Posted:
#1
No points needed. Louisville is the best defense that FSU has or will face all regular season and that includes my Clemson Tigers. What's separates the two is the secondary's. Louisville will contest every pass when Winston gets outside the pocket. Louisville stops the run defensively like nobody's business and do so without putting high risk on their secondary. FSU MUST run the football to help out Winston and his lack luster outside weapons. They will struggle to do so. Louisville will keep consistent pressure on Winston, as FSU is really struggling up front. FSU is missing key ingredients on the O-Line from last year, their center...a key weapon on the outside, Kelvin Benjamin. Winston did not make KB a 1st rounder, but KB helped make Winston a Heisman winner.
What made FSU so dominant last year was their defense, as Ray Charles could tell us, their is a night and day difference in their defense from last year to this year. FSU is struggling to get pressure without blitzing and their is no Joyner on the back end to create fear and show dominance. Their is just no leadership on this team at all. Let this mess of a team go on the road for a night game at PJCS, it's not gonna be good for FSU.
Now Louisville has not set the world on fire offensively this year, but check this out. They have been without their starting QB and an All American WR Devante Parker. They are both back and they came back two weeks ago. Give Bobby Petrino almost two weeks to prepare for a home night game of this magnitude against a team that has glaring weaknesses on defense, it ain't fare. Louisville does not have to out score FSU here because their defense is so good, they just want to keep the ball and I don't see any reason to think FSU will shut them down with their defense. Let FSU load the box, Petrino will make them pay. Petrino is a dynamite play caller, it's a gut, natural thing for him. Spurrier is IMO the best play caller in big games maybe their has ever been but Petrino is up there. I don't see any facet of the game where FSU is better than Louisville other than kicker. Louisville has 5 times the defense, better Oline, better run game because of it, and they get all this at home in their environment.
FSU will not cover any number here. Not only that, they will not win this game period. This should be a lower scoring game. I really think Louisville's defense will take control of this game. 27-17 Louisville?
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