Coming off a brutal week 12, where money goes to die. There really wasn't anything out of the ordinary. We identified 9 of 18 actual running dogs (same as last week), they just didn't hit this week (they only went 5-4 as opposed to 8-1 last week and all 4 losses they lost the turnover battle (11-2 overall) and the other 9 which had been hitting around 47% went 2-7. Shiit happens, but it still stings a little.
** Purdue lost turnovers 4-1 and were stopped on down (SOD) twice in the red zone
*^ Went OT (lost turnovers 1-0)
*^^ Lost turnovers 3-1
**^^ Lost turnovers 3-0 including twice in plus territory (1 inside the red zone)
Note that I had a couple of running dogs (like UK) that I played early as a dog but didn't list here because they became a favorite before I posted them, and so disqualifying them from my list. But I still count them on my records because I played them. So it's just my loss and still counts on my overall record.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Coming off a brutal week 12, where money goes to die. There really wasn't anything out of the ordinary. We identified 9 of 18 actual running dogs (same as last week), they just didn't hit this week (they only went 5-4 as opposed to 8-1 last week and all 4 losses they lost the turnover battle (11-2 overall) and the other 9 which had been hitting around 47% went 2-7. Shiit happens, but it still stings a little.
** Purdue lost turnovers 4-1 and were stopped on down (SOD) twice in the red zone
*^ Went OT (lost turnovers 1-0)
*^^ Lost turnovers 3-1
**^^ Lost turnovers 3-0 including twice in plus territory (1 inside the red zone)
Note that I had a couple of running dogs (like UK) that I played early as a dog but didn't list here because they became a favorite before I posted them, and so disqualifying them from my list. But I still count them on my records because I played them. So it's just my loss and still counts on my overall record.
Running Dogs (PRD) for lucky Week 13: Just 8 this week. Nebraska would have been 9 running dogs for the week, but the line crossed zero overnight, so I can't post them. If it moves back to + I'll list them, even though the Corn seems to be snakebit when it comes to winning close games. No Trifecta Teams qualified this week. I paid a little more juice than I normally do. Mainly because we've had a couple line swings since Sunday night. Plus, being the last full slate of games for the season, I might as well spend a little money.
Eastern Michigan +7 (-117)
Air Force +6.5 (D)
Ball St. +7 (-120) (H)
Kentucky +7.5 (-118)
San Jose St +3 (D)
Arkansas St +2.5
Jax St +2.5 (slightly better YPG D)
San Diego St +6 (-121)
(D) Better Defense
(H) Home Team
0
Running Dogs (PRD) for lucky Week 13: Just 8 this week. Nebraska would have been 9 running dogs for the week, but the line crossed zero overnight, so I can't post them. If it moves back to + I'll list them, even though the Corn seems to be snakebit when it comes to winning close games. No Trifecta Teams qualified this week. I paid a little more juice than I normally do. Mainly because we've had a couple line swings since Sunday night. Plus, being the last full slate of games for the season, I might as well spend a little money.
I had Ark St and Eastern Michigan in my Road Dog System. I’m done with the Mac except for Weather play’s because I lose to ridiculously crazy shit happening, but Eastern Michigan catching a TD with a total that low in bad weather sounds appealing.
Air Force and Jax St are interesting plays too. I starting playing these recently. When an underdog has a better rating on Masseys but isn’t favored is 23-11 on the year and on a 15-2 run. Now that’s some dogs! Waiting to see if AF goes to 7.
Jax State might be a smash spot. NMS in the biggest sandwich game with Liberty on deck for the conference championship after maybe their biggest win ever vs Auburn. Jax denied bowl eligibility but if they weren’t denied, this game would determine who plays in the championship game. Jax rushed for close to 500 yards last week in their final home game in their victory. Normally I’d think this is a flat spot, but they had a bye the week prior. I think this is their Super Bowl. Love me some dogs….
Play the game. Don’t let the game play you.
0
These threads are awesome! So much good info.
I had Ark St and Eastern Michigan in my Road Dog System. I’m done with the Mac except for Weather play’s because I lose to ridiculously crazy shit happening, but Eastern Michigan catching a TD with a total that low in bad weather sounds appealing.
Air Force and Jax St are interesting plays too. I starting playing these recently. When an underdog has a better rating on Masseys but isn’t favored is 23-11 on the year and on a 15-2 run. Now that’s some dogs! Waiting to see if AF goes to 7.
Jax State might be a smash spot. NMS in the biggest sandwich game with Liberty on deck for the conference championship after maybe their biggest win ever vs Auburn. Jax denied bowl eligibility but if they weren’t denied, this game would determine who plays in the championship game. Jax rushed for close to 500 yards last week in their final home game in their victory. Normally I’d think this is a flat spot, but they had a bye the week prior. I think this is their Super Bowl. Love me some dogs….
These threads are awesome! So much good info. I had Ark St and Eastern Michigan in my Road Dog System. I’m done with the Mac except for Weather play’s because I lose to ridiculously crazy shit happening, but Eastern Michigan catching a TD with a total that low in bad weather sounds appealing. Air Force and Jax St are interesting plays too. I starting playing these recently. When an underdog has a better rating on Masseys but isn’t favored is 23-11 on the year and on a 15-2 run. Now that’s some dogs! Waiting to see if AF goes to 7. Jax State might be a smash spot. NMS in the biggest sandwich game with Liberty on deck for the conference championship after maybe their biggest win ever vs Auburn. Jax denied bowl eligibility but if they weren’t denied, this game would determine who plays in the championship game. Jax rushed for close to 500 yards last week in their final home game in their victory. Normally I’d think this is a flat spot, but they had a bye the week prior. I think this is their Super Bowl. Love me some dogs….
That's a great point with Jax St. I'm still amazed that they put up 522 yards rushing against La Tech. When you can do that to a defense who needs a QB and WR's...ha! I also like the OVER quite a bit for the game. I got it at 50, but would play it up to 52. I just don't see these two teams stopping each other's run games. But you have to ask yourself, how much is HC Jerry Kill willing to go balls to the wall to win this game with Liberty on deck and a possible conference title at stake.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo:
These threads are awesome! So much good info. I had Ark St and Eastern Michigan in my Road Dog System. I’m done with the Mac except for Weather play’s because I lose to ridiculously crazy shit happening, but Eastern Michigan catching a TD with a total that low in bad weather sounds appealing. Air Force and Jax St are interesting plays too. I starting playing these recently. When an underdog has a better rating on Masseys but isn’t favored is 23-11 on the year and on a 15-2 run. Now that’s some dogs! Waiting to see if AF goes to 7. Jax State might be a smash spot. NMS in the biggest sandwich game with Liberty on deck for the conference championship after maybe their biggest win ever vs Auburn. Jax denied bowl eligibility but if they weren’t denied, this game would determine who plays in the championship game. Jax rushed for close to 500 yards last week in their final home game in their victory. Normally I’d think this is a flat spot, but they had a bye the week prior. I think this is their Super Bowl. Love me some dogs….
That's a great point with Jax St. I'm still amazed that they put up 522 yards rushing against La Tech. When you can do that to a defense who needs a QB and WR's...ha! I also like the OVER quite a bit for the game. I got it at 50, but would play it up to 52. I just don't see these two teams stopping each other's run games. But you have to ask yourself, how much is HC Jerry Kill willing to go balls to the wall to win this game with Liberty on deck and a possible conference title at stake.
Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo: These threads are awesome! So much good info. I had Ark St and Eastern Michigan in my Road Dog System. I’m done with the Mac except for Weather play’s because I lose to ridiculously crazy shit happening, but Eastern Michigan catching a TD with a total that low in bad weather sounds appealing. Air Force and Jax St are interesting plays too. I starting playing these recently. When an underdog has a better rating on Masseys but isn’t favored is 23-11 on the year and on a 15-2 run. Now that’s some dogs! Waiting to see if AF goes to 7. Jax State might be a smash spot. NMS in the biggest sandwich game with Liberty on deck for the conference championship after maybe their biggest win ever vs Auburn. Jax denied bowl eligibility but if they weren’t denied, this game would determine who plays in the championship game. Jax rushed for close to 500 yards last week in their final home game in their victory. Normally I’d think this is a flat spot, but they had a bye the week prior. I think this is their Super Bowl. Love me some dogs….That's a great point with Jax St. I'm still amazed that they put up 522 yards rushing against La Tech. When you can do that to a defense who needs a QB and WR's...ha! I also like the OVER quite a bit for the game. I got it at 50, but would play it up to 52. I just don't see these two teams stopping each other's run games. But you have to ask yourself, how much is HC Jerry Kill willing to go balls to the wall to win this game with Liberty on deck and a possible conference title at stake.
My bad Massey's data wasn't updated until today. Air Force wasn't on there as the better ranking. Eastern Michigan was though, and I am going to play it. Damn Mac Conference pulled me back in.
Play the game. Don’t let the game play you.
0
Quote Originally Posted by DrStrangelove:
Quote Originally Posted by MrFreedo: These threads are awesome! So much good info. I had Ark St and Eastern Michigan in my Road Dog System. I’m done with the Mac except for Weather play’s because I lose to ridiculously crazy shit happening, but Eastern Michigan catching a TD with a total that low in bad weather sounds appealing. Air Force and Jax St are interesting plays too. I starting playing these recently. When an underdog has a better rating on Masseys but isn’t favored is 23-11 on the year and on a 15-2 run. Now that’s some dogs! Waiting to see if AF goes to 7. Jax State might be a smash spot. NMS in the biggest sandwich game with Liberty on deck for the conference championship after maybe their biggest win ever vs Auburn. Jax denied bowl eligibility but if they weren’t denied, this game would determine who plays in the championship game. Jax rushed for close to 500 yards last week in their final home game in their victory. Normally I’d think this is a flat spot, but they had a bye the week prior. I think this is their Super Bowl. Love me some dogs….That's a great point with Jax St. I'm still amazed that they put up 522 yards rushing against La Tech. When you can do that to a defense who needs a QB and WR's...ha! I also like the OVER quite a bit for the game. I got it at 50, but would play it up to 52. I just don't see these two teams stopping each other's run games. But you have to ask yourself, how much is HC Jerry Kill willing to go balls to the wall to win this game with Liberty on deck and a possible conference title at stake.
My bad Massey's data wasn't updated until today. Air Force wasn't on there as the better ranking. Eastern Michigan was though, and I am going to play it. Damn Mac Conference pulled me back in.
@MrFreedo I hate the Mac as well. Feels like watching a lower class high school game but I’m sticking to the system and watching tonight!
I'm not crazy about it either. You really have to keep up with the MAC and be a close follower to have success capping this conference. It's so evenly matched from top to bottom that one or two key injuries on one team can bring them down to the level of everybody else. It's almost like trying to handicap a high school game.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Martelxo92:
@MrFreedo I hate the Mac as well. Feels like watching a lower class high school game but I’m sticking to the system and watching tonight!
I'm not crazy about it either. You really have to keep up with the MAC and be a close follower to have success capping this conference. It's so evenly matched from top to bottom that one or two key injuries on one team can bring them down to the level of everybody else. It's almost like trying to handicap a high school game.
If you like NM, I recommend getting them now. I have a pretty strong hunch this line is getting ready to change. I'm already seeing it start to move down.
0
New Mexico +8.5 (-118)
New Mexico/Utah St. under 62 (-120)
If you like NM, I recommend getting them now. I have a pretty strong hunch this line is getting ready to change. I'm already seeing it start to move down.
With the status of Dillon Gabriel up in the air, I think we're going to get a pretty heavy dose of Sawchuck. He's really starting to hit his stride at RB. Both teams a little vulnerable to the run, so that's where I see these each attacking the other. Even if Gabriel starts for OU, coming off concussion protocol I don't see Lebby drawing up a bunch of QB run plays. So probably a more limited playbook. Especially if Jackson Arnold starts. TCU pretty athletic on the back end, so the Sooners will most likely have to marticulate their way down the field on the Frogs, and hopefully use some clock. Weather will most likely be a factor with temps be in the low 40's with a 70% chance of rain.
0
OU/TCU under 64.5
With the status of Dillon Gabriel up in the air, I think we're going to get a pretty heavy dose of Sawchuck. He's really starting to hit his stride at RB. Both teams a little vulnerable to the run, so that's where I see these each attacking the other. Even if Gabriel starts for OU, coming off concussion protocol I don't see Lebby drawing up a bunch of QB run plays. So probably a more limited playbook. Especially if Jackson Arnold starts. TCU pretty athletic on the back end, so the Sooners will most likely have to marticulate their way down the field on the Frogs, and hopefully use some clock. Weather will most likely be a factor with temps be in the low 40's with a 70% chance of rain.
Air Force seems like a good play. I know they’ve got a few players banged up, and haven’t looked good the last couple weeks, but if they win (and UNLV wins) they’re in the conference championship. Very possible, and catching a full touchdown now. Motivation is there.
Haven’t looked fully into it, but Old Dominion looks good too. Possibly getting into a bowl game, at home, Georgia St recently a non-covering machine, and GS coming off a brutal beating from LSU (and 3 tough games in a row).
Play the game. Don’t let the game play you.
0
Air Force seems like a good play. I know they’ve got a few players banged up, and haven’t looked good the last couple weeks, but if they win (and UNLV wins) they’re in the conference championship. Very possible, and catching a full touchdown now. Motivation is there.
Haven’t looked fully into it, but Old Dominion looks good too. Possibly getting into a bowl game, at home, Georgia St recently a non-covering machine, and GS coming off a brutal beating from LSU (and 3 tough games in a row).
Coming off a brutal week 12, where money goes to die. There really wasn't anything out of the ordinary. We identified 9 of 18 actual running dogs (same as last week), they just didn't hit this week (they only went 5-4 as opposed to 8-1 last week and all 4 losses they lost the turnover battle (11-2 overall) and the other 9 which had been hitting around 47% went 2-7. Shiit happens, but it still stings a little. YTD: 83-49 (62.88%) Week 5: 10-7Week 6: 12-6Week 7: 13-6Week # 8: 12-6Week # 9: 4-4Week # 10: 12-4Week # 11: 13-5 Week # 12: 7-11 Home Team: 1-5 (22-14 YTD)Away Team: 6-6 (61-35 YTD)With Better D: 4-7 (41-19 YTD)With Better D at Home: 1-3 … (11-4 YTD)7 points or more: 1-2 (DD were 0-1)….. 28-13 YTD (16-8 YTD) Actual: 5-4 (55-12 YTD) Pitt 197 to 154 (W) Purdue 303 to 99 (L)** Nebraska 195 to 156 (L)*^ UCLA 199 to 3 (W) NC State 188 to 124 (W) UCF 238 to 190 (W) ODU 134 to 119 (W) Oregon State 148 to 110 (L)*^^ Kentucky 122 to 50 (L)**^^ Not the ACTUAL RUNNING DOG: YTD: 28-37 (43.08%) Week # 5: 4-4Week # 6: 3-5Week # 7: 5-5Week # 8: 2-5Week # 9: 0-4Week # 10: 7-3Week # 11: 5-4 Week # 12: 2-7 Predicting the ACTUAL: 9-9 (67-65 … 50.76%) ** Purdue lost turnovers 4-1 and were stopped on down (SOD) twice in the red zone *^ Went OT (lost turnovers 1-0) *^^ Lost turnovers 3-1 **^^ Lost turnovers 3-0 including twice in plus territory (1 inside the red zone) Note that I had a couple of running dogs (like UK) that I played early as a dog but didn't list here because they became a favorite before I posted them, and so disqualifying them from my list. But I still count them on my records because I played them. So it's just my loss and still counts on my overall record.
Good luck this week!!
0
Quote Originally Posted by DrStrangelove:
Coming off a brutal week 12, where money goes to die. There really wasn't anything out of the ordinary. We identified 9 of 18 actual running dogs (same as last week), they just didn't hit this week (they only went 5-4 as opposed to 8-1 last week and all 4 losses they lost the turnover battle (11-2 overall) and the other 9 which had been hitting around 47% went 2-7. Shiit happens, but it still stings a little. YTD: 83-49 (62.88%) Week 5: 10-7Week 6: 12-6Week 7: 13-6Week # 8: 12-6Week # 9: 4-4Week # 10: 12-4Week # 11: 13-5 Week # 12: 7-11 Home Team: 1-5 (22-14 YTD)Away Team: 6-6 (61-35 YTD)With Better D: 4-7 (41-19 YTD)With Better D at Home: 1-3 … (11-4 YTD)7 points or more: 1-2 (DD were 0-1)….. 28-13 YTD (16-8 YTD) Actual: 5-4 (55-12 YTD) Pitt 197 to 154 (W) Purdue 303 to 99 (L)** Nebraska 195 to 156 (L)*^ UCLA 199 to 3 (W) NC State 188 to 124 (W) UCF 238 to 190 (W) ODU 134 to 119 (W) Oregon State 148 to 110 (L)*^^ Kentucky 122 to 50 (L)**^^ Not the ACTUAL RUNNING DOG: YTD: 28-37 (43.08%) Week # 5: 4-4Week # 6: 3-5Week # 7: 5-5Week # 8: 2-5Week # 9: 0-4Week # 10: 7-3Week # 11: 5-4 Week # 12: 2-7 Predicting the ACTUAL: 9-9 (67-65 … 50.76%) ** Purdue lost turnovers 4-1 and were stopped on down (SOD) twice in the red zone *^ Went OT (lost turnovers 1-0) *^^ Lost turnovers 3-1 **^^ Lost turnovers 3-0 including twice in plus territory (1 inside the red zone) Note that I had a couple of running dogs (like UK) that I played early as a dog but didn't list here because they became a favorite before I posted them, and so disqualifying them from my list. But I still count them on my records because I played them. So it's just my loss and still counts on my overall record.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.