Welp for all the disappointing endings in some of the BP's can at least feel good we tied it up and the last game capped w a W for a degen money bag win .. Don't think I'll ever forget the end of Utah State there, can call SVP and tell'em we got an all timer.. sheesh still can't believe it .. Coastal wasn't a gem but on the right track they gave their best punch in H1 before getting totally mauled .. up 7-3 and had the clock just melting down really quick looked like a solid deal well into Q2 .. but yeah JMU just hitting big shots toward the end landing B2B TD drives in the last few minutes .. didn't catch all of UCF we were cruising up 31-7 .. sounds like QB injured and rash of fumbles turned quick USF scores and put UCF at risk of not even winning their must win champ game clincher.. tough to see that coming and needed a couple miracle catches at the end .. oh how sweet n spiteful a win for USF woulda been, huh? .. 3 wins felt great BYU last game as an Ind and have been building their football brand off of playing the P5's tough, always want to show they belong w the big boys, last year ran over their PAC schedule and figured they'd be ready to rock for this one .. Stan off their big rivalry and very very late game at home over thanksgiving w nobody in the stands, finals around the corner, ton of injuries all over the team.. looked pretty awful .. UTEP TT hit in like 4 drives, UTSA w a ton of defenders deep down the roster as expected made for easy money .. UNREAL meltdown to lose lol WOW .. lotta meltdowns this week .. Indy/Purdue total some concern w the quick Indy score early .. maybe got lucky w the QB injury but the replacement was their normal starter Bazalek who at least gave them a pass game .. but good shape all the way even w freak pick 6 at the end we were still safe by over a TD .. go boilers!!
Smallers had alot more duds ECU / Cincy only ones with any sorta chance to land right for us .. really surprised by ECU's D or maybe more so with Temple's awesome QB, we were covered for part of the game but no shot at the end of either .. better watch out for that guy next year might be like a Duke with an offense that can put'em in a contest with most anyone in their conference .. 4 wins felt good the whole way ..
Hope you found something to like in the Fun Bets, had Ark State H1 ML/Under and BC H1 ML/Under both hit and nearly 3-3 with Oreg State H1/Under .. Parlay action was reallllly close to something awesome w H1's for Baylor, Mizzoo, and Ark State going 2 outta 3 Zoo ended up winning their game .. and the long shots w Utah State, UTEP and BC .. none of those were ultimately winners but I had more than one in game hedge for pretty decent bucks and hope you managed to get a couple of those in as well ..
0
WK 13 Recap ..
Welp for all the disappointing endings in some of the BP's can at least feel good we tied it up and the last game capped w a W for a degen money bag win .. Don't think I'll ever forget the end of Utah State there, can call SVP and tell'em we got an all timer.. sheesh still can't believe it .. Coastal wasn't a gem but on the right track they gave their best punch in H1 before getting totally mauled .. up 7-3 and had the clock just melting down really quick looked like a solid deal well into Q2 .. but yeah JMU just hitting big shots toward the end landing B2B TD drives in the last few minutes .. didn't catch all of UCF we were cruising up 31-7 .. sounds like QB injured and rash of fumbles turned quick USF scores and put UCF at risk of not even winning their must win champ game clincher.. tough to see that coming and needed a couple miracle catches at the end .. oh how sweet n spiteful a win for USF woulda been, huh? .. 3 wins felt great BYU last game as an Ind and have been building their football brand off of playing the P5's tough, always want to show they belong w the big boys, last year ran over their PAC schedule and figured they'd be ready to rock for this one .. Stan off their big rivalry and very very late game at home over thanksgiving w nobody in the stands, finals around the corner, ton of injuries all over the team.. looked pretty awful .. UTEP TT hit in like 4 drives, UTSA w a ton of defenders deep down the roster as expected made for easy money .. UNREAL meltdown to lose lol WOW .. lotta meltdowns this week .. Indy/Purdue total some concern w the quick Indy score early .. maybe got lucky w the QB injury but the replacement was their normal starter Bazalek who at least gave them a pass game .. but good shape all the way even w freak pick 6 at the end we were still safe by over a TD .. go boilers!!
Smallers had alot more duds ECU / Cincy only ones with any sorta chance to land right for us .. really surprised by ECU's D or maybe more so with Temple's awesome QB, we were covered for part of the game but no shot at the end of either .. better watch out for that guy next year might be like a Duke with an offense that can put'em in a contest with most anyone in their conference .. 4 wins felt good the whole way ..
Hope you found something to like in the Fun Bets, had Ark State H1 ML/Under and BC H1 ML/Under both hit and nearly 3-3 with Oreg State H1/Under .. Parlay action was reallllly close to something awesome w H1's for Baylor, Mizzoo, and Ark State going 2 outta 3 Zoo ended up winning their game .. and the long shots w Utah State, UTEP and BC .. none of those were ultimately winners but I had more than one in game hedge for pretty decent bucks and hope you managed to get a couple of those in as well ..
Already posted the +5.5 last week and these guys didn't disappoint they look like a team that we thought coming into the season ready to rampage to the championship game .. Boise another highly questionable outing they looked like they could have thrashed Utah State by halftime but very scrappy highly motivated team had them on the ropes late just like their must win game vs Wyoming the week before .. can't read tooooo too much into their scuffle with the aggs last week we know the spot was awful for them but man talk about miscues all over .. feel good getting 4.5 enough to re bet it at a bigger amount .. home field champ game is a killer and Boise maybe w some revenge in mind after Fresno went up to Boise in '18 and beat them in this same champ game spot .. Fresno maybe a bit motivated after losing pretty big to Boise while Haener was injured .. recall Haener entered the portal and presumed he would portal with coach DeBoer to Washington but did a U turn stayed w the team and it was for a big moment like this that they missed out on LY .. think we see a great game outta him ..
SMALLER
FRESNO STATE +5.5
Posted last week, look ahead line .. doubt we'll see it at this number after last week's results and figured as much last week thought it possible Utah State made things interesting and might skew the look ahead lines heading into champ week.. didn't move much but keeping this one in the records since I do have a legit BP bet at 4.5 and a legit smaller bet at the 5.5 spot .. good luck!
OHIO +4.5
Got a gander at the backup QB CJ Harris and man can he drive an offense between him and RB BANG-URA its a reallly strong run game .. possible we're taking a shaved line here Bobs looked great catching BG in a total down spot after they made just an EPIC run to a bowl clinching win @Toledo then turn around for another game @Ohio for the conf champ .. pretty rough spot for them .. hard to tell just how good Toledo is after weeks and weeks of dead spot games with the division locked up .. but B2B losses when they conceivably could have still bagged home field advantage for the champ game means they shouldn't have looked this unmotivated down the stretch so I don't think they rolled over and died on purpose .. team's banged up and maybe some injured's come back but man Ohio is rolling right now and getting points I think because QB Rourke got injured .. no small thing not dismissing it but there's a bit of evidence to suggest Ohio's offense is legit very very good and Toledo's is legit not all that good this feels pretty good to me .. Can't go big I mean the real line for this one should maybe probably be 6 or 7 if they played @Ohio a few weeks ago with Rourke .. so its gotta be closer to fun money than big money but I absolutely like this team and we're gunna get their best punch vs a team that hasn't thrown one in weeks and haven't thrown a really hard knockout punch in well over a month .. last monster win was Kent State back in mid October .. woof.
1
BRIDGE PLAY
FRESNO STATE +4.5
Already posted the +5.5 last week and these guys didn't disappoint they look like a team that we thought coming into the season ready to rampage to the championship game .. Boise another highly questionable outing they looked like they could have thrashed Utah State by halftime but very scrappy highly motivated team had them on the ropes late just like their must win game vs Wyoming the week before .. can't read tooooo too much into their scuffle with the aggs last week we know the spot was awful for them but man talk about miscues all over .. feel good getting 4.5 enough to re bet it at a bigger amount .. home field champ game is a killer and Boise maybe w some revenge in mind after Fresno went up to Boise in '18 and beat them in this same champ game spot .. Fresno maybe a bit motivated after losing pretty big to Boise while Haener was injured .. recall Haener entered the portal and presumed he would portal with coach DeBoer to Washington but did a U turn stayed w the team and it was for a big moment like this that they missed out on LY .. think we see a great game outta him ..
SMALLER
FRESNO STATE +5.5
Posted last week, look ahead line .. doubt we'll see it at this number after last week's results and figured as much last week thought it possible Utah State made things interesting and might skew the look ahead lines heading into champ week.. didn't move much but keeping this one in the records since I do have a legit BP bet at 4.5 and a legit smaller bet at the 5.5 spot .. good luck!
OHIO +4.5
Got a gander at the backup QB CJ Harris and man can he drive an offense between him and RB BANG-URA its a reallly strong run game .. possible we're taking a shaved line here Bobs looked great catching BG in a total down spot after they made just an EPIC run to a bowl clinching win @Toledo then turn around for another game @Ohio for the conf champ .. pretty rough spot for them .. hard to tell just how good Toledo is after weeks and weeks of dead spot games with the division locked up .. but B2B losses when they conceivably could have still bagged home field advantage for the champ game means they shouldn't have looked this unmotivated down the stretch so I don't think they rolled over and died on purpose .. team's banged up and maybe some injured's come back but man Ohio is rolling right now and getting points I think because QB Rourke got injured .. no small thing not dismissing it but there's a bit of evidence to suggest Ohio's offense is legit very very good and Toledo's is legit not all that good this feels pretty good to me .. Can't go big I mean the real line for this one should maybe probably be 6 or 7 if they played @Ohio a few weeks ago with Rourke .. so its gotta be closer to fun money than big money but I absolutely like this team and we're gunna get their best punch vs a team that hasn't thrown one in weeks and haven't thrown a really hard knockout punch in well over a month .. last monster win was Kent State back in mid October .. woof.
Both defenses are solid and I don't think its a sure thing we see all the massive explosive plays we got the last game these two met .. this does become more tenuous if Plum is in and at full strength .. SP+ had this around 51 for the last matchup and I calc it even lower now like 48 the model rates both defenses very high in the top 30 .. just doesn't feel like a sure shot to go over an above average total and that ignores the situation with Plumlee ..
ICYMI Plumlee came up real gimpy w a tweaked hamstring after a TD run last game and stayed in up big in H1 but was very limited to just hading the ball off or very very short pass and every movement seemed to be bracing to not tweak his hammy again.. then we saw him take an ugly hit on his last TD pass and never saw him again .. UCF turn the keys over to Mikey Keane for H2 which makes sense up big however, after a series of miscues USF miraculously closed the gap to within 3 halfway thru the 3rd and Mikey stayed in .. then USF took the lead and Mikey still stayed in, so know this wasn't unserious injury or an old nagging injury it was debilitating enough to not have the guy who was 9-9 passing and had 8 runs for 173 yds and 2 TD's to not take over when they needed a game winning drive .. Keane eventually pulled it out w some MIRACLE catches that connected but safe to say if Plum was in any condition to play there's no way he wouldn't have ..
Playing injury info is a little tough so while this is a BP its not the biggest bomb BP in history lol .. def have a reserve for a situation where the total might bump up a little if we see Plum is playing .. I think this would have been in the low 60's with a healthy plumlee expected to play and we're more/less in that neighborhood now anyway .. it may actually go up that way if he's confirmed playing and I'd hit it under again at that point .. my thought here is that hamstrings that keep players out of a game like we saw might appear to heal in a couple days but very very easy to re-tweak and this will impact UCF's preparation and limit Plum in practice and have to give Keane a fair share of reps this week since he might be back in there .. definitely will limit Plum's ability running or scrambling defense won't have to worry about his legs and any kinda rolling out the pocket or winding up a big downfield pass will be risky .. def expect limited play calling and slower tempo .. That is of course speculative maybe plum shows up just fine in which case I think we're pretty close to even on the EV simply because both these defenses are really that good and hitting this total will be largely based on how many big explosive plays we end up getting .. feels like under is the better bet regardless but if we get either the Bum-Plum or backup QB scenario's we're looking for then think very likely under .. good luck!
2
BRIDGE PLAYS
TULANE / UCF UNDER 58.5
Both defenses are solid and I don't think its a sure thing we see all the massive explosive plays we got the last game these two met .. this does become more tenuous if Plum is in and at full strength .. SP+ had this around 51 for the last matchup and I calc it even lower now like 48 the model rates both defenses very high in the top 30 .. just doesn't feel like a sure shot to go over an above average total and that ignores the situation with Plumlee ..
ICYMI Plumlee came up real gimpy w a tweaked hamstring after a TD run last game and stayed in up big in H1 but was very limited to just hading the ball off or very very short pass and every movement seemed to be bracing to not tweak his hammy again.. then we saw him take an ugly hit on his last TD pass and never saw him again .. UCF turn the keys over to Mikey Keane for H2 which makes sense up big however, after a series of miscues USF miraculously closed the gap to within 3 halfway thru the 3rd and Mikey stayed in .. then USF took the lead and Mikey still stayed in, so know this wasn't unserious injury or an old nagging injury it was debilitating enough to not have the guy who was 9-9 passing and had 8 runs for 173 yds and 2 TD's to not take over when they needed a game winning drive .. Keane eventually pulled it out w some MIRACLE catches that connected but safe to say if Plum was in any condition to play there's no way he wouldn't have ..
Playing injury info is a little tough so while this is a BP its not the biggest bomb BP in history lol .. def have a reserve for a situation where the total might bump up a little if we see Plum is playing .. I think this would have been in the low 60's with a healthy plumlee expected to play and we're more/less in that neighborhood now anyway .. it may actually go up that way if he's confirmed playing and I'd hit it under again at that point .. my thought here is that hamstrings that keep players out of a game like we saw might appear to heal in a couple days but very very easy to re-tweak and this will impact UCF's preparation and limit Plum in practice and have to give Keane a fair share of reps this week since he might be back in there .. definitely will limit Plum's ability running or scrambling defense won't have to worry about his legs and any kinda rolling out the pocket or winding up a big downfield pass will be risky .. def expect limited play calling and slower tempo .. That is of course speculative maybe plum shows up just fine in which case I think we're pretty close to even on the EV simply because both these defenses are really that good and hitting this total will be largely based on how many big explosive plays we end up getting .. feels like under is the better bet regardless but if we get either the Bum-Plum or backup QB scenario's we're looking for then think very likely under .. good luck!
Def a smaller play w such a weird angle but we just had Buffalo snuffed out of the playoffs and then lost in OT to Kent State who they were supposed to beat handily .. they are playing for a bowl so it should be a win here but got a short week Friday game after a long season and the big expectations have been dashed and its a disrupted schedule and not an opponent you'd normally get super excited about anyway .. fair to say its a real downer spot even if it should be a play on at home for a bowl game ... Akron w their 2nd win of the year last week vs last year's MAC champions NIU .. (what happened to the?!?!? WOW!!!) .. so that's exciting for Akron and here they get their championship game and bowl game all rolled into one .. think they do show up in this spot and likely vs a team happy to just get a win and move on ..
All that said this disrupted schedule spot does make me think if Buffalo kinda just mails it in and the Zips really do show up here then this does kinda feel like a significant let down for Buffalo.. won't be big bucks but this will def find a way to get this ML into a parlay for fun money ..
0
SMALLER
AKRON +14
Def a smaller play w such a weird angle but we just had Buffalo snuffed out of the playoffs and then lost in OT to Kent State who they were supposed to beat handily .. they are playing for a bowl so it should be a win here but got a short week Friday game after a long season and the big expectations have been dashed and its a disrupted schedule and not an opponent you'd normally get super excited about anyway .. fair to say its a real downer spot even if it should be a play on at home for a bowl game ... Akron w their 2nd win of the year last week vs last year's MAC champions NIU .. (what happened to the?!?!? WOW!!!) .. so that's exciting for Akron and here they get their championship game and bowl game all rolled into one .. think they do show up in this spot and likely vs a team happy to just get a win and move on ..
All that said this disrupted schedule spot does make me think if Buffalo kinda just mails it in and the Zips really do show up here then this does kinda feel like a significant let down for Buffalo.. won't be big bucks but this will def find a way to get this ML into a parlay for fun money ..
Haha yeah true .. I found out 16.5 was alot to cover last week .. took small hit on Michigan only way I could go w it .. Purdue no easy path to this spot really lucky to be there think they'll also just be happy to be there too .. def seems like a romp ..
Good luck!
0
@1969USC
Haha yeah true .. I found out 16.5 was alot to cover last week .. took small hit on Michigan only way I could go w it .. Purdue no easy path to this spot really lucky to be there think they'll also just be happy to be there too .. def seems like a romp ..
I'm mildly optimistic for the new horse Kenny Dillingham. If they escape sanctions he seems to have the chops to recruit/appeal to boosters as well as scheme some sound offensive football. I can't believe I'm letting myself believe a bit again, albeit an inkling.
BOL mate, you're always sharp.
1
Hey Bridge, nice work this year as always.
I'm mildly optimistic for the new horse Kenny Dillingham. If they escape sanctions he seems to have the chops to recruit/appeal to boosters as well as scheme some sound offensive football. I can't believe I'm letting myself believe a bit again, albeit an inkling.
Extra emoji notes the final week deciders .. shoulda really had UTEP for a total sweep, up 24-zip .. I guess I gotta get unlucky sometimes lol ..
SMU OVER 6.5 UTAH OVER 8.5 UNLV OVER 3.5 TROY OVER 5.5 KANSAS OVER 2 PURDUE OVER 7 MISSOURI OVER 5 COASTAL UNDER 9.5 AIR FORCE OVER 7.5 VANDERBILT OVER 2 SO ALABAMA OVER 5 TENNESSEE OVER 7.5 WISCONSIN UNDER 9 UTAH STATE UNDER 9 CLEMSON UNDER 10.5 LOUISIANA UNDER 10 APP STATE UNDER 9.5 COLORADO UNDER 3.5 WASH STATE OVER 4.5 WASH STATE OVER 5.5 GEORGIA TECH OVER 3 TULSA OVER 5 - TIE WYOMING UNDER 5.5 COLO STATE OVER 4.5 UTEP OVER 5.5
Extra emoji notes the final week deciders .. shoulda really had UTEP for a total sweep, up 24-zip .. I guess I gotta get unlucky sometimes lol ..
SMU OVER 6.5 UTAH OVER 8.5 UNLV OVER 3.5 TROY OVER 5.5 KANSAS OVER 2 PURDUE OVER 7 MISSOURI OVER 5 COASTAL UNDER 9.5 AIR FORCE OVER 7.5 VANDERBILT OVER 2 SO ALABAMA OVER 5 TENNESSEE OVER 7.5 WISCONSIN UNDER 9 UTAH STATE UNDER 9 CLEMSON UNDER 10.5 LOUISIANA UNDER 10 APP STATE UNDER 9.5 COLORADO UNDER 3.5 WASH STATE OVER 4.5 WASH STATE OVER 5.5 GEORGIA TECH OVER 3 TULSA OVER 5 - TIE WYOMING UNDER 5.5 COLO STATE OVER 4.5 UTEP OVER 5.5
Truth be told I had a few of these RSW's get voided by Barstool .. those were for Louisiana, App State, Coastal, Wyoming, Utah State and Colorado State which ended up going 4-2.. I think other than Coastal any other pre-ssn number you got for any of those plays I suggested woulda had the same result anyway .. so technically maybe not 21-3-1 88%, could say it was 17-1-1 or 94% .. hey that's fine w me!!! ..
I didn't change my posted plays because Illinois gaming board had opened an investigation but I still don't know the results of the investigation even months later, seems like it didn't go anywhere and seasons over now so figure I'd mention it now .. my guess is the gaming boards know where their funding comes from and at least in this instance just slow walked it till it went away ..
On that note, covers brothers please be aware that Barstool Sportsbook and their affiliate casinos and outside oddsmakers are all as sleazy as Barstool's money grubbing executives you see all over social media .. I can't totally lump Betrivers in there too but they use the same oddsmaker and were offering the same RSW's as the ones I had voided and the crux of Barstool's voiding argument was the oddsmaker made a mistake so its likely they're both just birds of the same filth feather .. it seems more like they both pushed their MW and Sun Belt RSW's out before anyone else to attract customers and all my wagers went thru the delay review process and were accepted .. my guess is when they saw slightly diff RSW numbers at draftkings and others a few days later for those teams they said 'oh crap ours are like half a game or one game different!!' and decided it was easy enough to just welch on their bets ..
My advice to you is don't gamble with scumbags who behave like that they'll certainly find ways to welch on other bets big parlays about to hit, etc .. and in my view they clearly have investigators who don't seem to do much investigating.. not only that but when this vermin puts out their bait and switch numbers they get to use you to test the market out and makes it very easy to identify customers like you they want to limit heavily leaving them only loser customers .. I've had no prob w the other regulated books in ILL and with quite a few of them its not hard to steer clear of the slime.. that's just my advice and take on the whole situation I had w Toadstool and it is more than deserving of a not of warning to my peeps here ... good luck brothers!!! ..
5
Truth be told I had a few of these RSW's get voided by Barstool .. those were for Louisiana, App State, Coastal, Wyoming, Utah State and Colorado State which ended up going 4-2.. I think other than Coastal any other pre-ssn number you got for any of those plays I suggested woulda had the same result anyway .. so technically maybe not 21-3-1 88%, could say it was 17-1-1 or 94% .. hey that's fine w me!!! ..
I didn't change my posted plays because Illinois gaming board had opened an investigation but I still don't know the results of the investigation even months later, seems like it didn't go anywhere and seasons over now so figure I'd mention it now .. my guess is the gaming boards know where their funding comes from and at least in this instance just slow walked it till it went away ..
On that note, covers brothers please be aware that Barstool Sportsbook and their affiliate casinos and outside oddsmakers are all as sleazy as Barstool's money grubbing executives you see all over social media .. I can't totally lump Betrivers in there too but they use the same oddsmaker and were offering the same RSW's as the ones I had voided and the crux of Barstool's voiding argument was the oddsmaker made a mistake so its likely they're both just birds of the same filth feather .. it seems more like they both pushed their MW and Sun Belt RSW's out before anyone else to attract customers and all my wagers went thru the delay review process and were accepted .. my guess is when they saw slightly diff RSW numbers at draftkings and others a few days later for those teams they said 'oh crap ours are like half a game or one game different!!' and decided it was easy enough to just welch on their bets ..
My advice to you is don't gamble with scumbags who behave like that they'll certainly find ways to welch on other bets big parlays about to hit, etc .. and in my view they clearly have investigators who don't seem to do much investigating.. not only that but when this vermin puts out their bait and switch numbers they get to use you to test the market out and makes it very easy to identify customers like you they want to limit heavily leaving them only loser customers .. I've had no prob w the other regulated books in ILL and with quite a few of them its not hard to steer clear of the slime.. that's just my advice and take on the whole situation I had w Toadstool and it is more than deserving of a not of warning to my peeps here ... good luck brothers!!! ..
Didn't land quite as I hoped but did get to trim some hedges with So.Bama as Troy was struggling around w Ark state in the first half last week .. B.Green the other week in their showdown, even W.Kentucky grabbed a little hedge hitting N.Texas when they were tied up w Rice .. SJSU and AF had some critical must win games late in the year and got a chance to get some principle back on those .. and we get to lock in a couple decent paydays for champ week and even w UGA dudding out in a few games gotta like my chances w them .. find it hard to believe Michigan has equalized since last year .. I admit it coulda been a little sweeter if one of the real big boys ended up making a deeper run but fun n profitable, can't complain much .. good luck!
CONF CHAMPS:
TROY SUN 14-1 OHIO MAC 16-1 SO. BAMA SUN 50-1 B. GREEN MAC 120-1 W.KENTUCKY CUSA 5-1 SAN JOSE STATE MW 25-1 AIR FORCE MW 5-1 G-STATE SUN 14-1 PITT ACC 10-1 NC STATE ACC 12-1 IOWA STATE B12 25-1 WASH STATE PAC 100-1 WASH STATE PAC 150-1 VIRGINIA TECH ACC 150-1 UTEP CUSA 33-1 AKRON MAC 200-1
NATTY:
GEORGIA +475 TEXAS A&M 30-1 .. lol
0
CONF FUTURES ..
Didn't land quite as I hoped but did get to trim some hedges with So.Bama as Troy was struggling around w Ark state in the first half last week .. B.Green the other week in their showdown, even W.Kentucky grabbed a little hedge hitting N.Texas when they were tied up w Rice .. SJSU and AF had some critical must win games late in the year and got a chance to get some principle back on those .. and we get to lock in a couple decent paydays for champ week and even w UGA dudding out in a few games gotta like my chances w them .. find it hard to believe Michigan has equalized since last year .. I admit it coulda been a little sweeter if one of the real big boys ended up making a deeper run but fun n profitable, can't complain much .. good luck!
CONF CHAMPS:
TROY SUN 14-1 OHIO MAC 16-1 SO. BAMA SUN 50-1 B. GREEN MAC 120-1 W.KENTUCKY CUSA 5-1 SAN JOSE STATE MW 25-1 AIR FORCE MW 5-1 G-STATE SUN 14-1 PITT ACC 10-1 NC STATE ACC 12-1 IOWA STATE B12 25-1 WASH STATE PAC 100-1 WASH STATE PAC 150-1 VIRGINIA TECH ACC 150-1 UTEP CUSA 33-1 AKRON MAC 200-1
Briiiidddgggeee!! Good luck in Championship week my man, sucks the season is over, but cheers to a profitable bowl season. Barstool is scum plain and simple. They are way over their head in the bookmaking world. Sucks you had to find that out first hand. Didn't know you were a Illinois operation? I also hail from this sh!tty state as well.
Couple quick hitters: Love love love Fresno. Haener catching points? Yes please.
USTA / UNT total? I know both these team can score but when they played each other in October it was 13-10 going into the 4th. Also, UTSA dominated that game in every way yet somehow UNT kept I close to get the money in the previous meeting. Not sure about laying the 8.5 but I do like the under 69.5. what say you?
TCU constantly disrespected this year and the market never seemed to catch up with that. I know the first match up they had some luck in their side. I was on KSU +3.5 big, in the first meeting. Terrible beat to watch it unfold. Think this might be a case on KSU being the square dog here? I like the Horned Frogs ML.
2
Briiiidddgggeee!! Good luck in Championship week my man, sucks the season is over, but cheers to a profitable bowl season. Barstool is scum plain and simple. They are way over their head in the bookmaking world. Sucks you had to find that out first hand. Didn't know you were a Illinois operation? I also hail from this sh!tty state as well.
Couple quick hitters: Love love love Fresno. Haener catching points? Yes please.
USTA / UNT total? I know both these team can score but when they played each other in October it was 13-10 going into the 4th. Also, UTSA dominated that game in every way yet somehow UNT kept I close to get the money in the previous meeting. Not sure about laying the 8.5 but I do like the under 69.5. what say you?
TCU constantly disrespected this year and the market never seemed to catch up with that. I know the first match up they had some luck in their side. I was on KSU +3.5 big, in the first meeting. Terrible beat to watch it unfold. Think this might be a case on KSU being the square dog here? I like the Horned Frogs ML.
yeah ILL in general is just a turd that won't flush .. bummer w barfstool yeah spread the word .. license to sportsbook here = license to steal .. im guessing same for all the other licenses this place issues, total filth.. ironically woulda lost money if they didn't welch on em the colo state play was decent size, I thought they'd have a quick turnaround and thought for sure 4.5 was the best number I'd see and was best by I think a full game .. but wow boy was I wrong about them lol ...
Yeah I agree on UTSA/UNT I hit over 66 expecting a flood to pour in and its 70 now unsure what its doing so middled and have real small under position now .. be nice to middle but I don't care to have an over on this one the good UNT RB's are out I think again, dickin around last week w Rice they shoulda rolled there .. pretty good UTSA WR I think left for the NFL, not for sure but just another thing not to like about a big total if thats the case .. I am concerned more about the UTSA D but if I wanted a play here think I'd avoid the total and just take the RR's -8.5 .. might do that for fun and have the middle total for fun .. besides the WKY win UNT's record is not very good and WKY was in a pretty ugly spot playing them I think WKY would win in a rematch w out the crappy spot ..
Didn't post it but I got K-State 50-1 very early in pre-ssn, it dropped to 14 or so very quick.. be a nice payday if it lands .. Im hedged a little on TCU ML and might grab some points in game if they fall behind early .. can't say anything bad about the Frogs they deserve every bit of a playoff bid and K-State would have to understand the implication if they really put a serious blowout win on em .. put the B12 at risk of losing a playoff bid and a shower of money .. they def haven't had that kinda shower in a while lol .. also Cats win here and why wouldn't they want TCU in the playoff anyway and maybe pull an upset and be only team to have beat them .. the alternative is yer the only team to beat a NY6 team and that is just not as sexy sounding lol .. so maybe an in game situation say if K-State is just rolling H1 I would not expect them to hold a big lead and maybe even give the frogs a decent shot at meaningless really late in the game not possibly throttle em right out of the playoff .. seems a pretty unlikely situation though lol ..
I think UGA -150/-160 is still the way to go UGA D is best in CFB again and the run D is really excellent no opponent had even a decent day running on these guys .. I also hit UGA -6.5 on the potential natty matchup vs Michigan sounds like Mich losing corum and also the good DL to gun charges (of course) .. but yeah if -160 is still around that feels like a decent price on a seemingly undervalued team .. yeah and now watch them get blown out by LSU after I said all that lol ..
Good luck bud!
1
@UGA520
yeah ILL in general is just a turd that won't flush .. bummer w barfstool yeah spread the word .. license to sportsbook here = license to steal .. im guessing same for all the other licenses this place issues, total filth.. ironically woulda lost money if they didn't welch on em the colo state play was decent size, I thought they'd have a quick turnaround and thought for sure 4.5 was the best number I'd see and was best by I think a full game .. but wow boy was I wrong about them lol ...
Yeah I agree on UTSA/UNT I hit over 66 expecting a flood to pour in and its 70 now unsure what its doing so middled and have real small under position now .. be nice to middle but I don't care to have an over on this one the good UNT RB's are out I think again, dickin around last week w Rice they shoulda rolled there .. pretty good UTSA WR I think left for the NFL, not for sure but just another thing not to like about a big total if thats the case .. I am concerned more about the UTSA D but if I wanted a play here think I'd avoid the total and just take the RR's -8.5 .. might do that for fun and have the middle total for fun .. besides the WKY win UNT's record is not very good and WKY was in a pretty ugly spot playing them I think WKY would win in a rematch w out the crappy spot ..
Didn't post it but I got K-State 50-1 very early in pre-ssn, it dropped to 14 or so very quick.. be a nice payday if it lands .. Im hedged a little on TCU ML and might grab some points in game if they fall behind early .. can't say anything bad about the Frogs they deserve every bit of a playoff bid and K-State would have to understand the implication if they really put a serious blowout win on em .. put the B12 at risk of losing a playoff bid and a shower of money .. they def haven't had that kinda shower in a while lol .. also Cats win here and why wouldn't they want TCU in the playoff anyway and maybe pull an upset and be only team to have beat them .. the alternative is yer the only team to beat a NY6 team and that is just not as sexy sounding lol .. so maybe an in game situation say if K-State is just rolling H1 I would not expect them to hold a big lead and maybe even give the frogs a decent shot at meaningless really late in the game not possibly throttle em right out of the playoff .. seems a pretty unlikely situation though lol ..
I think UGA -150/-160 is still the way to go UGA D is best in CFB again and the run D is really excellent no opponent had even a decent day running on these guys .. I also hit UGA -6.5 on the potential natty matchup vs Michigan sounds like Mich losing corum and also the good DL to gun charges (of course) .. but yeah if -160 is still around that feels like a decent price on a seemingly undervalued team .. yeah and now watch them get blown out by LSU after I said all that lol ..
We're getting this under 10 because of an obviously crappy spot vs UTEP last week IMO and I am worried about the defense and missing some of the offensive pieces from start of the year but conf champ game in the dome and I don't think N.Texas really had any real solid wins .. maybe the WKY one but even I played N.Texas +10 there because of the really crappy spot they were in and it def showed .. other than that they barely squeaked into a bowl game beating absolutely nobody .. this is a rematch and last time in the dome too so yeah laying points when they werent close last time although it was like 500 yds to 350 and RR'ers kicked quite a few field goals which is unusual .. think / hope they romp as expected this time .. good luck!!!
0
SMALLER
UTSA -8
We're getting this under 10 because of an obviously crappy spot vs UTEP last week IMO and I am worried about the defense and missing some of the offensive pieces from start of the year but conf champ game in the dome and I don't think N.Texas really had any real solid wins .. maybe the WKY one but even I played N.Texas +10 there because of the really crappy spot they were in and it def showed .. other than that they barely squeaked into a bowl game beating absolutely nobody .. this is a rematch and last time in the dome too so yeah laying points when they werent close last time although it was like 500 yds to 350 and RR'ers kicked quite a few field goals which is unusual .. think / hope they romp as expected this time .. good luck!!!
Never thought I'd see the day lol .. but yeah they should roll here 55-zip .. obvi not on the bigger side of the smaller class but its champ week fun bet and idk think bookies can't really put this one high enough because lets face it .. were laying 31.5 with NMSU lol .. good luck.
0
SMALLER
NMSU -31.5
Never thought I'd see the day lol .. but yeah they should roll here 55-zip .. obvi not on the bigger side of the smaller class but its champ week fun bet and idk think bookies can't really put this one high enough because lets face it .. were laying 31.5 with NMSU lol .. good luck.
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