I'm not surprised ASU is an underdog here, but double digits? I watch every USC game. Talented group of individual players.. After a loss, good teams bounce back (Florida State vs UCF). But USC seems to go opposite and they struggle against any adversity.
ASU has not played any sort of defense but USC coaches haven't figured out how to get the ball to their best players. ASU hasn't beaten the strongest teams but SC has only beaten Utah State.
Was thinking it would be -4.5
I'm thinking ASU. I'm a SC fan but when it comes to betting there is no fandom. What are your thoughts on this game?
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I'm not surprised ASU is an underdog here, but double digits? I watch every USC game. Talented group of individual players.. After a loss, good teams bounce back (Florida State vs UCF). But USC seems to go opposite and they struggle against any adversity.
ASU has not played any sort of defense but USC coaches haven't figured out how to get the ball to their best players. ASU hasn't beaten the strongest teams but SC has only beaten Utah State.
Was thinking it would be -4.5
I'm thinking ASU. I'm a SC fan but when it comes to betting there is no fandom. What are your thoughts on this game?
Yes, the line is glaring on the surface. I do agree it appears high since the backdoor is always open against a good offensive team.
Been thinking of reasons not to take ASU, here's what I have thus far...
- Like USC, ASU would've definitely lost to Alabama and Stanford on the road as well.
- USC should've beat Utah comfortably if not for 3 turnovers in the red zone. I'm not so confident that ASU would've looked as good at Utah as 'SC did.
- Utah's defense is much better than ASU's defense and 'SC moved the ball quite well on Utah on the road.
- ASU should've lost at home to Cal. And they struggled just as much against TTech and UTSA. They also played Northern Arizona. USC would also be 4-0 against those teams.
- The line actually opened USC -8 and has been bet up. Caesars even has it at -10.5 now. Hmmm..
- USC has a solid HFA and is desperate for a win.
Now, I'm not necessarily advocating a play on 'SC, just trying to look at both sides. A "4-0 team getting double digits" is either a blatant attempt for the books to attract ASU money, or a flat out mistake.
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Yes, the line is glaring on the surface. I do agree it appears high since the backdoor is always open against a good offensive team.
Been thinking of reasons not to take ASU, here's what I have thus far...
- Like USC, ASU would've definitely lost to Alabama and Stanford on the road as well.
- USC should've beat Utah comfortably if not for 3 turnovers in the red zone. I'm not so confident that ASU would've looked as good at Utah as 'SC did.
- Utah's defense is much better than ASU's defense and 'SC moved the ball quite well on Utah on the road.
- ASU should've lost at home to Cal. And they struggled just as much against TTech and UTSA. They also played Northern Arizona. USC would also be 4-0 against those teams.
- The line actually opened USC -8 and has been bet up. Caesars even has it at -10.5 now. Hmmm..
- USC has a solid HFA and is desperate for a win.
Now, I'm not necessarily advocating a play on 'SC, just trying to look at both sides. A "4-0 team getting double digits" is either a blatant attempt for the books to attract ASU money, or a flat out mistake.
When you say or hear people say why so many points it usually means opposite outcome. USC and Michigan both caught my attention. Wow 10+ points to great opponents. That means USC and Mich are worthy plays this week. Play against these types of lines and small road favorites. Usually bait......
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When you say or hear people say why so many points it usually means opposite outcome. USC and Michigan both caught my attention. Wow 10+ points to great opponents. That means USC and Mich are worthy plays this week. Play against these types of lines and small road favorites. Usually bait......
dont forget these kids in southern cal want the hell outta dodge.. the coach has no business coaching this team and has lost all control of this locker room. i wouldnt bet usc against wayne high school right now.
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dont forget these kids in southern cal want the hell outta dodge.. the coach has no business coaching this team and has lost all control of this locker room. i wouldnt bet usc against wayne high school right now.
again, stop overthinking this. USC is a better team..PERIOD. They have played 3 top D teams and lost. ASU have played poor team and an FCS. I like desperate teams and USC with a new QB and head coach will be hungry. I like USC by 2 TD's easily.
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again, stop overthinking this. USC is a better team..PERIOD. They have played 3 top D teams and lost. ASU have played poor team and an FCS. I like desperate teams and USC with a new QB and head coach will be hungry. I like USC by 2 TD's easily.
Anyone remember last year when number 2 at the time Utah went to USC (who was unranked) and Utah was an underdog? Nobody could understand how Utah was a dog in that game. And USC proceeded to punch them in the teeth and destroy them. This line seems really fishy to me. I don't really know what the hell to think.
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Anyone remember last year when number 2 at the time Utah went to USC (who was unranked) and Utah was an underdog? Nobody could understand how Utah was a dog in that game. And USC proceeded to punch them in the teeth and destroy them. This line seems really fishy to me. I don't really know what the hell to think.
Not sure if anyone listens to Scott Wetzel on Maddog radio, but he does a segment called 'Opposite Picks" where he looks at the top 7 lines that seem "wayyyyy too easy" and goes opposite. This ASU/USC line fits the bill for me. Looking at this my initial thought is no way USC should be laying 10 points to any half way decent team especially one that can put up points the way ASU can but as Scott would say "Nobody beats the boys in Vegas" I don't have the balls to go forward with a strategy like this but its enough to stay away from it entirely. (i.e. same way i felt about Arizona in the NFL only laying 3 to a Bills team that looked god awful the week prior and long behold the Bills win straight up).
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Not sure if anyone listens to Scott Wetzel on Maddog radio, but he does a segment called 'Opposite Picks" where he looks at the top 7 lines that seem "wayyyyy too easy" and goes opposite. This ASU/USC line fits the bill for me. Looking at this my initial thought is no way USC should be laying 10 points to any half way decent team especially one that can put up points the way ASU can but as Scott would say "Nobody beats the boys in Vegas" I don't have the balls to go forward with a strategy like this but its enough to stay away from it entirely. (i.e. same way i felt about Arizona in the NFL only laying 3 to a Bills team that looked god awful the week prior and long behold the Bills win straight up).
this is definitely one of those lines that doesnt make sense why USC is favored (or this big.) usually in these i take the side that the line is skewed for or (more commonly) just sit it out and watch
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this is definitely one of those lines that doesnt make sense why USC is favored (or this big.) usually in these i take the side that the line is skewed for or (more commonly) just sit it out and watch
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