Don't worry he doesn't even remember you
First of all, I just want to take a moment to thank everyone for their kind sentiments. It's a little arduous to address each post individually, but please know that I have read each and every post, and I appreciate it very much.
Off to a great start so far. Hopefully I can keep the momentum going through Saturday.
Here's the rest of my card for the week. I previously posted Arkansas +10, but that was obviously before the 1st half lines were released. +10 is the minimum number at which I would have made the play. I just locked it in at +11 however.
I may add a play or two here and there if something strikes me. I'm seriously considering a 1st half UNDER play in the Miami/Louisville game. I need to look at it a little more before I feel comfortable pulling the trigger. I just haven't had time to do it in the last few days.
Saturday Early:
5Us - Ohio State -16 @ Navy *** Best Bet ***
Saturday Afternoon:
5Us - Alabama vs. West Virginia UNDER 55 *** Best Bet ***
3Us - Alabama vs. West Virginia +26
3Us - Arkansas +11 (1st Half) @ Auburn
Saturday Evening:
5Us Idaho @ Florida - 36.5 *** Best Bet ***
3Us - LSU -5 vs. Wisconsin
1U - Florida State -18 @ Oklahoma State
Monday Evening:
3U - Miami +3 (Even) @ Louisville
There's an old saying that says if you have two quarterbacks, you have no quarterback. Now while I don't think that is true in terms of Alabama from a season-long perspective, I do think there is a measure of truth to that in terms of this particular game.
Alabama is absolutely loaded at the skill positions, so it's not that they aren't capable of exploding offensive against a weak defensive team like West Virginia. But entering week one with platooning quarterbacks and a new offensive coordinator, it's difficult for me to see Alabama hitting on all cylinders offensively in this game. Barring defensive and special teams scores, I think Alabama's high water mark is probably 35-38 points.
Defensively I expect Alabama to be very stout in this game. That said, West Virginia has a lot of talent at the skill positions as well. That in combination with Dana Holgorsen fast-paced offensive philosophy - something that as clearly been problematic for Alabama' defense the last couple of seasons - and I expect the Mountaineers to find the end zone a time or two.
Alabama will do what it takes to win the game, but I don't think they'll do much more than that. I look for something more like a 34-13 type of game.
The Alabama line is down to 22.5, and even lower at some shops. I think this is closer to where the line should be. This bears watching. If you got West Virginia @ +26 like I did, 22.5 already provides a nice middle opportunity. I won't bite, however, unless it gets to the point where I can buy it down to 20.5 or 21. If those numbers are within reach before kickoff, I would recommend biting.
I agree. The other concern is a very experienced Navy offensive line. I still think that Ohio State's size, speed, athleticism and extra preparation time will be the difference maker however.
Love UCLA this season. I think they have the best coach in the PAC 12 and are the team to beat this season. I just hate this spot. If forced to bet this game, I would side ever so slightly to the points.
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