Duke Game Super Easy to Handicap

Keep it simple folks... this game is super obvious. Clemson has amazing defense and strong offense. Just a few years ago, in natty contention and best team in the country. great HC. Always solid D. Just two years ago, Duke was awful. so terrible. even last year, their defense wasn't anywhere near Clemson.

And everyone is on Duke. Great QB. Strong offense. The feel good team. The underdog.

So obviously the really good team will clobber the pretend team.

In situations like these, you must always reverse handicap against the super obvious play. 

Looks very similar to the Colorado / TCU handicapping required to win this week.

Duke +13 with chance to win at 0:03 in the 4th.

Duke is a darling dog in the forum this morning.  

Actionnetwork.com, the spread.com, 71% of bets on Clemson. Whether you believe in their stats or not, suffice to say most bets will be on Clemson tonight.

if wahoos on duke he will have them +17.5

@mrusso

 good point. and thanks for bringing it up. when I say "everyone is on Duke," I am not referring to how everyone bets. Just how everyone talks.

And actually this kind of makes my case. If everyone is betting Clemson (stats and who should win), but talking about Duke (their heart/desire for underdog), then it is 99.99% of the time that the stats didn't show something that everyone knows/feels from subconsciously evaluating the stats and film. 

We see this time and time again. A game goes completely against what stats said and everyone bets. And nothing in the game was even crazy (no crazy tournovers or ref calls etc, just a regular game). And at the end, you always say, man it was so obvious. should of known. I think tomorrow there are gonna be a lot of those type of talks about what we shoulda known. I am taking Duke +13 and will find out tomorrow why (I don't know why today). 

Clemson will roll here.  Sorry bro

@jmw59

 yes 100% agree. completely know it. that's my point. not denying the stats or film at all. 99% of the time the confident plays are the ones that are dead.

it's when you you say "my team will roll, probably, but maybe not" that you win your bets. 

who cares.  You’re a baby lol. 
Calling him out about a post that he doesn’t have to share.  It has no effect on you unless you tail and submit your bet.  

Clemson gave up 28 / 30+  points on the road last year and a never resembled the team defense from a PA perspective as they did in the past 31 to SC / 35 to ND / 28 to FSU /   35 to Wake forest ..i dont think anything has changed. Duke should be able to cover the # .. Offense is not pedestrian..

GK 

dookies 

@PeAceMaKer7690

@PeAceMaKer7690

 what was the m/line.   Loll

duke mline 

You forgot the main and most important factor, Duke has a good QB, Clemson not so much.

Leonard your mother says you SUCK!

didn't see the blowout coming. i'll take the W though. 

@anthonylp

 From 350 to 500.