🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

@fubah2

 Good job!

FRISCO BOWL, Dec 16

10 - 2 Memphis vs 6 - 6 Mountaineers

My view...

I say this in every sport, every year: a given team's win/loss record can often be deceptive, particularly when making comparisons. WE HAVE TO LOOK CLOSELY AT WHO THEY PLAYED TO ACHIEVE THAT RECORD (and/or associated stats)

After doing so, this is a roughly even matchup on a neutral field.

Only significant IMPACT player missing will be WVA linebacker Trotter. #2 WR Ray is also out but NOT a big loss on a running team and they've had 2 games to adapt to his absence.
All the other "transfers" we've read about are NON-impact backups.
Interim coach? Iffy how much impact this will be, if any.

It's the final game for many seniors and they all know they are playing in front of prime-time cameras.

With Trotter out, line should be about Memphis -2.5

LEANING Mountaineers ...I see value there PROVIDED they play their usual game and barring unforeseen imbalance of lucky/bad breaks....but watch & wait for possible in-game bet for me...

gl 

YTD:  184 - 91           (73 - 28 *Best Bets)

@DrStrangelove

 TY, sir!    BoL with your bets tonight!!

West Virginia already at a disadvantage interim coach, major injuries, players already left for portal, giving up on last game and Memphis firing on all cylinders offensively and defensively. Give me Memphis -5. West Virginia already bagged this season.

@fubah2

 They are not benefitting from a "lucky" turnover, Memphis is by far the better team. Just like I said West Virginia has already bagged this season easy money tonite.

yup    lucky break gets them a free fg  

@KellyM_1964

 You both talk about lucky breaks. Give me a break Memphis clearly the better team.

@fubah2

great work  

Yes, and another HUGE LUCKY BREAK for Memphis now because  Mountaineers star RB out with a hamstring

Just face the facts, Memphis is the better team tonight. They are going to win and cover. Enough with the " lucky breaks" they happen either way every game. They are part of the game.

wow    that sucks for wvirginia

lucky for memphis

wow    that sucks for wvirginia

lucky for memphis

On Wednesday,

Hilltoppers really suffering with player issues!

So....despite playing without their BEST defensive player, and their top OT, and their #2 WR,  and despite losing their best RB to a hammy, and despite being penalized much more than Memphis, and despite a fortunate turnover that gave Memphis 3 pts,  and after an equal # possessions, and despite an UNforced break which cost them a PAT, and despite another very lucky break when Clement drops a wide open TD pass . . .

it's mid 4Q now   42 - 37

but

WVA has 8 more first downs and 65 more net yds.

Memphis might win SU and good for them........ but WVA deserves a cover playing slightly BETTER than Memphis

Conference Championships:  10 - 3   (6 - 1 *Best Bets)

Post-season Bowls & Playoffs:  1 - 0   (S.Alabama)

YTD:  184 - 91           (73 - 28 *Best Bets)

@pjlvio

NICE CALL FUB

@fubah2

 #2942

Madison and UNLV, buy a few pts 

Dec 18 bets . . .

UNLV ml -157 *BB  pinnacle

UNLV -1.0 -153  *BB  pinnacle

UNLV -1.5 -144  *BB pinnacle 

UNLV -2.0 -138  *BB  pinnacle

Cal starting QB and best WR will not play. Uncertain about who the backup QB will be to play as Rogers is highly questionable due to lingering injury. Obviously bad news for the Bears.  Ta boot, I had UNLV rated better than CAL to begin with.  Of course anything can happen to the best laid plans...fluky breaks, turnovers, untimely BAD penalties, and of course game-altering INJURIES!!... but I'm sticking with the probabilities here.

@yourpalhal

 TY, HAL!  Good to see ya again.  Hope all is well! BoL with your bets!

@yourpalhal

 TY, HAL!  Good to see ya again.  Hope all is well! BoL with your bets!