Georgia vs TCU

Hope you fellas are doing well. Another season in the books. A great bowl season too

If this wasn't the last game of the season, it might be a pass for me. The line is right. Georgia with experience all around and the way better defense....offenses are are pretty close....gotta give UGA a edge with Bowers though....Miller won't be 100% which is unfortunate for TCU....I may be in the vast minority, but I'll take Sonny Dykes over Kirby Smart. I think Georgia will play this game much similar to the Tennessee game....slowing it way down. They almost (and should have) lost to Ohio St because they tried to play fast (partly because they were trailing)....but when that occurs, strange things can happen. Momentum is huge in college sports, and if Georgia allows TCU to get rolling they are rolling the dice. Im not sure Kirby Smart is any better than Harbaugh....both have superior talent due to the school they coach, but often get out coached. So will Dykes and his coordinators make it happen? Georgia had trouble with Kent St, Mizzou and Kentucky....While I'm not comparing those teams to TCU, it does illustrate that UGA isn't invulnerable......

Be back in a bit with plays and props.....

Nothing crazy tonight. Lot of action bets. 

TCU +14.5 -130

TCU/Georgia U63.5

1st score is:

TCU TD +300

TCU FG +600

Georgia FG +550

Duggan O234.5 passing yards

Duggan O20.5 completions

Duggan O1.5 passing tds

Barber O36.5 receiving yards

Davis O28.5 receiving yards

McIntosh O26.5 receiving yards

McIntosh O65.5 rushing yards

Bowers O4.5 receptions

Bowers O65.5 receiving yards

Really like the Bowers props. The TCU 3-3-5 defense is meant to keep everything in front and helps the corners. The problem lies if the other team has a good running game and can attack the middle of the field....which is exact what Georgia is built to do. I might add more Bowers stuff today (tds props etc)....

Also small Duggan MVP +475....If TCU were to pull the "miracle" off....Duggan is gonna have to play amazing. I dont think TCU can/will run the ball effectively at all....so its all in Max's hands....So the MVP bet has more value than the TCU ML at +350ish....

Again, nothing crazy. If this game was in October I would probably pass.....

Be safe out there.

good luck tonite buddy 

If somebody is leaning the Dogs to win it all, rather than laying the points, would Bennett at -150 MVP odds make the most sense? 

good luck today Train! Thanks for everything you do

i HATE playing public dogs and the trippy toads certainly qualify. however i just dont see them getting rolled. in fact, i wouldnt be surprised to see them win. your duggan mvp play is a lock if they wim, at much better money… love it.

your take on the Xs & Os matchup is spot on. perhaps that’s why the fat line.

in the end, i think the game ends around the number, so i intend on buying to 14.5 as well. im actually thinking of buying tcu to +17.5 @ -178… possibly avoiding last minute bs

good luck brother.

6 has been the lifeblood of that team for two years, they never actually feed him enough. 

Wonder what the over/under is on how many times in the last week Sonny Dykes has watched the replay of the Georgia/Ohio State game? 50 maybe? 60?

I think the QB that ad libs the best and makes plays out of nothing will win this game. Gonna be fun to watch and see what happens.

BOL tonight...purple is my favorite color.

RT2

GL Buddy. I think I'm gonna pass .

@TRAIN69

 FD has lots of CFB player specials, seems like really good value.

One is McKintosh 30 yards rushing each half +330

Bowers 50 yards receiving each half is +1000

Best of Luck Train, with you with TCU!!

Thanks for stopping by brother! 

Good luck brother and feel like guys like Bryce and Stroud are the type of QB's that give Dawgs fits on the back end, which is their weakness to me and that Duggan as much as I like him is not that kind of guy that can wheel and deal and throw from anywhere on field, but love the Frogs as a whole...

Could be wrong, which I usually am, but def lean Dawgs here at 13.5, but would rather see you clean house regardless as I have another stack to set aside for NFL playoffs and am just patiently waiting for something that fits that criteria...

That is of course unless I can hit something big in-game and then all bets are off and only my bank account matters 

God bless brother and hope you and your fam are well

I think everyone knows how I feel about him lol

@Oktoberfestlax4

 He doesn't roll out of pocket and throw as good... but he rolls of pocket and RUNS. which he does better than Shroud. 

So it will be interesting. 

@TRAIN69

 I really as you pointed out feel the Miller injury is key to this game. If Demercado has to shoulder the load it will be very tough for TCU unless he can have a repeat performance. Then again for all we know Miller runs on to the field and plays the game his life. Teams and coaches just love to sandbag and keep the other team guessing. I will be looking at your prop bets and play a few. Other than that, I cannot get a good read on this game side or total.  

 I've got the over along with TCU & over teased......just a unit each. If both teams play well it should be a good game.

 GL tonite Train.

@TRAIN69

 I will say this . Stanton doesn't have to have a great game for Georgia to win . For TCU to win I feel Duggan will have to be on fire.

Yes sir TCU Horned Frogs