LSU +17.5 LSU ML

GA is locked in, nothing to prove, but potentially have more to lose, i.e. injuries. They have bigger fish to fry. Smart doesn't want to open up his playbook and shoot his wad in this game. Of course he would love to win another SEC Championship, but at what cost. Tigers will be fired up for this game. I anticipate a very vanilla offensive effort from GA, keeping Bennett upright. If LSU scores first, you're looking at a 3 to 4 possession game right off the bat. If GA scores first, worst case scenario, LSU is still ahead 2 possessions.

I just can't see GA covering. A final aspect regarding the game is, why isn't GA money showing up in the line movement. No movement at all.

LSU +17.5 Large

LSU ML +625 Sprinkle

P.S. I have no dog in this fight, so my take on the game is unbiased. LSU is the #11 ranked team, and they did beat Bama and Ole Miss

Replies welcome.

LSU lost to a poor A&M team. Georgia 40-13

@Ballcap1

 My point exactly. Any given Saturday in the SEC. This is LSU's Bowl game. BOL Ballcap1.

Trends:

LSU holds an 18-13-1 series edge over Georgia. The Tigers have won four out of the last five, including a 37-10 victory in the 2019 SEC Championship Game. LSU is 3-0 in the SEC title game against Georgia.

Not saying GA won't win, but laying too many points in this particular situation. 

Here's the question, were they not prepared at TA&M or were they exposed at TA&M?

I say exposed.

The past is just that. I tend to look at games from a situational point of view. TA/M did beat Bama when they were ranked #2 as well.

@TommyC22

LSU is 16-4-1 ATS against AP top-10 teams since the start of 2017.

The only thing that I'm sure about, is Georgia shows up when the lights are the brightest. No iffs ands or butts.  They certainly have a few stinkers this year to show for. But during the biggest stages of the season, they show out. That doesn't mean they cover 17 and a half, But that money line bet....best of luck I guess ??.

Don't forget LSUs best win was at Death Valley at night against Alabama their most hated rival and they squeaked by. LSUs defense is nothing to write home about and UGA defense is a complete monster, and the game is in ATL. This is probably a two to three possession game and is going to hinge on a back door touchdown or not. 

@FormerAthlete

 Another favorable trend. Thanks for the info. BOL

@MedicalMaryJay

 I'm playing with house $. Nothing crazy but a $200 bet nets you $1250. Dig your handle.

@MedicalMaryJay

 I agree, under looks enticing.

Line still hasn't budged at all...hard to believe the action is 50/50 

"You may be right I may be crazy

Oh, but it just may be a lunatic you're looking for

Turn out the light

Don't try to save me

You may be wrong for all I know

But you may be right"

There is no such thing as "house money"  Once you win money it is yours  That is a terrible mind set to have 

@TommyC22

 Completely agree. Both big wins were at home.  Not to mention Ole Miss turned out to be less than great. Georgia playing in Atlanta will should destroy them.

Daniel's ankle injury is the real question to be asking. How bad is it? If he can't run, he'll be like Caleb Williams last night against Utah, a duck sitting on the pond. Bayou Bengals get smoked if Daniels isn't able to run. That's his strong suit.

BOL,

RT2

@the1toturn2

 As long as it's still in the sports book, it still belongs to them. 

hit it and be a hero today 

@the1toturn2

 Point taken. I already cashed out 1/2 of my bag. BOL

@RebelTell2

 Very true. LSU could get annihilated like USC, which tickled the shit out of me. BOL

@choiOi

 Thank you Captian! BOL

I like the points too. Plus one could be dead wrong most of the game but still hit the backdoor with +17.5. 

@matt--damon

 I guess that's why they called it gambling and not winning. . BOL