Falcon Sports (Power Totals Model)

@TDHCentral

 Unfortunately it will always happen.

Variance in high volume situations will always occur.

142 plays in 18 days. There will be swings both up and down. 

Falcon Sports 

Stay in the fight my brotha!! LET'S GO! 

@MITM

 I'm still ahead overall!  I totally get people decided to follow you tonight, but they should understand, the losses tonight don't even get close to the winners you had!  I hope they understand that!!  I was literally playing with house money!!!

Its just the nature of this business.

I've said over and over in this thread. I hope to hit 55% Winners in here. If I hit that, I'm pleased and I mean really pleased.

55% Winners against a (-110) line is very good, when your volume is this high. 

My dream win rate is (57.14%) Winners.

I haven't kept this a secret,,,,  have I. 

The NBA has done really well up until tonight. But get this. If u remove the nba from the equation.

All the other sports combined are hitting at a rate of (55.56%) Winners. Just about what I projected.

Falcon Sports 

Don’t sweat it Falcon ……we were inline for a leveling off…….thanks for all you do. 
those who have followed know the program and those joining late will understand shortly 

most of get it… It’s not the destination, it’s the journey!!!

stay on track my friend 

Falcon Sports (Power Totals)

83-59 (+18.10 units)

58.45% Winners 

To win one unit on each at (-110) odds

CFB (16-19)

NHL (30-19)

NFL (8-9)

MLB (6-1)

NBA (23-11)

Power Totals for Halloween 

Clippers Under 220.5

Thats it today guys. Only 8 games to consider and my Power Totals model only has one to play.

Good luck guys

Falcon Sports 

Today is a pleasant little break from the heavy volume. 

Everything is better than just (right on track)

I'll enjoy the day with the grandkids and get back to work tonight.

Much like the negative regression that was expected in the NBA. We should be due some positive regression in football. We won the NFL play last night and I expect an unmoved coming in both college and professional football. Thats just my hint for you guys following.

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

Does your model account for the possibility of overtime? For example, in games where your model suggests a tight game and the under hitting, I was just thinking there could be value in placing a small bet with high odds on a high OVER total on bets in situations referenced above. This would be sort of an insurance bet just in case the game goes into overtime. The insurance wager would obviously be a fraction of the actual bet, but would assure a win in case of OT. Thoughts?

@Litig8r

 That will happen. Already has once this season.

But my HOPE is that ill win the same amount of Overs by going to OT, that it should even out.

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Hang in there. We have good days and we have bad days. ????. 

@Dental

 Its all good. I look at the big picture.

Falcon Sports 

Have a great time with the grands tonight, Falcon!!  I know they will have a great time!  Thanks so much, and enjoy your evening!

Good clean living.

Got to love those half point Winners 

Falcon Sports 

Yes Sir!! Let's GO! 

Falcon Sports (Power Totals)

84-59 (+19.10 units)

58.74% Winners 

To win one unit on each at (-110) odds

CFB (16-19)

NHL (30-19)

NFL (8-9)

MLB (6-1)

NBA (24-11)

Wednesdays Power Totals 

Arizona Over 8.5 

Colorado Under 6.5 

Atlanta Under 239

Minnesota Under 223.5

Golden St Under 234.5

Falcon Sports 

The wagers were made around 6:15 am cst. 

NBA lines are moving.

Falcon Sports 

You ever look into updated lines? Like with how they move, I am thinking a bunch become no plays?

@yanks21x

 No and why would I.

I have a set time that I like to work on this. I'm not looking at screens all day. 

Falcon Sports 

@yanks21x

Have you noticed how a lot of the lines move in the favor of @MITM's over/under total

@yanks21x

 You don't like the lines when you go to make the bet, wait and do a live bet, don't like those #'s, make it a no play for yourself.

@REXRW

CLV (closing line value),,,,, some people swear by it.

Falcon Sports 

Let's get 'em!!