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Lock and load on Texas....

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Posted: #101
Sorry--Ice, that is meant for you.
 
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Posted: #102
FOR ALL OF U TO PONDER ON AT @BOOKS ALABAMAS GETTING ALL THE PLAY NOT TEXAS,THE LINES DROPPING EVEN THOUGHT,MAYBE THE SMART MONIES ON TEXAS AND REGULAR PLATERS ON BAMA. JUST AN OPBSEVATION BROTHERS IM HITTING TEXAS HARD!!!
 
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Posted: #103
i guess the funniest thing is he keeps tryin to drop names to give his post some validity. the only problem with that is even if those are plays from fezzik and walters does anyone realize that they could be on the losing side as well. just because fezzik makes a play does not mean its guaranteed to win.he and everyone else lose just as many plays as they win. i was hanging out with fezzik right before the nfl season began and he was hammering the broncos season win total under 6.5 until he moved it from -110 to  -150. worked out well when the broncos won their first 6 games in a row and his future bet was done halfway through the season. the point is nothing is guaranteed. just becuase you work in a book and see some big bettors come in means nothing. almost every guy i know that works in a book is a degenerate gambler that cant cap for shit but always seem to have some inside info that only he is privy to.just like every railbird in poker. its hard to be credible when youre a perpetually broke gambler who works at an 8 buck an hour ticket writing job
 
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Posted: #104
Quote Originally Posted by kroch:

excuse me?  so do you think Alabama would be favored in Austin?   NFW.  that spread would be TX -3 at worst.

 

 

there is no way in HELL Texas would be laying a FG to Alabama anywhere in the universe!  that is absolute nonsense!

 
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Posted: #105

Man, if I had a solid "in" like CJACK, I personally would not waste any time posting this and go ahead and apply for a HELOC, wager up, sit back and start planning what to do with the guaranteed earnings.  Oh shit....I just wasted 45 seconds of my day.

Anyway BOL to you, CJACK and especially to the ones that are basing their Nat'l. CS wager based upon this outside info.       BAMA 22    TEXAS 13

 
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Posted: #106
Where does crusher 13 get his reasoning from.   Quote if a line goes down then vegas is trying to get you to bet the dog, what kind of bullshit is that?    If a line goes down then vegas is trying to trap you in to betting the favorite not the dog idiot.    The best advice i can give to Crusher 13 is [" SOMETIMES TAKING THE WORST OF THE LINE IS ACTUALLY TAKING THE BEST OF THE LINE.]     Big games are always controlled by Vegas and the majority of the money is coming down on Alabama because they beat Florida and Texas nearly escaped Neb.  Ask yourself how good is Neb. after whipping and almost shutting out Ariz.
 
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Posted: #107

Quote Originally Posted by misfits:

i guess the funniest thing is he keeps tryin to drop names to give his post some validity. the only problem with that is even if those are plays from fezzik and walters does anyone realize that they could be on the losing side as well. just because fezzik makes a play does not mean its guaranteed to win.he and everyone else lose just as many plays as they win. i was hanging out with fezzik right before the nfl season began and he was hammering the broncos season win total under 6.5 until he moved it from -110 to  -150. worked out well when the broncos won their first 6 games in a row and his future bet was done halfway through the season. the point is nothing is guaranteed. just becuase you work in a book and see some big bettors come in means nothing. almost every guy i know that works in a book is a degenerate gambler that cant cap for shit but always seem to have some inside info that only he is privy to.just like every railbird in poker. its hard to be credible when youre a perpetually broke gambler who works at an 8 buck an hour ticket writing job
  

 

please refer to my post #45 earlier today

 
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by FreezyF:

Your claiming its the play of the century. This being the 6th day of the century.


Maybe the 6th day of the decade.  Century I'm not so sure about.  And I went to school in Cicero!
 
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Posted: #109

I really deslike posting in this thread because I am not sure what to make of the poster, but a few things:

1.) I decided way before this Cjack guy ever posted that Texas was my strongest play of the bowls.  (I have a good bowl history if you have read previous posts and last years' picks (worth looking at if you want to doubt this)

2.) I respect Jimmy Da Greek's picks, especially as they pertain to BAMA as he knows them very well

3.) Hate to say this boys, but BAMA lose outright

 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by Cjack:

Do you morons actually think if this game wasn't at a neutral site and instead at Alabama that the Tide would be -7?

This line is so far off what the sharps have handicapped.  Texas +7 at Tuscaloosa....get real.


Cjack.  My feeling is that this game should be somewhere around a pick on a neutral field.  Bama would be 3 to 3- at home.  After each of their last games, everybody sat on their couch and said, "Alabama is going to crush Texas".  That is why, in my opinion the line is so high.  Bama played their best game aof the year, and Texas played their worst game of the year.  Again...............public perception has opened this line high.  I think Texas wins this game outright.  They could have put it as high as 6- and still got more Bama action than Texas.

Good luck bud.
 
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Posted: #111

Quote Originally Posted by Renegade1:

Ask yourself how good is Neb. after whipping and almost shutting out Ariz.

 

Huskers DID shut out Arizona.  BAM! 

 
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Posted: #112
 
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Posted: #113
Quote Originally Posted by jwill55555:

Who told you this? I am stuck my nuts, so please be honest with the info. I need a win, don't be cruel.



Dude, I can smell the fear...........CAP THIS YOURSELF....do not tail!  Your on the edge, and ready to free fall.
 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by rickster2312:

Win, Lose, or Draw, anybody that listen's to this has to ask him or her self,  If this is true.......then..........why......???

A)   a vegas sports book..... what......   ticket writer, asst. manager,  manger, director or whatever with this inside info is still working  If this guy is so good why work??

B)  dropping names, syndicates, organizations to make one's image look better.........Did we forget the Dana White...UFC...making large wagers at the maloff brothers casino debacle......

C)  endorsing absoulte poor money management principles...............ie   bet the farm.........

D)  endorsing biggest game ever, lock of the century

E)  not taking responsability for the play, being able to bail out and blame others if it loses.

could go on............. hope you all catch the drift......not saying texas is not the play but to play on texas because this guy with this info say's so..........

by the way for some new posters and players, a lot time the so called sharps and syndicate's bet lines early in hopes of moving the line they think it will go along with the public money so they can come back later and take some back or go for middle's and scalps,  or in this case hoping to take 4 and lay 2.5 or 3 which are key football numbers to side and or middle games.......................

 

 

 



Finally!..Some common sense after all this bullshit from cjackoff!
 
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Posted: #115
interesting stat:  McElroy only completed 38% of passes inside the red zone.  Texas is a much better red zone team, period.
 
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Posted: #116

Thawv, 

The line opened at -5 and went to -6, which I believe is where cjack initially stated the play at in the first thread on 12/16 at 3:37. Now I am not saying cjack is legit or getting involved in the drama, but it is very likely that the "sharps" (which do exist, Fez won the hilton contest for the second straight year, which is NFL, not CFB) took this game at its peak at 6 and will stick with it or come over the top when the line settles at 3 or 2.5, which it most likely will. Just putting this all into perspective. The value at +4 is still there, but the sharps got in at +6, which may or may not matter, but it needs to be recognized that these two numbers are very different. Much larger opportunity to middle with +6 than +4. Anyway just thought I would make some sense of the mess this has become.  

 
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Posted: #117
Oh and I know no real key numbers are crossed there between 4-6, but 3 and 7 are more key in NFL than CFB, where 4 tends to matter more.
 
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Posted: #118


Cjack can get a thread rolling like no one else !!


best of luck to everyone tomorrow night



 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by rickster2312:

  

 

please refer to my post #45 earlier today

hey rickster are you the same that used to post on lva?
 
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Posted: #120
Still waiting for the line to drop from 4 like you said it would... I'd feel much more confident about my Texas +4 bet if it fell...
 
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Posted: #121
it was at 3.5 earlier today, then went back to 4.  
 
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Posted: #122
the lock is not texas dont be fooled
 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by Supaman33:

Thawv, 

The line opened at -5 and went to -6, which I believe is where cjack initially stated the play at in the first thread on 12/16 at 3:37. Now I am not saying cjack is legit or getting involved in the drama, but it is very likely that the "sharps" (which do exist, Fez won the hilton contest for the second straight year, which is NFL, not CFB) took this game at its peak at 6 and will stick with it or come over the top when the line settles at 3 or 2.5, which it most likely will. Just putting this all into perspective. The value at +4 is still there, but the sharps got in at +6, which may or may not matter, but it needs to be recognized that these two numbers are very different. Much larger opportunity to middle with +6 than +4. Anyway just thought I would make some sense of the mess this has become.  



What idiot linesmaker would adjust this line to 2.5 or 3 or even 3.5? You already admitted that significant moeny came in at TEX at +5.5. A book would be foolish to drop to +3 and downright retarded to drop to +2.5. The manager of any book offering 2.5 tomorrow should be fired on the spot.
 
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Posted: #124
Quote Originally Posted by rickster2312:

Win, Lose, or Draw, anybody that listen's to this has to ask him or her self,  If this is true.......then..........why......???

A)   a vegas sports book..... what......   ticket writer, asst. manager,  manger, director or whatever with this inside info is still working  If this guy is so good why work??

B)  dropping names, syndicates, organizations to make one's image look better.........Did we forget the Dana White...UFC...making large wagers at the maloff brothers casino debacle......

C)  endorsing absoulte poor money management principles...............ie   bet the farm.........

D)  endorsing biggest game ever, lock of the century

E)  not taking responsability for the play, being able to bail out and blame others if it loses.

could go on............. hope you all catch the drift......not saying texas is not the play but to play on texas because this guy with this info say's so..........

by the way for some new posters and players, a lot time the so called sharps and syndicate's bet lines early in hopes of moving the line they think it will go along with the public money so they can come back later and take some back or go for middle's and scalps,  or in this case hoping to take 4 and lay 2.5 or 3 which are key football numbers to side and or middle games.......................

 

 

 

WOW, F'ING A, RIGHT THE F_CK ON !!!!!!!!!

 
 
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Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Insight:

I really deslike posting in this thread because I am not sure what to make of the poster, but a few things:

1.) I decided way before this Cjack guy ever posted that Texas was my strongest play of the bowls.  (I have a good bowl history if you have read previous posts and last years' picks (worth looking at if you want to doubt this)

2.) I respect Jimmy Da Greek's picks, especially as they pertain to BAMA as he knows them very well

3.) Hate to say this boys, but BAMA lose outright

And the Vikings are my favorite pro team!!! 

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