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Dr. Strangelove Week 12

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Posted: #51

@Macwestie1

@Lantz54

Thanx guys! 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #52

Pitt was the slight "running favorite' last night. Even though BC averaged 201 ypg rushing and Pitt 85 for the season, it was the rush defense that was the difference between these two teams. The final rushing numbers for the game: BC 166 and Pitt 197

 
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Posted: #53

 

@DrStrangelove

 nice call

I went BC and it was an ugly loss.
just one of those painful games to watch knowing you’re gonna lose after about 20 minutes in.

 
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Posted: #54

What are the actual running dogs this week?  And if u can explain in layman’s terms how u do it? 

Make believe I’m an idiot.   I just see all this info and not sure what I’m looking at 

 
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Posted: #55

@DrStrangelove

I was looking at your list, and I kind of scrolled through things quickly, but I didn’t see Army on the list? 

I have this game circled because CC is without their QB and some injuries and has James Madison on deck with a chance to win the division. I always lean toward service academies as home dogs if the number is low. 

Great post(s) by the way…

 

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Posted: #56

Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:

What are the actual running dogs this week?  And if u can explain in layman’s terms how u do it?  Make believe I’m an idiot.   I just see all this info and not sure what I’m looking at
You can find the list of running dogs in Post #3. Keep in mind that I posted them 5 days ago and some of the lines have changed. I expained the running dogs system to another poster the best I could in Post #20.

 
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Posted: #57

Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo:

@DrStrangelove I was looking at your list, and I kind of scrolled through things quickly, but I didn’t see Army on the list? I have this game circled because CC is without their QB and some injuries and has James Madison on deck with a chance to win the division. I always lean toward service academies as home dogs if the number is low.  Great post(s) by the way…
I agree that it looks like a bad spot for CC. The reason Army isn't the running dogs even though they rush the ball for more ypg than Coastal Carolina is CC has a better ypc at 4.2 to Army's 3.8. CC also has the better rush defense. CC gives up 4.3 ypc to Army's 5.4. Coastal has the little better SOS #88 to #111. Good luck!

 
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Posted: #58

@Martelxo92

 an_cheers

 
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Posted: #59

Quote Originally Posted by DrStrangelove:

Pitt -2.5 I making Pitt an official play because I orginially got them at +1.5. If Pitt was still a dog they would be considered a Trifecta Team. They are not only at home with a better D, they also play on Thursday night.

an_clap

 
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Posted: #60

Quote Originally Posted by DrStrangelove:

Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo: @DrStrangelove I was looking at your list, and I kind of scrolled through things quickly, but I didn’t see Army on the list? I have this game circled because CC is without their QB and some injuries and has James Madison on deck with a chance to win the division. I always lean toward service academies as home dogs if the number is low.  Great post(s) by the way…I agree that it looks like a bad spot for CC. The reason Army isn't the running dogs even though they rush the ball for more ypg than Coastal Carolina is CC has a better ypc at 4.2 to Army's 3.8. CC also has the better rush defense. CC gives up 4.3 ypc to Army's 5.4. Coastal has the little better SOS #88 to #111. Good luck!

Got it! I understand the system now. Good luck this weekend. 

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Posted: #61

BYU +14 1H (-118)

I'm hearing that QB Slovis and two starting RB's will be back in the lineup for BYU tomorrow. The forecast for the game is mid 40's and rain with kickoff at 9AM local time. Just a hunch that OU gets off to a bit of a slow start for this game. 

 
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Posted: #62

Nevada +13

Appy St +10

OSU/Houston under 58

 

 
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Posted: #63

SDST +16

Kansas/KSU under 61.5

 
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Posted: #64

Didn’t work out this week. I have the running dogs going 6-9 with the trifectas going 0-3. 
At least from the original list which is what I played. 

i’m going to give it another week because I believe the system will work, it makes total sense. I think I just joined on one of the losing weeks.

 
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Posted: #65

Quote Originally Posted by Martelxo92:

Didn’t work out this week. I have the running dogs going 6-9 with the trifectas going 0-3. At least from the original list which is what I played.  i’m going to give it another week because I believe the system will work, it makes total sense. I think I just joined on one of the losing weeks.
Yeah, it was a pretty brutal day. But it was bound to happen after going 58-25 the previous 5 weeks and getting just about every good break in the book. I lost some tight ones yesterday. Purdue, who was a HUGE running dog, outrushed NW 303-99, but 4 turnovers and being stopped on downs twice in the redzone killed them. Nebraska also outrushed Wisky, but freakin' Morecai went wild on them in the 2nd half. It was a tough break with Wisky getting the ball first in OT and scoring the TD. Had Nebraska got the ball first they more than likely would have at least kicked a FG and lost the game by 3 instead of a touchdown and got the cover. I missed that game by a point and the Oregon St game by a half a point. This next week won't have many running dogs. I believe 9, with a few near misses with BG, UConn, ECU, ODU & UNT, who are all now short favorites. I'll probably still consider a couple of these since I have a shot list this week.

 
 
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Posted: #66

@DrStrangelove

 The moment Wisky got that ball first in OT I had that sinking feeling. Also, when Or St kicked the field goal late I felt it was over. I thought we stole one on Syracuse only to give up a late TD as they were running out the clock.

You can play the right side and still lose. Part of the game. If you keep playing the right side eventually you come out ahead. This system was on the right side most of the time despite the record.

I look forward to this week’s pick. 

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