BP's Uconn epic game, think very safe to say the epic bad spot caught up with liberty immediately in that game H1 woulda been the much safer play .. defense really what I thought was impacted and just other mistakes QB play picks / fumbles, etc .. otherwise Lib offense was stormin down the field, very good team.. spot too much UCONN going to a bowl .. maybe they're in the bad spot now?.. T-Tech just another sloppy mess but KU off their epic bowl eligibility run / down spot was too much to overcome .. note to self: lay off the Red Raider Drank from here huh?...
SMs .. Army +9 never in danger, cadets D steppin up big as offense had what seemed like multiple blunders and blown scoring opps .. finally lost the lead and then missed game winning FG .. ditto for CO.St, got lead on a big return TD and leading all game big rivalry looks like a huge home win and then returner muffs a kick WYO TD and then miss a FG and kinda botch a chance at a last second FG .. Wyoming nowhere near the TT .. Wash State up 28-zip and yer just like 'you guys are gunna win by 8.5 right as the momentum died off completely, ASU with 2 TD's in the last couple mins as coogs can't run out the clock .. 28-18 for the win but man o man put wash state in the same bucket as T-Tech they're cut from the same cloth with the sloppy play, nothing is ever secure with them .. Ville/Clem think goes under even with Cunningham playing in H2, Ville D is really not far behind Clemsons .. Tulane dud .. IA State D gives them a shot every time and offense never does enough they coulda shoulda had that one .. GA.SO Dud, Coastal with diff QB than expected, decent passer and might be McCall's heir .. GMC apparently out 3-6 weeks, shame if they can't finish off the conf ..
UDML 300-1 UCONN - BOOOM .. wasn't destined to work out needed a little luck and got it .. ARMY, CO.ST very disappointing finishes both in good spots and were decent in game favorites most of the way and mistakes to give up the lead and twin missed FG's to lose the game was a shame .. S.Miss was up for a bit close all game and edged out at the end .. like the calls but wasn't the epic awesome day it came pretty close to being despite the 1-3 result ..
BRIDGE PLAY
GEORGIA -16.5
Posed 2 weeks ago, Caesars look ahead line .. hit it 16 and left it at 16.5 for ya .. Line was -20 as of yesterday and still kinda sorta felt too short to me I think 21 was the right number to still play it at least for a smaller hit .. not sure what it'll be at today but UGA looking pretty solid yesterday for being in a legit down spot @Miss State after a massive home win vs Tenn .. Kentucky barely edgeing Mizzoo in a game they really kinda shoulda lost and following that up losing to Vandy at home probably didn't help their ATS case .. Unsure how much of a play up spot it is for UGA but figured when I played it either UGA loses to Tenn and they just start obliterating everyone for a big resume pad or at least we get a game between to shake off any of the post Tenn win excitement .. Matchup-wise I think UGA just needs to tangle up UK's run game and should be a long (or rather, short) day on that side of the ball .. UK's D rotation I noted to be fairly thin not playing alot of guys leading into their mathup w Tenn a few weeks ago .. bunch of guys dinged up in that one and maybe got some back maybe have inexperienced quality on the bench but my guess at the time was they wouldn't be in very good shape to muster up a decent defense of this UGA offense .. either scenario UGA is favored by quite a bit more than 16.5 .. not much changed from those expectations .. I think only way we lose is getting one of those classic Kirby H2 slow downs, up 23 and UK just gets a late score .. could see Kirby go heavy on the backups late in this game too I suppose .. but otherwise think this one ends like 42-10 .. and I'm being being extra generous with the 10 lol .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
LIBERTY -9.5
Hoping to get an 8 where circa had it or 8.5 but want to grab this under 10 .. we played the epic bad spot for them last game, any watchers woulda seen just how good Lib is when they don't have such a trecherous spot hanging over their heads .. back at home you can give them a legit boost in their level of play, fans go wild for this team and double the intensity for an in-state P5 Big Boy .. I have some concerns about losses to Dae Dae the excellent RB but the OL is really good, QB looks good and couple good WR's .. D was not what we usually get last week this should be an effort on par with the big Arkansas upset and maybe beyond that with the home crowd firing these guys up .. Freeze no doubt cookin up a good one for us so think its worth taking this somewhere under 10 for a BP and we see 8's at BOL I'll be firing at it again ..
Oh forgot to mention VT don't have much recent intel I mean its no shot at a bowl and first year coach should consider testing his roster depth see what he's got on hand for next year .. a real 'who wants to play' sorta game, not in front of the home fans .. stinker of a spot and they have their big rivalry with UVA on deck ..
SMALLER
TEMPLE +18
Think its a want to win game for Cincy but not even a must win .. Tulane next week is the must win I believe no matter what happens this week, not even sure if HFA for the conf champ game would be on the line since UCF beat them already .. a legit dead spot or very very close to it and Temple's QB actually showing signs of life .. Circa had it at 20, can't really bet into this one anyway and got it at a worse price .. small means small lol
WASH STATE -3.5
Well I sure hate myself for playing this one but UA is off such an EPIC game and ASU on deck .. they need this one for a bowl game and the spot dims for us because Wash State just hit bowl eligibility .. still 6 wins doesn't always = going and I think there's still reason for coach to smack these guys on the ass the way they let ASU come back and almost ruin my (shoulda been) super easy cover last week .. Coogs at home for the apple cup next week too and idk just feels like UA could really fall off a cliff for this game and Coogs have an offense that can pass all over these guys and only team maybe in the PAC that actually has a defense .. another super small ..
BOWLING GREEN +14.5
Need a W for another in our 'most improbable team to make a bowl' series which I think has been pretty solid so far .. also maybe a very very outside shot to win the division here but hey .. its a shot to win the division too .. Toledo is in the deadest of dead spots maybe BG/Tol is a fierce Ohio rivalry as some MAC teams tend to be but idk Toldeo off a close one to ball state and im not sure you get all the way up for this cross div opponent .. we're def taking a haircut on the price SP+ has this at 20 last week and they're at home so maybe one we should look at H1 or something short narrow it down to where we can expect to see BG's best punch .. idk not THAT many points here for clearly best MAC team but we know BG is showing up and fine taking over 2 TD's for their big play up spot vs likely kinda play down for Toledo ..
UAB +14.5
LSU also in a super dead spot and we're again taking a hair cut but we're also getting this over the 2 TD's .. UAB with dillon hopkins back and 1 win from a bowl and surprise nobody saw coming they get the locked in SEC West Division champs .. woah nellie!!! .. LSU has their final reg ssn game with their kinda forced finale rival TAMU and that game is way more important that this one and beyond that they have one of the most important games in program history .. GEAUX TIGAS .. but maybe just geaux after this week huh guys ?...
SMALLER
OKLAHOMA -6.5
Hope to see 6 or 5 but idk its a monster payback revenge spot and think we saw OU stumble a bit last week losing to WV for the first time ever .. OK.State went on to beat IA.State and clobber my bet .. well I guess we know which team was / wasn't looking forward to this one .. playing revenge and think OU is a team that can really exploit this defense and doubt they'll feel bad running it up if the opportunity presents itself
SMALLER
COASTAL +3.5
Its a dead spot on the road and kinda epic game next week to close the year @JMU .. it for sure could just be a down spot here but UVA without a bowl to play for and awful year is in a tough spot if they want to show up playing big in this game, they have basically their post season bowl game next week vs ultra rival VA Tech and what do ya do here maybe at home you play the seniors and let em do their thing last time for the (remaining) fans but at some point new coach gotta see what he's got a little deeper down the roster .. clearly have some things to like on defense but pretty much nothing to like on O this year .. obvi coach doesn't want to hand over a win at home to little coastal carolina but disasterous year they can start taking risks of losing a game like this to test some guys out and rest others especially guys they'll need next week ready to rock .. I also doubt UVA is spending much time prepping for this offense which is just so good at shredding a defense and hitting big plays ..
McCall's replacement seemed pretty solid and can operate the pass game .. doesn't seem like a down spot because they gotta keep working him into the offense and playing at a high level, conf champ game is 2 weeks away and replacing one of the best QB's in CFB... I'd also have to think coach chadwell and his crew are very very seriously thinking about taking their show to another school especially with McCall moving on after this year .. nothing says 'pick me' more than winning conf championships and beating P5 competition ... and similar situation to ULL last year after missing the SUN championship for a few years clearly Billy's last year that was the goal and then just a romp straight to the champ game and thru the bowl no breaks .. I think its the same mentality for coastal, covid cancelled their shot in '20 they came up short of the division LY, Chadwell's likely farewell so very much the same.. think Chants just keep rolling at a winners pace again this week. Might bump this up if I can get a better read on it, smaller for now.. good luck!
SMALLER
VILLE / NC STATE UNDER 48.5
Decent smaller play, going back to the Ville Under well again .. unsure if cunningham is playing injured end of H1 last game .. we have NC State with a great defense too and backup QB maybe isin't that bad but I think we're in for a slow game .. both with their big rivals on deck UK and UNC, unsure if that's got much to do with the total I could see Cunningham maybe not coming right back if he's ding'd up save him for a legit shot to beat Kentucky after getting blown out big for a few years .. just seems like a decently slow ride here both offenses fairly well subordinated to either team's defense .. think this shoulda been 45 at the most ..
SMALLER
ARMY -8.5
Think we can double up on that UCONN spot from yesterday we have Conn off their big 'super bowl' win for bowl eligibility and now on the road to west point vs a team that at least understands the run game on both sides of the ball .. Army in a good spot at home in front of the cadets and need to run the table to secure a bowl game .. gotta beat conn in clearly a bad spot, Umass and finale with Navy .. easy to see why Conn threw the kitchen sink at getting a win last week .. Army off what shoulda been a W vs Troy and think a decent part of their problems on offense were because Troy grabbed Army's DC in the offseason and it also didn't seem to me like Troy was playing its backups Colton Martial was in the game right to the end getting dinged up and having to leave the field multiple times.. just not a game you'd expect them to do that but either way Army lost and need 3 W's and Uconn might just be waking up from a post game party .. think we finally got Army in a spot they can roll.. seeing this 10.5 at BoL so hit at Caesars for the lower number .. wouldn't surprise me if the closing number is 10 or 11 .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
MICHIGAN / ILLINOIS UNDER 43.5
Don't often BP on a total and usually not a low one but this seems like a spot we get the harbaugh mean grinder just dishin out the 3-4 yards a play offense and just wasting clock like its nobody's business .. Illinois clearly has a defense that could make things a little interesting but think eventually we see Mich break thru and think they're good for 21-31 points but I think Harbaugh has to respect this defense and I don't see a reason to take risks in this game getting cute throwing it around .. besides that no reason to give OSU any more tape on you might see a trick play from Harbaugh but think its a fairly vanilla game plan here ... Wolvos are also not shy about sending out the FG unit in the red zone either and I highly doubt we see them get cold feet using the kickers .. Speaking of cold feet the weather report shows us a pretty intense cold snap coming w temps below freezing even for a noon kickoff .. not like ILL is like Miami but doubt they'll have been in sub freezing for much of this year by the time this game rolls around .. looks like chance of snow in the area but unlikely we'll know whats going on w that till later this week ..
On the flip side Illinois offense is not that bad but if you saw the Purdue game you know their heisman contender had a real unfortunate end to that game, carried off couldn't put any weight on the ankle .. not a doctor but I put the odds of him playing pretty close to zero .. That really cuts ILL's offense off at the knees since Brown gets virtually all the carries and a significant number of receiving targets and just a threat every time he gets the ball .. think they struggle without him .. alot .. It is a must win game to stay in the division, they also need Purdue to lose but again anyone watching last week's game think you saw the maximum of maximum efforts they could give and this looks like a major let down spot .. can't imagine the defense falling off a cliff but if ILL somehow pulls it off defense prob has everything to do with it ..
Circa came out at 44.5 so we're still in the neighborhood to make it a little bigger play .. obvi totals can be fairly unpredictable and just hope to be on the right side / need to be unlucky to lose .. think if we get the vanilla Mich clock draining offense and defenses can hold teams to a few FG's instead of TD's then we're in a good spot here ..
@WahooS
Hope so buddy double dipped with -8 at bookmaker so bigger play for me .. def layin points but not much more than what SP+ had at least last week and spot at least seems solid .. hope it's not one of those 'im not gunna take this anymore!!!' efforts outta VT lol .. kinda wish they were off some level of big win last week ..
@LonghornHoosier
Thx brother good luck this week! 
SMALLER
TULSA -12
Wanted this under 10 for a BP but take it -12 at BM now, seeing it go up to -13 already BoL so unlikey to tick back down, taking now .. Really tough to imagine USF showing up for this one, another terrible year and we got decently long travel on a short week 5 day turnaround for them Tulsa with the extra prep .. Bulls with archrival UCF at home next week, Knights been an I-5 serial killer in that series and maybe a real longshot chance at redemption for their fans for another horror show year .. added kicker is the cold snap looks like it reaches all the way to Tulsa on Friday, should be right around freezing all game .. USF a real fish out of water .. that's not super cold but just adds to the ugly spot in a way we can see how USF just kinda surrenders and starts handing out experience down the depth chart .. really wouldn't expect anyone dinged up to even make the travel roster .. a W at Tulsa does nothing for this coach's prospects to stay on another year if there's any shot at redemption whatsoever it comes next week vs the Knights .. All that said Tulsa is not playing for a bowl this year but last home game and one you can actually roll big in .. Montgomery maybe playing with fire if he can't get it together and get it up for this game ..
Circa came out 52.5 on the total and this LAUNCHED up to 61 where I took it under for a few bucks .. I get these defenses are ugly and offenses aren't terrible either but Circa sees the spot and threw some bait out there which folks seemingly couldn't get enough of .. TT's were implied 32-20 now 36-24 .. if the ugly spot takes over like we think and USF just duds out here at 17 or so then Tulsa really gotta be on the money to cover the diff needing 44+.. so just one I'd consider for a spread/total correlator .. GOOD LUCK!
SMALLER
IOWA STATE / T-TECH UNDER 48.5
Iowa State's defense is really strong and just seeing the generally sloppy / risk taking level of play T-Tech employs I think we can expect more than a few of their drives to get stonewalled .. Clones offense is not good and thought we'd see a sign of life last week in a 'desperate to win' situation for a bowl but pulled a dud against a secondary they shoulda been rippin pretty easy.. they are technically still in that spot so expect them to show up for this one but think all that means is their D really shows up, offense just putrid and now lose their top RB for the year and maybe even more reliant on the one WR who gets all the targets and just whoever fills in at RB .. and Tech's D is really not a dud either would say looking back they are easily the strength of the team, def the much much more consistent unit .. Tech going up to Ames at 7pm and weather says were in the teens at kickoff and maybe low of 10, Clones defense is gunna bring some of that sting down on these guys for sure .. just don't see either getting much over 20.. Tech is also 1 off from a bowl IA.State needs 2 to get there so both teams to show up but this just doesn't look like a matchup that's producing many points and besides that def not laying points with IA State because that would require them to score at least 4 points here but I wouldn't take the dog in this one either ..
Nice week Bridge 
Briddddgggeee!! My man, great week bro! Couldn't get there with ya on TT still had a bad taste in my mouth with the week before. What say you on Hawaii catching DD on the island. Their O really starting to heat up, and a subpar UNLV team coming to the island. I like it. Good luck this week.
@LoveCFB1_
This series hasn't hit this total going all the way back to 2014 when Rutgers moved in .. PSU generally wins easy, Rut w generally low scoring .. same as projected here .. I wouldn't want to rely on PSU to do all the scoring think you want Rutgers to contribute at least 17 here .. is there any reason PSU is showing up for total domination effort or is Piscataway a rest stop, sit some guys, get a W and get outta there .. we know there's a real big effort coming next week, payback vs MSU .. also game @ Rutgers, they need 2 W's for a bowl game so how can they possibly win?.. field position game use your advantage with the killer punter and good FG kicker, must keep it close deep into the game .. you see the Mich game? how'd they keep that one close, can they do that again here? .. why did the points start piling on late?.. did Mich finally pull away and Schiano starts taking all kinds of risks and Harbaugh happy to oblige them, turn them back into his whipping boy after 2 years of very close games?... kinda think that had a little something to do w it .. would peep that Mich game and see how schiano was calling it once he started getting desperate .. how many scores down was he, how much time left, etc, how long till Rut just waived the white flag, or did they fight till the end? .. would also check how Allar and the PSU backups tend to do in their garbage time they takin shots, run game keeps rumblin, defense takes a breather?.. does that happen on the road or does coach only put that show on for the home fans?.. if that read checks out then maybe see if a similar situation shows up here early Q3 lotta time left for rutgers to play desperate football .. PSU up like 14-3 and Rut clearly needs to force something to happen on offense, try to get the total over in the mid 30's .. but yeah otherwise really feels like this could just be a low scoring game esp if Rutgers is totally out of it by halftime like 24-zip, PSU already looking ahead to next week, etc ..
I'd play the in game over spot if I could get comfortable with it .. but yeah could just spend time on a play that dosn't show up .. if you start peepin it let me know and I'll peep into it too .. 
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