2016 Record: 25-11 (~70%)
The Pick:
MEMPHIS -3 over SMU
I apologize but I just lost a 2 page write-up. I will drop in here and there before the game starts to make sure you have everything you need factually to pull the trigger on this one, beyond just trusting the capper.
I just want to note I have two areas of expertise in CFB: Purdue, and the ACC. Rutgers being so terrible this year has taken a big back seat.
The ACC? Yes, we won wit Temple +3.5 over UCF this year as well as UCF -2.5 over UCONN. 2-0 ATS.
Purdue? Even with last week's loss we are 3-1 ATS.
That's 5-1 overall in the areas I specialize in.
This is a great line opening at -4 and dropping to a line of -3 which carries far less liability.
Last year CFB play of the year? SMU -3 over Tulane.
SMU 49 Tulane 21 Final
This game is in the very same mold as that one in terms of line and structure and I feel great about it. I will say it will not be as easy at last year's game but we are in a great spot here.
I'll be back. No I am NOT releasing a POY just because I lost 2 games last week. Those were POOR picks: A team that can fold any second to any line and team giving up HUGE points on the road. This pick is 180 degrees different and that is to our benefit.
Week 8/9/10 are the perfect times to strike for POY's because they teams are fully characterized and their bowl hopes are clearly evident: two crucial forces to help you structure a bet. I'll be back.
We will win this one. I don't post a POY's for shi*s and giggles (and we just won one in the NBA forum with the Thunder -5 over Philly, however fortunate).
theyhatetheirlifedotcomsotheyhopeyoulosealso
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