I have found no stability in finding the exact timing to lock in a bet consistently. Its a case by case situation and I dont have time. Even if I did the focus is trying to get the best line, but most of my focus is finding situations. Line timing isnt for me. I dont second guess lines because sometimes I do end up benefitting as well.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
I have found no stability in finding the exact timing to lock in a bet consistently. Its a case by case situation and I dont have time. Even if I did the focus is trying to get the best line, but most of my focus is finding situations. Line timing isnt for me. I dont second guess lines because sometimes I do end up benefitting as well.
As far as Wyoming they are terrible so they are going to need to get points. They are also going to need to face another like team.
The other like team (Air Force should never be a favorite) The fact that one of these teams is a favorite creates a situation for the dog that most often is fruitful. Will I watch this game? No
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
As far as Wyoming they are terrible so they are going to need to get points. They are also going to need to face another like team.
The other like team (Air Force should never be a favorite) The fact that one of these teams is a favorite creates a situation for the dog that most often is fruitful. Will I watch this game? No
Everyweek I search out last weeks games or the past couple of weeks games where the books will have a difficult time making a line.
Some of these scores from previous weeks are not within the mean of a regular game. How does one Evaluate No. Carolina after giving up 70 points last week. How does one evaluate NIU after beating Notre Dame. Well NIU lost to Buffalo last week.
Data is so helpful in these situations. I just looked at Buffalo and wasnt happy taking them last week. Next time I see a similar situation I wont miss it.
Last season Colorado was leading Stanford by almost 30 at the half and lost the game. Colorado then covered 3 in a row. After something so stinky most lose trust in these stinky teams. Psychology plays a huge role in games for me.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
1
Everyweek I search out last weeks games or the past couple of weeks games where the books will have a difficult time making a line.
Some of these scores from previous weeks are not within the mean of a regular game. How does one Evaluate No. Carolina after giving up 70 points last week. How does one evaluate NIU after beating Notre Dame. Well NIU lost to Buffalo last week.
Data is so helpful in these situations. I just looked at Buffalo and wasnt happy taking them last week. Next time I see a similar situation I wont miss it.
Last season Colorado was leading Stanford by almost 30 at the half and lost the game. Colorado then covered 3 in a row. After something so stinky most lose trust in these stinky teams. Psychology plays a huge role in games for me.
A note about E.Mich In week 1 they were away dogs to UMass and 4-0 ATS on the season. Kent is 5-19 ATS last 24 games. Kent is off playing back to back outstanding highly ranked teams in Penn St and Tennessee. Combined scores of 0-127 in those games. The other FBS game was AT Pitt 24-55 loss in that one. I think the books are tired of getting squashed against Kent.
@spottie2935
Will be on Kent and Wyo as well. Good luck to us?
0
Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:
A note about E.Mich In week 1 they were away dogs to UMass and 4-0 ATS on the season. Kent is 5-19 ATS last 24 games. Kent is off playing back to back outstanding highly ranked teams in Penn St and Tennessee. Combined scores of 0-127 in those games. The other FBS game was AT Pitt 24-55 loss in that one. I think the books are tired of getting squashed against Kent.
7>week>4 and rank = None and o:division = FBS and D and ats streak=1 and line<10 and p:D and op:D and o:ats streak>-2 and p:points>13 and PRSW>2 and o:PRSW>2 and o:PPRSW>1 and PPRSW<12 and line>1 and total>37
26-5
UAB
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
7>week>4 and rank = None and o:division = FBS and D and ats streak=1 and line<10 and p:D and op:D and o:ats streak>-2 and p:points>13 and PRSW>2 and o:PRSW>2 and o:PPRSW>1 and PPRSW<12 and line>1 and total>37
week = 5 and rank = None and o:division = FBS and F and season > 2005 and day = Saturday and 2 > ats streak > -2 and 11 > PRSW > 3 and line >= -15 and line != -3 and o:rest < 14 and p:line > -10 and p:line < 14 and 8 > o:PRSW > 1 and n:site!= neutral and opp:ats margin>-15
9-37 ATS
fade TX ST and GEOR ST
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
week = 5 and rank = None and o:division = FBS and F and season > 2005 and day = Saturday and 2 > ats streak > -2 and 11 > PRSW > 3 and line >= -15 and line != -3 and o:rest < 14 and p:line > -10 and p:line < 14 and 8 > o:PRSW > 1 and n:site!= neutral and opp:ats margin>-15
I have been posting and adding bets at all different lines all week.
I am going to post my teams and current lines. The lines I post are just for this site. If the line moves play at your own risk. I have no line advice for you.
I play a lot of plays because I have had a nice ROI and I think its due to the fact the my data is strong enough to diversify all these 65% - 80% situations. for the most part I am siding with the dogs and low consensus play so f I lose most likely the books will as well. The books can have one bad week so I am prepared for that but rarely do the books take a bath in back to back weeks.
I am not looking to take the worst teams. I am taking the teams that appear to be the worst or just bad but actually are not as bad as they seem. I also fade great teams as those teams will have bigger lines and face better opponents. undefeated ATS at this point in the season dont have great success. Long term situation is to fade these powerhouses. It just makes sense to me., and the data is strong.
Okay on to the list.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
I have been posting and adding bets at all different lines all week.
I am going to post my teams and current lines. The lines I post are just for this site. If the line moves play at your own risk. I have no line advice for you.
I play a lot of plays because I have had a nice ROI and I think its due to the fact the my data is strong enough to diversify all these 65% - 80% situations. for the most part I am siding with the dogs and low consensus play so f I lose most likely the books will as well. The books can have one bad week so I am prepared for that but rarely do the books take a bath in back to back weeks.
I am not looking to take the worst teams. I am taking the teams that appear to be the worst or just bad but actually are not as bad as they seem. I also fade great teams as those teams will have bigger lines and face better opponents. undefeated ATS at this point in the season dont have great success. Long term situation is to fade these powerhouses. It just makes sense to me., and the data is strong.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.