BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 3

BRIDGE PLAYS: 10-6 YTD
SMALLER: 18-17 YTD

WK 2: BP 6-4, SM 8-8-1 ... FB's 1-0!!!

BRIDGE PLAYS
KANSAS +14 
MISS STATE -7.5 
N.ILLINOIS +6.5 
IOWA TT UNDER 21.5 
BAMA / TEXAS UNDER 66 
NEBRASKA / GA.SO OVER 60 
UCF -6.5 
FRESNO STATE +1 
LIBERTY / UAB OVER 50 
HOUSTON / T-TECH OVER 63 
WASH STATE / WISCO OVER 45.5 

SMALLER
MISS STATE -13.5 
EAST CAROLINA -12.5 
VANDY / WAKE OVER 62 
V.TECH / BC UNDER 45.5 
WASH STATE +15.5 (GOY) 
S.BAMA / C.MICH OVER 59.5 
ARKANSAS / S.CAR OVER 52.5 
FLORIDA / KENTUCKY UNDER 53 
BAYLOR +3 
AUBURN -23 
BAMA -17.5 (GOY) 
GEORGIA TECH +24.5 
COLORADO STATE -7.5 
ILLINOIS / UVA OVER 56 
UCONN / CUSE UNDER 54 
OK.STATE / ASU OVER 52.5 
GEORGIA STATE +7 - TIE

FUN BETs
IOWA STATE ML/U41.5 

Another solid week thanks Bridge 

@Bridge1

 While Houston / T Tech Over 63 certainly was heading for a loss, the 23 points in OT gives you a Push I believe)))

Thanks for all you do!

Wk 2 recap .. 

Wild week, tough to catch all the action esp that afternoon slate.. Think the Bridge Play wins were all pretty solid >1 score margin, nothing wacky .. Late Adds KU SU WIN!! Iowa lol punt block =>TD first 2 mins .. 58 mins of 100% Pure offensive puke .. Nebraska WOW .. think we confirmed why Van T left cushy 3 yr starting career at Buffalo for insanely risky triple option transition gig 5 states from home .. #VAN-T4HEISMAN!

BP Losses really stunk .. TT/Hou Kitley got them on insane levels of dicking around trying to lose, Coog's sack alley bustin thru there ALOT causing trouble .. maybe seen the first 1-9-1 D all those LB's flying around?... looks pretty tricky, at least for now .. Wash State did their part and coulda even had more points, pk in the end zone to start off, wisco late turnovers.. wish I could say Wazzoo just showing up and beating the crap out of a solid Badgers team but I think the concerns about Wisco pre-ssn are showing up, tack on ALOT of players out the first few weeks so Wisco gotta do some soul searchin.. 

Smallers W's all felt pretty good, couple uncomfortable lulls in the action w Vandy and CMU came thru for us .. couple losses had a good shot needed another score from ASU ended 51 OK State did most of the work there .. GT felt good/crumbled really bad .. Bay/BYU 2OT's teams missing FG's everywhere Bay missed ex pt early wasn't helpful .. kinda felt like 4 of the smaller losses coulda just crumbled our way to a tie or win, G-State up a TD in H2 coulda found a way to win .. Got a little lucky CMU got their asses in gear put a few points on late.. 41 in H1 felt like over was bound to get there .. FUN BET BOOM! most fun in a 10-7 game in a while .. felt like it was the Cyclone's to lose the whole way .. almost did in the first minute! .. 

@SWK

Hahaaaa oh snap yeah - quickly recapping good catch thx... man we got all the quick possession arrow swings we were hoping for 25 drives in reg only 4 went 3n'out.. and got overtime .... Really crappy run games, 17 TFL's and 7 sacks shoulda done that one in .. Offenses were so ugly im not surprised I threw it in the fireplace lol.. 

@SWK

 I tailed on this play and my book had it at 62.5.    I had no idea it had even hit til a few hours after the game - had already written it off!

Houston falsest over team in the country right now 

SMALLER

OLE MISS -7.5 (GOY)

Think its just the 1 GOY this week .. 

Catch up on the RSW's here think we got a good week .. How bout them WAZZOOO COOOOGS huh?!?!, great W!!! Double DING w Wisco Under 9 .. S.Bama over 5, bring it on baby!! .. AIR FORCE 7.5 BOOM that's lookin good and double ding w Buffs under 3.5 feeling not bad ... Kansas BOOM, Over 2 and maybe some guy who has over 5 is even feeling good now huh? .. Tenn over 7.5 feels not bad .. hope Vandy can land us the O2 this week .  Tulsa over 5 w disaster start might be survivin .. gotta put BG on the naughty list after losing a shootout to E.KY but over 2.5 idk think it gets there .. even w a win Texas State is def on the ugly list, think GT might be on there pretty soon too .. 

Good Lord buddy you are  quick draw BOL this week & season. 

Grabbed a few from the pre-circa lines at fan duel .. obvi Circa could spoil them with better lines but getting numbers in the area I want so gunna bust em now .. 

BRIDGE PLAY

UTAH -19.5 .. revenge mofo .. braxton burmeister should have another rough night .. ASU on deck but man gotta whip up some home cookin here right ?

SMALLER

MISS STATE +1.5 .. could see this come out at +3 but think it quickly makes its way toward a pickem .. maybe a BP at 3 .. go Bulldogs

TEXAS A&M -4.5 .. walking into a punch in the face I know .. smaller play .. duh .. think it should be closer to a TD .. f'ing A .. F'ING A-STATE GUYS!?!?!

GEORGIA -21.5 .. think might come out at 21 or 20.5 and suppose I'd hit it for real there .. might need the fastest fingers on the internet to get it .. 

BRIDGE PLAY

UAB -11 

From Caesars .. nothing up at BoL yet which is odd .. UAB off rough roadie and ran right into a decent Liberty team  .. GA.So really knows how to operate that spread attack, holy cow .. but really like UAB off a loss home game and GA-So off the greatest game of any of their lives .. I could see quite a bit of folks on the Eagles this week so maybe that line squishes down to to 10 .. I'd rather grab at -11 than have to settle for higher .. 11.5 messes us up for 21-10, 31-20, a few other score combos that aren't that unusual .. might pop again if we see a 9.5 .. good luck!

SMALLER

OKLAHOMA / NEBRASKA OVER 63

Could be stepping in it again maybe Husker D shows up for coach .. idk they sure didn't show up for him last week .. Circa had it 68 so clearly someone thought it was lower and I would tread lightly cuz it def smells a little w a move like that .. 

SMALLER

IOWA STATE -20.5

We don't usually see Iowa State off a win in this spot .. after a loss they usually crush everything huge .. if that was the spot its a BP .. its not but respect the team to crush it in a big return home game for fans that will be much appreciative of the effort last week!

RUTGERS 16.5

Temple another dumpster .. coach got a great front 8 QB harassments squad again and think its another big win vs Temp .. 

BRIDGE PLAY

IOWA -20.5

They should be able to roll here ... if not athletic director might start getting .... a little frosty .. lol . we've seen the games when Iowa's O just stinks so bad and this is a new low but they always manage to pull a banger out vs a crappy D or team in general like they did vs Maryland LY .. best offensive game of the year .. no idea what that means but we should see whatever that is .. think its worth a play .. 

SMALLER

ARK STATE / MEMPHIS OVER 61

LIBERTY +14.5

@Bridge1

 FYI - Hou/TT O63 was a Tie. 

@lvmike32

 Yeah guy up there reminded me I threw it in the fire too early .. thanks mike will update next time .. 

BRIDGE PLAYS

SOUTH ALABAMA +14

Was hoping the formula So.Bama had with Kane Wommack and Major Applewhite would click LY but didn't really ever get there .. back again team more familiar w his D concepts and brought in a bunch of P5 portalers and have a couple decent holdovers from the previous years .. took the over last week expecting CMU to do alot more of the heavy lifting, recall they have one of the best RB's in CFB and the QB pretty much proved he can throw a pass already .. so when S.Bama has to carry that total nearly all the way and only way we were hitting it was in pure garbage time drinkin lemonade w CMU working hard I think we can get on board w the team now .. they were just disrupting Chips offense in every way string of 3 n'outs entire first half right into the 2nd .. same team that really got it going vs OK State and that D was back out there trying to stop em by the end, couldn't do it .. I think the O is likely good, hard to know because again we didn't expect CMU to be much of a test but man they passed whatever it was because everything was working just perfectly ..

UCLA struggled with BG in no small way, they got their feet under em late and won big but it was a few miraculous plays and coulda been a whole lot closer .. DTR ankle injury vs the FCS team last week, I assume he plays at normal strengths with this play and have to because Ethan Garbers the backup is capable..  I think DTR can make big plays but think results are in by now, too many mistakes its been like 8 years now .. confusing D like S.Bama shouldn't be a walk in the park for him or garbers .. Charbonnet was out wk 2 unsure if he'll be back, obvi way better if not! .. line may move up/down down depending on whose confirmed in/out I want 2 free TD's so playing now .. think there's more favorable movement potential than unfavorable anyway, its the Circa line not hitting it already smashed down .. S.Bama has LA-Tech on deck definitely a dangerous looking CUSA foe and UCLA has CU, kinda the opposite but still this game can't be their highest priority, playing guys ding'd up, etc .. it can def higher for SO Bama though, i'd imagine these coaches seeing the collection of scalps the Sun Belt turned in and be thinking we gotta get in on that lol can be a great career move being a GT giant scalper .. obvi found out today it can be a bad career move being the scalpee .. Never had this much big Mo at So.Bama probably ever so yeah think Kane and the boys put the extra work into this one .. 

BRIDGE PLAY

PITTSBURGH -10

I don't know who the QB is yet I just want to lock it in sooner .. very possible we see this line dip down to 8 or so back to the Circa line or maybe further because that's just their guess as to who gets the QB nod maybe a TD idk .. want to throw that out there because think a chance this is not the best line but might be .. don't want it higher and if its a no name QB fine .. 

I was lining this spot up since pre-ssn figured Tenn had the stuff to pull off a win and we're left w Pitt off a loss with I think a real revenge angle and an FCS break on deck .. and W.Mich really kept them outta any potential consideration for the playoff even if they had no shot losing to Miami that loss LY really was an early nail in their playoff coffin .. think 2 QB's injured vs Tenn in OT is forgivable for that kinda resume this year or at least in the team's mind it should be but that's out the window if they dick around w W.Mich again let em spoil their shot twice even a close game seems maybe too big a blotch to ignore ... End of the day this seems like a real gut check game and maybe tough to have max effort 3 games in a row I think we see that here but gotta be inspired Patti injured and taking them to OT .. I think we get that kinda game here, Mich State already showed an aggressive DL can win this game, OL shows up looking for redemption for getting 2 QB's injured whiffing blocks, etc yeah they can lead the charge on offense i think and take a rest vs Rhode Island next week .. 

We don't have too many good comparables for how Pitt does off a loss .. lost to W.Mich LY and destroyed their FCS team 77-7 .. off Miami loss and hit Duke pretty hard 54-29.. Think we see the off a loss/gut check/inspired/revenge angle work for us this week, if it does you can put me at QB we'll cover this line easy .. 

I love the Utah pick for the reasons you stated...Revenge, pissed off for not beating Florida, send a message to the PAC 12...And Rising was not the QB the whole game when SD beat them last year in SD...It was Charlie Brewer...And Charlie Brewer left the team the next day...and Burmeister sucked at Va Tech and he sucks at SDSU...

I also like Georgia...Rattler looked a bit better against Arkanas...This will be a whole step up in comp...GA will win by 3 plus TDS on the road, because they can...

@Bridge1

 I am looking real hard at UCLA -13.5 for value as SAB has to go on the road a second time and also another far distance and time zones

- hard to go from MAC to PAC-12 after all that and they should notice the speed difference out there

Either way, I am gonna keep an eye on this SAB team

@Last2thirst

Yeah bud go w yer gut if that's what its tellin ya .. I'd wait for the injury report it might be DTR is out said he twisted something .. Charbonnet not in last week .. never know maybe they risk it and keep em fresh for conf .. no idea what his issue was .. S.Bama just on my radar and liked what I saw .. usually don't like much from da Bru Crew but yeah could be walking into a game I'm just out matched and Bru's are fresh and roll em .. 

@LonghornHoosier

 Yeah had to take them at 19.5 its certainly possible SDSU's D is still at a high level and Utes have a bad game get tangled up w em but idk home game and seems like faster Brewer gets injured the faster a better QB comes in and team becomes awesome .. could be in the early stages of that at Liberty .. 

@Bridge1

 Thanks for the heads up on DTR and their RB! 

This is exactly one of the reasons why I like coming into your thread bro, you rarely miss a thing. My instinct was to take UCLA vs a non-conference, as Chip Kelly tends to smoke these teams early in the season before conference play

Last year, they beat Hawaii 44-10

UCLA's QB's are ranked #2 in the PAC 12 so they surely have a good 2nd string QB that could play behind DTR  if he went down

Watching this line and if he is gonna start...

@Last2thirst

No prob bud .. yeah hardest part is looking into why not make a bet, I do that all the time see a line think vegas handing me freebie 4-7 points, check score last week all checks out, got the whole game mapped out in my head, assume roster is fine .. almost never fine.. don best injury report ..news tickers below.. just google team name and "injury" .. twitter same thing quoted search team name injury see what comes up .. usually alot lol .. 

https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/college-football/cfb/player-news?category=all

https://www.rotowire.com/cfootball/news.php?view=all

Had to look at those fresno game stats it really felt like the right side when watching it ..  100 yd edge, haener 75% nolan 50% pass comps .. about same penalties zero TO's each ..  Fres 2 sacks 5 TFL's 8 pbu's .. Beavs 1-5-5 ..... Fres 9 drives in scoring position Beavs 5 ... The diff... Fres 2 missed FG's, missed EP .. 2 FG's at the 5 yds line ... oreg state 5 good drives 5 TD's ... fewer rush yards but way better success rate.. need 4 yds to get 1st down they got it .. also miracle ending .. kicker misses and inability to punch in TD's from point blank range is troubling but i'd keep Fres on the play list for now .. 

One to look out for .. 

Beavs w FCS Montana State next... technically a beavs home game but in the portland soccer stadium and got USC on deck .. off 2 big wins monster conf game next week .. I'd be pretty risk averse in this spot w any injuries or dings in the lineup .. Mont State also has a great QB in Tommy Mellot.. Kid was I believe named the starter for the first time at the beginning of their playoff run LY and think he musta earned the spot because the reg ssn starter who got them there xferred out immediately, couldn't handle the news ... Mellot was nothing but MONEY charging stright thru to the champ game, beat the crap outta defending champs top seed Sam Houston and did the same to South Dakota State .. BIG .. first drive in the natty vs NDSU he got it going then boom injury .. next guy up (3rd QB really) was a dud.. MT.ST nearly beat Wyoming LY in the opener .. There is a big conf game on deck vs E.Wash a must win but man no way they no show this one .. and those FCS fans really do travel for the big ones.. not the funnest car ride bozeman to portland so maybe not a total party crash but doubt its a fully stocked w Beavs fans either .. I'd be surprised if we see another big up performance from Oreg State after couple big monster wins and another huge game on deck .. 

I really wanted to take Fresno in that game, but it just felt like a stone cold tossup game, and pretty much ended up that way. Those teams could play 10 times and would probably split 5/5.