WK 2 RECAP: BRIDGE PLAYS TEXAS -3.5 E.CAROLINA +3 N.ILLINOIS +28 NC STATE +7.5 SMU/BYU OVER 55.5 SMALLER CAL +13 ARMY +4 SJSU +5.5 CINCY -2.5 IOWA ST +3 TULANE +10 E.MICHIGAN +25.5 ARMY / FAU UNDER 45.5 NC STATE / TENN OVER 55.5 TULSA / ARK STATE OVER 61.5 SJSU / AF OVER 46 TROY TT OVER 19.5 BC TT UNDER 17.5 SAM HOU +24
FUN BET ARMY ML/U42.5 .. 3.77-1 NEVADA ML/U59 .. 2.64-1 SJSU ML/O46 .. 4.14-1
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
BP WK2 3-2 .. 5-4 YTD SM WK2 8-6 .. 13-16 YTD
WK 2 RECAP: BRIDGE PLAYS TEXAS -3.5 E.CAROLINA +3 N.ILLINOIS +28 NC STATE +7.5 SMU/BYU OVER 55.5 SMALLER CAL +13 ARMY +4 SJSU +5.5 CINCY -2.5 IOWA ST +3 TULANE +10 E.MICHIGAN +25.5 ARMY / FAU UNDER 45.5 NC STATE / TENN OVER 55.5 TULSA / ARK STATE OVER 61.5 SJSU / AF OVER 46 TROY TT OVER 19.5 BC TT UNDER 17.5 SAM HOU +24
FUN BET ARMY ML/U42.5 .. 3.77-1 NEVADA ML/U59 .. 2.64-1 SJSU ML/O46 .. 4.14-1
Was on ECU from following your plays, they surely made it interesting. Garcia is an INT throwing monster lol. Regardless we got the win and that’s all that matters
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@Bridge1
Was on ECU from following your plays, they surely made it interesting. Garcia is an INT throwing monster lol. Regardless we got the win and that’s all that matters
All from fan duel's pre-circa release .. Not the biggest BP's for that reason also lines move quickly w these might not be the best line when all is said and done so no need to go chasing this early .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
INDY -3.5 .. Hit this now and will play again if we find it 3 or better .. JMU Coach first splash into B10 .. UCLA perfect victim for this .. good luck!
W.VIRGINIA -2.5 .. hit this last night unfortunately it moved .. -3.5 now would try to find it at -3 or better .. Pitt down 27-7 in Q4 before unreal comeback Cincy obvi was right call .. hopefully we don't get robbed like that again ..
TCU -1.5 .. TCU was much better than their tangle with Stanford suggested and not sold on KJ Jefferson .. Will play again if we are getting + points ..
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All from fan duel's pre-circa release .. Not the biggest BP's for that reason also lines move quickly w these might not be the best line when all is said and done so no need to go chasing this early .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
INDY -3.5 .. Hit this now and will play again if we find it 3 or better .. JMU Coach first splash into B10 .. UCLA perfect victim for this .. good luck!
W.VIRGINIA -2.5 .. hit this last night unfortunately it moved .. -3.5 now would try to find it at -3 or better .. Pitt down 27-7 in Q4 before unreal comeback Cincy obvi was right call .. hopefully we don't get robbed like that again ..
TCU -1.5 .. TCU was much better than their tangle with Stanford suggested and not sold on KJ Jefferson .. Will play again if we are getting + points ..
Dude you aint kidding .. unplayable needed like 450 yds to 250 yd edge just to eek that out .. don't forget the 2 fumbles they lost .. they got some back but woaaaah buddy shoulda been a massive win there ..
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@Bixby17
Dude you aint kidding .. unplayable needed like 450 yds to 250 yd edge just to eek that out .. don't forget the 2 fumbles they lost .. they got some back but woaaaah buddy shoulda been a massive win there ..
Still like the read here K-State's offense is pretty suspect and hopefully AZ snaps out of mess around mode and starts playing forreall now
S.CAROLINA +10
Welp I liked it .. then hated it .. now maybe I can stomach it .. lol .. what a turn of events huh?! .. I wouldn't chase this down to 8.5 or 7.5 and doubt I have to tell anyone to do that .. I will say free 10 at home .. LSU might be a bit iffy this year but with their offense they could also turn around and romp .. well currently we're still beating the market thought we'd feel much better about it .. good luck!
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PRE-SSN GM OF THE YEAR PLAYS ..
BRIDGE PLAYS
ARIZONA +9
Still like the read here K-State's offense is pretty suspect and hopefully AZ snaps out of mess around mode and starts playing forreall now
S.CAROLINA +10
Welp I liked it .. then hated it .. now maybe I can stomach it .. lol .. what a turn of events huh?! .. I wouldn't chase this down to 8.5 or 7.5 and doubt I have to tell anyone to do that .. I will say free 10 at home .. LSU might be a bit iffy this year but with their offense they could also turn around and romp .. well currently we're still beating the market thought we'd feel much better about it .. good luck!
Isn’t that the truth. By the yardage you’d think they would have won by 24 minimum, but ODU was in in all the way through. Never a dull moment…but gotta love it at the same time. Thanks for all you do!
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@Bridge1
Isn’t that the truth. By the yardage you’d think they would have won by 24 minimum, but ODU was in in all the way through. Never a dull moment…but gotta love it at the same time. Thanks for all you do!
Got this also last night so kinda hate to post it in retro but still available over 2 TD's and I mean with that QB why not take 2 free ones and maybe put it ML .. I did!!!
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SMALLER
TULANE +18.5
Got this also last night so kinda hate to post it in retro but still available over 2 TD's and I mean with that QB why not take 2 free ones and maybe put it ML .. I did!!!
It's do or die for the gators already and we're already seeing some other FLA schools pack it in .. and we know Lagway is a special kid .. was all hands on deck for the FCS game and I think we see a great effort here .. not at all convinced TAMU is turning much around this year now that we have some extra data on their opponents lol .. 3.5 in the swamp .. GO D.J. .. LET'S GO!!!
WASH STATE +5.5
Mateer is a real dude and they've been a surprise on D every year going back to when Dickert was just the DC there .. Alas they shut Kitley's big air raid down and I think Arbuckle has a QB who is just better in their system .. these guys can play some defense and I'm not all that convinced Huskies can yet .. MASSIVE MASSIVE and maybe FINAL APPLE CUP for the foreseeable future not to mention pure HATE for Wash leaving and destroyin
TEXAS STATE -2.5
I hate to do this but the reality with ASU is they won a BUM FIGHTS competition at home we know now Wyoming realllly stinks and Miss State I suspect was holding guys out and probably just not really geared up to make this late trip .. they still came back and avoided a big slaughter ..this feels like a down spot for my Devils and TEXAS STATE needs to make some serious hay the rest of the way .. and hope Boise loses again .. if they're gunna be looking like a playoff contender ..
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SMALLER
FLORIDA +3.5
It's do or die for the gators already and we're already seeing some other FLA schools pack it in .. and we know Lagway is a special kid .. was all hands on deck for the FCS game and I think we see a great effort here .. not at all convinced TAMU is turning much around this year now that we have some extra data on their opponents lol .. 3.5 in the swamp .. GO D.J. .. LET'S GO!!!
WASH STATE +5.5
Mateer is a real dude and they've been a surprise on D every year going back to when Dickert was just the DC there .. Alas they shut Kitley's big air raid down and I think Arbuckle has a QB who is just better in their system .. these guys can play some defense and I'm not all that convinced Huskies can yet .. MASSIVE MASSIVE and maybe FINAL APPLE CUP for the foreseeable future not to mention pure HATE for Wash leaving and destroyin
TEXAS STATE -2.5
I hate to do this but the reality with ASU is they won a BUM FIGHTS competition at home we know now Wyoming realllly stinks and Miss State I suspect was holding guys out and probably just not really geared up to make this late trip .. they still came back and avoided a big slaughter ..this feels like a down spot for my Devils and TEXAS STATE needs to make some serious hay the rest of the way .. and hope Boise loses again .. if they're gunna be looking like a playoff contender ..
Sitting at Fanduel right now .. I mean like N.Illinois here we are with the Horns throttling Michigan in the biggest Noncon of the year and here comes a real salty UTSA team losing big in their rivalry ... happy to take smaller 32.5 and fine w me go to 35 + we'll play it again SAM!!!!
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SMALLER
UTSA +32.5
Sitting at Fanduel right now .. I mean like N.Illinois here we are with the Horns throttling Michigan in the biggest Noncon of the year and here comes a real salty UTSA team losing big in their rivalry ... happy to take smaller 32.5 and fine w me go to 35 + we'll play it again SAM!!!!
Gunna look close into this one we got SJ off their BIIIG Conf win and Kenny maybe gets throttled but this is not a great spot to be laying mass points vs a team that might find ways to run the ball where AF couldn't .. we still don't know much about Kenny tho but we def know last game was Massive for navy ken and the Jose's and this is one of a few shots to win for the fighting Kennys and they want to bag an FBS win this year .. good luck!
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SMALLER
KENNESAW STATE +18
Gunna look close into this one we got SJ off their BIIIG Conf win and Kenny maybe gets throttled but this is not a great spot to be laying mass points vs a team that might find ways to run the ball where AF couldn't .. we still don't know much about Kenny tho but we def know last game was Massive for navy ken and the Jose's and this is one of a few shots to win for the fighting Kennys and they want to bag an FBS win this year .. good luck!
Payback time for a team that maybe had a rough run vs washington still found ways to get in scoring position and were clearly a tough out ATS .. this game is now at home and EMU got embarrassed vs JVILLE last year .. but lookin them over now .. they a bit different and I think Smothers might get Smothered quite a bit here .. good luck!
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SMALLER
EASTERN MICHIGAN -2
Payback time for a team that maybe had a rough run vs washington still found ways to get in scoring position and were clearly a tough out ATS .. this game is now at home and EMU got embarrassed vs JVILLE last year .. but lookin them over now .. they a bit different and I think Smothers might get Smothered quite a bit here .. good luck!
Almost got -14 and then it moved .. woulda been a big .. its a small now and Coastal proving themselves a couple outtings Vasko is a dude and these boys coming .. would check for injuries I heard a guy or two went down .. but Temple is an outlier on the bottom end and I think just straight up non competitive this year .. might reconsider and pound it below 17 ..
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SMALLER
COASTAL -16
Almost got -14 and then it moved .. woulda been a big .. its a small now and Coastal proving themselves a couple outtings Vasko is a dude and these boys coming .. would check for injuries I heard a guy or two went down .. but Temple is an outlier on the bottom end and I think just straight up non competitive this year .. might reconsider and pound it below 17 ..
Wanted a TD and might double dip if we get there .. but seeing Caesars drop to 4.5 already I'm back to circa to pick this line up .. think this is closer to Even if we didn't see Houston find ways to tangle up with Oklahoma .. have to review that game .. but either way its a MASSIVE game for Rice here and even getting smacked around by Sammy Hoo in the opener I'm still on board .. Warner leads our dudes for a win .. i hope .. gulp ..
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BRIDGE PLAY
RICE +6
Wanted a TD and might double dip if we get there .. but seeing Caesars drop to 4.5 already I'm back to circa to pick this line up .. think this is closer to Even if we didn't see Houston find ways to tangle up with Oklahoma .. have to review that game .. but either way its a MASSIVE game for Rice here and even getting smacked around by Sammy Hoo in the opener I'm still on board .. Warner leads our dudes for a win .. i hope .. gulp ..
Thanks guys yeah still drummin up some (hopefully) winners!!! .. good luck!
SMALLER
NEW MEXICO +28.5
I mean if they want to keep handing DAMP over 4 TD's I'm gunna just keep playing it till the trend ends .. Auburn with some soul searching to do this week and certainly you'd expect Freeze in this down game spot to rally his troops here .. last couple times he was layin 28 vs a new mexico team he shoulda been catching 28 and it maybe a diff story early in the season after a real epic gut check at home you'd expect some fireworks .. but Damp is such a crazy legs dude that can extend drives and put points on the board and idk what the heck to make of Auburn's offense right now .. Even at 0-2 New Mexico gotta be feeling the BRONCO EFFECT as coined by our pal Duck .. I mean you nearly upset a top FCS team and went toe to toe with Arizona for a good few quarters .. Freeze with Arkansas on deck and maaan this is not the season to get any starters hurt if he's up big late I would expect some level of checking out the depth esp at RB can't lose the RB Jarq and also sounds like 5 star best WR on the team is doubtful .. plenty more guys but very weird spot here ..
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Thanks guys yeah still drummin up some (hopefully) winners!!! .. good luck!
SMALLER
NEW MEXICO +28.5
I mean if they want to keep handing DAMP over 4 TD's I'm gunna just keep playing it till the trend ends .. Auburn with some soul searching to do this week and certainly you'd expect Freeze in this down game spot to rally his troops here .. last couple times he was layin 28 vs a new mexico team he shoulda been catching 28 and it maybe a diff story early in the season after a real epic gut check at home you'd expect some fireworks .. but Damp is such a crazy legs dude that can extend drives and put points on the board and idk what the heck to make of Auburn's offense right now .. Even at 0-2 New Mexico gotta be feeling the BRONCO EFFECT as coined by our pal Duck .. I mean you nearly upset a top FCS team and went toe to toe with Arizona for a good few quarters .. Freeze with Arkansas on deck and maaan this is not the season to get any starters hurt if he's up big late I would expect some level of checking out the depth esp at RB can't lose the RB Jarq and also sounds like 5 star best WR on the team is doubtful .. plenty more guys but very weird spot here ..
Early FAN DUAL hits with Indy and TCU and TX.ST -2.5 all moving other way .. I kinda sorta suspected they might, gotta be patient with the fan dual openers .. the models had to move Indy and UCLA a considerable distance for them to be over a 3 pt road fav I looked at that spot pre season and was like oh mama we might get Indy catching +6 or 7 if UCLA can just look okay vs Hawaii and Indy doesn't reveal itself vs FIU or the FCS team .. none of that happened ... no prob taking Indy laying under a FG now I think they're a diff team this year and still very low opinion of UCLA thus far .. really like us having Cignetti in the big conf opener in the rose bowl think major coaching advantage there .. TCU home I think they're better than they showed us vs Stan and have a decent D .. UCF got a couple throttle spots early not sold yet on KJ we know they have other weapons but let's see them do that on the road now ..
Did much better on the Circa openers FIU +7 and banged TX.ST +3 .. FIU is unfortunately not getting the points they should in this game but knew that would be the best line .. ASU in such a jerky spot beating the CRAP outta Wyoming and Miss St .. we know the pokes to maybe be awful this year and Miss St D is not just HIGHLY suspect esp on the DL they were talking about holding guys back because they are so thin .. Skatteboo rumbling thru everyone like swiss cheese made sense .. Miss State did play a little catch up late in that one tho and now MASSSSSIVE spot for the BOBS looking to make G5 playoff run here, maybe the most pivotal game for them in team's history ..
Feel good with the GOY's AZ was 9 at Circa and then they dropped a 10 for a while I double dipped on it .. AZ could have a bad game .. Went from nervous on SC to maybe a genius play catching the 10 .. Like the Bobs, this is one of the biggest most pivotal games certainly in maybe a decade and gameday there for very underrated HFA and we got the best line by far, love it .. RICE we wanted a TD but happy w our spot ..
Others Coastal almost got 14 circa and they let the crowd bet it up and was already offered higher at other shops, obvi they were already taking coastal money .. might be with you on that @mbiddy .. something smells just a littttttle bit fishy there .. i know coastal had some guys hurt last week and maybe a killer combo Temp playing their best game and Coastal plays their worst? .. eeeek .. buyer beware there ..
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Ohhh maaan lotta action already ..
Early FAN DUAL hits with Indy and TCU and TX.ST -2.5 all moving other way .. I kinda sorta suspected they might, gotta be patient with the fan dual openers .. the models had to move Indy and UCLA a considerable distance for them to be over a 3 pt road fav I looked at that spot pre season and was like oh mama we might get Indy catching +6 or 7 if UCLA can just look okay vs Hawaii and Indy doesn't reveal itself vs FIU or the FCS team .. none of that happened ... no prob taking Indy laying under a FG now I think they're a diff team this year and still very low opinion of UCLA thus far .. really like us having Cignetti in the big conf opener in the rose bowl think major coaching advantage there .. TCU home I think they're better than they showed us vs Stan and have a decent D .. UCF got a couple throttle spots early not sold yet on KJ we know they have other weapons but let's see them do that on the road now ..
Did much better on the Circa openers FIU +7 and banged TX.ST +3 .. FIU is unfortunately not getting the points they should in this game but knew that would be the best line .. ASU in such a jerky spot beating the CRAP outta Wyoming and Miss St .. we know the pokes to maybe be awful this year and Miss St D is not just HIGHLY suspect esp on the DL they were talking about holding guys back because they are so thin .. Skatteboo rumbling thru everyone like swiss cheese made sense .. Miss State did play a little catch up late in that one tho and now MASSSSSIVE spot for the BOBS looking to make G5 playoff run here, maybe the most pivotal game for them in team's history ..
Feel good with the GOY's AZ was 9 at Circa and then they dropped a 10 for a while I double dipped on it .. AZ could have a bad game .. Went from nervous on SC to maybe a genius play catching the 10 .. Like the Bobs, this is one of the biggest most pivotal games certainly in maybe a decade and gameday there for very underrated HFA and we got the best line by far, love it .. RICE we wanted a TD but happy w our spot ..
Others Coastal almost got 14 circa and they let the crowd bet it up and was already offered higher at other shops, obvi they were already taking coastal money .. might be with you on that @mbiddy .. something smells just a littttttle bit fishy there .. i know coastal had some guys hurt last week and maybe a killer combo Temp playing their best game and Coastal plays their worst? .. eeeek .. buyer beware there ..
Getting a total on the higher side which is not a surprise we got a major shootout in the bowl game and here's the rematch of that .. but in the bowl we had Bean with an electric arm putting up 450 in that gm, Maivia with about 300 yds, both QB's on fire nearly 70% comps .. We had relatively little rushing from either team 230 yds total between them all told nearly 1k yds in that gm, 85 pts .. 2 new QB's now .. Daniels has all the right moves but not the arm that Bean had and off just a horrific game vs Illinois shootin 56% 3 picks including a pick 6 .. RIGHT BEFORE THE HALF! ... I'd expect much more attn to the RB's and maybe very conservative calls if they get into that near halftime sitch again that pick 6 was the diff in the game .. Daniels with 32 pass att's in that one but lot more coming when playing from behind and I'd expect fewer if we assume KU has a lead here, even if theyre trailing in H1 I wouldn't expect Leipold to abandon a run heavy game plan until necessary .. and same for UNLV rely on the run here I'd not expect Sluuka to be launching missiles until its necessary only 13 att's vs Houston he didn't have to throw it much there and didn't .. also only seen just a couple deep balls from both QB's so far vs the tough opponents and came up empty the rewards for these teams are much better playin slower and steady lotta weapons for them close to the line of scrimmage ..
I'd also say KU offense has a natural question mark with loss of their great OC to Penn State .. we instantly saw the diff for the Nitneys and we'll see what the new OC has but maaan we know Leipold to rely on his run game back at Buff when the pass attack wasn't there for him .. We also saw both these teams chew up immense clock on scoring drives KU with 2 plays / min on any longer drive vs Illinois including a total clock draining 14 play 8 min TD drive.. happy to exchange a TD for that here .. same for UNLV run heavy wasnt as slow but really drown the clock vs Hou .. i suspect Rebs especially could reallly speed up if they want but again H1 unlikely to see that till H2 I'd think ..
UNLV's D was in shambles end of last year with the injuries and expecting sneaky good this year with Odom having high ret pro and some xfers and a year of his way .. KU surprised last week shutting down Bielema's run game to ~3/carry 70 yds more classic Leipold here .. and Illini have a legit dude RB in Kaden Feagan so D really outperformed and nearly overcame a -3 TO deficit including the pick 6, KU wins that game easy w out the mistakes .. think good chance we get a slow burn start and even if we get scoring it'll take its toll on the clock .. back/forth gangbusters come from behind offense might come late in this gm so playin H1 and not worry about that... UNLV does have a good punt return man so hope he's not impacting .. but good news is they're replacing their ace FG kicker .. neither team known for their totally dumb hand out free TD special teams play so hope we don't see any of that .. GOOD LUCK!
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BRIDGE PLAY
KANSAS / UNLV H1 UNDER 29.5
Getting a total on the higher side which is not a surprise we got a major shootout in the bowl game and here's the rematch of that .. but in the bowl we had Bean with an electric arm putting up 450 in that gm, Maivia with about 300 yds, both QB's on fire nearly 70% comps .. We had relatively little rushing from either team 230 yds total between them all told nearly 1k yds in that gm, 85 pts .. 2 new QB's now .. Daniels has all the right moves but not the arm that Bean had and off just a horrific game vs Illinois shootin 56% 3 picks including a pick 6 .. RIGHT BEFORE THE HALF! ... I'd expect much more attn to the RB's and maybe very conservative calls if they get into that near halftime sitch again that pick 6 was the diff in the game .. Daniels with 32 pass att's in that one but lot more coming when playing from behind and I'd expect fewer if we assume KU has a lead here, even if theyre trailing in H1 I wouldn't expect Leipold to abandon a run heavy game plan until necessary .. and same for UNLV rely on the run here I'd not expect Sluuka to be launching missiles until its necessary only 13 att's vs Houston he didn't have to throw it much there and didn't .. also only seen just a couple deep balls from both QB's so far vs the tough opponents and came up empty the rewards for these teams are much better playin slower and steady lotta weapons for them close to the line of scrimmage ..
I'd also say KU offense has a natural question mark with loss of their great OC to Penn State .. we instantly saw the diff for the Nitneys and we'll see what the new OC has but maaan we know Leipold to rely on his run game back at Buff when the pass attack wasn't there for him .. We also saw both these teams chew up immense clock on scoring drives KU with 2 plays / min on any longer drive vs Illinois including a total clock draining 14 play 8 min TD drive.. happy to exchange a TD for that here .. same for UNLV run heavy wasnt as slow but really drown the clock vs Hou .. i suspect Rebs especially could reallly speed up if they want but again H1 unlikely to see that till H2 I'd think ..
UNLV's D was in shambles end of last year with the injuries and expecting sneaky good this year with Odom having high ret pro and some xfers and a year of his way .. KU surprised last week shutting down Bielema's run game to ~3/carry 70 yds more classic Leipold here .. and Illini have a legit dude RB in Kaden Feagan so D really outperformed and nearly overcame a -3 TO deficit including the pick 6, KU wins that game easy w out the mistakes .. think good chance we get a slow burn start and even if we get scoring it'll take its toll on the clock .. back/forth gangbusters come from behind offense might come late in this gm so playin H1 and not worry about that... UNLV does have a good punt return man so hope he's not impacting .. but good news is they're replacing their ace FG kicker .. neither team known for their totally dumb hand out free TD special teams play so hope we don't see any of that .. GOOD LUCK!
I was on the fence between smaller and BP but looked into this a bit more and at least can say I have an idea how I think it'll play out .. most of the BP at this number btw seeing 28.5's out there and 29.5's at the dummy books .. I'd assume public is inflating the total a bit high and if for some reason that pushes this up I'd love to grab this at 31 or something but reallllly doubt we'll see that, but that's where any subsequent complementary bet would go .. my guess is this total actually drops a little before kickoff maybe 55.5 or so because just lookin at the first couple games I'm thinking good chance we see a run heavy clock destroyer assumiif we don't have guys just busting thru lines and breaking big massive plays etc .. both teams should be playing some decent D in this one and maybe at a surprise level not reminiscent at all of the bowl game at all .. at least .. that's my hope ..
good luck!
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^^ CONT'D ..
I was on the fence between smaller and BP but looked into this a bit more and at least can say I have an idea how I think it'll play out .. most of the BP at this number btw seeing 28.5's out there and 29.5's at the dummy books .. I'd assume public is inflating the total a bit high and if for some reason that pushes this up I'd love to grab this at 31 or something but reallllly doubt we'll see that, but that's where any subsequent complementary bet would go .. my guess is this total actually drops a little before kickoff maybe 55.5 or so because just lookin at the first couple games I'm thinking good chance we see a run heavy clock destroyer assumiif we don't have guys just busting thru lines and breaking big massive plays etc .. both teams should be playing some decent D in this one and maybe at a surprise level not reminiscent at all of the bowl game at all .. at least .. that's my hope ..
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