Dawgs gonna bark

So,larger monies came in immediately upon release and completely flipped the line.Typically sharp. As Urban Meyer said, ND ain't seen talent,nor upfront size,like this.  According to Massey, UGA played toughest schedule in country w ND 66th. With Stockton being the unknown,I feel it's telling Beck declared today. After a mediocre season in which his stock,and eyelids, dropped considerably. Etienne should be finally healthy. Smarts record with weeks to prepare is otsdg.  I believe other than that one long run,ND offense wasn't exactly electric. UGA and Bobo plenty of time to prepare Stockton... notwithstanding his 55 career pass attempts. With a 4.4 ypa vs Tx.  I like the probabilities here...as I'm not alone with 73% of tix agreeing.  Hey,it's all for fun. Best wishes to all.

Addendum....line didn't budge when Beck not playing announced too. UGA got a strong bid supporting em.It appears.  In stk mkt parlance. Good relative strength...above 10,20and 50 moving averages on the daily. I trade futures. 

Reading where some knowledgeable folks r saying ND is quite banged up re starters... OL and DL. What could be more important ? Already announced DT Miles, sack leader and Captain, is done for the year. Realize this can be rather nebulous re injuries but if reports are true,Dawgs gonna b chewing on dat bone.  A three point swing is not insignificant imo. Dis wasn't Billy Bob in Moultrie,Ga either.

good stuff fts

Seeing where Finebaum likes UGA also. He said in talking with him, KS is very confident re Stockton. I trust his appraisal.  Probably a run heavy,rpo heavy attack utilizing his mobility.  Wear em down.  Possibly...never any certainty.  Risk MGMT the key.

Just reading in the Notre Dame Tribune talking bout UGA size and the fact they ranked 13th in rush efficiency according to Pro Football Focus while ND 49 th vs the run. So,you got this dynamic plus a very mobile QB they ain't got no film on. I think Bobo and KS will exploit this.

@fts1409

 Sounds like you are trying real hard to convince yourself GA is the right side… title is awfully confident but you don’t seem so much.  That back-up situation has a lot of Georgia fans nervous but they just don’t want to admit it.  Should be fun to watch.  

I don’t really know the players or follow injuries or opt outs, I think a lot of that alters people’s perception. But from a strictly line perspective Georgia only -1 seems short. ND known chokers vs the SEC darlings of recent only getting a point ? Seems a little fishy to me 

Carson Beck wasnt the most liked player and this team will rally around Gunner, Bobo just has to let him run and not try and keep him in the pocket

PS im not allowed to bet on my team 

GO Stockton in the 84 F150 

@JimboSlice01

It's just one speculation among many forthcoming. Confident enough to have invested risk capital. I could be completely wrong...won't be the first time. All I try to do is exploit my perceived edge,with strict risk MGMT, over a large sample size. No one bet means more than another.  Wonder why the sophisticated monies immediately reversed the line? I like being on their side. UGA is a battle tested team with much more talent, experience and size. I hope they do well. Be a lot of celebrating here in Ga. 

@UGACLP1995

 I gathered that too. 

@fts1409 the 30% of the bets moving the line back the other way now is the sharp action you should be looking for in my opinion.  If ‘sharps’ moved the line, the public certainly isn’t going to move it back… I reiterate my original theory, you are just trying to convince yourself you have the ‘edge’ here.  Georgia has an average offense with a backup qb.  You throwing that finebaum nonsense out there is what confirmed my thought.  He is so SEC biased it’s not even funny, irrelevant opinion.  Just my thoughts from an outside viewer…

Already convinced bro with my potential, theoretical edge. This avg O that beat TX twice...right?  Guess we'll just have to see....A lot of line movement is bs. Let's see what it does thirty minutes and in before kickoff. RLM ain't statistically significant long-term. Lots of line fookery goes on...esp in a very heavily wagered game like this.  Go ahead and max out on ND...

All Stockton did was break Trevor Lawrences highschool touchdown record.  As another gent alluded to here, teammates love his attitude,energy,persona also. They're gonna b pumped. All about emotional intensity. Sic em...and yes,I'm an UGA grad. Finance.

Good gracious....I certainly hope our mediocre HC can get his mediocre team prepared for such a daunting challenge. Perhaps Freeman will b easy on em.  Give me a break.

UGA has played six teams currently ranked in top sixteen. ND...one. Battle tested. UGA also showed ability to come from behind when trailing at half or later in numerous wins.Sluggish first halves often.As KS has alluded to often,a resilient team. Many players,starters with experience in game(s) of this magnitude...except the one critical one. Can he handle it all? With the OL and RBs healthiest all season,as we've said years ago,turn around and hand it off. Should be good. GL to all...

Nice thread and info 

@Fuse

 Thx. No expert...just my two cents worth. Enjoy the challenge of speculating,attempting to find a theoretical  edge in a setting of uncertainty.  With risk MGMT always the key.

Hopefully some watched the Mich game, as that D again was a masterpiece. Missing six starters... top draft picks. Martindale is brilliant. Thoroughly enjoyed him bringing the house there at the end in crunch time. I've been told Bobo and Schuman gonna be wide open today too. All or none baby.

Lastly,as many will deny this, would be inclined to think certain powerful " interests" would much prefer a UGA/PS matchup vs PS/ ND.For a variety  of reasons. We live in an egregiously revenue,ratings driven society...and which game do you think would maximize this ? This dynamic obviously pervades the Natl Entertainment League.  This and the books liability.  Don't be naive.

@fts1409

 IMO "they" much prefer ND Penn St matchup....

Agree with your take. Dawgs all day 

Interesting info on Stockton. 177 tds passing and 4767 yds combined in HS. Received 24 offers...UGA,ala,Ohio St,  ore,LSU,FL, USC,PSU and other. Four star.  Leonard...three star w five offers. Two SEC...vandy and ole miss. Signed with perennial football powerhouse Duke.  Stockton....eight SEC offers. Be that as it may. Been quite a while since HS. Ready??