HUGE "TWO-FOR-TUESDAY" PLAYS

26-14-1 NFL

28-19 CFB

FIRST UP: JACKSONVILLE STATE +8 [-20]

They can, and should, win straight up.

Will be posting 1 more!

top 2 QBs got hurt last week and are questionable tonight

For those fixated on the [-20] issue, shop around, [-20], or even less, is normal for some books for buying a half point.

For example, at Pinnacle, which is one of my books, you can buy the half point to make Jax State +8 for [-09].

At Bet Rivers and Unibet you can get Jax State +8 for [-13].

I use [-20] as the "standard" in posting because I always get it for that, or less.

And when I can't get it through one of my books, I turn to my local who I've been with for a long time because he let's me buy a half point for [-20].

I spread my action out over many books because I never want all of my eggs in one basket and risk not being paid or shut down.

So, while I appreciate the "debates" and understand all perspectives, using [-20] is a fair "standard" given my reality.

If you don't like it, too bad.

Just insert your own actual numbers based on the wins-losses and see where you would be based on your numbers.

At the end of the day, all that matters is what YOU make.

So count your money and I will count mine.

And I've been counting it for 20+ years.

I really dont care what anyone else's think about what i do . I have been in this thing for more than 20 years . Have had great seasons and bad seasons . I have 2 years that i am doing 50% accuracy so i am leaning on some of you guys and yes i bought points sometimes cause buyin' points is not a juice thing if you bet to make this a bussines then consider that buyin' points is an investment , if you see it differently then you are just doin' it for fun . For fun is wasting time for me . 

I really dont care what anyone else's think about what i do . I have been in this thing for more than 20 years . Have had great seasons and bad seasons . I have 2 years that i am doing 50% accuracy so i am leaning on some of you guys and yes i bought points sometimes cause buyin' points is not a juice thing if you bet to make this a bussines then consider that buyin' points is an investment , if you see it differently then you are just doin' it for fun . For fun is wasting time for me . 

@STL
Fully aware of it and not concerned at all.
 

@tiptnk
When you are an investor and when big money is on the line, you look to hedge and "insure" any way you can.

@D-Town

@SportsIntuition

 i agree, i buy half pts also. sometimes these books want you to pay -135 early in the week but if you wait you can usually get for -120  like jax st myself bet early at +7 might add, but one way to look at it about adding more at a risk, is if those who waited and got 8 win by a point i pushed, but then ya hope they do not push at 8....lol  

gl

@tiptnk

 20 years is not that long....jk  my dad and uncles were books, all i remember from as small as i could hear, was spreads being given out every weekend, at 16 started answering phones, even went to Antigua for a spell at WWTS in the mid 90's got  about 47 years of doing this....... now i want everyone to take money from the books   lol  

gl 

I undestand , there are people that has way to many years betting but , the time one is betting is really irelevant what matters here is the money management no matter if you have 1 or 50 years betting . And its pretty cool that you want to help everyone to make money . Much respect for that man   you take care 

Tip 

Home dogs that out rush their opponents have a ridiculous cover %.

jacksonville state is potentially down to their third string QB in this game, what about that makes you think they can beat WKU Strait up in this game tonight?

I am just not seeing how Jax, who is wearing down and was non-competitive last game, why are they going to be able to keep up with the high powered WKU attack? 

and doing it with a 3rd string R-FR QB?

Well, bovada was +9 and betonline was +7 this morning so here's hoping it lands 8.  Bovada is still at +8 for 10 cents before you buy a hook somewhere else...

@rhgambler

@RUM151

@spottie2935
 

@steponaduck
See spottie's post #12

@topcatt89_OLD_11887

ADDING: SOUTH BAMA-USM OVER 51 [-20]

I see this game going over by at least 10 points.

@SportsIntuition

 @tiptnk
When you are an investor and when big money is on the line, you look to hedge and "insure" any way you can.

Indeed , you got to protect your investment and if will cost you a litte more , so be it . 

@SportsIntuition

  Been following you and you're picks. Great job. Thanks! Curious to know your capping strategy. How do you research/analyze games to come up with your picks? As a newbie, i'm curious. Thanks and keep picking winners!

@tiptnk
100%

@dcbets4lf
Glad to hear you find my picks helpful!

@Fuse

@SportsIntuition

 Thank you for a big winner last night MNF!  Much appreciate for all your hard works bruh…

@MacRx

@SportsIntuition

@FelixFermin21

Serious question. How many poiints is the starting QB worth at Jacksonville State?

1 maybe 2?

We saw UTEP go on the road and beat Florida Inter after the line moved from pick to +3 because the "questionable" UTEP starter was ruled out before game time. 

I do not believe losing the starter at a G5 school is a significant line move. If you liked Jacksonville State +6.5 with the starter, you shouldn't have any problem taking them +8.5 with the backup. Or vice versa.