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    All Forums | College Football

    *** Freak Pics *** (Week 2)

    «First Previous 345 ... 111213 Next Last»
    jimmydafreak
    ceveche88
    bet2winagain
    Louis_IV
    Fools_Gold
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 71029
    Posts: 324
    «First Previous 345 ... 111213 Next Last»
     
    jimmydafreak
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 1:26 PM ET #51

    Here is a summation of all of my plays.

    Parlay:

    1U - 3-Teamer - South Alabama PK -9.5/Michigan State +14/Auburn -29.5

    Monday Night:

    3Us - Miami +3 @ Louisville

    3Us - Miami @ Louisville UNDER 27.5 (1st Half)

    Thursday Night

    3Us - Arizona -7 (Even) @ Texas-San Antonio

    Friday Night

    3Us - Washington State -2.5 @ Nevada


    Saturday Early:

    5Us - South Alabama PK @ Kent State *** Best Bet ***

    3Us - Akron +15.5 @ Penn State

    Saturday Afternoon:

    5Us - Michigan State +13 @ Oregon *** Best Bet ***

    3Us - Maryland -10 @ South Florida


    Saturday Evening:

    5Us San Jose State @ Auburn -29.5 *** Best Bet ***

    3Us - East Carolina @ South Carolina - 13.5

    3Us - Virginia Tech +12 @ Ohio State

    Saturday Late:

    3Us - Colorado State +10 @ Boise State


     

     

    Reply

    Here is a summation of all of my plays.

    Parlay:

    1U - 3-Teamer - South Alabama PK -9.5/Michigan State +14/Auburn -29.5

    Monday Night:

    3Us - Miami +3 @ Louisville

    3Us - Miami @ Louisville UNDER 27.5 (1st Half)

    Thursday Night

    3Us - Arizona -7 (Even) @ Texas-San Antonio

    Friday Night

    3Us - Washington State -2.5 @ Nevada


    Saturday Early:

    5Us - South Alabama PK @ Kent State *** Best Bet ***

    3Us - Akron +15.5 @ Penn State

    Saturday Afternoon:

    5Us - Michigan State +13 @ Oregon *** Best Bet ***

    3Us - Maryland -10 @ South Florida


    Saturday Evening:

    5Us San Jose State @ Auburn -29.5 *** Best Bet ***

    3Us - East Carolina @ South Carolina - 13.5

    3Us - Virginia Tech +12 @ Ohio State

    Saturday Late:

    3Us - Colorado State +10 @ Boise State


     

     

     
    ceveche88
    ceveche88
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 1:31 PM ET #52

    like the hokies and zips.  kind of disagree on the rams, best of luck regardless
    Reply
    like the hokies and zips.  kind of disagree on the rams, best of luck regardless
     
    bet2winagain
    bet2winagain
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 1:34 PM ET #53

    Reply
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 2:01 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by ceveche88:

    like the hokies and zips.  kind of disagree on the rams, best of luck regardless

    Apparently you're not the only one who likes Boise, as that line is now up to 11.  I felt pretty certain it would go the other way.  I'm still confident CSU will play Boise down to the wire though.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by ceveche88:

    like the hokies and zips.  kind of disagree on the rams, best of luck regardless

    Apparently you're not the only one who likes Boise, as that line is now up to 11.  I felt pretty certain it would go the other way.  I'm still confident CSU will play Boise down to the wire though.

     
    Louis_IV
    Louis_IV
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 2:16 PM ET #55

    gl freak
    Reply
    gl freak
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 2:49 PM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by wmevans1976:

    GL this week Freak. Love the picks. 
    What did you take away from the Vols last night?
    Looks to me like they are way ahead of schedule but can't tell if the weak run game of UT last night was just the strength of Utah State's def middle, or if it is a weakness of UT.

    What did you think?

    First of all I have tremendous amount of respect for Butch Jones as a football coach.  I think he was a great hire.  I think he's a guy who will get Tennessee in the mix of SEC East sooner rather than later.  Tennessee is hungry to be competitive again, from the administration on down to the fan, and everyone in between.

    When looking at Tennessee's schedule, last night was pretty much a MUST WIN game for Tennessee.  Losing to a team like Utah State in their home opener would have been a huge setback for that program in more ways than one.  You can pretty much say the same thing about next week's game against Arkansas State.  Given the urgency of last night's game, I seriously considered a wager on Tennessee, but the 5.5 points scared me a little, so I went with a 2-team, 7-point teaser instead.  I had Tennessee +1.5 last night, and have Miami +10.5 tonight.

    Going in, I didn't think Utah State would leave Neyland Stadium with a win, but I did think there was a good chance that Chucky Keaton would give the Vols a run for their money.  Obviously that wasn't the case.

    This game leaves us in a typical Week 1 predicament:  is Tennessee really that good, or is Utah State really that inept?  Or is it somewhere in between?  Inexperienced bettors tend to overreact to big wins and humiliating losses, so I'm not ready to pronounce Tennessee legitimate contenders in the SEC East, nor am I prepared to put Utah State humanly down like a rabid dog.

    That said, I was very impressed with the tenacity of Tennessee's defense.  They consistently set up Tennessee's offense in great field position, only to watch them squander golden opportunity after golden opportunity.  I felt like this may be one of those games where a team repeatedly keeps the opposing team in the game, only to have that team come back and make a run in the 4th quarter.  The Vol's defense was having none of that however.

    Offensively I thought Tennessee was a little too pass happy.  They were clearly out-of-sync in the 1st half, but that's not really that unexpected in the 1st half of the 1st game of the season.  Worley seemed to have settle down nicely in the 2nd half.  They were also more balanced in the 2nd half, which I also think helped open things up for Worley and the offense.

    Tennessee is definitely a team to keep an eye on for some wagering opportunities.  They looked like a team that will get better and better each week.  I think we'll know a lot more about Tennessee after their week 3 road trip to Norman, Oklahoma.  At this point I don't think they'll embarrass themselves.  That game shapes up to be the kind of game where Tennessee will hang really tough in the 1st half, and then probably fade late in the game.

     

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wmevans1976:

    GL this week Freak. Love the picks. 
    What did you take away from the Vols last night?
    Looks to me like they are way ahead of schedule but can't tell if the weak run game of UT last night was just the strength of Utah State's def middle, or if it is a weakness of UT.

    What did you think?

    First of all I have tremendous amount of respect for Butch Jones as a football coach.  I think he was a great hire.  I think he's a guy who will get Tennessee in the mix of SEC East sooner rather than later.  Tennessee is hungry to be competitive again, from the administration on down to the fan, and everyone in between.

    When looking at Tennessee's schedule, last night was pretty much a MUST WIN game for Tennessee.  Losing to a team like Utah State in their home opener would have been a huge setback for that program in more ways than one.  You can pretty much say the same thing about next week's game against Arkansas State.  Given the urgency of last night's game, I seriously considered a wager on Tennessee, but the 5.5 points scared me a little, so I went with a 2-team, 7-point teaser instead.  I had Tennessee +1.5 last night, and have Miami +10.5 tonight.

    Going in, I didn't think Utah State would leave Neyland Stadium with a win, but I did think there was a good chance that Chucky Keaton would give the Vols a run for their money.  Obviously that wasn't the case.

    This game leaves us in a typical Week 1 predicament:  is Tennessee really that good, or is Utah State really that inept?  Or is it somewhere in between?  Inexperienced bettors tend to overreact to big wins and humiliating losses, so I'm not ready to pronounce Tennessee legitimate contenders in the SEC East, nor am I prepared to put Utah State humanly down like a rabid dog.

    That said, I was very impressed with the tenacity of Tennessee's defense.  They consistently set up Tennessee's offense in great field position, only to watch them squander golden opportunity after golden opportunity.  I felt like this may be one of those games where a team repeatedly keeps the opposing team in the game, only to have that team come back and make a run in the 4th quarter.  The Vol's defense was having none of that however.

    Offensively I thought Tennessee was a little too pass happy.  They were clearly out-of-sync in the 1st half, but that's not really that unexpected in the 1st half of the 1st game of the season.  Worley seemed to have settle down nicely in the 2nd half.  They were also more balanced in the 2nd half, which I also think helped open things up for Worley and the offense.

    Tennessee is definitely a team to keep an eye on for some wagering opportunities.  They looked like a team that will get better and better each week.  I think we'll know a lot more about Tennessee after their week 3 road trip to Norman, Oklahoma.  At this point I don't think they'll embarrass themselves.  That game shapes up to be the kind of game where Tennessee will hang really tough in the 1st half, and then probably fade late in the game.

     

     
    Fools_Gold
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 3:22 PM ET #57

    Freak!

    Excellent info... thank you for all your help!

    What's your prognosis for Maryland?

    Is this the year they take a big step forward under Edsall?  Maybe a mid-tier bowl?
    Reply
    Freak!

    Excellent info... thank you for all your help!

    What's your prognosis for Maryland?

    Is this the year they take a big step forward under Edsall?  Maybe a mid-tier bowl?
     
    wmevans1976
    wmevans1976
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 3:52 PM ET #58

    Yeah, I have been telling all of my Bama brethren that (living here in Nashville as a transplant from TTown) everything I have been hearing out of KVille has been great and that UT is heading in the right direction. You can definitely tell that the kids have bought in to his system and they always say great things about him. It is one of those situations that you just never know what they will look like out of the gate because of their youth but looks to me like they are on the right path. 
    I mentioned before the game that they would have to come out passing to set up the run game bc Utah St main weakness is their DB. 
    Anyway, thanks for all the input!!!
    Reply
    Yeah, I have been telling all of my Bama brethren that (living here in Nashville as a transplant from TTown) everything I have been hearing out of KVille has been great and that UT is heading in the right direction. You can definitely tell that the kids have bought in to his system and they always say great things about him. It is one of those situations that you just never know what they will look like out of the gate because of their youth but looks to me like they are on the right path. 
    I mentioned before the game that they would have to come out passing to set up the run game bc Utah St main weakness is their DB. 
    Anyway, thanks for all the input!!!
     
    Sabanade
    Sabanade
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 5:21 PM ET #59

    What would you guess the OU UT spread will be? I think Stoops makes a major statement and absolutely wood-sheds UT by 30+
    Reply
    What would you guess the OU UT spread will be? I think Stoops makes a major statement and absolutely wood-sheds UT by 30+
     
    ceveche88
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 6:06 PM ET #60

    also strongly agree with you on the terps.  good lawd what has happened to the bulls over the last few years!
    Reply
    also strongly agree with you on the terps.  good lawd what has happened to the bulls over the last few years!
     
    chad77
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 6:42 PM ET #61

    Thanks for the hard work Freak ! Do you post picks for the NFL also? 
    RTR
    Reply
    Thanks for the hard work Freak ! Do you post picks for the NFL also? 
    RTR
     
    motowner
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 6:49 PM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by ceveche88:

    also strongly agree with you on the terps.  good lawd what has happened to the bulls over the last few years!


    simple - they caved to pressure and got rid of Jim Leavitt. meanwhile he keeps producing stud LB's for the 49ers no matter where the player was drafted.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ceveche88:

    also strongly agree with you on the terps.  good lawd what has happened to the bulls over the last few years!


    simple - they caved to pressure and got rid of Jim Leavitt. meanwhile he keeps producing stud LB's for the 49ers no matter where the player was drafted.
     
    Jaboo5Noles
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 6:57 PM ET #63

    Great job freak. Any clue why line UM +4.5 now did I miss something with injury or suspension? Seems like big move
    Reply
    Great job freak. Any clue why line UM +4.5 now did I miss something with injury or suspension? Seems like big move
     
    broncofn
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 8:40 PM ET #64

    I respect everything you do.  I am a last second player who watches the lines before I place a bet.  You know your plays almost a week in advance and that is awesome.

    Keep doing what you do!
    Reply
    I respect everything you do.  I am a last second player who watches the lines before I place a bet.  You know your plays almost a week in advance and that is awesome.

    Keep doing what you do!
     
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 8:42 PM ET #65

    Jimmy, that 1st half under is looking good 
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
    Reply
    Jimmy, that 1st half under is looking good 
     
    chad77
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 8:46 PM ET #66

    Freak, would you still take Maryland at -11 ? And would it still be a 3U play ?? Tia.... RTR
    Reply
    Freak, would you still take Maryland at -11 ? And would it still be a 3U play ?? Tia.... RTR
     
    EatWeights
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 9:28 PM ET #67

    I like the card jimmy
    Reply
    I like the card jimmy
     
    chad77
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 9:39 PM ET #68

    Under 27.5 1st half  Atta boy jimmy 
    Reply
    Under 27.5 1st half  Atta boy jimmy 
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 9:42 PM ET #69

    Adding:

    3Us - Miami @ Louisville -2.5 (2nd Half) (EVEN)

     

    Reply

    Adding:

    3Us - Miami @ Louisville -2.5 (2nd Half) (EVEN)

     

     
    syracusejoe
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 9:53 PM ET #70

    This creates a bad middle for you doesn't it?
    Reply
    This creates a bad middle for you doesn't it?
     
    The_BigDog
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 9:53 PM ET #71

    great card Jimmy
    Reply
    great card Jimmy
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 9:57 PM ET #72

    Adding:

    .5U - Virginia Tech UDML +344 @ Ohio State

    I will also add the 1st half UNDER in this game as a "Best Bet" when it is released.

    I will also play Michigan State on the ML when that is released.

     

    Reply

    Adding:

    .5U - Virginia Tech UDML +344 @ Ohio State

    I will also add the 1st half UNDER in this game as a "Best Bet" when it is released.

    I will also play Michigan State on the ML when that is released.

     

     
    WISEGUY36
    WISEGUY36
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2012
    Posts: 34171
    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 9:59 PM ET #73

       
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
    Reply
       
     
    jimmydafreak
    jimmydafreak
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 13951
    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 10:01 PM ET #74

    Quote Originally Posted by syracusejoe:

    This creates a bad middle for you doesn't it?

    It doesn't create a bad middle for my in my un-posted 2-team teaser where I have Miami +10.5.  Any Louisville win between 7-10 points hits both wagers.

    As far as my Miami +3 and Louisville -2.5
    (2nd half) bets are concerned, both were played at EVEN, so they will cancel each other if Louisville wins by 7 or more.

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by syracusejoe:

    This creates a bad middle for you doesn't it?

    It doesn't create a bad middle for my in my un-posted 2-team teaser where I have Miami +10.5.  Any Louisville win between 7-10 points hits both wagers.

    As far as my Miami +3 and Louisville -2.5
    (2nd half) bets are concerned, both were played at EVEN, so they will cancel each other if Louisville wins by 7 or more.

     

     
     
    jimmydafreak
    jimmydafreak
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 13951
    Posted: Sep. 1, 2014 - 10:03 PM ET #75

    Quote Originally Posted by chad77:

    Freak, would you still take Maryland at -11 ? And would it still be a 3U play ?? Tia.... RTR

    Yes.  I think they will boat race USF.

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by chad77:

    Freak, would you still take Maryland at -11 ? And would it still be a 3U play ?? Tia.... RTR

    Yes.  I think they will boat race USF.

     

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