GOPHERS @ PURDUE: 5-1 ATS Capping Purdue Last year and This year

Question

50-51My only slip up was Penn State last year...And we are going to win the Purdue team total of over 2.5 wins as well.Short Write-up because I&#x27;m busy in the Penalty Box.1. I get the line I want.This was 3.5 all week and went to 4 and now is down to 3 on 5 Dimes.2. This Purdue team may be far better than we think.They barely lost to Louisville (a pick-6 sealing the Boilers fate late) as 26.5 pt dogs (books severely underrated them); they crushed Ohio (books underrated them again with Purdue only laying 5 at home); they destroyed Missouri on the road at 7.5 point dogs (books underrated them yet again); they failed to cover against Michigan as 10 pt dogs, yet lead for 3.5 quarters and forgivably and expectedly gave it up late on big plays.So why wouldn&#x27;t the books underrate them here too at -3? I think they are which is in part, impetus for the play.3. What have the Gophers proven?They beat a below average Buffalo team by 10; crushed Oregon State who is among the worst power 5 teams in the country; and crushed MTSU, their most impressive win; then they promptly went out and lost straight up to a 3rd string QB against Maryland.Game for game, Purdue is more impressive.4. Gophers are all banged up in the secondary."Winfield is all but certain to miss Saturday&#x2019;s game, and that will be huge for the Gophers secondary. Also, McGhee won&#x2019;t play because of the suspension. The secondary, which will start true freshman Ken Handy-Holly at one safety, will be tested like it was against Maryland, if not more."5. Purdue will be missing two D Lineman due to first half suspensions.So Minny will look to pound the ball early in their absence. If Purdue goes into the half with the lead and gets their two leading D-Lineman back (one is Bentley), that is a very good sign. But expect Minny&#x27;s rushing yards to be high in the first half.6. Purdue off a bye.I trust Brohm with two weeks to be creative enough against this team to get them over .500. This is not the Minnesota teams of year&#x27;s past.7. Honoring Joe TillerPurdue&#x27;s winningest coach just passed away this week. It will be a highly emotional charged atmosphere with a big turnout like the Michigan game. Against a team that&#x27;s vastly inferior. That&#x27;s a very good thing.All these factors have me laying the 3.PURDUE -3 over GOPHERS

scalabrine · Answer

50-51My only slip up was Penn State last year...And we are going to win the Purdue team total of over 2.5 wins as well.Short Write-up because I&#x27;m busy in the Penalty Box.1. I get the line I want.This was 3.5 all week and went to 4 and now is down to 3 on 5 Dimes.2. This Purdue team may be far better than we think.They barely lost to Louisville (a pick-6 sealing the Boilers fate late) as 26.5 pt dogs (books severely underrated them); they crushed Ohio (books underrated them again with Purdue only laying 5 at home); they destroyed Missouri on the road at 7.5 point dogs (books underrated them yet again); they failed to cover against Michigan as 10 pt dogs, yet lead for 3.5 quarters and forgivably and expectedly gave it up late on big plays.So why wouldn&#x27;t the books underrate them here too at -3? I think they are which is in part, impetus for the play.3. What have the Gophers proven?They beat a below average Buffalo team by 10; crushed Oregon State who is among the worst power 5 teams in the country; and crushed MTSU, their most impressive win; then they promptly went out and lost straight up to a 3rd string QB against Maryland.Game for game, Purdue is more impressive.4. Gophers are all banged up in the secondary."Winfield is all but certain to miss Saturday&#x2019;s game, and that will be huge for the Gophers secondary. Also, McGhee won&#x2019;t play because of the suspension. The secondary, which will start true freshman Ken Handy-Holly at one safety, will be tested like it was against Maryland, if not more."5. Purdue will be missing two D Lineman due to first half suspensions.So Minny will look to pound the ball early in their absence. If Purdue goes into the half with the lead and gets their two leading D-Lineman back (one is Bentley), that is a very good sign. But expect Minny&#x27;s rushing yards to be high in the first half.6. Purdue off a bye.I trust Brohm with two weeks to be creative enough against this team to get them over .500. This is not the Minnesota teams of year&#x27;s past.7. Honoring Joe TillerPurdue&#x27;s winningest coach just passed away this week. It will be a highly emotional charged atmosphere with a big turnout like the Michigan game. Against a team that&#x27;s vastly inferior. That&#x27;s a very good thing.All these factors have me laying the 3.PURDUE -3 over GOPHERS

scalabrine · Answer

Pending Plays already put in in other threads:Alabama -14.5 over Texas A&amp;M (lookahead line two weeks ago)Purdue &#x2B;1.5 over Indiana (Last week of the season)Purdue over 2.5 wins for the season

TD21 · Answer

Lean Boilermakers as well; been waiting out this line.And my Gophers RSW Under 7.5 would get a big boost with a Purdue win here.

BIGfnPOO · Answer

ok,purdue it is.

OurTake · Answer

Hmmm.  Great work up.

VandyManNYC · Answer

What about Wisky -10 over Nebraska?

TreyInventor · Answer

Liked Purdue just because of the Tiller angle alone. I&#x2019;ll be pn them as well. Bol Scal

LABOOKIE · Answer

BOL

scalabrine · Answer

That too. Thank you.

scalabrine · Answer

Tiller put it over the top for me as well coupled with th line drop from 4 to 3. I wouldn&#x27;t get in at -4. -3, yes.

scalabrine · Answer

TD I wouldn&#x27;t even say big boost. This is THE game for the Seaon win total.No way are there 5 more wins on their schedule even if you gift them Illinois and Nebraska.So this is it! This will decide your fate!

BallingLikeNE · Answer

Waiting for my book to drop it to -3 but you&#x27;re right about the big turn out. Alumnis like Drew Bree&#x27;s will be in the house

jakecece · Answer

Just to add Gophers beat MTSU with Stockstill out. To further the point of their wins being unimpressive.

DoubleUp4Life · Answer

Nice looking bet on many angles Wish i could get --3at 4.5 I might jump on small BEST OF LUCK BROTHER

JoHYaGo · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by scalabrine] 50-51

My only slip up was Penn State last year...

And we are going to win the Purdue team total of over 2.5 wins as well.

Short Write-up because I'm busy in the Penalty Box.

1. I get the line I want.

This was 3.5 all week and went to 4 and now is down to 3 on 5 Dimes.

2. This Purdue team may be far better than we think.

They barely lost to Louisville (a pick-6 sealing the Boilers fate late) as 26.5 pt dogs (books severely underrated them); they crushed Ohio (books underrated them again with Purdue only laying 5 at home); they destroyed Missouri on the road at 7.5 point dogs (books underrated them yet again); they failed to cover against Michigan as 10 pt dogs, yet lead for 3.5 quarters and forgivably and expectedly gave it up late on big plays.

So why wouldn't the books underrate them here too at -3? I think they are which is in part, impetus for the play.

3. What have the Gophers proven?

They beat a below average Buffalo team by 10; crushed Oregon State who is among the worst power 5 teams in the country; and crushed MTSU, their most impressive win; then they promptly went out and lost straight up to a 3rd string QB against Maryland.

Game for game, Purdue is more impressive.

4. Gophers are all banged up in the secondary.

"Winfield is all but certain to miss Saturday’s game, and that will be huge for the Gophers secondary. Also, McGhee won’t play because of the suspension. The secondary, which will start true freshman Ken Handy-Holly at one safety, will be tested like it was against Maryland, if not more."

5. Purdue will be missing two D Lineman due to first half suspensions.

So Minny will look to pound the ball early in their absence. If Purdue goes into the half with the lead and gets their two leading D-Lineman back (one is Bentley), that is a very good sign. But expect Minny's rushing yards to be high in the first half.

6. Purdue off a bye.

I trust Brohm with two weeks to be creative enough against this team to get them over .500. This is not the Minnesota teams of year's past.

7. Honoring Joe Tiller

Purdue's winningest coach just passed away this week. It will be a highly emotional charged atmosphere with a big turnout like the Michigan game. Against a team that's vastly inferior. That's a very good thing.

All these factors have me laying the 3.

PURDUE -3 over GOPHERS

outstanding work !!

Thanks for the info

Johnny_Covers · Answer

Thanks for the insight Scal How would you rank this play vs your Wisconsin play?Do you like both the same or one more than the other.

Ballerholic · Answer

Would you lay -4 here scal?

Johnny_Covers · Answer

4 turnovers by Purdue in first half.....and I wasn&#x27;t planning on drinking today lolthankfully somehow weve still got a game

In2it · Answer

OK....took them -3 in 2nd half......let&#x27;s see if they can get their heads out of the azzes.

SAVEITDUDE · Answer

tough gamewould of steered away from this one

Chinese_Capper · Answer

Someone explain why Purdue would not go for 2pt after getting that TD in 3Q to get within 2?

fadeaway123 · Answer

I&#x27;m on Purdue &#x2B; Temple parlay.  Need the ML to hit !

Rowdie22 · Answer

Fn turnovers and penalties are killing Purdue.

getrdonrite7 · Answer

How long the weather delay?

GOPHERS @ PURDUE: 5-1 ATS Capping Purdue Last year and This year

Hot Forum Topics