Posted:
#1
41-40
So why am I waiting so late to cap this game?
"All the VALUE in the line is GONE! That's awful capping!"
Not for me. I needed to win the Purdue cap and win it convincingly, to convince myself I was on the right track. 41-40 is trash but when you have your specialty teams that you have watched forever, those caps should hit more often. And with Purdue, it did just that. That made this game a green light.
So I am going to cap Rutgers right now. And the line is -5.5. And I'm going to use that line because people who don't have a bet in right now will have access to no other line! And that will be my line too. Because I bet it just now. And I am COMFORTABLE with that! Because I needed to wait and now I must deal with the period I waited, like you.
And I am going Rutgers.
Are you afraid of the 5.5? You shouldn't be. It is JUST like the -5 to -3 the Purdue line danced around. They came out and dominated a competent Ohio team and a similar thing should happen here to an extent. 5.5 is a dead number anyhow so it really is the same as -4 for all intents and purposes, which should make you slightly more comfortable.
Why is Rutgers going to cover?
1. It's a game they can't afford to lose.
This is a very big game for Ash and Rutgers.
They currently are on a 10 game losing streak. That's terrible.
They haven't started 0-2 in 13 years. Who cares about 0-2? Rutgers does. Because after moving to the Big 10 they are getting slaughtered in conference. They had an impossible game to win vs. Washington out of conference again this year, making these next 2 non-conference games MUSTS to have any respectability and make any headway toward an outside shot at a bowl (generating hope against their Big 10 rivals, which psychologically is meaningful in mid-November when teams go to die). And believe me, you'll LOVE 5.5 when you see next weeks line against Morgan State which will make your eyes pop out of your head.
Eastern Michigan is 0-38 all time vs. Big Ten Teams. A loss here will be another black stain on the Ash tenure that he can't let happen (especially in front of alumni).
From a macro-perspective, it's simply a game they can't afford to lose and really one they must walk away with with a convincing win to build any momentum toward the Big 10 schedule.
2. EMU - They won't be taken lightly.
That's the trap here...that Rutgers rests on its laurels after last weeks gutty performance, even in a loss, and underestimates EMU. Well they won't. Because Rutgers has accomplished nothing under Ash, a mere 2 wins on his resume thus far.
That assures us they won't pull a stunt like they did against Howard last year, going down 14-0 early or going down 21-0 to New Mexico.
Ash will use those very games as benchmarks to point out exactly what Rutgers should not do this year against an out of conference team.
0
have a prosperous Saturday
Hot Forum Topics
