quick .. if Mich reallly can't sack this guy and he's got 3 NFL receivers roaming around to hit it feels like eventually they will drive some scoring .. could see Mich start slow try to crank a 10 play 5 min drive but their run game should pop some biiig plays hard to see Wash getting stops its gotta be Mich making mistaks i think .. UM starts lettin JJ throw and pull it at some point they can be scoring quick too .. their D can for sure tack a score on or set one up at some point too .. if they really can't stop Wash then idk how we're not lookin at MICH/TCU Part 2 here so def leaning over but wanna find a good in-gm spot to take it .. good luck buddy! Bridge , Hope it does go to 57. I'm already locked in to the Over at 49 , I'd love to get a piece of the under as well. Maybe at 63 on a teaser. Bridge
Bridge , Looks like that line is starting to move. Now at 56 , 56'
See a slow start think in gm total .. montana can really drain that clock .. but if and I assume when they get behind I'd expect the pace of play and risk taking / more passing to pick up too .. SDSU can only be described as the best FCS team of all time .. the offense is insane and only concern w points is will they keep riding on offense late in the game .. they did last year but that was off a lost champ game finally cleared the hurdle and did so vs NDSU .. lotta frustration let out in that one .. no idea if that sentiment will prevail late in this one but idk I just can't see Jacks struggling to score in this one .. key stat for them is just how many tackles they break not just the epic plays by the RB and even the backup RB on runs but the RB's and the top targets all break alotta tackles when they catch the ball leading to all kinda big plays .. they got 3 top 10 receiver tackles broken in FCS and another WR top 100 in that category .. JANKE TWINS sendoff here the whole team is realllly tough to bring down ..
I played SDSU -125 natty start of the playoffs and got em again -12.5 here .. took some over at 48.5 -105 .. don't think the wind expected later today will impact before final bell .. think the bigger play spot is see if there's just a slower start Montana should try running it and clock burning we'll see if SDSU comes out swingin but if it moves slow total down to 43, 44 I think its a go on the over bigger and/or SDSU can we get them -7 off a slow start? .. want the -7 first and over 44ish if that doesn't show up .. GOOD LUCK!
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FCS CHAMPIONSHIP
See a slow start think in gm total .. montana can really drain that clock .. but if and I assume when they get behind I'd expect the pace of play and risk taking / more passing to pick up too .. SDSU can only be described as the best FCS team of all time .. the offense is insane and only concern w points is will they keep riding on offense late in the game .. they did last year but that was off a lost champ game finally cleared the hurdle and did so vs NDSU .. lotta frustration let out in that one .. no idea if that sentiment will prevail late in this one but idk I just can't see Jacks struggling to score in this one .. key stat for them is just how many tackles they break not just the epic plays by the RB and even the backup RB on runs but the RB's and the top targets all break alotta tackles when they catch the ball leading to all kinda big plays .. they got 3 top 10 receiver tackles broken in FCS and another WR top 100 in that category .. JANKE TWINS sendoff here the whole team is realllly tough to bring down ..
I played SDSU -125 natty start of the playoffs and got em again -12.5 here .. took some over at 48.5 -105 .. don't think the wind expected later today will impact before final bell .. think the bigger play spot is see if there's just a slower start Montana should try running it and clock burning we'll see if SDSU comes out swingin but if it moves slow total down to 43, 44 I think its a go on the over bigger and/or SDSU can we get them -7 off a slow start? .. want the -7 first and over 44ish if that doesn't show up .. GOOD LUCK!
Thx buddy .. yeah not quite the game expected glad Jacks hung on and cashed all their tickets I did hit them a bit more at -9.5 in game close to the half... in game total off the table Montana QB noticeably impaired run ability and seemed like his legs were kinda what sirs the drink for them coming in so yeah their whole game was off and made them look more/less inept at times when pressure got in there .. Grizz got stopped on the 1 inch line that first drive like wow what a game changer then get set up w the pick and just get 3 out of it .. Surprisingly tough sleddin for the Jacks run game, offense never broke out couldn't capitalize off turnovers either coulda seen 2 TD's late in the game from them got 2 stalled drives instead .. Jacks had maybe one of the best drives I've seen to start the gm then made tons of mistakes... if Montana QB wasn't hampered this had at least the makings of a potential upset or very near miss .. instead Jacks play poorly and win by a measly 20 lol .. Jacks play a clean game and its another natty margin call coulda been 42 pt win ..
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@WISEGUY36
Thx buddy .. yeah not quite the game expected glad Jacks hung on and cashed all their tickets I did hit them a bit more at -9.5 in game close to the half... in game total off the table Montana QB noticeably impaired run ability and seemed like his legs were kinda what sirs the drink for them coming in so yeah their whole game was off and made them look more/less inept at times when pressure got in there .. Grizz got stopped on the 1 inch line that first drive like wow what a game changer then get set up w the pick and just get 3 out of it .. Surprisingly tough sleddin for the Jacks run game, offense never broke out couldn't capitalize off turnovers either coulda seen 2 TD's late in the game from them got 2 stalled drives instead .. Jacks had maybe one of the best drives I've seen to start the gm then made tons of mistakes... if Montana QB wasn't hampered this had at least the makings of a potential upset or very near miss .. instead Jacks play poorly and win by a measly 20 lol .. Jacks play a clean game and its another natty margin call coulda been 42 pt win ..
2024 .. NATTY SMU 500-1 500x has Ponies nestled near Cincy, WVA, Liberty and a few others Miss State, etc .. Iowa 400-1 should be 4 Billion lol .. Liberty makes sense I'd expect these kinda odds for the best projected G5 teams to make the 12 tm playoff next yr and then get a first round super spankin .. maybe a slight hedge out opportunity for that scenario .. Seems like FD forgot these guys are moving to the ACC and quick peep of the schedule we got the rivalry w TCU opener, tough stuff is @Ville and FSU .. other roadies @Duke, @Stan, @UVA @Vandy .. and round the home schedule vs Pitt, Cal, BC, BYU, FCS HCU at home .. realllly quite favorable I think Ville is lookin like a hot team for next yr retaining quite a few good players and had some dudes lined up in the portal to play for Brohm .. we'll see w FSU certainly shouldn't be a shortage of interest but coming off of like 90% ret pro last yr w a team that returned virtually in-tact w the obvious huge natty goal.. NFL and portal ransacking the roster I can't look at their situation and at all say what it'll be but think we know elite caliber low odds natty team is a huuuge stretch and on the low end would say the reload could be realllly significant .... AND .. were I guess assuming Noles are in the ACC next year .. maybe they reshuffle the entire schedule maybe .... AND .. MAYBE .. FSU wouldn't be the only team leaving ? .. whatever the case all I can say is the schedule strength and realllly just one roadie maybe it shakes out w just one game that looks real dangerous huh? .. idk who cares SMU is a P5 next year and a schedule that doesn't rule out a serious run for em .. SMU looked to be a likely improver for next yr already didn't see much outgoing portal activity, Lashlee should have guys lining up to play there, Symons in year 2 made a MASSIVE turnaround, he worked some real magic a few yrs ago at Liberty and his rep as a DC took another huge bump def a dude worth playin for .. Models had them 35th w balance on O/D ranked about 30th on each side very good starting spot to take a serious leap forward .. no clue what they'll have back but its seemingly very high ret pro outside of QB but man o man Jennings in first start yeah sign me up no question he's a dude in the making .. and no reason im knockin them on the results of a sloppy rain storm bowl, BC excited to have made a bowl got home field at Fenway and just an insane storm, Ponies w iffy motivation, goals accomplished didn't get the NY6 invite they should have, etc .. Anyway big picture SMU is not winning the natty but can this team take another big step between the ret pro and expected good additions, take advantage of a really throttleable schedule, get to and win the ACC / make the playoff? .. yeah I think its entirely possible given what we have here .. what's the prognosis at that point can we get 5-10% or 25-50x odds by hedging at that point on a team w a big offense and maybe pretty solid D to go w it? yeah would have to really think how to hedge it at that point will be a few factors .. for now 500x on a wildcard w a few things to like already sign me up!! .. good luck!
I like the bet brother. At 500-1 you're just hoping for a solid season and that they make the playoffs. The way college football is going things are evening out, so teams 1-12 shouldn't be that wide a gap (as in previous years), so the spreads won't be ridiculous.....now if they do get in and can win a game.....ticket is golden.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1:
2024 .. NATTY SMU 500-1 500x has Ponies nestled near Cincy, WVA, Liberty and a few others Miss State, etc .. Iowa 400-1 should be 4 Billion lol .. Liberty makes sense I'd expect these kinda odds for the best projected G5 teams to make the 12 tm playoff next yr and then get a first round super spankin .. maybe a slight hedge out opportunity for that scenario .. Seems like FD forgot these guys are moving to the ACC and quick peep of the schedule we got the rivalry w TCU opener, tough stuff is @Ville and FSU .. other roadies @Duke, @Stan, @UVA @Vandy .. and round the home schedule vs Pitt, Cal, BC, BYU, FCS HCU at home .. realllly quite favorable I think Ville is lookin like a hot team for next yr retaining quite a few good players and had some dudes lined up in the portal to play for Brohm .. we'll see w FSU certainly shouldn't be a shortage of interest but coming off of like 90% ret pro last yr w a team that returned virtually in-tact w the obvious huge natty goal.. NFL and portal ransacking the roster I can't look at their situation and at all say what it'll be but think we know elite caliber low odds natty team is a huuuge stretch and on the low end would say the reload could be realllly significant .... AND .. were I guess assuming Noles are in the ACC next year .. maybe they reshuffle the entire schedule maybe .... AND .. MAYBE .. FSU wouldn't be the only team leaving ? .. whatever the case all I can say is the schedule strength and realllly just one roadie maybe it shakes out w just one game that looks real dangerous huh? .. idk who cares SMU is a P5 next year and a schedule that doesn't rule out a serious run for em .. SMU looked to be a likely improver for next yr already didn't see much outgoing portal activity, Lashlee should have guys lining up to play there, Symons in year 2 made a MASSIVE turnaround, he worked some real magic a few yrs ago at Liberty and his rep as a DC took another huge bump def a dude worth playin for .. Models had them 35th w balance on O/D ranked about 30th on each side very good starting spot to take a serious leap forward .. no clue what they'll have back but its seemingly very high ret pro outside of QB but man o man Jennings in first start yeah sign me up no question he's a dude in the making .. and no reason im knockin them on the results of a sloppy rain storm bowl, BC excited to have made a bowl got home field at Fenway and just an insane storm, Ponies w iffy motivation, goals accomplished didn't get the NY6 invite they should have, etc .. Anyway big picture SMU is not winning the natty but can this team take another big step between the ret pro and expected good additions, take advantage of a really throttleable schedule, get to and win the ACC / make the playoff? .. yeah I think its entirely possible given what we have here .. what's the prognosis at that point can we get 5-10% or 25-50x odds by hedging at that point on a team w a big offense and maybe pretty solid D to go w it? yeah would have to really think how to hedge it at that point will be a few factors .. for now 500x on a wildcard w a few things to like already sign me up!! .. good luck!
I like the bet brother. At 500-1 you're just hoping for a solid season and that they make the playoffs. The way college football is going things are evening out, so teams 1-12 shouldn't be that wide a gap (as in previous years), so the spreads won't be ridiculous.....now if they do get in and can win a game.....ticket is golden.
Yeahhhhh wasn't real sure gut said mich rolls but gut also said don't bet against DeBore and Pennix .. I took over 54.5 and WASH ML/O54.5 for fun pregame .. and yeah end of the day Mich rolled but they were dominating early and even w Pennix hurt nothing seemed all that assured after Q3 .. such a huge variable in this one, we saw him basically look like he was still playin that ASU game nothing working esp after the ankle injury then clearly has a rib injury dude got beat up .. I took Mich after the half when Pennix threw the pick and got the ankle hurt -12.5 .. still real spotty w just an EPIC effort by Wash D to keep em around .. end of day seemed like it was gunna be Mich's day .. hit that and -7.5 and -7 after felt good at the end but nothing seemed like a total sure thing pennix not injured idk coulda been alot more interesting end .. came out well ahead fun game for the most part .. but yeah nothing I really could post about pre kick wasn't posting in-gm ..
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@robtri
Yeahhhhh wasn't real sure gut said mich rolls but gut also said don't bet against DeBore and Pennix .. I took over 54.5 and WASH ML/O54.5 for fun pregame .. and yeah end of the day Mich rolled but they were dominating early and even w Pennix hurt nothing seemed all that assured after Q3 .. such a huge variable in this one, we saw him basically look like he was still playin that ASU game nothing working esp after the ankle injury then clearly has a rib injury dude got beat up .. I took Mich after the half when Pennix threw the pick and got the ankle hurt -12.5 .. still real spotty w just an EPIC effort by Wash D to keep em around .. end of day seemed like it was gunna be Mich's day .. hit that and -7.5 and -7 after felt good at the end but nothing seemed like a total sure thing pennix not injured idk coulda been alot more interesting end .. came out well ahead fun game for the most part .. but yeah nothing I really could post about pre kick wasn't posting in-gm ..
More I look at the ACC the less I like .. NC State w lotta dudes on that D gone last year and think another big handful out .. we'll see ... UNC gets better losing QB dude idk seemed like this had to be the year .. FSU no chance they are as good .. Duke no, Clem like maybe a good team but the talent is declining for them top 15 ish class coming in isin't all star and glaring holes all over the offense lotta the reallllly good D guys going pro and coach doesn't like NIL or the portal yeah this aint 2016 anymore bud.. maybe better record but think the decline continues in some manner .. Miami could / should be better really landing recruits but yeah they looked improved for years now maybe its their year, Ville seems like get a QB and could be odds on fav or real close .. let's see VT, GT maybe improved .. Wake, BC, PITT could be sure .. we'll see who steps up .. don't hate a play on GT either... pure tenacity .. at least when not playing Bowling Green bahaha .. just seems like big boys gobbled up the PAC and yeah ACC early read says things look spotty next year esp w FSU talkin about leaving maybe do maybe don't .. maybe a chain reaction .. maybe just SMU and UVA left in the conf lol .. we'll see .. good luck
0
@TRAIN69
More I look at the ACC the less I like .. NC State w lotta dudes on that D gone last year and think another big handful out .. we'll see ... UNC gets better losing QB dude idk seemed like this had to be the year .. FSU no chance they are as good .. Duke no, Clem like maybe a good team but the talent is declining for them top 15 ish class coming in isin't all star and glaring holes all over the offense lotta the reallllly good D guys going pro and coach doesn't like NIL or the portal yeah this aint 2016 anymore bud.. maybe better record but think the decline continues in some manner .. Miami could / should be better really landing recruits but yeah they looked improved for years now maybe its their year, Ville seems like get a QB and could be odds on fav or real close .. let's see VT, GT maybe improved .. Wake, BC, PITT could be sure .. we'll see who steps up .. don't hate a play on GT either... pure tenacity .. at least when not playing Bowling Green bahaha .. just seems like big boys gobbled up the PAC and yeah ACC early read says things look spotty next year esp w FSU talkin about leaving maybe do maybe don't .. maybe a chain reaction .. maybe just SMU and UVA left in the conf lol .. we'll see .. good luck
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