i don't know if i buy that, Crusher... that Bama has to dominate...
they were #1 going in, and Texas is #2... if they beat Texas by 1 point, they will be the National Champs... no disputing it... it isn't like Boise dominated TCU, and TCU was only #4 or 5...
if Bama is thinking they have to "dominate," that is more likely to work against them than for them...
i don't know if i buy that, Crusher... that Bama has to dominate...
they were #1 going in, and Texas is #2... if they beat Texas by 1 point, they will be the National Champs... no disputing it... it isn't like Boise dominated TCU, and TCU was only #4 or 5...
if Bama is thinking they have to "dominate," that is more likely to work against them than for them...
Thawv,
The line opened at -5 and went to -6, which I believe is where cjack initially stated the play at in the first thread on 12/16 at 3:37. Now I am not saying cjack is legit or getting involved in the drama, but it is very likely that the "sharps" (which do exist, Fez won the hilton contest for the second straight year, which is NFL, not CFB) took this game at its peak at 6 and will stick with it or come over the top when the line settles at 3 or 2.5, which it most likely will. Just putting this all into perspective. The value at +4 is still there, but the sharps got in at +6, which may or may not matter, but it needs to be recognized that these two numbers are very different. Much larger opportunity to middle with +6 than +4. Anyway just thought I would make some sense of the mess this has become.
to take it one step further... go back and read Rickster's post...
in short... the sharps hit it hard at (+6)... then CJack posts this thread, hoping to hit 6 out of 6 or 5 of 6 before the Title game... then hopefully get into the heads of enough people to get this line down to (-2.5) by gametime, where they get a ridiculously juicy middle...
if they did bet it at (+6), i guarantee they are laying off some of it at (-3) or better... that is what they do... Walters made his living by getting 1.5 to 2 points of value on a line... that's all they need... if it moves 3 or 3.5 points from when they bet it, they grab a chance at a middle...
Thawv,
The line opened at -5 and went to -6, which I believe is where cjack initially stated the play at in the first thread on 12/16 at 3:37. Now I am not saying cjack is legit or getting involved in the drama, but it is very likely that the "sharps" (which do exist, Fez won the hilton contest for the second straight year, which is NFL, not CFB) took this game at its peak at 6 and will stick with it or come over the top when the line settles at 3 or 2.5, which it most likely will. Just putting this all into perspective. The value at +4 is still there, but the sharps got in at +6, which may or may not matter, but it needs to be recognized that these two numbers are very different. Much larger opportunity to middle with +6 than +4. Anyway just thought I would make some sense of the mess this has become.
to take it one step further... go back and read Rickster's post...
in short... the sharps hit it hard at (+6)... then CJack posts this thread, hoping to hit 6 out of 6 or 5 of 6 before the Title game... then hopefully get into the heads of enough people to get this line down to (-2.5) by gametime, where they get a ridiculously juicy middle...
if they did bet it at (+6), i guarantee they are laying off some of it at (-3) or better... that is what they do... Walters made his living by getting 1.5 to 2 points of value on a line... that's all they need... if it moves 3 or 3.5 points from when they bet it, they grab a chance at a middle...
[Quote: Originally Posted by Cjack] LOCK AND LOAD BABY!!!!! [/Quote
only from some sports ticket writer betting $2 parlay cards would this garbage be said
[Quote: Originally Posted by Cjack] LOCK AND LOAD BABY!!!!! [/Quote
only from some sports ticket writer betting $2 parlay cards would this garbage be said
Cjack, whether people believe you or not atleast people are voicing their opinions on this game.
I'm still leanin Under and on the fence for the side.
BOL
Cjack, whether people believe you or not atleast people are voicing their opinions on this game.
I'm still leanin Under and on the fence for the side.
BOL
Your claiming its the play of the century. This being the 6th day of the century. Post #9
What a dumb son of a bitch !! This is the 6th day of the DECADE !! Century is 100 years not 10, MORON !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Your claiming its the play of the century. This being the 6th day of the century. Post #9
What a dumb son of a bitch !! This is the 6th day of the DECADE !! Century is 100 years not 10, MORON !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
why is that absurd? the absolute most Texas will score is 17... that would represent an offensive explosion of apocalyptic proportions...
what have they done against any remotely respectable defense this year that would suggest they are a good bet to top 10 points?
answer: NOTHING! not one thing, against even one team...
Texas is a fucking joke!
Ice4Blood and Shit4Brains
Hook'em
why is that absurd? the absolute most Texas will score is 17... that would represent an offensive explosion of apocalyptic proportions...
what have they done against any remotely respectable defense this year that would suggest they are a good bet to top 10 points?
answer: NOTHING! not one thing, against even one team...
Texas is a fucking joke!
Ice4Blood and Shit4Brains
Hook'em
First post on this site, but I been on covers since 10/06.. I dont claim to be a capper in anyway but I can hit bout 55% of the time.. The way I see this game is that common perception has it that Bama is hands down greatest team in the country for beating Fla and Texas squeeks out there wins.. I thinking this Texas covers in a lower then expected score..
TEXAS AND THE UNDER
First post on this site, but I been on covers since 10/06.. I dont claim to be a capper in anyway but I can hit bout 55% of the time.. The way I see this game is that common perception has it that Bama is hands down greatest team in the country for beating Fla and Texas squeeks out there wins.. I thinking this Texas covers in a lower then expected score..
TEXAS AND THE UNDER
damn fuckin' straight!
damn fuckin' straight!
and incidentally... if, after these last two posts, you aren't 100% convinced that CJack has steered you the opposite way of what the sharps are REALLY doing, then you are not very fucking bright!
and incidentally... if, after these last two posts, you aren't 100% convinced that CJack has steered you the opposite way of what the sharps are REALLY doing, then you are not very fucking bright!
Your claiming its the play of the century. This being the 6th day of the century. Post #9
What a dumb son of a bitch !! This is the 6th day of the DECADE !! Century is 100 years not 10, MORON !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
It's amazing people don't forget to breathe sometimes
Your claiming its the play of the century. This being the 6th day of the century. Post #9
What a dumb son of a bitch !! This is the 6th day of the DECADE !! Century is 100 years not 10, MORON !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
It's amazing people don't forget to breathe sometimes
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