Could be yeah idk I thought Fres lost it for themselves but for sure Beavs have a few really good things going for them w the run game and some pass ability .. Fres was not bad stopping drives most of the night .. seemed like Bulldogs shot themselves in the foot instead of socking it away .. playing again gotta do it +14 maybe some of that magic works for them this time .. think USC used all the luck for the next 3 seasons in their first 2 games lol ..
0
@DrStrangelove
Could be yeah idk I thought Fres lost it for themselves but for sure Beavs have a few really good things going for them w the run game and some pass ability .. Fres was not bad stopping drives most of the night .. seemed like Bulldogs shot themselves in the foot instead of socking it away .. playing again gotta do it +14 maybe some of that magic works for them this time .. think USC used all the luck for the next 3 seasons in their first 2 games lol ..
@DrStrangelove Could be yeah idk I thought Fres lost it for themselves but for sure Beavs have a few really good things going for them w the run game and some pass ability .. Fres was not bad stopping drives most of the night .. seemed like Bulldogs shot themselves in the foot instead of socking it away .. playing again gotta do it +14 maybe some of that magic works for them this time .. think USC used all the luck for the next 3 seasons in their first 2 games lol ..
I agree about USC. You can live off of turnovers for just so long.
1
Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1:
@DrStrangelove Could be yeah idk I thought Fres lost it for themselves but for sure Beavs have a few really good things going for them w the run game and some pass ability .. Fres was not bad stopping drives most of the night .. seemed like Bulldogs shot themselves in the foot instead of socking it away .. playing again gotta do it +14 maybe some of that magic works for them this time .. think USC used all the luck for the next 3 seasons in their first 2 games lol ..
I agree about USC. You can live off of turnovers for just so long.
thx dude yeah that was the pre-circa fanduel line .. thinking maybe circa says 'its really -20.5' .. yeah even if they did i'd never see it .. knew there was one direction that was going .. friggin rattler still crappler cant believe it.. although I can see how in a few games playing together they should get better they seem a little out of tune right now .. Ratt def has some stuff though, can def drop some dingers ... doubt we see much of that this week ... it is a road game .. ugh .. gunna feel dumb if Kirby doesn't land me a 3TD W here ..
Couple more coming .. wish SMU didn't have a monster rivalry game on deck think they're on a much better level this year .. Lib's DC whipped that team into shape quiiiick from their FCS move to tops of G5 .. lot more recruiting talent, portal talent, resources, better starting spot .. i mean NOBODY is expecting SMU to have any kinda D this year . doubt it shows up vs MD or TCU although might get a glimpse of it .. if its there we should see something more than a D getting throttled ..
Want to hit Wash so bad .. but want to win too so not sure what to do there .. same for BYU .. almost took that today at +4 ... just reallly want those WR's back glad they found another one but other guys are at least free agent signees I think .. Oregon after the coaching shakeups, guys portaging in/out ended up w Nix after the music stopped supposed to be good ... then get flung around like a total rag doll .. unless UGA was straight up Natty Ready week 1 think only way to view that game is the Ducks are not better .... and maybe not even good?.....
0
@WahooS
thx dude yeah that was the pre-circa fanduel line .. thinking maybe circa says 'its really -20.5' .. yeah even if they did i'd never see it .. knew there was one direction that was going .. friggin rattler still crappler cant believe it.. although I can see how in a few games playing together they should get better they seem a little out of tune right now .. Ratt def has some stuff though, can def drop some dingers ... doubt we see much of that this week ... it is a road game .. ugh .. gunna feel dumb if Kirby doesn't land me a 3TD W here ..
Couple more coming .. wish SMU didn't have a monster rivalry game on deck think they're on a much better level this year .. Lib's DC whipped that team into shape quiiiick from their FCS move to tops of G5 .. lot more recruiting talent, portal talent, resources, better starting spot .. i mean NOBODY is expecting SMU to have any kinda D this year . doubt it shows up vs MD or TCU although might get a glimpse of it .. if its there we should see something more than a D getting throttled ..
Want to hit Wash so bad .. but want to win too so not sure what to do there .. same for BYU .. almost took that today at +4 ... just reallly want those WR's back glad they found another one but other guys are at least free agent signees I think .. Oregon after the coaching shakeups, guys portaging in/out ended up w Nix after the music stopped supposed to be good ... then get flung around like a total rag doll .. unless UGA was straight up Natty Ready week 1 think only way to view that game is the Ducks are not better .... and maybe not even good?.....
Mid smaller bet were up from 55.5 circa line and maybe some of that from guys likely still in or something .. think more likely its from people seeing UTSA score and thinking this does the same thing .. recall UTSA / Hou was a sure shot under until overtime .. even last week was pretty tight early w Army just playing Army ball, think another OT game there? .. Big picture I just don't see Sark trotting Hudson Card out there to take too many drop backs, this RR's team has a pretty nasty pass rush and they just do not need any injuries to QB or really any injuries in general .. think they're happy with a 10 point win ..if more could see them putting a backup out there sooner than later and just trying to get outta this game .. and otherwise this spot just doesn't scream big points .. very possible we see UTSA take some shots but if trying to win maybe just stick to the bread and butter, the run game might wear this D down over the game and UT shouldn't have their best game anyway, like why risk throwing the ball if you can keep the ball in your hands .. think a few little teams taught a few big teams how that works last week ..
I pinched this one at 59.5 after a 4 point move .. almost up a TD now from Circa and that should sound familiar to those playing the Bama / UT under w me last week .. how fun was that big BP win huh seein Bama devoid of 1st round WR's .. gotta dust off some really old playbooks .. game caused plenty of pain in the world, not with us we were loving it!!!!.. we cross another key number and might take it up again .. it is just a little tougher to predict this one than last week because of the unequal teams so tough to call it a BP unless it gets to like 65 or so .. tough to imagine we see that but man every total is moving quite a bit already, almost all upward, and the total over zombie horde usually not awake this early in the week so, idk maybe not even the best number yet .. we'll see!
0
SMALLER
UTSA / TEXAS UNDER 61.5
Mid smaller bet were up from 55.5 circa line and maybe some of that from guys likely still in or something .. think more likely its from people seeing UTSA score and thinking this does the same thing .. recall UTSA / Hou was a sure shot under until overtime .. even last week was pretty tight early w Army just playing Army ball, think another OT game there? .. Big picture I just don't see Sark trotting Hudson Card out there to take too many drop backs, this RR's team has a pretty nasty pass rush and they just do not need any injuries to QB or really any injuries in general .. think they're happy with a 10 point win ..if more could see them putting a backup out there sooner than later and just trying to get outta this game .. and otherwise this spot just doesn't scream big points .. very possible we see UTSA take some shots but if trying to win maybe just stick to the bread and butter, the run game might wear this D down over the game and UT shouldn't have their best game anyway, like why risk throwing the ball if you can keep the ball in your hands .. think a few little teams taught a few big teams how that works last week ..
I pinched this one at 59.5 after a 4 point move .. almost up a TD now from Circa and that should sound familiar to those playing the Bama / UT under w me last week .. how fun was that big BP win huh seein Bama devoid of 1st round WR's .. gotta dust off some really old playbooks .. game caused plenty of pain in the world, not with us we were loving it!!!!.. we cross another key number and might take it up again .. it is just a little tougher to predict this one than last week because of the unequal teams so tough to call it a BP unless it gets to like 65 or so .. tough to imagine we see that but man every total is moving quite a bit already, almost all upward, and the total over zombie horde usually not awake this early in the week so, idk maybe not even the best number yet .. we'll see!
Houston / Kanas thoughts - Jayhawk offense had a field day .. do we know WV's run D or D in general is anything we'd call stout? . don't think any reason to suspect that .. we do know Jayhawks defense was the BIG PROBLEM last year .. the run D was 2nd worst in yards per carry at over 6 / rush and pass D woah mamma, that was easily the worst giving up 70% comps and 9 yards per attempt .. no team could miss .. every team had Bryce Young vs these guys .. if KU can move the ball on offense the big score is not a big surprise .. that said we KNOW Houston has a NO F AROUND run D .. 2 tough games already and giving up 3 / carry .. also know 'sack alley' is still a tough road to stay upright on .. had ANOTHER punt return called back from their absolute blazer and he was looking pretty frustrated about it .. Could see the team try to not F him up this week and he punches one in that counts .. Not saying take Houston yet but Rice on deck and got KU at home and they're on B2B roadies now .. feels like a light em up spot here .. In Leipold I def trust but not to go tit for tat in this one .. Houston / Under maybe but a little worried they romp .. maybe just play the Coogs?..
0
Houston / Kanas thoughts - Jayhawk offense had a field day .. do we know WV's run D or D in general is anything we'd call stout? . don't think any reason to suspect that .. we do know Jayhawks defense was the BIG PROBLEM last year .. the run D was 2nd worst in yards per carry at over 6 / rush and pass D woah mamma, that was easily the worst giving up 70% comps and 9 yards per attempt .. no team could miss .. every team had Bryce Young vs these guys .. if KU can move the ball on offense the big score is not a big surprise .. that said we KNOW Houston has a NO F AROUND run D .. 2 tough games already and giving up 3 / carry .. also know 'sack alley' is still a tough road to stay upright on .. had ANOTHER punt return called back from their absolute blazer and he was looking pretty frustrated about it .. Could see the team try to not F him up this week and he punches one in that counts .. Not saying take Houston yet but Rice on deck and got KU at home and they're on B2B roadies now .. feels like a light em up spot here .. In Leipold I def trust but not to go tit for tat in this one .. Houston / Under maybe but a little worried they romp .. maybe just play the Coogs?..
See above too .. uncomfortable for sure but matchup says do it .. KU's offense looks better this year certainly after last game, Coogs must have a good tape because it looks like they used the entire playbook .. I don't think it goes the same way vs this defense and maybe can make the case KU's run stop unit is getting better, only 3/carry last week but pass D about the same Daniels hitting 70% just like every other team did last year and everything was pretty much working .. think we see similar deal in this one just with a proven very stout D that put 5 sacks and 8 more TFL's on T-Tech last week and stuffed 2 run games in a row on the road for fairly minimal yards .. and real gut check moment for them too, a few of those around CFB this week, but this is really a must win game these guys had such a huge run LY .. Really need Holgersen to rally the troops, not throw in the towel and maybe that's my biggest concern here .. but at least not a huge distraction w Rice on deck .. KU w a real winnable game vs Duke at home coming up .. We're even getting a few points from SP+ and other models showing Coogs as roughly a 3 TD dog pre-ssn and still over 14 at this juncture .. Obvi can't rely on models too much to be spot on, plenty of improving or degenerating teams to be revealed but they have a few data points by now KU made a decent move, Hou obvi came down a little but still a very good team just on the wrong end of a couple OT roadies .. and think the market is just higher on KU anyway after the big win than reality might be ..
This was also a MONSTER win for KU .. 2-0 first time since 2011 and first B12 opener W since 2009 .. lotta high fivin on the plane ride home I'd imagine .. 'In Leipold I Trust' for sure no way he's not trying to rally them for another stunner but just too many things in this matchup and the spot and the value are pointing to Houston .. I'd obvi have no prob backing KU again .. how fun was that one last week, been a while since we had an "oh shhhhheeeeiiiiit first drive KU sucks" moment followed by a "oooohhhhsheeeiiiiit KU hangin in there, ohhhhhsheeeiiit KU Winnin" moment ..
1
BRIDGE PLAY
HOUSTON -10
See above too .. uncomfortable for sure but matchup says do it .. KU's offense looks better this year certainly after last game, Coogs must have a good tape because it looks like they used the entire playbook .. I don't think it goes the same way vs this defense and maybe can make the case KU's run stop unit is getting better, only 3/carry last week but pass D about the same Daniels hitting 70% just like every other team did last year and everything was pretty much working .. think we see similar deal in this one just with a proven very stout D that put 5 sacks and 8 more TFL's on T-Tech last week and stuffed 2 run games in a row on the road for fairly minimal yards .. and real gut check moment for them too, a few of those around CFB this week, but this is really a must win game these guys had such a huge run LY .. Really need Holgersen to rally the troops, not throw in the towel and maybe that's my biggest concern here .. but at least not a huge distraction w Rice on deck .. KU w a real winnable game vs Duke at home coming up .. We're even getting a few points from SP+ and other models showing Coogs as roughly a 3 TD dog pre-ssn and still over 14 at this juncture .. Obvi can't rely on models too much to be spot on, plenty of improving or degenerating teams to be revealed but they have a few data points by now KU made a decent move, Hou obvi came down a little but still a very good team just on the wrong end of a couple OT roadies .. and think the market is just higher on KU anyway after the big win than reality might be ..
This was also a MONSTER win for KU .. 2-0 first time since 2011 and first B12 opener W since 2009 .. lotta high fivin on the plane ride home I'd imagine .. 'In Leipold I Trust' for sure no way he's not trying to rally them for another stunner but just too many things in this matchup and the spot and the value are pointing to Houston .. I'd obvi have no prob backing KU again .. how fun was that one last week, been a while since we had an "oh shhhhheeeeiiiiit first drive KU sucks" moment followed by a "oooohhhhsheeeiiiiit KU hangin in there, ohhhhhsheeeiiit KU Winnin" moment ..
Hahaaaaa Yeah bud was like waiting all week for 14 to show up and first drive like oh jezus I needed to wait for +35 lol... I mean its a pretty uncomfortable pick to take Houston and Fade the Jayhawks but I think we are seeing the comfortable get slaughtered pretty easily this point, unless we know Houston is just a fully regressed dud or not gunna show up for their gut check moment first home game then I feel good about Houston's offense finally doing something to like .. lot to like about the D's they were facing, T-Tech w some really weird swirl of LB's all over the place no way to prep for that .. UTSA in the Dome was kinda destined to have some weird stuff happen .. we'll see here, realllllly want to see Houston's Run Game buckle down and not put it all on our boy Tune .. guy is good but clearly can't do it all himself .. Coogs 140 yds vs UTSA 3/carry .. 88 yds last week 3/carry .. come on guys quit F'in around .. well if they do it again here I should cash on KU's RSW OVER 2 on KU .. even if I didn't have that bet I still make this play though .. - Good luck bud!
0
@BigTymePlayer25
Hahaaaaa Yeah bud was like waiting all week for 14 to show up and first drive like oh jezus I needed to wait for +35 lol... I mean its a pretty uncomfortable pick to take Houston and Fade the Jayhawks but I think we are seeing the comfortable get slaughtered pretty easily this point, unless we know Houston is just a fully regressed dud or not gunna show up for their gut check moment first home game then I feel good about Houston's offense finally doing something to like .. lot to like about the D's they were facing, T-Tech w some really weird swirl of LB's all over the place no way to prep for that .. UTSA in the Dome was kinda destined to have some weird stuff happen .. we'll see here, realllllly want to see Houston's Run Game buckle down and not put it all on our boy Tune .. guy is good but clearly can't do it all himself .. Coogs 140 yds vs UTSA 3/carry .. 88 yds last week 3/carry .. come on guys quit F'in around .. well if they do it again here I should cash on KU's RSW OVER 2 on KU .. even if I didn't have that bet I still make this play though .. - Good luck bud!
SMALLER OKLAHOMA / NEBRASKA OVER 63 Could be stepping in it again maybe Husker D shows up for coach .. idk they sure didn't show up for him last week .. Circa had it 68 so clearly someone thought it was lower and I would tread lightly cuz it def smells a little w a move like that ..
Probably the way I would go with this total. I haven't found a whole lot wrong with the Nebraska offense, but bad defenses are harder to fix. I'm still not 100% sure about OU's D once you get past the front four. The true test always comes on the road.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1:
SMALLER OKLAHOMA / NEBRASKA OVER 63 Could be stepping in it again maybe Husker D shows up for coach .. idk they sure didn't show up for him last week .. Circa had it 68 so clearly someone thought it was lower and I would tread lightly cuz it def smells a little w a move like that ..
Probably the way I would go with this total. I haven't found a whole lot wrong with the Nebraska offense, but bad defenses are harder to fix. I'm still not 100% sure about OU's D once you get past the front four. The true test always comes on the road.
Yeah dude I mean GA SO you pretty much know gotta pass rush every play and seeing zero sacks ... like handful of pressures on 56 attempts .. 3TFL's on 30 runs ..2 TFL's zero sacks vs NW .. like they might play extra hard in this spot but man o man you don't just find guys that can get in there and cause trouble on your big max effort week .. you need to have those guys already, the more the merrier .. the less theee ..... uhhh.... probably not merrier .. lol
0
@DrStrangelove
Yeah dude I mean GA SO you pretty much know gotta pass rush every play and seeing zero sacks ... like handful of pressures on 56 attempts .. 3TFL's on 30 runs ..2 TFL's zero sacks vs NW .. like they might play extra hard in this spot but man o man you don't just find guys that can get in there and cause trouble on your big max effort week .. you need to have those guys already, the more the merrier .. the less theee ..... uhhh.... probably not merrier .. lol
I get its gut check time for ND but got a look at Cal and even though its vs UNLV and others like Plummer and some of the guys on offense really make them look more than functional .. RB Ott is a playmaker who can bounce it .. Plum on the money most every time and they got WR's making the regular catches on the routes and also saw a few great catches last week .. The D looked not bad too again hard to tell but pressure was coming the DB's weren't getting burned and UNLV actually looked pretty decent too not a pushover here .. think also bit of a misleading score Cal hopped out 17-3 early just really good drives and couple mistakes they can learn from in H2 put it back w UNLV and they drove that clock down real quick .. onside kick recovered, fumble, missed FG just a little misleading ..
We know ND is off the loss and lost their QB .. this is the same spot Im playing Pitt in .. why play this one? .. I saw Cal, the units looked good, we've been waiting for this team to get functional again and feel reallllly good about Cal being able to get the ball out the QB's hands and into some decent playmakers .. not a revenge angle either and Wilcox, just like Dykes before him, has continued to show up in these BIG early non-con games .. that list is awesome and includes a few teams they 2-timed both home and away .. 2x Ole Miss, 2x UNC, 2x Texas also BYU and TCU .. they are showing up to this game believe me, with the best QB maybe by far, an offense that is a bit tricky that I think has some real playmakers and we'll see how the D goes but that's been Wilcox's specialty pretty reliable out-performers on that side most years ..
Already grabbed +17.5 in the pre-ssn line just kinda knowing the non-con spot was not bad .. man shoulda posted that one but telling everyone about a non-con spot play w Cal at ND pre-ssn lol yeah im sure everyone was gunna be lining up to tail it lol .. anyway like our odds here .. ML maybe too .. gotta in a UDML right ?.. and Cal TT maybe 15ish? .. suppose they could maybe even win the game w 2 TD's it could be slow and ND O just not doing much?... idk if not liking 11 look into that, think I'd have made that the play instead .. Cal goes over 17 pts and think very good chance they are in a dog fight for the win here .. - Good luck!
1
BRIDGE PLAY
CAL +11
I get its gut check time for ND but got a look at Cal and even though its vs UNLV and others like Plummer and some of the guys on offense really make them look more than functional .. RB Ott is a playmaker who can bounce it .. Plum on the money most every time and they got WR's making the regular catches on the routes and also saw a few great catches last week .. The D looked not bad too again hard to tell but pressure was coming the DB's weren't getting burned and UNLV actually looked pretty decent too not a pushover here .. think also bit of a misleading score Cal hopped out 17-3 early just really good drives and couple mistakes they can learn from in H2 put it back w UNLV and they drove that clock down real quick .. onside kick recovered, fumble, missed FG just a little misleading ..
We know ND is off the loss and lost their QB .. this is the same spot Im playing Pitt in .. why play this one? .. I saw Cal, the units looked good, we've been waiting for this team to get functional again and feel reallllly good about Cal being able to get the ball out the QB's hands and into some decent playmakers .. not a revenge angle either and Wilcox, just like Dykes before him, has continued to show up in these BIG early non-con games .. that list is awesome and includes a few teams they 2-timed both home and away .. 2x Ole Miss, 2x UNC, 2x Texas also BYU and TCU .. they are showing up to this game believe me, with the best QB maybe by far, an offense that is a bit tricky that I think has some real playmakers and we'll see how the D goes but that's been Wilcox's specialty pretty reliable out-performers on that side most years ..
Already grabbed +17.5 in the pre-ssn line just kinda knowing the non-con spot was not bad .. man shoulda posted that one but telling everyone about a non-con spot play w Cal at ND pre-ssn lol yeah im sure everyone was gunna be lining up to tail it lol .. anyway like our odds here .. ML maybe too .. gotta in a UDML right ?.. and Cal TT maybe 15ish? .. suppose they could maybe even win the game w 2 TD's it could be slow and ND O just not doing much?... idk if not liking 11 look into that, think I'd have made that the play instead .. Cal goes over 17 pts and think very good chance they are in a dog fight for the win here .. - Good luck!
Briiiidddgggeee!!! What up my man?? Yes all is good! Damn kids got me spread out at every damn sporting event you could imagine these days! But that's why I got you dawg!!
First off Dawgs are back where they belong. LFG!!
Secondly, I've never seen a more laughable schedule than Michigan's.
Finally, I want to pick your brain on 3 games that jump out at me.
Ol' Miss / GT u 63.5
Lib / Wake o 63.5
ULL -11.5
Thanks for all you do my man. Feel proud I was commenting on your thread when there was only like 3 of us commenting. Now you got like 10 pages every week. Super cool to see!
Bol this week.
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Briiiidddgggeee!!! What up my man?? Yes all is good! Damn kids got me spread out at every damn sporting event you could imagine these days! But that's why I got you dawg!!
First off Dawgs are back where they belong. LFG!!
Secondly, I've never seen a more laughable schedule than Michigan's.
Finally, I want to pick your brain on 3 games that jump out at me.
Ol' Miss / GT u 63.5
Lib / Wake o 63.5
ULL -11.5
Thanks for all you do my man. Feel proud I was commenting on your thread when there was only like 3 of us commenting. Now you got like 10 pages every week. Super cool to see!
Sup dude .. Yeah Dawgs were never gone .. first bet of my pre-ssn thread Dawgs Natty .. don't even need Gilbert .. well might at some point lol ..
Yeah Mich we'll see I mean we know absolutely nothing about them yet after Mid T basically beat Co State on the road in the same manner Mich did .. Feel like I'm lining them up for a shot vs MD next week .. maybe get 14ish? .. let's see how MD does vs SMU like the ponies this year and if they don't look good feels like Mich maybe gunna be laying too many in that one ..
OM / GT total .. idk did we learn anything from GT's first game .. put in the backup and score easy .. idk Ole Miss string of unders going back to LY .. is the offense better than LY ?.. idk .. doubt it but maybe they light it up here and we keep getting high totals from them and think move is play under on them after that .. this would be under or nothing for me ... and its nothing ..
I liked Lib's defense alot more than Malik Jr ran the offense .. UAB and S.Miss are not Wake .. if you play it over I kinda feel like its because Wake rolls here not thinking Lib is just making plays all over the field .. maybe parlay w the spread but that seems like a few too many at this point .. also Lib seems like they got a few ways to move the chains but could be a little inconsistent capping drives with points .. could burn more time than you think driving and turn in no points for you .. Vandy did that last and nearly cost me the total .. this feels like way too obvi and over but watch some Lib / UAB highlights .. you tell me if Lib is an over team yet .. also Wake w Clem on deck .. maybe they give Hartman reps deep into the game .. if not hows that affect the over prospects .. idk I'd think about it though before playing ..
Idk anythign about Rice looks like they just get pummelled every game .. I'm waiting till next week and want to see a gigantic line for ULM .. not sold on ULL this year prob a decent team but clearly able to dick around w the likes of E.Mich for 3 quarters .. if games were only 3 quarters what would the line on Rice be today? .. -3 maybe .. idk not laying points w ULL, they had alot of trouble even last couple years topping these 11-20 point lines .. not for me ..
1
@UGA520
Sup dude .. Yeah Dawgs were never gone .. first bet of my pre-ssn thread Dawgs Natty .. don't even need Gilbert .. well might at some point lol ..
Yeah Mich we'll see I mean we know absolutely nothing about them yet after Mid T basically beat Co State on the road in the same manner Mich did .. Feel like I'm lining them up for a shot vs MD next week .. maybe get 14ish? .. let's see how MD does vs SMU like the ponies this year and if they don't look good feels like Mich maybe gunna be laying too many in that one ..
OM / GT total .. idk did we learn anything from GT's first game .. put in the backup and score easy .. idk Ole Miss string of unders going back to LY .. is the offense better than LY ?.. idk .. doubt it but maybe they light it up here and we keep getting high totals from them and think move is play under on them after that .. this would be under or nothing for me ... and its nothing ..
I liked Lib's defense alot more than Malik Jr ran the offense .. UAB and S.Miss are not Wake .. if you play it over I kinda feel like its because Wake rolls here not thinking Lib is just making plays all over the field .. maybe parlay w the spread but that seems like a few too many at this point .. also Lib seems like they got a few ways to move the chains but could be a little inconsistent capping drives with points .. could burn more time than you think driving and turn in no points for you .. Vandy did that last and nearly cost me the total .. this feels like way too obvi and over but watch some Lib / UAB highlights .. you tell me if Lib is an over team yet .. also Wake w Clem on deck .. maybe they give Hartman reps deep into the game .. if not hows that affect the over prospects .. idk I'd think about it though before playing ..
Idk anythign about Rice looks like they just get pummelled every game .. I'm waiting till next week and want to see a gigantic line for ULM .. not sold on ULL this year prob a decent team but clearly able to dick around w the likes of E.Mich for 3 quarters .. if games were only 3 quarters what would the line on Rice be today? .. -3 maybe .. idk not laying points w ULL, they had alot of trouble even last couple years topping these 11-20 point lines .. not for me ..
Brought it down half a point but getting 6.5ish -1 for something I think makes alot of sense .. maybe Fun Bet's strikes twice lol .. Like the line and total here really suggests ND is winning 25-15 like idk .. maybe get hosed on the over portion of it but man if they can shut down Plummer all game stifle all the drives I think the Cal +11 play really predicates they surprise on offense and at a min thinking 17-20 points here and have 4-5 scoring opps .. maybe Cal's path to a W is ND's offense just can't do anything a 17-14 win could see Cal's D making a surprise visit and giving Drew Pyne some fits .. idk .. trusting the gut which says Cal can out perform on O and maybe we can get the W while busting this pretty low total ...
UDML - 3 open spots but got 1 filled .. CAL, blank, blank, blank ..
0
FUN BETs
CAL ML / OVER 40
Brought it down half a point but getting 6.5ish -1 for something I think makes alot of sense .. maybe Fun Bet's strikes twice lol .. Like the line and total here really suggests ND is winning 25-15 like idk .. maybe get hosed on the over portion of it but man if they can shut down Plummer all game stifle all the drives I think the Cal +11 play really predicates they surprise on offense and at a min thinking 17-20 points here and have 4-5 scoring opps .. maybe Cal's path to a W is ND's offense just can't do anything a 17-14 win could see Cal's D making a surprise visit and giving Drew Pyne some fits .. idk .. trusting the gut which says Cal can out perform on O and maybe we can get the W while busting this pretty low total ...
UDML - 3 open spots but got 1 filled .. CAL, blank, blank, blank ..
Hit early gate at +18 and making it a little more, enough to post it .. Would shop quick if wanting 17 got this at BM and prob not see these soon .. Did see Rasheen Ali is back at practice, guess he wanted to get in on the fun instead of moping around the house eating donuts all day .. hope he needs at least a week to get back in gear but I kinda doubt it .. if I'm coach I'm def playing him right away .. if game not on the line think think coach would def makes him earn that starting spot back .. so not the best news but yeah GO BG big huge home game and think Marsh hit ND when they were pretty vulnerable .. still are .. hard to make BG a bridge play its a decently sized smaller though ..
0
SMALLER
BOWLING GREEN +17
Hit early gate at +18 and making it a little more, enough to post it .. Would shop quick if wanting 17 got this at BM and prob not see these soon .. Did see Rasheen Ali is back at practice, guess he wanted to get in on the fun instead of moping around the house eating donuts all day .. hope he needs at least a week to get back in gear but I kinda doubt it .. if I'm coach I'm def playing him right away .. if game not on the line think think coach would def makes him earn that starting spot back .. so not the best news but yeah GO BG big huge home game and think Marsh hit ND when they were pretty vulnerable .. still are .. hard to make BG a bridge play its a decently sized smaller though ..
Wouldn't mind seeing 25 here but its a big line and a really tricky spot for UF .. Utah, UK, USF Tenn on deck . real sandwich spot and clearly alot to work on not really the spot you are for sure running it up .. think the big worry is if the Bulls just make mistakes and hand a big number to them .. Gerry B first play vs Howard was a pick .. eek .. also Howard didn't have much trouble running on these guys .. but if Bulls have a bullet in the chamber they're firing it here big game for them obvi .. Sure Napier knows its a technical Florida rival team but man that's gotta be drowned out LOT to work on w Tenn on deck ... Must have seen Vols put 2 QB's out of commission, almost have to get a backup a few reps if they are sitting comfortable late and maybe a few basic pass plays .. backup Miller apparently "not ready" after hand surgery, so no way risk re-injuring so maybe a #3 comes in? .. also don't need Richardson pulling a hammy like he did last year, I'd want to see him work the pass a little 14/35 last week was ugly, get him outta there ..
Our Boy Billy never seemed to do ULL backers any favors when laying a big number too always seemed to get tangled up in dog fights and would just melt that clock all game esp late if he's ahead .. and why prolong this game after 2 big ones .. maybe the one concern is Billy likes to go on 4th in the RZ vs the Bulls I'd think more likely those get picked up .. also they flip to just a heavy dose of running late, are we stuck praying USF can get a stop, could see trouble there .. but huge line, USF will come to play, big sammich spot but also one UF gotta work on things and think make this a low risk game otherwise might test depth or rest some other guys after couple big games .. can't think of any reason to bet on UF in this spot.. super uncomfortable but gotta play it ..
0
SMALLER
SOUTH FLORIDA +24.5
Wouldn't mind seeing 25 here but its a big line and a really tricky spot for UF .. Utah, UK, USF Tenn on deck . real sandwich spot and clearly alot to work on not really the spot you are for sure running it up .. think the big worry is if the Bulls just make mistakes and hand a big number to them .. Gerry B first play vs Howard was a pick .. eek .. also Howard didn't have much trouble running on these guys .. but if Bulls have a bullet in the chamber they're firing it here big game for them obvi .. Sure Napier knows its a technical Florida rival team but man that's gotta be drowned out LOT to work on w Tenn on deck ... Must have seen Vols put 2 QB's out of commission, almost have to get a backup a few reps if they are sitting comfortable late and maybe a few basic pass plays .. backup Miller apparently "not ready" after hand surgery, so no way risk re-injuring so maybe a #3 comes in? .. also don't need Richardson pulling a hammy like he did last year, I'd want to see him work the pass a little 14/35 last week was ugly, get him outta there ..
Our Boy Billy never seemed to do ULL backers any favors when laying a big number too always seemed to get tangled up in dog fights and would just melt that clock all game esp late if he's ahead .. and why prolong this game after 2 big ones .. maybe the one concern is Billy likes to go on 4th in the RZ vs the Bulls I'd think more likely those get picked up .. also they flip to just a heavy dose of running late, are we stuck praying USF can get a stop, could see trouble there .. but huge line, USF will come to play, big sammich spot but also one UF gotta work on things and think make this a low risk game otherwise might test depth or rest some other guys after couple big games .. can't think of any reason to bet on UF in this spot.. super uncomfortable but gotta play it ..
Its juggernaut run game at home vs juggernaut pass game .. think we see Cuse shut Ville down for a low score week 1, ville's pass game didn't stink but they really pinned down cunningham from taking off which is the straw that stirs the drink for that offense .. I think Cuse does have a tricky D scheme and lotta bogies in coverage but man Purdue really has some guys to throw at and even just hitting 50% think we walk away saying they still flat out beat Penn State's coverage units and even got a little of that run game going made them pretty impressive .. Charlie Jones with another monster day receiving LY .. vs FCS but did vs PSU too and O'connell has a go to dude and at least 2 more very good targets in TE Payne Durham and Broc Thompson who was the guy ripping Tenn in the bowl game LY .. though he was likely to be the next stud WR before Chuck Sizzle showed up .. Broc was in pads game time decision last week didn't need him .. good sign he's at least available this week.. I'd count on Purdue to have Tracy or some others ready if needed .. Really liked how Purdue got RB King Dorue involved vs Penn St because this was the worst run game in college last year and still not great but he punched em in the end zone when they needed him to .. obvi not a sure thing they roll here but def not comparing Purdue to Ville either I think great chance they can get the ball out before pressure shows up and they can steam here ... should also note Uconn maybe 3 QB's deep at this point went 16/19 .. everything short but at least landed and 1 big pass for 50 yd TD ..
Folks getting familiar w Cuse pretty quick .. we know this run game was gunna be solid and question whether Shrader could level up his pass game from 50/50 balls to legit hits and yeah its wayyy better this year .. Could look at how Purdue's D gave Penn State a few fits and tangled up their new 5 star RB .. Nitneys don't have a good OL and otherwise still in search of some offensive identity so it didn't surprise me they struggled ... end of the day they needed a drive they got it for the win 70 point offensive romp .. Cuse on the other hand w more than an identity they're looking like a juggernaut run game w Adams and QB run is also really strong and Pass game very decent so far .. I'm not sure Boilers D will have many answers ..
The main worry here is Purdue cant get it going quick 3n outs and Cuse just milks the clock on them and dick around .. burn a quarter quick .. one move here might be just see if its slow out the gate take an in game over if we see it low 50's or so .. Purdue has just the one move but its a good one and hard to believe we don't see them start landing shots and putting some scores up and scoring can happen quick like minute 30 drives .. also likely close game even if Cuse gets a lead it won't last if they don't keep scoring .. there's def some back/forth potential end of H1 or end of the game too, Purdue's not good run game is a huge liability for them when they want to get time off the clock .. haven't seen Jones w a big return yet but he's a sure thing ace on both KR's and PR's .. Purdue also real solid kicker .. Cuse guy is nothing special but okay from mid range and neither punter is any good .. pretty decent special teams edge that likely helps us in this one .. I grabbed it early for a bit at 57 when Circa came out at 62.5 so wanted to tread lightly .. idk I still like it .. bring it on!!!
1
BRIDGE PLAY
SYRACUSE / PURDUE OVER 58.5
Its juggernaut run game at home vs juggernaut pass game .. think we see Cuse shut Ville down for a low score week 1, ville's pass game didn't stink but they really pinned down cunningham from taking off which is the straw that stirs the drink for that offense .. I think Cuse does have a tricky D scheme and lotta bogies in coverage but man Purdue really has some guys to throw at and even just hitting 50% think we walk away saying they still flat out beat Penn State's coverage units and even got a little of that run game going made them pretty impressive .. Charlie Jones with another monster day receiving LY .. vs FCS but did vs PSU too and O'connell has a go to dude and at least 2 more very good targets in TE Payne Durham and Broc Thompson who was the guy ripping Tenn in the bowl game LY .. though he was likely to be the next stud WR before Chuck Sizzle showed up .. Broc was in pads game time decision last week didn't need him .. good sign he's at least available this week.. I'd count on Purdue to have Tracy or some others ready if needed .. Really liked how Purdue got RB King Dorue involved vs Penn St because this was the worst run game in college last year and still not great but he punched em in the end zone when they needed him to .. obvi not a sure thing they roll here but def not comparing Purdue to Ville either I think great chance they can get the ball out before pressure shows up and they can steam here ... should also note Uconn maybe 3 QB's deep at this point went 16/19 .. everything short but at least landed and 1 big pass for 50 yd TD ..
Folks getting familiar w Cuse pretty quick .. we know this run game was gunna be solid and question whether Shrader could level up his pass game from 50/50 balls to legit hits and yeah its wayyy better this year .. Could look at how Purdue's D gave Penn State a few fits and tangled up their new 5 star RB .. Nitneys don't have a good OL and otherwise still in search of some offensive identity so it didn't surprise me they struggled ... end of the day they needed a drive they got it for the win 70 point offensive romp .. Cuse on the other hand w more than an identity they're looking like a juggernaut run game w Adams and QB run is also really strong and Pass game very decent so far .. I'm not sure Boilers D will have many answers ..
The main worry here is Purdue cant get it going quick 3n outs and Cuse just milks the clock on them and dick around .. burn a quarter quick .. one move here might be just see if its slow out the gate take an in game over if we see it low 50's or so .. Purdue has just the one move but its a good one and hard to believe we don't see them start landing shots and putting some scores up and scoring can happen quick like minute 30 drives .. also likely close game even if Cuse gets a lead it won't last if they don't keep scoring .. there's def some back/forth potential end of H1 or end of the game too, Purdue's not good run game is a huge liability for them when they want to get time off the clock .. haven't seen Jones w a big return yet but he's a sure thing ace on both KR's and PR's .. Purdue also real solid kicker .. Cuse guy is nothing special but okay from mid range and neither punter is any good .. pretty decent special teams edge that likely helps us in this one .. I grabbed it early for a bit at 57 when Circa came out at 62.5 so wanted to tread lightly .. idk I still like it .. bring it on!!!
Think the last thing Indy wants here is 35 possession shootout with these guys, easy to dig yourself a quick deficit w a quick 3nout on the first couple drives and basically putting the Hills one big play away from a TD .. that exactly the torture chamber WKY wants to put them in .. Indy shouldn't have too much trouble moving the ball if done carefully and that's the torture chamber for WKY, their offense on the sideline watching the minutes tick down.. ideally I think that's how Tom Allen would have this go just be methodical not try to roll the dice with the Hills... that would also help us avoid a back/forth end of H1 .. Also I think good chance Indy gets a lead at some point, WKY probably doesn't go full retard taking risks till later in H2 .. that's usually when we see Hills bomb or bust offense willing to turn the ball over at their own 30 for a shot at a quick TD .. not good for an under, happy to avoid that part .. otherwise think Allen and Indy have an even easier time this year .. still a dangerous team but Hills not having the same level of success on their drives that Zappe & Co were having in their couple early games .. Did put a few bucks on Indy also -6.5 think thats a decent play under a TD maybe comes down even more when the WKY MOB shows up .. very possible to get back door'd by this team so rather make this the actual play ..
0
SMALLER
INDY / WKY H1 UNDER 31.5
Think the last thing Indy wants here is 35 possession shootout with these guys, easy to dig yourself a quick deficit w a quick 3nout on the first couple drives and basically putting the Hills one big play away from a TD .. that exactly the torture chamber WKY wants to put them in .. Indy shouldn't have too much trouble moving the ball if done carefully and that's the torture chamber for WKY, their offense on the sideline watching the minutes tick down.. ideally I think that's how Tom Allen would have this go just be methodical not try to roll the dice with the Hills... that would also help us avoid a back/forth end of H1 .. Also I think good chance Indy gets a lead at some point, WKY probably doesn't go full retard taking risks till later in H2 .. that's usually when we see Hills bomb or bust offense willing to turn the ball over at their own 30 for a shot at a quick TD .. not good for an under, happy to avoid that part .. otherwise think Allen and Indy have an even easier time this year .. still a dangerous team but Hills not having the same level of success on their drives that Zappe & Co were having in their couple early games .. Did put a few bucks on Indy also -6.5 think thats a decent play under a TD maybe comes down even more when the WKY MOB shows up .. very possible to get back door'd by this team so rather make this the actual play ..
Big card already .. hope I got em all .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAYS UAB -11 CAL +11 UTAH -19.5 IOWA -20.5 HOUSTON -10 PITTSBURGH -10 SOUTH ALABAMA +14 CUSE / PURDUE OVER 58.5
SMALLER OLE MISS -7.5 (GOY) SOUTH FLORIDA +24.5 BOWLING GREEN +17 IOWA STATE -20.5 MISS STATE +1.5 TEXAS A&M -4.5 LIBERTY +14.5 GEORGIA -21.5 RUTGERS -16.5 UTSA / TEXAS UNDER 61.5 OKLA / NEBRASKA OVER 63 INDY / WKY H1 UNDER 31.5 ARKY ST / MEMPHIS OVER 61
FUN BETs CAL ML / OVER 40
0
Big card already .. hope I got em all .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAYS UAB -11 CAL +11 UTAH -19.5 IOWA -20.5 HOUSTON -10 PITTSBURGH -10 SOUTH ALABAMA +14 CUSE / PURDUE OVER 58.5
SMALLER OLE MISS -7.5 (GOY) SOUTH FLORIDA +24.5 BOWLING GREEN +17 IOWA STATE -20.5 MISS STATE +1.5 TEXAS A&M -4.5 LIBERTY +14.5 GEORGIA -21.5 RUTGERS -16.5 UTSA / TEXAS UNDER 61.5 OKLA / NEBRASKA OVER 63 INDY / WKY H1 UNDER 31.5 ARKY ST / MEMPHIS OVER 61
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