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BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 4

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Posted: #26
gl this week Bridge









 
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Posted: #27
good work bud, thanks for all you do. lets get it this week. I'll bounce a couple off ya later. 
 
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Posted: #28
I also have a slight lean to North Carolina. I wasn't impressed with Pitt's secondary at all last week. And NC is a much more balanced team than OSU. But I may need to see something under 7 since I don't trust Fedora with too many points...
 
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Posted: #29
Buddy / Mbiddy - Thanks guys BOL to you too!

UGA - okay i'll be right here!

Doc - that total really kicked it up about 10 notches... and yeah, NC might win by 3 TDs or blow it.. too much of  ..he's got two outstanding backs and they seem to score alot when he uses them... Pitt giving up tons of pass yards i can see larry salivating to use Trubinski and botching the whole deal... shelf that one we'll see if he's learned anything by VT ...
 
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Posted: #30
   ARMY.    
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by Peterdragan66:

   ARMY.    

Ha yep... Army opponents all running about 49 plays on avg... Army runs 75.. Buff's D has a long day ahead of them... 
 
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Posted: #32
PENN ST. barely beat Temple and lost to Pitt...They won't score vs MICH. Line is too low. MICH-20-21 pts. 
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by GTIP:

PENN ST. barely beat Temple and lost to Pitt...They won't score vs MICH. Line is too low. MICH-20-21 pts. 

Thanks that one's just kinda off my radar now haven't caught much Mich or PSU ... they sure lay'd out a line to make you wonder just how big of a mismatch this one is..... up to 19 now hope you cash in on it! 
 
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Posted: #34

BRIDGE PLAY: APP.ST @ AKRON UNDER 57.5 

Marsh’s D was totally hapless in a 65-38 loss.. can’t get a vid so espn play by play notes 35 free shenanigan points to Akron off turnovers, punt returns, short fields, etc. Akron gave up some 450 yds passing to Marsh who “held” Akron to 380 passing/145 yds rushing 4.8ypc, pretty respectable all scores considered… Marsh also owned about 2/3 the TOP.. Akron’s returning O starters are a couple WRs and QB with only 2200 yds LY, but top 10 in QBR right now because of Marshall’s D.. ill take the 2015 as the better measuring stick here. But popping off the Phil page are some big school transfers and shows in the TFL stats w 10/game, 19 total against… App state has made 15 TFLs, 14 against and they’ve played some pretty good teams so expect a few drive stoppers in this one. Appy’s 4 year starting RB Cox not practicing mid-week and top Akron RB Ball has some mysterious injury I can’t get a beat on but doesn’t sound like either will be 100% maybe neither play ahead of their conf sched. Appy D has the work cut out after Miami thrashing them in all O categories but different story this week, weaker team all around every category, UM is top 15 position groups in all of Phil’s categories and NFL QB total mismatch which we were of course betting on LW…. So add it up, Akron dive vs wisco all but forgotten then monster surprise week vs a decimated D getting a free 35 pts, Appy DB’s looked invisible but vs a much better team = boomerang higher total here… add on big time TFLs and key O injuries think it’s good… The risk here is Appy goes crazy and scores a crap load on the road don’t think Akron does that again so good gamble here on kinda scary total. Hard to judge the spread guess I’d lean appy vet team -5. 

 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1:

BRIDGE PLAY: APP.ST @ AKRON UNDER 57.5 

Marsh’s D was totally hapless in a 65-38 loss.. can’t get a vid so espn play by play notes 35 free shenanigan points to Akron off turnovers, punt returns, short fields, etc. Akron gave up some 450 yds passing to Marsh who “held” Akron to 380 passing/145 yds rushing 4.8ypc, pretty respectable all scores considered… Marsh also owned about 2/3 the TOP.. Akron’s returning O starters are a couple WRs and QB with only 2200 yds LY, but top 10 in QBR right now because of Marshall’s D.. ill take the 2015 as the better measuring stick here. But popping off the Phil page are some big school transfers and shows in the TFL stats w 10/game, 19 total against… App state has made 15 TFLs, 14 against and they’ve played some pretty good teams so expect a few drive stoppers in this one. Appy’s 4 year starting RB Cox not practicing mid-week and top Akron RB Ball has some mysterious injury I can’t get a beat on but doesn’t sound like either will be 100% maybe neither play ahead of their conf sched. Appy D has the work cut out after Miami thrashing them in all O categories but different story this week, weaker team all around every category, UM is top 15 position groups in all of Phil’s categories and NFL QB total mismatch which we were of course betting on LW…. So add it up, Akron dive vs wisco all but forgotten then monster surprise week vs a decimated D getting a free 35 pts, Appy DB’s looked invisible but vs a much better team = boomerang higher total here… add on big time TFLs and key O injuries think it’s good… The risk here is Appy goes crazy and scores a crap load on the road don’t think Akron does that again so good gamble here on kinda scary total. Hard to judge the spread guess I’d lean appy vet team -5. 


Fun stat for your Under...    App St ranks DEAD LAST in 3rd down conversion offense..  7 for 39, or 18%.   
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:


Fun stat for your Under...    App St ranks DEAD LAST in 3rd down conversion offense..  7 for 39, or 18%.   

Yeah good one!

A couple things have to happen in this one but feels like natural stuff not freak stuff, LW felt pretty freak. 

Top 20 RZ-D w UM & Tenn on the schedule too..  
 
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Posted: #37
Funnier stat..... Marshall is holding opponents to ZERO scores in the red zone... ohhh teamrankings you sly dog you...
 
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Posted: #38
You guys have way too much time on your hands to be posting this much stuff.

I would never bet on picks from anyone who spent this much time putting their 50/50 picks on Covers.
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by combato:

You guys have way too much time on your hands to be posting this much stuff.

I would never bet on picks from anyone who spent this much time putting their 50/50 picks on Covers.

 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by combato:

You guys have way too much time on your hands to be posting this much stuff.I would never bet on picks from anyone who spent this much time putting their 50/50 picks on Covers.

May possibly be the DUMBEST thing I've read on here.
 
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Posted: #41
BOL this weekend Bridge!
 
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Posted: #42
Appreciate your opinions 
 
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Posted: #43

MrKing -  hope all is well good luck this weekend!

Lion - Good luck, nice run to start the year off buddy keep it up!

Quick nugget on UF / TN if anyone is dialing up a play on that one. 

– Fla FG kicker 3/3 in the opener all 40+ .. 1/3 in game 2 both misses in the 40’s, drilled a 54 yarder, Mac not afraid to use him at all.. see link.

https://youtu.be/-oNLuUx6TWo

– Tenn FG kicker.. 3/5…. 0/2 40+..

Im on the ML for a fun bet think the RUN-D-FG (lol) combo gets all the points they need in this one... Probably lay off the total, thought it looked very sure thing if UF takes the ML but UF's Run and D have done a great job busting some unders for me the last couple years.... Kentucky week 2 and UGA 2 years ago come to mind, i'm sure there are others. 

 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by PFamily413:

Appreciate your opinions 

No prob P. yours are welcome here too anytime  
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1:

Funnier stat..... Marshall is holding opponents to ZERO scores in the red zone... ohhh teamrankings you sly dog you...

Idaho averages 13 yards per.... PENALTY

15 for 200 yards       
 
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Posted: #46

BRIDGE PLAYS - FINAL CARD ... order of liking 

1. ARMY -14 @ BUFF 

2. NEVADA @ PURDUE OVER 58.5

3. S.MISS -10 @ UTEP

4. NMSU +21 @ TROY

5. APP.ST @ AKRON UNDER 57.5


Small Dealz N' Fun Betzzzz

1. S.CAR ML+115  -  UK Worst D Evva

2. S.CAR @ UK O 55 -  ""

3. UGA ML / Under - Pass D = Win/low score

4. UF ML - D + Rush + PK Pinero = Win

5. NMSU +800.... Return of LR3

Get Back to Even Parlay of the Week:

ARMY 13.5/SMISS 9.5/NMSU +800

 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:


Idaho averages 13 yards per.... PENALTY

15 for 200 yards       

Haha... we need to find out are those all chop blocks or PI's and launch a torpedo at whatever looks good . ahahah GOOD LUCK TODAY BUDDY!
 
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Posted: #48
Couple more Fun Betz, 

1st half:
Nev +140 - good 1st half vs ND, shananigan points misleading

USF +2.5 - 105 - Wanted to get a pinch in to root for these boyz.

Miss.St / UMASS U24.5 - UMASS New QB but do have so so D esp. vs SEC this year lol.. hoping for not best opening punch from Miss.st

NMSU +555 - Great opening punch last week.. play here play there maybe good... Troy benefit of 17 shananigan pts first Quarter LG... 20 pts rest of the game..

South Car +100 - Faith in the immense black hole gravity pulling offenses toward UK's end zone... like the odds. 

S.Miss -6.5 - bad opening last week, UTEP just not on par w Troy.. no shananigans and this looks good. Mullens Rage could make this one ugly quick...

Full Game:
Buff TT U 20 -125...... Army running 75 plays a game.. opponents 49... Army opp's getting 14/14/13 this year... Buff needing 3 TD's FG's not enough time... Yes they can break long ones... yes Army D smaller... up front... Buff only run terrible pass.. low yards per play.. Army choking the clock.. just not enough time. could it bust yes but the consistency these two have shown = like the gamble. 



 
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Posted: #49
Nevada with you..
 
 
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Posted: #50
NEVADA @ PURDUE OVER 58.5 -  L - 2 Purdue turnovers inside the 5 kept the game close and slow, killed any shot early..... polian not kicking the FG at the end w 30 seconds down 10 to give a shot OT hard to get.. better to try a 25 yard pass as time runs out for the loss... 

1st half:
Nev +140 - W -  They have had good starts in all 4 games, including ND playing real TUFF before getting out of hand.. all 4 TUFF 2nd halfs....  wordz to the wize. 

USF +2.5  - L - Huge first 5 mins... terrible 25 mins... 
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