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Freak Pics!!! (Week 10)

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Posted: #26
Love Washington myself... probably go ML on this one!
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:

is E. Mich +10 not a best bet since you think they have a legit shot at winning?


You make a great point.  Last week, after posting my Air Force/Neveda play, I fully intended to come back and elevate that play to "Best Bet" status, but then never got around to doing it.  I have seriously considered making Eastern Michigan a "Best Bet" as well.  What makes me a little hesitant is that the line I played +10 1st half (the line was +17.5 at the time) is no longer available.  Me making a play a "Best Bet" at a line that is no longer available quite frankly doesn't make a whole lot of sense.  I do consider this play a "Best Bet", but in order not to be shady about it, I would really need to re-post it a the prevailing line.  You see where I'm coming from???


 
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Posted: #28

just hit E. Mich -10 (1st half) hard at 5dimes at -120
 
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Posted: #29
*+10
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Capper007:

Looks good Jimmy!!!

I got your Alabama team winning:

Alabama 24

LSU   6

Will be interested to see if you make a play (or best bet play) on the Road game vs your bitter rival!!!



I will be posting a write-up on the Alabama game shortly. Alabama will be a "Max Bet" game for me @ anything under 10.  I think your score prediction is a very accurate one.


 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:



I will be posting a write-up on the Alabama game shortly. Alabama will be a "Max Bet" game for me @ anything under 10.  I think your score prediction is a very accurate one.



Hey good stuff Jimmy long time follower 1st post here.  What do you think the line will do from here at -8 ??  Will it back up or continue to drop?  Not sure if I should wait or hit the -8 

thanks 
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by YACKER:

Despite Ohio statiscally dominating their MAC opponents Akron, Buffao, and UMass they won those games by an average of 5.34ppg. They have a tough time separating themselves even if they are playing well. Couple that with the fact that EMU has played the much tougher schedule we are getting great value here. GL!



I agree 100% Yacker.  I posted a more extensive write-up about this on another site.

Correct Ohio has played the 4 weakest teams in the conference.  They lost one, and had a very difficult time beating the other 3.  Eastern Michigan, on the other hand, has played 4 of the best 5 teams on the MAC.  I think Eastern Michigan will be the best MAC team Ohio has faced all season.


 
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Posted: #33
BOL Freak. 



your 24-8 Best bet record is silly.  great work!



 
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Posted: #34

Cancel that freak...i bet E.M. ML +330!!!! ooops o well!!! Im dumb!!! attention to detail!!! damnit!!!

Football - 303 Eastern Michigan +330 for 1st Half

Football - 307 Middle Tennessee/Western Kentucky under 27½ -110 for 1st Half

Football - 303 Eastern Michigan +9½ -115 for 1st Half

 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Cubs07:


Hey good stuff Jimmy long time follower 1st post here.  What do you think the line will do from here at -8 ??  Will it back up or continue to drop?  Not sure if I should wait or hit the -8 

thanks 


I definitely think it drops.  I bet as much as I could on it when it opened at 7.  Not sure if it was my bet that did it, but the line immediately bumped up after I placed the bet.  Nevertheless, LSU is a huge public dog this week, and I expect the line to fall more as touts (masquerading as sharps) force feed LSU down their clients throats.


 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by Capper007:

Cancel that freak...i bet E.M. ML +330!!!! ooops o well!!! Im dumb!!! attention to detail!!! damnit!!!

Football - 303 Eastern Michigan +330 for 1st Half

Football - 307 Middle Tennessee/Western Kentucky under 27½ -110 for 1st Half

Football - 303 Eastern Michigan +9½ -115 for 1st Half



I think those are great bets Capper!!!

I was going to say, Bookmaker still has EMU @ +500 for the game.  BM doesnt' offer a 1st half ML, but I think that is a much better bet than the game ML if you can get it.



 
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Posted: #37
Jimmy, you like the LSU/Bama under? 

i pounded it at 42.  its really obvious but i just don't see it going over given the makeup of these teams...

 
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Posted: #38
Jimmy 
 
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Posted: #39
I don't think EMU ML is a good bet. OHIO is at home after a brutal loss to Miami ohio. They will win this game but covering not sure cause they haven't cover the spread at all.

I really like the under 1st half western kentucky. They got defense this year. going play this one with you. 

Thanks for insight Jimmydafreak 
 
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Posted: #40
Just curious Jimmy wha Is a max bet for you. what is the dollar amount you put on a game? How much did you put on the Bama game? I always enjoy Reading your plays good luck
 
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Posted: #41
Good Luck!      
 
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Posted: #42

Good luck with the games tonight Jimmy, love the Washington play tomorrow 

I've been looking at this VTech Mia matchup all week and for the life of me, I just can't seem to get a grasp on either team. I'm with you on the no play there too.

Bama to the bank this week  and this is coming from a huge LSU fan. Looking forward to seeing the rest of your plays this week. Something's telling me the Bama/LSU game will occupy more than just one play on your best bets/ max bets card this week  

 
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Posted: #43
BOL this week JTF
 
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Posted: #44
OHIO is playing at home and coming off a tough loss, Ohio will win tonight. I don't see them covering the spread though
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by abizzo24:

Jimmy, you like the LSU/Bama under? 

i pounded it at 42.  its really obvious but i just don't see it going over given the makeup of these teams...



I love the under.  It'll be a "Best Bet."


 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by Pho-20:

I don't think EMU ML is a good bet. OHIO is at home after a brutal loss to Miami ohio. They will win this game but covering not sure cause they haven't cover the spread at all.

I really like the under 1st half western kentucky. They got defense this year. going play this one with you. 

Thanks for insight Jimmydafreak 


I agree with what you are saying, and that's exactly why I hesitated to play it.  My predicted score for this game is Ohio 31 and ECU 27 so I do think Ohio pulls this out.  This reason why I pulled the trigger on the ML is rooted in my belief that ECU is the best MAC team Ohio has faced all season, and Ohio struggled in all 4 of their other conference games.  That makes me think ECU has a legitimate shot here.  Couple that with the value of a 5 to 1 payout and I just had to pull the trigger.  Just too good to pass up IMO.


 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by abizzo24:

BOL Freak. 



your 24-8 Best bet record is silly.  great work!





It would be even sillier if I hadn't gone 0 & 5 in week four (or whatever week it was). 




 
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Posted: #48
Hey Jimmy, with your total being 31-27 in the Ohio game, do you think EMU +9 and Over 29.5 parlay first half is a good bet? I want to parlay something with EMU first half or the complete game, what would you do?
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by KC4U2ENVY:

OHIO is playing at home and coming off a tough loss, Ohio will win tonight. I don't see them covering the spread though


Not really disagreeing with you.  I think Ohio will probably win as well.  But I do think ECU has a legitimate shot to pull the upset though.


 
 
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Posted: #50

Quote Originally Posted by bamastump:

Just curious Jimmy wha Is a max bet for you. what is the dollar amount you put on a game? How much did you put on the Bama game? I always enjoy Reading your plays good luck

Why ask? What if his max bet is $500 but the guy lives paycheck to paycheck?  Or what if it's $5000 but he's a multi-millionnaire?  Knowing a max bet without knowing his net worth is deceptive. And asking anyone their net worth is rude.

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