LONGHORNHOOSIER, WEEK 3, 2017

Question

Season to Date - 6-6-1 ATSWeek 2 - 3-3 ATSWeek 3 - Lines @Heritage at time of wagersVirginia Tech -22 over @East CarolinaStanford -9 over @San Diego State@Houston -21.5 over Rice@Marshall -13.5 over Kent StatePredicted scores and rationale will follow this week...And yes, BookieAssassin, I will post at least "1 Dog of the Week" for week 3...I am 2-0 ATS on Dogs through week 2 (South Carolina - Week 1, and Fresno State in Week 2)...So maybe I should listen more to the some of the "wise men" on covers like BA!  GLTA

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Season to Date - 6-6-1 ATSWeek 2 - 3-3 ATSWeek 3 - Lines @Heritage at time of wagersVirginia Tech -22 over @East CarolinaStanford -9 over @San Diego State@Houston -21.5 over Rice@Marshall -13.5 over Kent StatePredicted scores and rationale will follow this week...And yes, BookieAssassin, I will post at least "1 Dog of the Week" for week 3...I am 2-0 ATS on Dogs through week 2 (South Carolina - Week 1, and Fresno State in Week 2)...So maybe I should listen more to the some of the "wise men" on covers like BA!  GLTA

nostradamus12 · Answer

just a matter of time to break things open my friend, was leaning UH as well....had been hoping the tree would be lower after last week...BOL this week LH

dcgmt · Answer

GL LonghornHoosier

tideman · Answer

good luck this week

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Thanks Tideman GLTS!

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Thank you!  Good Luck this week!

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Thanks NOS!   I am fine with batting 500 for now.   Hopefully, weeks 3-6 will be fruitful for both of us!  Cheers!

mbiddy · Answer

gl this week LHH, with ya on Tree and the Herd

MikeMed · Answer

Just went over VT game......Leaning VTTheir FR QB looks big time - AVG 6.4 yards per carry and has a big arm......Also 0 INTS in first 54 PA&#x27;s....Also that E-CAR "D" giving up 612 yards per game (129th in CO) and 45 points per game.......Hokie "D" should have big day against Pirate one dimensional offense.GL LH

avenue · Answer

bol sport

Pecador · Answer

LH,  Nothing wrong with early season break even.  Like the card.Stay Hard,   Doc

gmanusc2001 · Answer

2  u

LonghornHoosier · Answer

AddingClemson -3 over @LouisvilleLSU -7.5 over @Mississippi StateKansas State -3.5 over Vanderbilt@Texas State &#x2B;23 over Appalachian State - LonghornHoosiers - Dog of the Week

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Final Card - Week 3Virginia Tech -22 over @East CarolinaStanford -9 over @San Diego State@Houston -21.5 over Rice@Marshall -13.5 over Kent StateClemson -3 over @LouisvilleLSU -7.5 over @Mississippi StateKansas State -3.5 over Vanderbilt@Texas State &#x2B;23 over Appalachian StateAgain, I will try to post predicted scores and rationale tomorrow for each game...GLTA

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Thanks mbiddy. Great to see we are both on a few. GL

Likewise MM - I think motivation from the 2015 debacle should be enough, but you never know with ECU. GL

Thanks Avenue - you too!

Thanks GMANUSC - Fight on!

Thanks Tideman - Roll Tide!

Thanks DCGMT!

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Predicted ScoresVirginia Tech 45 East Carolina 14    Stanford 31 San Diego State 17Houston 42 Rice 10Marshall 38 Kent State 17Clemson 35 Louisville 24LSU 35 Mississippi State 24Kansas State 30 Vanderbilt 21Texas State  17 Appalachian State 31

Skipster · Answer

lots to like here.

DAVIDN · Answer

Like a few of those myself.

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Thanks DavidN!   You are highly respected here on NCAAF Covers site!    I saw that you are on the Stan/SDSU Over 48.  GL with that play!

MosesGuthrie · Answer

Throwing in the dog to appease BA?

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Thanks bonfire!     Should I assume that you are TAMU Class of 1969?  GLTW

LonghornHoosier · Answer

No.   I am slowly ramping up my ability to pick 1-2 live dogs per week.   As I mentioned, I am 2-0 ATS STD betting dogs, which is a much better winning than my faves.  .   Texas State upset Ohio at home last season, and covered at CU last week.   Granted, the beat down UGA put on App St in week 1 should motivate them all season home and away.    I just think when you get to these SBC Teams, and you have an overmatched 3 TD&#x2B; Dog, they may have enough fight to cover.    Notice, its at the bottom of my list, so play at your own risk.   But, other than Memphis and maybe BYU, I did not see many dogs worth my backing.   What are your thoughts?

LonghornHoosier · Answer

Don&#x27;t have much time for the rationale, so here is a very brief synopsis...Virginia Tech 45 East Carolina 14   2015 - ECU under RM upset Va Tech at Greenville...plus fans and pundits are ragging Va Tech&#x27;s half baked offensive performance last week against Delaware.  Motivation should not be an issue.  Plus, not the same ECU team of old... Stanford 31 San Diego State 17SDSU is impressive, but the worst thing that could have happened is Stan getting school at USC.   The Cardinal will be angry, stack the box, and test SDSU&#x27;s secondary.  on paper its a talent mismatch.   plus Stan is 11-3 ATS under shaw last 5 years after a straight up loss...I think the cardinal will be very focussed and motivated...Houston 42 Rice 10Applewhites inaugural home game...some questioned Houston&#x27;s choice to replace Herman...so there must be a chip on A-Whites shoulders.   Personally, I think Houston has an even better passing threat with Allen v Ward.  Oliver will lead that 3rd Ward D.  Rice will play hard as always, but they don&#x27;t have the depth or the skill position players or the D to keep up with Houston.Marshall 38 Kent State 17This is my biggest unknown for week 3.  Is Marshall back to "We Are Marshal"glory just by sticking with an above average ACC team in NC State?    Miami Florida Tr Tyre Brady is drawing some comparisons to Randy Moss after catching 248 yards and a TD and 11 passes against a good NC State D.   Marshall has a 3 year starter at QB.     The Kent State coach is coming back from prostrate cancer treatment, so I imagine his players will play inspired.  Plus, they got a new DC, so the players will player harder.  I just think Marshall has a lot of advantages here and should win by 3 TDs.Clemson 35 Louisville 24In Venable I trust...I think the Clemson DC will have an answer for arguably the best and most athletic player in college football.   Lou has not exactly impressed against two below average teams in Purdue and Lou.  Maybe they were sandbagging in anticipation to take on the National Champion at home at night.  Nah.   It will be a close game for 3 quarters, and Clemson will pull away...in the 4th...LSU 35 Mississippi State 24Call me crazy, I think Miss St is overrated.  Fitz is a legit QB, but I think this game comes down to talent differential, and LSU has Aranda as its DC.   Etling will play th erole of game manager.  and LSU will emerge with a hard earned 10&#x2B; point victory at Starkville.Kansas State 30 Vanderbilt 21No matter how Vandy looked against MTSU, do you want to bet against Coach Snyder.  He has one of his better more talented teams. This will be a good game, but I think in the end, Kansas State will pull out the win and the cover...Texas State  17 Appalachian State 31Yes, my dog of the week.   Texas State upset Ohio at home last season, and covered at CU last week.   Granted, the beat down UGA put on App St in week 1 should motivate them all season home and away.    I just think when you get to these SBC Teams, and you have an overmatched 3 TD&#x2B; Dog, they may have enough fight to cover.  GLTA - May week 3 be glorious for everyone!

LONGHORNHOOSIER, WEEK 3, 2017

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