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Georgia vs TCU

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TRAIN69

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Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 11:09 AM ET #1

Hope you fellas are doing well. Another season in the books. A great bowl season too an_boggienight

If this wasn't the last game of the season, it might be a pass for me. The line is right. Georgia with experience all around and the way better defense....offenses are are pretty close....gotta give UGA a edge with Bowers though....Miller won't be 100% which is unfortunate for TCU....I may be in the vast minority, but I'll take Sonny Dykes over Kirby Smart. I think Georgia will play this game much similar to the Tennessee game....slowing it way down. They almost (and should have) lost to Ohio St because they tried to play fast (partly because they were trailing)....but when that occurs, strange things can happen. Momentum is huge in college sports, and if Georgia allows TCU to get rolling they are rolling the dice. Im not sure Kirby Smart is any better than Harbaugh....both have superior talent due to the school they coach, but often get out coached. So will Dykes and his coordinators make it happen? Georgia had trouble with Kent St, Mizzou and Kentucky....While I'm not comparing those teams to TCU, it does illustrate that UGA isn't invulnerable......

Be back in a bit with plays and props.....

an_cheers

TRAIN69

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Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 12:39 PM ET #2

Nothing crazy tonight. Lot of action bets.

TCU +14.5 -130

TCU/Georgia U63.5

1st score is:

TCU TD +300

TCU FG +600

Georgia FG +550

Duggan O234.5 passing yards

Duggan O20.5 completions

Duggan O1.5 passing tds

Barber O36.5 receiving yards

Davis O28.5 receiving yards

McIntosh O26.5 receiving yards

McIntosh O65.5 rushing yards

Bowers O4.5 receptions

Bowers O65.5 receiving yards

Really like the Bowers props. The TCU 3-3-5 defense is meant to keep everything in front and helps the corners. The problem lies if the other team has a good running game and can attack the middle of the field....which is exact what Georgia is built to do. I might add more Bowers stuff today (tds props etc)....

Also small Duggan MVP +475....If TCU were to pull the "miracle" off....Duggan is gonna have to play amazing. I dont think TCU can/will run the ball effectively at all....so its all in Max's hands....So the MVP bet has more value than the TCU ML at +350ish....

Again, nothing crazy. If this game was in October I would probably pass.....

Be safe out there. an_cheers

sportschat

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Joined: May, 2009

Posts: 16491

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 12:46 PM ET #3

good luck tonite buddy an_cheers

UnrankedChamp

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Posts: 1934

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 12:47 PM ET #4

If somebody is leaning the Dogs to win it all, rather than laying the points, would Bennett at -150 MVP odds make the most sense?

good luck today Train! Thanks for everything you do

TRAIN69

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Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 12:56 PM ET #5

Quote Originally Posted by UnrankedChamp:

If somebody is leaning the Dogs to win it all, rather than laying the points, would Bennett at -150 MVP odds make the most sense? good luck today Train! Thanks for everything you do

I believe you are correct. I guess McIntosh could have a monster game, but other than that, I dont think any receiver can will because Bennett will be supplying the ball....

peace_5

nitprowlr

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Posts: 1116

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 12:58 PM ET #6

i HATE playing public dogs and the trippy toads certainly qualify. however i just dont see them getting rolled. in fact, i wouldnt be surprised to see them win. your duggan mvp play is a lock if they wim, at much better money… love it.

your take on the Xs & Os matchup is spot on. perhaps that’s why the fat line.

in the end, i think the game ends around the number, so i intend on buying to 14.5 as well. im actually thinking of buying tcu to +17.5 @ -178… possibly avoiding last minute bs

good luck brother.

jwheels86

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Posts: 16181

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 12:58 PM ET #7

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Quote Originally Posted by UnrankedChamp: If somebody is leaning the Dogs to win it all, rather than laying the points, would Bennett at -150 MVP odds make the most sense? good luck today Train! Thanks for everything you do I believe you are correct. I guess McIntosh could have a monster game, but other than that, I dont think any receiver can will because Bennett will be supplying the ball....

6 has been the lifeblood of that team for two years, they never actually feed him enough.

RebelTell2

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Joined: Jul, 2007

Posts: 3324

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:15 PM ET #8

clover

Wonder what the over/under is on how many times in the last week Sonny Dykes has watched the replay of the Georgia/Ohio State game? 50 maybe? 60?

I think the QB that ad libs the best and makes plays out of nothing will win this game. Gonna be fun to watch and see what happens.

BOL tonight...purple is my favorite color.

RT2

cheeser

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Posts: 1444

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:16 PM ET #9

GL Buddy. I think I'm gonna pass .

pollockanesian

PeAceMaKer7690

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Joined: Aug, 2021

Posts: 2455

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:19 PM ET #10

@TRAIN69

FD has lots of CFB player specials, seems like really good value.

One is McKintosh 30 yards rushing each half +330

Bowers 50 yards receiving each half is +1000

phancard

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Posts: 3705

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:21 PM ET #11

Best of Luck Train, with you with TCU!! peace_5

TRAIN69

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Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:24 PM ET #12

Quote Originally Posted by sportschat:

good luck tonite buddy

TRAIN69

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Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:29 PM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by nitprowlr:

i HATE playing public dogs and the trippy toads certainly qualify. however i just dont see them getting rolled. in fact, i wouldnt be surprised to see them win. your duggan mvp play is a lock if they wim, at much better money… love it. your take on the Xs & Os matchup is spot on. perhaps that’s why the fat line. in the end, i think the game ends around the number, so i intend on buying to 14.5 as well. im actually thinking of buying tcu to +17.5 @ -178… possibly avoiding last minute bs good luck brother.

I never look at stuff like "who the public is on" & "% of bets"... literally useless info. I might try and tease TCU +20.5 with an nfl game before I laid -178 for the 17.5....

Thanks for stopping by brother! an_cheers

TRAIN69

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Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:30 PM ET #14

Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Quote Originally Posted by UnrankedChamp: If somebody is leaning the Dogs to win it all, rather than laying the points, would Bennett at -150 MVP odds make the most sense? good luck today Train! Thanks for everything you do I believe you are correct. I guess McIntosh could have a monster game, but other than that, I dont think any receiver can will because Bennett will be supplying the ball.... 6 has been the lifeblood of that team for two years, they never actually feed him enough.

I concur. Never been a fan if Kirby Smart....I just think he surrounded himself with the right people. peace_5

Oktoberfestlax4

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Posts: 1037

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:42 PM ET #15

Good luck brother and feel like guys like Bryce and Stroud are the type of QB's that give Dawgs fits on the back end, which is their weakness to me and that Duggan as much as I like him is not that kind of guy that can wheel and deal and throw from anywhere on field, but love the Frogs as a whole...

Could be wrong, which I usually am, but def lean Dawgs here at 13.5, but would rather see you clean house regardless as I have another stack to set aside for NFL playoffs and am just patiently waiting for something that fits that criteria...

That is of course unless I can hit something big in-game and then all bets are off and only my bank account matters an_roll_laugh

God bless brother and hope you and your fam are well

peace_5

TRAIN69

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Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:44 PM ET #16

Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:

Wonder what the over/under is on how many times in the last week Sonny Dykes has watched the replay of the Georgia/Ohio State game? 50 maybe? 60? I think the QB that ad libs the best and makes plays out of nothing will win this game. Gonna be fun to watch and see what happens. BOL tonight...purple is my favorite color. RT2

jwheels86

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Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 16181

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:50 PM ET #17

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86: Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Quote Originally Posted by UnrankedChamp: If somebody is leaning the Dogs to win it all, rather than laying the points, would Bennett at -150 MVP odds make the most sense? good luck today Train! Thanks for everything you do I believe you are correct. I guess McIntosh could have a monster game, but other than that, I dont think any receiver can will because Bennett will be supplying the ball.... 6 has been the lifeblood of that team for two years, they never actually feed him enough. I concur. Never been a fan if Kirby Smart....I just think he surrounded himself with the right people.

I think everyone knows how I feel about him lol

TRAIN69

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Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:51 PM ET #18

Quote Originally Posted by PeAceMaKer7690:

@TRAIN69 FD has lots of CFB player specials, seems like really good value. One is McKintosh 30 yards rushing each half +330 Bowers 50 yards receiving each half is +1000

TRAIN69

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Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:51 PM ET #19

Quote Originally Posted by cheeser:

GL Buddy. I think I'm gonna pass .

Nothing wrong with sitting out. peace_5

TRAIN69

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Posts: 55587

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:52 PM ET #20

Quote Originally Posted by Oktoberfestlax4:

Good luck brother and feel like guys like Bryce and Stroud are the type of QB's that give Dawgs fits on the back end, which is their weakness to me and that Duggan as much as I like him is not that kind of guy that can wheel and deal and throw from anywhere on field, but love the Frogs as a whole... Could be wrong, which I usually am, but def lean Dawgs here at 13.5, but would rather see you clean house regardless as I have another stack to set aside for NFL playoffs and am just patiently waiting for something that fits that criteria... That is of course unless I can hit something big in-game and then all bets are off and only my bank account matters God bless brother and hope you and your fam are well

I won't be surprised at all of you are correct at the Dawgs roll. Hope you and yours are good as well brother. an_cheers

PeAceMaKer7690

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Posts: 2455

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 1:57 PM ET #21

@Oktoberfestlax4

He doesn't roll out of pocket and throw as good... but he rolls of pocket and RUNS. which he does better than Shroud.

So it will be interesting.

gotime

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Joined: Dec, 2007

Posts: 2869

Posted: Jan. 9, 2023 - 2:19 PM ET #22

@TRAIN69

I really as you pointed out feel the Miller injury is key to this game. If Demercado has to shoulder the load it will be very tough for TCU unless he can have a repeat performance. Then again for all we know Miller runs on to the field and plays the game his life. Teams and coaches just love to sandbag and keep the other team guessing. I will be looking at your prop bets and play a few. Other than that, I cannot get a good read on this game side or total.