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FIU vs Ark State... Write up and analysis

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Captain
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Posted: #26
 
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Posted: #27
Like the writeup and like the play.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #28
BOL David im on this one with ya. 
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by daviddaman24:


based on what?

Of course, nothing's a lock.  And in gambling, it's alarming if someone can pick 57% winners legit.  But I use a math system based on points per yard, and on that alone, it says it's gonna be a 17 point win.  That's all.
 
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Posted: #30
points per yard... interesting. And nothing else? How has that worked out for you in the past?
 
Legend
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Posted: #31
Nice write up and sounds good.
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #32

Quote Originally Posted by DickTracy:



With all that said, why are they only laying 3?

why were the jets only laying 7 last night,,,in an easy win

why were the bears only laying 1-3 points sunday night vs. vikings??

because thats what the line is!

i made some easy cash on the jets and the bears!!

thinking arky state is another winner

watch and see tonite ...arky state should win this one by a touchdown ...maybe more, but fla int will keep it close for awhile!

 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by thawv:


Of course, nothing's a lock.  And in gambling, it's alarming if someone can pick 57% winners legit.  But I use a math system based on points per yard, and on that alone, it says it's gonna be a 17 point win.  That's all.

57% ?????? It is very possible to hit 57% consistently if it were not why would we all be here??  I would love to be your bookie 
 
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Posted: #34

Very good write up!  This is exactly what I see I just didn't say it this way in my post.  LOL  Although I was thinking maybe a pk or -1.5 FIU, and I did sprinkle the ML.  GL tonight!

 

 
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Posted: #35
looks like I lost this one... Certainly didn't except Aplin to rush for nearly 3 times as many yards tonight as he had all season. No way to cap that. 
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by thawv:


Of course, nothing's a lock.  And in gambling, it's alarming if someone can pick 57% winners legit.  But I use a math system based on points per yard, and on that alone, it says it's gonna be a 17 point win.  That's all.
 
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Posted: #37
18 pts win! Really close and a blowout like you said
 
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Posted: #38
I've been wrong before, and i'll be wrong again.... Nice hit for those who cashed on Ark State 
 
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by daviddaman24:

points per yard... interesting. And nothing else? How has that worked out for you in the past?


No.  There's a few other things factored in.  What I think the line should be.  Not what I think they'll win by.  Public perception.  Line movement.  Gut feelings on lines that look too good to be true.  But the whole thing starts with the PPY system.

I just started doing it again this weekend, cuz there's just not enough games to base it on much earlier.  Saturday it went 11-5.  Sunday it went 11-5.  It may be a lot of games to most people, but I love all the action! 
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