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Freak Pics!!! (Week 1)

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Posted: #76
 
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Posted: #77
Freak,  Luv the Bama, Noles, and LSU picks.  I'll be playing them also.  I also think Ole Miss is going to have a very good year.  Vandy will slide back a little.  I think Miss covers easily based on talent alone.  Would like your opinion on USC -22, Fresno St 10, and Maryland -20.  I believe the Trojans will have a bounce back year.  Way too much talent for Hawaii to keep up with.  Even though Fresno loses Rouse, I don't think Rutgers can stay in the game.  FIU is horrible and can't see how Maryland doesn't run it up on them.  Would like your thoughts.
 
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Posted: #78
With you Sooner... 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Saturday Afternoon Games:

Alabama -18 vs. Virginia Tech  *** Max Bet ***


Jimmy, love your pics man. Would you still "Max Bet" Bama at -21?
 
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Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by MRaggs:



Jimmy, love your pics man. Would you still "Max Bet" Bama at -21?


Yes


 
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by Sabanade:

"The same goes for Pitt.  This is another "Best Bet" game for me, so I'm definitely betting on Pitt to stay below the total."

I didn't see this on your "Best Bet" list earlier, but I absolutely agree with it. I will be on Pitt Under BIG.

Btw, no biggie, but I was hoping to see how the TT Unders have done for you in the past on Week 1.



Team totals are a pain in the behind to bet, because the books don't post them until the last minute, and they hit you up for extra vig.  I don't see why the books can't come out with team totals at the same time they come out with the regular totals.  They seem to be really paranoid about TT for some reason.

I have no plans to bet any team totals at this time.  What I was saying is that I have FSU -10 as a "Best Bet."  That means I'm tacitly betting on Pitt to go UNDER their TT, and FSU to go OVER theirs.  I'm not going to actually bet the team totals.


 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by RedRockets:

Nice Card Jimmy.....On about half of those as well and currently against none


Which one are you against???


 
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Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by casheasy:

Great to see Jimmydafreak doing work. Good luck next week and all season long

 

Any lost weekends planned this year? By that I mean, any softball tourneys or road trips scheduled that would preclude you from crushing the books?

 

I like your thinking on the Ole Miss/Vandy contest. Go win the money jimmy



I could have a hiccup or two, but not aware of anything at this time.  There will certainly be some softball happening, but that really doesn't effect me during the week when I'm actually capping games.

Great to see you posting again this season casheasy. May you smash bookies this season!!! 


 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by Pdriver:

BOL jimmy. Bullish on ole miss and bearish on Pitt myself. I just dont see the Pitt offense moving the ball at all vs Florida state. Pitt QB had very pedestrian numbers 2on years ago at Rutgers. Additionally their o-line is brand new.


Agree.


 
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Posted: #85
It is that time of year again Freak, Best of luck to you always. Will be looking for your plays as usual. 
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by phancard:

It is that time of year again Freak, Best of luck to you always. Will be looking for your plays as usual. 


Damn good to see you phancard!!!


 
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Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by Spartacus10:


And there's really no close second. Not only does Jimmy know the game extremely well, but he's able to successfully carry that knowledge over to the wagering side of things, which is a huge compliment itself. Good luck this season jimmy, crush the books as usual.


Thanks for the kind words sir.


 
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Posted: #88
GL Jimmy and I look forward to all your plays and input this season
 
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Posted: #89
Bama -25.5 would equal max bet for jimmy

He loves Bama but he isn't a homer when betting, I've seen him advise playing against the Tide

This man knows his SEC guys & he's brilliant with first half totals for those using online sportsbook

.
 
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Posted: #90
Can't wait for the season to start. Best of Luck this year. 
 
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Posted: #91
two starters for oklahoma suspended for ulm game. db and de
Bob Stoops doesn't generally comment on first game suspensions, but he did confirm two suspensions for the season opener against Louisiana Monroe which could have a significant impact on the Oklahoma defense. - See more at: https://oklahoma.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1541107#sthash.XaGh2vPO.dpuf
Bob Stoops doesn't generally comment on first game suspensions, but he did confirm two suspensions for the season opener against Louisiana Monroe which could have a significant impact on the Oklahoma defense. - See more at: https://oklahoma.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1541107#sthash.XaGh2vPO.dpuf
Bob Stoops doesn't generally comment on first game suspensions, but he did confirm two suspensions for the season opener against Louisiana Monroe which could have a significant impact on the Oklahoma defense. - See more at: https://oklahoma.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1541107#sthash.XaGh2vPO.dpuf
 
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Posted: #92
still waiting on 5dimes to put their half lines up so I can follow you jimmy....know when they usually get them up anybody?
 
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Posted: #93

Sorry if I missed it, but any thoughts on Clem/UGA?

 
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Posted: #94
 GL THIS YEAR
 
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Posted: #95
hey  bama in a  7pt  teaser  with LSU  wow  gotta get that a  lock!!
 
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Posted: #96
Thanks for the info, will read more before Thurs. games. really like Bama, LSU and Fla. st Thanks again for your writeups
 
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Posted: #97
What's up Jimmy?

I unloaded on Bama -17, and -18. I also think LSU -4 is just as good of a bet - I am also on the Noles and Ole Miss- just looking at Arkansas right now- Good luck!
 
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I lurk on Covers but rarely post....just wanted to thank you for posting your insight on here.  It is very good information and I am looking forward to utilizing some of your knowledge at the window this season.
 
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Posted: #99
Hey jimmy quick question what's your opinion on ole miss vandy total really looking at the under as a decent size play I know these teams went over last year but vandy needed a miracle winning td drive at the end 
 
 
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Posted: #100
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

Bama -25.5 would equal max bet for jimmy

He loves Bama but he isn't a homer when betting, I've seen him advise playing against the Tide

This man knows his SEC guys & he's brilliant with first half totals for those using online sportsbook



I appreciate the comments Wahoo.  I don't know about brilliant.  Right now I'm just trying to cash my first ticket of the season. 

With respect to my Alabama play, if I "Max Bet" a game that means I think the game will cover by quite a bit, and history usually shows this to be the case.  Therefore, small line movements don't effect my opinion of the play.

I get asked that question all the time.  "Hey Jimmy, the line moved 1 or 2 points against your "Max Bet" play.  Should I still bet it."  The answer is yes.  If I'm confident a play will cover by DD over and above the posted line.  One or two points mean nothing to me.

In last season's Michigan game, I gave someone 16.5 points mainly to illustrate I would still make the bet at that line.  I said I would have set that line at 17.  I also gave someone Notre Dame +13.5.  Looking back on those bets we can see neither of those inflated lines were ever really in jeopardy.  Maybe a little bit in the Michigan game when the score was 34-14, but if you watched the game, Michigan never really threatened to close within 17.

So confident am I in my "Max Bet" plays that I always put one unit on the alternative line at +300.  So when it is released, I'm hoping to be able to get the an alternative line around 25 or so  Even at 25, I still really like the bet.

I have said on several occasions that if I were setting the line for the Alabama/Virginia Tech game, I would make it 24.  And even at 24, I think Alabama would cover.  That should put some perspective on my alternative line bet @ -25.

That said, I would NOT "Max Bet" this game at a line north of 23.5.  In fact I'm not sure that I would "Max Bet" it north of 21.  In other words, I would not completely throw caution to the wind and throw huge money on this game with no regard for the line whatsoever, because that's certainly not the case.

My confidence in this game is rooted in my firm belief that Alabama will score in the 40s, and that Virginia Tech will likely not score more than 7.

Best of luck this season Wahoo.  I look forward on collaborating with you on plays throughout the season.  Hopefully we can smash the books!!! 


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