WK 1 RECAP:
BP 2-2
SMALLER 5-10
BRIDGE PLAYS:
G.STATE +21 
SAM HOUSTON +10.5 
CLEM / UGA UNDER 48.5
VANDY / V-TECH UNDER 54 
SMALLER
ELON +24.5
H1 JMU -4.5
OKLA.ST -9.5
UC DAVIS +23.5
MINNESOTA -1.5
S.CAROLINA -17.5
W.VIRGINIA +10.5
NEW MEXICO +31.5
SAM HOUSTON +11.5
N.MEX / MONT ST UNDER 55.5
VA TECH / VANDY UNDER 55.5
SAM HOU / RICE OVER 48.5
CAL / UC DAVIS OVER 53.5
ASU / WYO UNDER 47.5
TCU / STAN UNDER 60
EEEESH .. got dinked n dunked on with quite a few lookin good .. i mean even w WYO scoring a late TD it was their only one .. Vandy total in the bag all the way .. sammy hoo / rice 31 at halftime.. TCU/Stan under in the bag the whole way late flurry .. CAL/UC was in good shape at halftime ... Georgia State idk how many times they got stuffed at the 5 yard line but think we had the right idea there GT had to still be rockin to cover that .. monty st/NM felt pretty unbeatable .. JMU blows the lid off in H2 not H1 .. eesh.. cookie crumbled the wrong way many times add on my two dud locks S.Carolina / W.Virginia and .. maaan o maaaan S.CAR .. puke ..
SMALLER .. (FAN)
E.MICHIGAN +25.5
This team shows up in these spots and Wash has the Apple Cup on deck .. would say BP if we could smack it big but we can't yet and I knocked it to 24.5 for ya so call it smaller .. hope we get the bigger number when they come out .. GOOD LUCK!
SMU -11.5
I think BYU is just in a bit over their skis this year .. we know SMU had the bad start on the road but we also saw that Nevada is not a push over and I sense that if SMU wants to broaden their shots to make the playoff if they were to say make the champ game and lose to miami, they don't need B2B blemishes on the resume to start the year .. hope we get under 10 could be a smash hit .
CINCY -2.5
Still think Pitt is dog meat and lower slimmer line is due to them hammering Kent State and Cincy seemingly struggling with Towson .. Pitt with the BACKYARD BRAWL on deck and this sorta still feels like a development mode game with their sights targeting a huge revenge spot .. i know .. cincy .. but they should be better this year and smoooked em last year ..
GAME OF THE YEAR LINES .. see pre-ssn thread ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
MICH / TEXAS -3.5
SMALLER
IOWA / IOWA ST +3
Texas feels good they hung a -2.5 up there this morning I blasted it to the moon for ya .. maaaaan Michigan .. I think the hope was Orji's throw game would 'come around' by fall camp and then they said 'omg who else we got' and wallah .. it wasn't horrible vs Fresno but put two guys on Colton and 2 guys on the RB and I feel like we effectively shut down their pass game eh .. could put 3 on each if you want .. I'll say this Horns don't throw pick 6's or give em the ball deep int heir territory, etc I think its still an easy peasy win .. not sayin take it at -6.5 but if I'm right about what Mich's probs are I think a fair line might be somewhere over the TD mark ..
Iowa eventually pulled ahead in their game but Illinois State had more/less stopped them cold the entire first half and Iowa sorta just had to lean on em and injuries piling up the levvy's broke in H2 there .. not interested in playing under a FG still but really like what I got here .. good luck!
SMALLER
NC STATE / TENN OVER 55.5
NC State D was the concern heading into this year and W.Carolina or whoever they played found ways to hang in there .. I think they button things up a bit but clearly the read wasn't off they did have some probs vs them and just no way Tenn stretching them out won't cause problems here .. either team pulls ahead the team behind have that big play ability to catch up lotta WR's featured 2 good QB's .. top of that we have a questionable secondary for tenn .. trusting GMC and his WR's can exploit that and if so idk how they hold Tenn to under 28 or so .. even a slow start think at some point we get a back n forth barn burner, would be one I'd play in game too we get a couple quick punts just expect a flurry to follow at some point ..
HEISMAN
REILLY LEONARD 30-1
Small taste here but unquestionably the star of what shoulda been a totally shut down loss for them and its nothing but a runway from here .. maybe he doesn't attain the massive stats but every opportunity to the tough games are massive revenge rocker vs Ville at home .. FSU at home .. USC finale .. beat A&M on the road already and was just such a key dude when duke needed him, shouldn't be much diff now .. Denbrock can tee his dude up for a shot at B2B trophies from here and maybe the one quality he walks in with in NY is that he shows up 12-0 and I feel like unless Beck is sitting next to him he's the only perfect record in the room .. feels like the odds didn't change A TON since yesterday so gunna take a small bite on him .. we otherwise have a solid and frankly I think true ACE right now with T-HUNT at 75-1 elite player at 2 positions lol .. 25-1 still on him I might go ahead and double dip that ..
FUTURES
Some of the books being bold and leaving their futures up .. noticed ESPN had their full comp of GOY's up last night and basically unchanged .. VT @ Miami -7.5 -105 lol like maybe it doesn't win but that is over -10 today and after a few injuries for VT we'll see it might be -14 by kickoff .. Miami on another level clearly .. anyway be on the lookout for dummy books not updating their stuff .. here's a few things I think worth taking as they struggle to digest the results of week 1 ..
CONF
COASTAL 14-1 SUN CHAMPS (MGM) .. didn't pick a SUN winner so here goes .. Coastal absolutely BRUTALIZED J-ville at their place in the Cock Fight Bowl and they did that in a similar manner to which we saw Coastal BRUTALIZE Kansas a few years back when G-MC made his splash landing .. actually beat the crap outtof the Cocks worse last week .. I could get this wrong and feel like risk reward was worth it even i Coastal turns into a dud .. Jville clearly has some problems and Smothers is a horrible QB but but maaaaan Coastal knew what the heck to do w them.. schedule is not super brutal and have winnable home spots vs some of the tougher matchups .. 14-1 after seeing they were no joke on both sides of the ball ?... takin it ..
CONF PARLAY
UGA, BOISE, W.MICH 36.1-1 (ESPN)
Prediction .. UGA -7, BOISE -13 which is likely at home vs UNLV .. W.MICH -7 vs .. take your pick .. will be a fun hedge ..
Gunna smash a few others with my likely lock teams with my bigger odds likes .. W.Mich, Coastal .. Sammy Hoo still 18-1 with Hunter Heisman part 2 and WKY, JVILLE looking inept and Lib struggling with Campbell huh?.. ok!
BRIDGE PLAY
E.CAROLINA +3
I'd play to even I mean last week reallllly looked like S.Car just didn't show up with a clue how to play football and maybe that turns around but ECU been on my list SP+ line said 1.5 and I think there's real value with them .. no doubt ODU could just be a shocker we'll see but using my eyes S.Car's D just dismantled em and we know ECU has a decent D with them and I think the offense is probably turned some major corner with the new OC and QB's and overall talent they have .. doubt a 3 shows up again but would play to even at smaller amount good luck!
SMALLER
SAM HOUSTON +24
Once again im playing my team here trusting my read and eyes from last week .. big turnaround noted and the SP+ line has it right around where the line is .. we know Sammy is different and I really like the QB finding ways to extend drives and score .. the D came to play big last week .. HUUUUUGE spot for them in the bounce house we find something later in the upper 20's I can justify a BP with that ..
SMALLER
ARMY / FAU UNDER 45.5 (Circa)
Its gunna drop from here I kina think so hitting right away .. its a conf game and we know for sure this D can stop a run game AND they're showing up to this one .. the kicker for this might be whether or not QB Francher doesn't have 5 concussions and a broken hand (non throwing) .. sure looked like he was in bad shape end of last game .. anyway i knew I'd hit this anything over 42 and just gunna now even w a risk that Army's D is dog crap, that could actually do us in but eh .. takin it .. good luck
@DoYouMind69
Agree and part of that is UCF in the bounce house they could absolutely catch fire and just do their thing here and even if they are the team we expect the models can't catch up with Sam Hoo fast enough because looking real different vs Rice is not exactly a show stopper .. I'm trusting my gut that Rice is really not a bad team Warner is a good QB and they didn't lose much from last year .. what's diff here is Sammy .. hoping Sammy Sweetheart has the model adjusting game we're hoping for .. if not fine we'll be on em again soon .. I'd look for Rice to rebound too there's nothing about them to indicate they should be way worse this yr ..
SMALLER
CAL +13
You know why Cal always seems to have a BIIIG non con on their schedule every year? .. they schedule these on purpose and have been showing up covering and winning for 10 years in this spot .. we took Cal last year and somehow someway with the worst QB play I've ever seen took Auburn to the wire and barring the worst FG kicker I've ever seen woulda won that game .. we'll see if my view changes after this one but at home, on the road ND, ACC, SEC they do their job in this spot and plenty of big wins along the way .. We also played UC Davis on purpose because the little teams surrounding this game always seem to look like a test for the Bears .. happened again yesterday ... Circa had it 13 best number .. others you can tell are more sheepish Fan coming out with 9.5 which shot to 11.5 where many have it now .. don't wanna be the book giving out the most points in this game lol ..... we get to 14 I'll BP it but I doubt it gets there .. good luck!
@DoYouMind69
Was a Bridge Play all the way and I got em Conf and RSW O4.5 one of the teams I was just sayin good chance they're different .. so yeah I had it on the big screen .. D was all over the place they lost a couple of real good ones but they have plenty and they looked pretty good .. Saw Hunter Heisman's juco games and so glad he was trotting out there, wouldn't matter all that much though Bauer is a real QB too and Gunnell I'm guessing still has something to offer ... but yeah hit both of those WR's that were injured last year for big shots and his scrambling is no joke great runner .. they did tail off which was disappointing part of that was OL gave up 7 sacks Hunter scrambles alot and probably invites some of that hope its not a major issue .. not gunna take on 7 sacks and live to tell about your huge win ever week lol ..
@DoYouMind69
Another line that is off IMHO is Texas St and UTSA, BM not offering ML's as of yet but yesterdays lackluster performance by the Roadrunners against 
kenny saw st was because of the look ahead against TEXAS ST, +2.5 -103 is what's being offered as of now but IM HOPING LINE GOES UP SO I CAN GRAB THE ML 
SMALLER
BC TM TOTAL UNDER 17.5 -125
FSU's D got smoked like a ham sandwich last game against maybe one of the top OL's in CFB not to mention an otherwise very dynamic offense .. I think FSU gears up for a massive win here but hard to trust DJU to nab that last TD to go over 34 points or cover this bad boy .. think we can trust the guys on FSU's DL to play their best game .. there's also the revenge factor from last year Big Tom Castellanos nearly single handedly beat them and I just think at home huuuge spot more than a must win a back on track game .. Castellanos gets wacked in this game.. i hope .. good luck!
FUN BET
FLA ST WIN BY 25-30 .. 7-1
SMALLER
TULANE +10 (CZR)
Was iffy to get this 10.5 and waited mostly 10/9.5's out there now .. Got a glimpse of the new team and they rollllled up SELA pretty good new QB Mensah finding WR's especially USC dude Mario Williams .. unfortunately 5 star Shazz Preston bama xfer is out for a few weeks w a hammy .. you put those two together playing and im thinking this has to be a BP especially with the talented DUDE they got at RB .. my read on rest of the roster is that it wasn't in bad shape and Jon Summerall taking over now we can rely on him scheming up ways to make the D disruptive .. I was never reallllly loving what Troy was doing on offense and its sam OC clearly the one WR went to Oregon and was a total dude last yr .. My take on K-State is iffy they certainly have believers this year but they're on my list of likely overrated teams .. power on offense is the run game great RB in Giddens and Avery at QB can take off he's gunna be electric .. I noticed tho he didn't realllly have the big stats in the opener and still questioning his throw game .. K-State clearly has some revenge in mind since Tulane beat em in Manhattan those years ago .. however Jon Sumrall at least got a good look at these guys when Troy played in manhattan last year .. they were outmatched for sure and fell apart but that was a much better looking K-ST team at home and like that Jon can learn from some mistakes potentially here .. What I really like is getting a free 10 with clear offensive firepower / ability to cover late if we fall behind .. Mensah beat out Ty Thompson the oregon backup last yr who I think everyone sorta projected to be a lock to start w the wave .. welp .. we know we have someone better, gotta like that .. also really like wave at home for their big monster game .. There is some potential nasty weather and maybe favors a strong run game that k-state has .. but also might really hamper them if Johnson already struggles passing .. Wildcats also have to be thinking about the 10 conf games they have after this tough roadie starting next week w AZ coming to town .. doesn't count for the conf standings but its a max effort at home .. so 11 tough games so maybe some incentive for them to not break the back of their roster just to make sure anyone plays if they arent tip top shape, they certainly have some depth questions already with major losses, esp on that OL and other departures after the 2 bomb years they had .. Also Tulane with this big game and Oklahoma in Norman on deck .. if they look to pad a resume for a playoff run this game at home is seemingly way .. and i mean wayyyyy more attainable to win than their next one .. and maybe a must win if they want to be in the playoff picture late this yr .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
SMU/BYU OVER 55.5
Got a look at BYU's week 1 and Ratzlaff and LJ Martin with a capable OL and lotta targets are maybe not gunna be great in the W/L column but what I saw is they can move the ball, Ratz had a DIME on a few throws and I dont think the fcs opponent was the reason i liked it this guy can play .. In fact im a bit sour on my Smaller SMU bet because i really dont wanna give this guy a free 11+ pts here and can at least see why the line looks a bit deflated for such a big potential romp spot .. Im really not sure how good Ponies D is yet i think they are capable but clearly not overly dominant and Byu mormon guys are always a few years older and always massive i think theyll be a good match here .. I had BYU's D as being potentially a major weak link maybe worst in the B12 this yr or at least down there w like Houston ..
Id expect Byu does try to muscle up and grind it early on like Nevada did to em they started that same way vs S.ILL w a long drive LJ Martin can do that .. so might be a spot where the total kinda looks iffy at first .. i will say if Smu gets the ball w a cjance to be up 2 scores after a slow start id def consider smackin this in game feeling like byu now has to start getting the chunk plays .. and yeah feels like smu can out pace the 11 spot but thats one id def consider hedging outta and just have fun w this play ... forecast looks clear now a d think itll be 56/57 sooner than later .. good luck!!!
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