BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 4

WK 3 RECAP

BP 2-4, 8-12 YTD
SM 5-10, 12-15 YTD
FB .. hedge city .. 

BRIDGE PLAYS
WASHINGTON -16 
COLO STATE TT OVER 17.5 
BUFFALO +5 
BC/FSU UNDER 56.5 
UTAH STATE +10 
TROY -1.5 

SMALLER
ARMY +7.5
H1 WYOMING +17 
BC/FSU OVER 48 
FRESNO ST +1.5 
MICH.ST / WASH -10.5 (GOY) 
H1 BAMA -19 
H1 IOWA -14.5 
BC/FSU H1 UNDER 26 
CLEM FAU UNDER 52.5 
UTSA TT UNDER 24.5 
NORTH DAKOTA +15 
TARLETON STATE +35 
IDAHO +12.5 
VIRGINIA +16.5 
IOWA ST -3 

FUN BET
BC ML/U55.. 43-1 
H1 BC ML/U25.5.. 19-1 
COLO STATE ML/OVER 60.5.. 23-1 
COLO STATE H1 ML/UNDER 32.5 .. 14-1 
NORTH DAKOTA ML / UNDER 57.5 .. 10-1 
UTAH STATE ML/OVER 46.5 
ARMY ML/U42.5 10-1 

Let's get em' this week Bridge!  

WEEK 4 .. Posted in wk 3 thread.. GOY's in pre-ssn thread .. 

BRIDGE PLAYS
OSU @ ND +8.5 (GOY)
OLE MISS +14.5 (GOY)
WYOMING -2
KANSAS ST -6.5
NEBRASKA -18.5
TEXAS STATE -16
UMASS - PK'EM

SMALLER
BALL STATE +9
PENN ST -10 (GOY)
OLE MISS +15.5 (GOY)
FLORIDA STATE +3 (GOY)

BRIDGE PLAY

OREGON -17.5

Oops forgot this one .. first play of the week this AM I posted in wk 3 thread ... felt like a loon thinkin Colo State could win and yeah got a lightning bolt shoved up my azz for that but fair to say the read was spot on .. Colo State looks way more buttoned up than CU did overall.. safe to say now that the Wazoooo loss was a bit of a misnomer coming into this gm .. big rivalry war of words off the charts hype and ya knew if the Rams had a punch to throw they were throwin it.. aside from just an INSANE number of mistakes aside they beat the crap out of em I thought .. Norvell did exactly like I expected slow it down and grind some yards, and even if the run game wasn't tearin thru them then it was just dink n dunk passing WR open in the middle every time burning clock the whole way .. needed 1 less score on the H1 ML/Under and instead got 2 Def scores right away and WR throwin a bomb .. then got another 2nd bold of lightning at the end .. anyway don't feel so loony now and its a monster line but if yer Oregon you got a totally worn out team thats shown all their cards and with some glaring weaknesses, RAMS exposed that OL bring pressure and Sanders maybe had 350 yds but 150 was in the last min and OT .. 50 yds at the half .. game in hand all the way, 4 turnovers, missed FG, 0-1 on 4th down, 17 penalties -182 yds .. that's how you let a sure thing get away ... fingers xx'd here but if yer the Ducks you gotta great chance to steal ALLL the thunder Deion is bringing to Eugene .. Already padding that playoff resume and marketing department were working overtime this off season fillin up the NYC billboard space with a BO FOR HEISMAN campaign .. whole CFB world gunna be tuned in and man you let the Buffs hang around in this spot and it's gunna start feeling like a loss at least for the playoff resume and heisman campaign so think the only move is go full throttle here .. 

BRIDGE PLAY

UCLA +5 (CZR)

Does feel a little funny fading DA UTES at their house but big picture I got UCLA's offense as being in the neighborhood of where they were last year at least capable of moving the ball in this game .. and the D as very likely improved .. and even w out seeing much of them yet, and Chip keepin a lid on things, like what we've seen so far. We knew Chip was gunna use Coastal to tryout QB's .. game was there for the taking the D didn't let it happen.. another scrappy G5'er SDSU at their new house beat em up good and new QB is totally capable and did better in that spot on the road than DJ UGLY did at home ... if rest of the team wasn't totally on DJ's picks coulda put em in a close game .. and the D showed no ugly signs yet and that was the hope when taking these guys for the conf all those months ago if they get the QB and D right then they'll be contending ..  at least feel good saying theres no dents in the car before it gets unveiled this week and catchin 5 .. 

Utes been thru a rough n rugged non con schedule, its safe to say FLA was a max effort, and who knows what they put into that baylor game .. everyone wondering if Rising is back and sounds like he was still waiting for his surgeons approval first which obvi wasn't there last week or I think he'd have been tuning up vs Weber .. even if he's back maybe line goes to 7? hard to imagine its more than that although could see market get pushed past that number .. but man first game back and UCLA w 2 reallll legit pass rushers .. My guess is Utah put Nate Johnson in last game instead of Barnes because they want a change after a terrible Baylor game and at least right now and just doesn't seem like a good situation .. and notable they couldn't run on florida .. and while Utes loaded up to stop the run Mertz tosses 70% 333yds and think we know he's not a star .. think they'll have to mortgage the back end greatly to stop UCLA's run game, and the new kid can actually play so .. Rising in the game I still feel fine playin now takin a free 5 pts .. think the line shrinks to 3 or 3.5 at some point if the news becomes official  .. If Cam is out I think very good chance for UCLA to walk outta SLC w a W .. we'll see.. 

Look at Bridge the A1 Pac 12 handicapper 

Know the fund for the investors with this capper is about to go up. Will enjoy that Utes Bruins game. Not so much Caleb Williams vs. the ASU scout team.

BOL, always a must check every week.

@BubbaGumpShrimp

 HAHA yeah Bubba PAC got super interesting the year it fell apart .. too bad .. and yeah ASU .. soon as they self impose a bowl band they're telling the world we don't have any chance to make 6 wins and total mulligan year is coming ... like 6th string QB coming in this week .. ooof .. biggest mulligan in history maybe .. hope all is good with ya brother! - good luck!

SMALLER

TEXAS A&M -8

Actually like taking dogs in these early SEC goings matchups but this is really an Auburn fade I don't think the ducks are in a row yet .. can't run the ball on Cal .. then no pass game to speak of .. mistakes galore .. and this spot on the road to A&M w a REAL rival comin up w UGA on deck AT HOME .. Maybe that's not a huge distraction but its just more of a reason not to like this one for Auburn .. Big picture we see TAMU able to shut the canes run game down but got torched by Van Dyke thru the air .. Auburn's run game should be a bit better but Aggs are gunna make this really tough for em and even showing bad pass D so far like I just have trouble believing Cal can do that better than they can .. Aub def doesn't have a dude like TV-D and think the matchup spells trouble .. Weigman had a great day vs Miami and one worry is how much pressure he got and the run game was paultry .. Weigman's numbers suggests even if Aub can take their run game out they still have a good shot to move the ball and like the spot at home in a big conf game for them to do that .. another thing to like is A&M appears to be getting Evan Stewart back this game legit leeegit WR and they already have a few good ones.. no major weaknesses on ST for either, A&M does have a legit ace punter, hope we don't need him much.. think Aub has alot of trouble gettin points here and end of the day A&M finds ways to convert where a team like CAL fell short just short over and over .. think its a big home win .. good luck!

I'm also leaning UCLA. Even if Rising is back, what are his chances of being 100%? Also lean A&M. I'm thinking about putting them in a ML parlay. I'm still a little gun shy when it comes to playing Fisher as a fave. BOL this week!

@DrStrangelove

Exactly .. and B.Kuithe is a legit weapon, the offense kinda revolves around their TE's and think they really need him in there .. best punch coming but in their condition what is that, idk we'll see .. UCLA w couple really top notch pass rushers and run D been great so far.. Utes unable to shut down Mertz when they cornered their run game think we see that approach again and doesn't seem assured they can corner UCLA's run game like that and I think we'll see a good day passing for the Kid .. we'll see .. 

 like it bridge.

Nice one on that ND preseason number! Liked it myself but have such a hard time tying up funds for that long lol

strong disagree this week with ucla though no matter who’s at QB that’s not an easy place to go play - especially a true freshman.

GL this week!

@Bridge1

 Interested in your take on Texas St

what are these bs lines? 

SMALLER

SDSU TT OVER 17.5 (BM)

Was -113 shot to -117 .. would say normal odds at 18 is still playable if that's out there .. Really annoying to play this one but we're looking at an SDSU team with I think a pretty legit QB in Mayden and hard to make a grand entrance when playing Oregon State and UCLA's D has seemed to turn a corner in their abilities .. easy to see the Idaho State game and start wondering about these guys and looking into what happened there we see SDSU was playing some hardcore development football w Mayden threw only a few times went run super heavy working on that side of the offense which in fairness does need help but clearly put themselves in a challenging spot .. on D they basically loaded the box and force ID.St to pass and they were successful .. again basically taking a no contest opponent and making a contest out of it and while there is some truth that SDSU needs to get a few things right i'll chalk it to a misnomer when trying to evaluate this team.. 

Boise been thru their own wild start playing Wash, UCF and even ND last week, it got away from the warhawks but they threw a good punch at em, Boise needed to really play that game and ND shoulda put more points on than they did .. This is a tough spot on the short week and like Boise's offense hope if anything they can force the urgency w SDSU to score .. not sold on Boise's D as of yet and does seem like a punch is coming from SDSU and we're getting a decently low TT to play this.. i know we've been waiting for years for the SDSU offensive turn but even having a bad gm this TT feels entirely gettable .. playing this one we really need a FG kicker and Browning been a solid one this year so let's go AZTECS!

@HL__744

Both a fade of Nevada and like of the Bobs .. think Kinne's offense is gunna be real tricky for them to stop and just like at UIW they're leading the country on D in TFL's .. I think Nevada is in a bit of a misnomer state it was a big home game / bad spot for KU last week like in no possible way were we getting their best game in Reno late at night like that and Nevada clearly came in hoping to make a splash .. Seemed like KU was taking some deep shots and whiffing and just finding ways to kill their own drives magic of the big home win vs ILL clearly not there nor the motivation to do much .. and didn't take me long to peg Nevada as a team that's just not got things put together yet especially on offense .. think huge diff in outcomes playing in that spot last wk vs bobs on the road both tms w conf on deck and any kinda down spot for Nevada is gunna be trouble I believe .. Bobs maybe also added motivation here clearly must make a bowl this year but also sights GOTTA be set on the conf at this point the SUN seems fairly up for grabs even w SO.Bama looking real stout, they play them in the finale plenty of time to catch up .. but also NY6 sure doesn't seem settled into any one G5'er yet and maybe they're really out even if the ran the table, would say a close gm vs Nevada on the resume is realllly not the reason you don't want to be invited to a big show like that .. Bobs dreamin big great spot to rip a troubled team .. thinkin/hopin they will .. 

^^

And maybe one more thing to like about the Bobs if we get to garbage time layin a big number I'm really no gunna be feeling super great about it if we're not up a full score .. but the thing to like is backup QB is Malik DA FREAK Hornsby and hard to argue w his ability as a gamer QB he can house one from anywhere on the field .. not a bad deal having him as our backstop to keep a lead strong .. Could see folks not loving the idea of laying a big number w the Bobs yet vs anyone and I grabbed this quick before it hit 17 wanted below a key number for sure .. wouldn't matter to me if it was 21 or more Nevada in a potentially ugly spot is reallly not a team I'm lookin to play .. could be a time for it in conference hoping their PR sinks lower and we could def find a good spot to take a chance on em catching a monster line .. good luck!

BRIDGE PLAYS
UCLA +5
UMASS - PK
OREGON -17.5
WYOMING -2
KANSAS ST -6.5
NEBRASKA -18.5
TEXAS STATE -16
OSU @ ND +8.5 (GOY)
OLE MISS +14.5 (GOY)

SMALLER
TEXAS A&M -8
BALL STATE +9
PENN ST -10 (GOY)
OLE MISS +15.5 (GOY)
FLORIDA STATE +3 (GOY)
SDSU TT OVER 17.5 

GL today Bridger this is the breakout week bud 

SMALLER

CINCINNATI +14

Hit this early for super small and capping it off .. Was not impressed with OU's game vs SMU and believe that was first big game at home, sandwiched between ark state and tulsa .. could say tulsa was a sorta rival but man SMU is clearly a threat if their D got turned around and I think good chance it has to a degree .. OU pulled away late but it was struggle city most of the game .. Cincy is off an absolute monster game and my early read is yeah they beat the pants off an FCS squad, clearly pummelled a fairly hapless Pitt squad and then lost an EPIC game last week at home in their rivalry .. realize that was a big one for them too, think it was #127 in their rivalry and possibly last chance for MIAMI O to have any shot to tie the series after blowing a huge series lead the last 15 years going 0-15 .. think its now even 60-60-7.. that's important but I have to say B12 OPENER sorta trumps the rivalries for a year and now laying 14 at home when I can't look at Cincy and say they are less capable than SMU is .. Again, wasn't SMU's offense that kept em in that one and that's what we need here big D performance in the historically ultra MASSIVE home game .. Cincy has 3-4 LEGIT DUDES in that front 7 and while OU is putting run yards up the success rates and y/carry vs SMU and Tulsa have left a few questions lingering.. I think they struggle there and Cincy finds ways to get off the field .. meanwhile think Cincy's concern is potentially a bad day passing like last game .. don't need massive yds, really need them to stay interception free here and think very good chance they hang here and really don't think they'll need much more than a solid showing to have a shot at reallllly surprising .. Good luck!

GL on Sat & this  season @Bridge1

SMALLER

SMU +7

Feels like just a little diff D and efficient offense here .. line is up from 4.5 to 7 and think this actually does belong closer to 4 than the full TD .. TCU's D seems like a problem in the early goins, my take on the HOU game is the wide margin was more from extreme follies of the cougars offense .. Frogs clearly didn't have the magic of LY workin for em this is a huuuuuge inter-dallas rivalry going way back and gunna get best punches from both teams .. 

UDML
base picks: UCLA, SMU .. tack on our 3-way parlay money shots.. BALL ST gives us 20-1 ... OLE MISS 22-1 ... CINCY 40-1 ... 5-WAY: 353-1, and hit that RR 3/4/5 ..

Others coulda made the card even if favs .. RICE, MEMP, FIU, GT .. got them smaller fun stuff .. good luck!