Falcon Sports (Power Totals Model)

I’m with you on Army Ov and Timberwolves Under  

@MITM

 Been tailing and loving the angles here.

Any chance part of the evaluation process can be automated? I.e scraping results, multi-step formulas joined together, etc?

happy to help, you’ve given tons to the community here. GL today

@Kicker31

 Thanks

I've went that way in the past but this go round, I'm finding the best results come when I hand update everything. I'm older and I want to be in total control of this. 

The entire process that I do takes about 2 minutes per game. Thats everything from the updates to the line shopping to placing the wager, to emails to close associates to posting on covers. Thsts not too bad.

No matter what happens here as we move forward. I just want to say I'm mostly retired these days and I've enjoyed the past 2 weeks immensely. 

And it might end today but I've enjoyed myself. I feel like someone with a secret formula and even though those feelings may be short lived, I've enjoyed it.

Please remember for this thread, my goal is only 55% Winners.

My dream win rate would be (57.14%) Winners 

I'll be around through 150 plays and then we can look at everything. 

Good luck today guys

Falcon Sports 

MITM

Found one I think to help me with my Survivor play. Thank you 

I just analyzed the matchup and like it a lot. I can see Indiana (NBA) winning 125 - 112 or something like that ....reduce each side by 5 points if you will

Wish me luck!

Current Streak: 9    Best Streak: 10

9-1 Last 20:
14-6
Pending Picks
Date League Game Score Status Pick
Oct 28, 2023 NBA Indiana
Cleveland - OVER 224.5

@Last2thirst

 Good luck with it

Falcon Sports 

Update

Adding just one.

Saturday October 28

Oregon Over 47

Possibly more later

Falcon Sports 

Like it...LET'S GO! 

Not going to get too crazy today. I don't rush to do anything.

Falcon Sports (Power Totals)

69-41 (+23.90 units)

62.73% Winners 

To win one unit on each (-110) odds

CFB (16-17)

NHL (26-15)

NFL (7-5)

MLB (5-1)

NBA (15-3)

Complete card for October 28

Army Over 50

Oregon Over 47

Texas Over 8.5 

Vancouver Under 6

Kings Over 6

Detroit Under 218.5

New Orleans Under 225.5

Cleveland Over 223

Minnesota Under 218.5 

Phoenix Over 221.5

Thats it for today.

Falcon Sports 

Appreciate the hard work Boss...let's cash the rest of these! 

@QBUN

 Ha ha, that would be something. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Thank you!

Well the CFB totals were against us today..BUT the majority of the card is yet to come. LET'S GO!!!!! 

@QBUN

 Tell you what I learned something today.

This thread was about playing every play the model selects and not picking and choosing, which is exactly what I did.

I deserve that (0-2) start. 

I'll just suck it up from now on and run all the plays. 

My bad as we used to say. 

U have to be (all in) with what your trying to do. 

Let's see what happens tonight.

I'm not displeased with the model, I'm pissed at myself for not playing everything that qualified.

So at least I have that answer now.

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Appreciate any picks, just because your CFB is not as good, let people decide if they want to play your qualifying games, sometimes being selective does backfire, I'll bet the other picks were mostly winners on CFB ...... cest la vie ...... enjoy your Saturday ......

The more I think about it, the madder I get at myself.

I'm so stupid.

This thread was about playing every play that the model selects. Every play. 

I'm so stupid. 

I could be running the plays during the week and getting my Power Total. I didn't have to wait until Saturday morning to get my number.

This would have allowed me to spread out my work and not be hit hard on Saturday morning.

U live and learn, I guess.

Falcon Sports 

@Coben

 I'm not displeased with the model. I can live with an (0-2) Saturday in CFB.

I'm pissed because I went against what this thread was supposed to be about. 

Falcon Sports 

@Coben

 The irony also is,,,,, today would not have been a high volume day. My total was matching theirs on many games. 

Falcon Sports 

Stay focused my friend...you have done incredible work and if it was so easy, we ALL would be betting on sports and making tons of $$$. It's about navigating the ups and downs and adjusting when necessary.  

BIG NIGHT ahead.....

@QBUN

 Its also about having a plan and sticking to it, no matter what. 

I should not be picking and choosing plays in this thread. Either play them all or play none of them.

Falcon Sports 

@Last2thirst

 I got your message and answered u back.

I'll get with u before next Saturday. I'm ok the other days but Saturday is just brutal and will only get worse.

Thanks again

Falcon Sports 

Oct 28, 2023 NBA Indiana
Cleveland 125
113 Over 224.5 Win

 Thanks MITM !

My nba has been crazy good (18-4) with one more left tonight.

For tomorrow. I'll be working tomorrow morning and should have everything between 7-9 am cst.

So be here if u want lines that are close to mine.

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Don't beat yourself up!  You gotta take care of YOU too!!!  You have lots of games left!