Some reading for food for thought so make up your own mind & pick your poison.
Here's everything you need to know about the matchup from a betting perspective.
Line movement
BYU opened as a two-point favorite and the number moved slightly toward Hawaii, and now the Cougars sit -1.5 with 48 hours until kickoff. There's been a bit of action toward the over on the total, opening at 63 and ticking up a point to 64.
Betting breakdown
Whether the road team will be focused enough is always an initial discussion when a game is played in Hawaii. But don't be so quick to think BYU is in such a tough spot. Are we sure Hawaii is going to be up for multiple weeks of practice for a postseason contest played on its home turf? That doesn't feel like the proper reward for reaching the conference title game.
Hawaii will field the first top 50 SP+ offense that BYU has seen since mid-October. The Rainbow Warriors were inside the top 10 heading into the final month of the season, but they dropped back to No. 30 after being held to 21 points or less in three of their last four contests, and two of those duds came against top 50 SP+ defenses (San Diego State and Boise State).
Hawaii hasn't been a great bet as an underdog, and the school is currently on a 7-18-1 run against the spread when catching points. However, the Rainbow Warriors have seen their fair share of overs as underdogs, cashing 11 of their last 15.
BYU has been equally as bad as a favorite. The Cougars haven't notched an ATS win as favorites over their last six games. However, they've feasted on the Mountain West lately, covering six of their last eight against opponents from that conference.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
1
Some reading for food for thought so make up your own mind & pick your poison.
Here's everything you need to know about the matchup from a betting perspective.
Line movement
BYU opened as a two-point favorite and the number moved slightly toward Hawaii, and now the Cougars sit -1.5 with 48 hours until kickoff. There's been a bit of action toward the over on the total, opening at 63 and ticking up a point to 64.
Betting breakdown
Whether the road team will be focused enough is always an initial discussion when a game is played in Hawaii. But don't be so quick to think BYU is in such a tough spot. Are we sure Hawaii is going to be up for multiple weeks of practice for a postseason contest played on its home turf? That doesn't feel like the proper reward for reaching the conference title game.
Hawaii will field the first top 50 SP+ offense that BYU has seen since mid-October. The Rainbow Warriors were inside the top 10 heading into the final month of the season, but they dropped back to No. 30 after being held to 21 points or less in three of their last four contests, and two of those duds came against top 50 SP+ defenses (San Diego State and Boise State).
Hawaii hasn't been a great bet as an underdog, and the school is currently on a 7-18-1 run against the spread when catching points. However, the Rainbow Warriors have seen their fair share of overs as underdogs, cashing 11 of their last 15.
BYU has been equally as bad as a favorite. The Cougars haven't notched an ATS win as favorites over their last six games. However, they've feasted on the Mountain West lately, covering six of their last eight against opponents from that conference.
The quarterback who can make the big play, or avoid a costly turnover, might decide this one.
BYU's Zach Wilson threw multiple touchdown passes in three of his last four contests, but he also tossed four interceptions over those games. On the other hand, Hawaii's Cole McDonald is turnover prone even while sizzling. He began the season with four touchdown passes in four of his first five games, but the junior still registered nine interceptions during that stretch.
Pick
BYU team total over 33.5
The Rainbow Warriors are playing a home game, so I can understand why bettors would flock toward Hawaii. But I can't get there, and instead, I'm banking on BYU to score points.
Wilson's performances have been feast or famine since returning from a mid-season injury, but he brings the type of upside you want both as a passer and a runner.
Although the pivot's production hasn't been off the charts this year, the Cougars should experience success against Hawaii's defense, which is ranked No. 113 in SP+. Against three other defenses this season that rank No. 100 or worse in that department, BYU averaged 36 points per game. This clash will be one of the most favorable spots for the Cougars' offense all season long, and a matchup with a ton of possessions.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKoIodziej.
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
0
X-factor
The quarterback who can make the big play, or avoid a costly turnover, might decide this one.
BYU's Zach Wilson threw multiple touchdown passes in three of his last four contests, but he also tossed four interceptions over those games. On the other hand, Hawaii's Cole McDonald is turnover prone even while sizzling. He began the season with four touchdown passes in four of his first five games, but the junior still registered nine interceptions during that stretch.
Pick
BYU team total over 33.5
The Rainbow Warriors are playing a home game, so I can understand why bettors would flock toward Hawaii. But I can't get there, and instead, I'm banking on BYU to score points.
Wilson's performances have been feast or famine since returning from a mid-season injury, but he brings the type of upside you want both as a passer and a runner.
Although the pivot's production hasn't been off the charts this year, the Cougars should experience success against Hawaii's defense, which is ranked No. 113 in SP+. Against three other defenses this season that rank No. 100 or worse in that department, BYU averaged 36 points per game. This clash will be one of the most favorable spots for the Cougars' offense all season long, and a matchup with a ton of possessions.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKoIodziej.
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