Mice MICHIGAN- MISS ST Gator Bowl

NCAA YTD      PLAYS 72-40-4
Game of Year Wisc -4 (48-28) WIN  
Game of Week  5-7
Sides 55-37-1 ML 11-24(+125,+150,+210,+250,+250,+310,+210,+290+210,+155,+240)

Heres Game #4 of the 7 Games i played when openers first came out and hopefully will have all 7 writeups up by Sat Bowl kickoff. Im going to run one thread once Dec 18 hits to keep updated and will writeup as they play. Games im playing i will rate either 1* or 3* and I will have one Top play. i wont be on all Games. GL everyone

Mich +6 (*3)
Mich ML +175 (this numbers long gone and now mostly 4.5 and +170 ml) Im going here on a couple hunches but mostly a handful of the intangibles. And believe what i think is obvious that Mich motivation level has them ready. If you followed my posts regular season I made lots going against UM this year (0-8 ats last 8) and had most pegged pretty close to way they played out.  Had Wisc -4 in top game this year. Take it any way you want it im saying again that win-lose-draw that Richrod is gone and just hoping hes still there Jan1 i think he will be. His ass so hot hes told top recruits hes not sure if hell be there. Boosters dont like him alumni dont like him and Blanton just keeping mouth zipped for now. But one thing--his players like him. Bo said a Michigan man should be coach of Mich and maybe on Jan 4 or shortly after will be. But anyway this is RR 1st Bowl with Wolves and hes approaching as a job saver. no doubt that the guys putting on the helmets back him and dont think laying down here. And Richrod knows preparation for and hes no stranger to Bowls and won last 3 at WVa and one on this field 
Last Bowl UM played they were 10 pt dogs to Tebow and won by 7.  They outstatted gators 525-399 yds and 41-35 FD and controlled time 32+ minutes. That year they finished season getting asskick at home last 2 games Wisc and OSU. Like this years asswhippings.
UM has had 5 light contact practices and reports are that Denard is healthier and faster than all year. 35+ days a lond time to get healthy. And look for sets with him and Forcier in backfield together. Wolves better offensive #s this year came on road and ran the ball 5.8 yds per run on road. Wolves struggled all year with TOs but werent as bad on road as at home--but either way will just cross my fingers here.
Mich D is Mich D and reg season most schemes from 3-3-5. Something that could cause some confusion to SEC team but really expect some changes and for Mich to throw a few wrinkles and changes here. 35+ days a long time to study film and adjust. Either year Big10 Bowl games saw 6 of 7 dogs cover and 5 of those 6 won outright. And SEC last year only 3-6 ats Bowls. yeah I know that was last year and call it coincidence. But simple fact that Big 10 teams run the ball and keep a game close. I think Wolves run here
UM fans will travel to Jacksonville. Pretty big fan base pretty big alumni. Some going hoping to watch RR fall flat on face but most are going expecting a win. 3 years a long time between Bowls for program like this. theyre not making trip expecting to lose
One angle this Game that is 8-0 since 2000 and 6 those 8 dogs won outright.  Another Angle ive given other games to go AGAINST fav with win % under 75% if over 31 days rest.  I know theyre just only coincidence but im going there and hope im reading the bluenmaize the way im thinking I amway theyre D "only" gave 91 more yds per game than MSU and theyre O put up 105 more.  Also noted earlier in other thread that last

dam last paragraph cut off but think you know who im on

yeah i agree, there might be a grip of points in this one..

Quote Originally Posted by WhiteMice:

wont start argument butTate F is still #2 depth chart has been all year and still is.  Forcier and DR will be in same backfield multiple sets on Jan 1. Gardner only saw action in BG blowout when both DR and TF went out. As far as other points you make I will not argue any based on theyre performance this year.  My point after being dormant 3 yrs this is pretty deep rooted program with lot of pride and a coach thats got lot on line. Thats why said my play mostly based on couple good angles and how i see game playing out. And really think they win. Im wrong alot

Just an FYI....Forcier ruled academically ineligible, and Devin gardner can be red shirted if he doesn't play. If Robinson gets hurt (which is what....weekly?).....4th stringer is comin in. I live in Ann Arbor and a couple coaches are good friends.

The real question is this Rich Rod's last game?

The next question who's going to replace him?

Oh by the way I love Michagan in this game.It will be RIch Rod's last game and not sure if the Michagan Man will leave Stanford.I think it depends on LUCK.

Mice,

Some valid points, however, let give you a perspective from the other side.  First, those guys that you pointed out that are putting on the helmets, they have been putting them on all year in the same exact spot during the course of this season. The Penn St game for RR was HUGE and they got embarrassed.  Then they had two back-to-back games (one at home) to end the season vs top teams in the Big Ten they also could have played to save RR's job and they got manhandled in both games.  These kids have been trying to save RR's job since the Michigan St game when the "here we go again" started and the Media started asking the players if this year was goin to be a repeat of last year.  The players kepts saying the right things, and then kept turning the ball over, dropping passes and get physically dominated.

2nd: I'm tired of all this "Michigan Man" bullshit.  Bo came for OHIO!  He may have made that statement (about the basketball coach) but he is a hypocrite, becuase he was not a Michigan Man himself.

3rd: Please don't compare Carr's last game and those players to this team.  They were stacked with NFL talent on that roster, and they played WELL below their abilities the entire season.  That last game was the first game the coaches used their talent level and actually coached around the talent they had, instead of run, run, run, 4 yard pass on 3rd and 10. 

4th: It doesn't matter if the Michigan fans travel and represent well at the game.. they played horrible at home this season, with losses in front of their home fans to; Michigan St. Iowa, and Wisconsin.

5th: It doesn't matter what defensive scheme they run, they just don't have the talent, which is why every physical team they have played has completely dominated them.  Their linebackers don't flow to the ball, they can't tackle in space, take bad angles and their backend is young and have ZERO ball skills.

Now, with all that said, it's bowl season and as you watched last night with Washington, anything is possible.  I hope you are right as a Big Ten fan, but Michigan will need turnovers and for MSU to play a bad game in order for the victory.  They asked the Michigan players who Miss St reminded them of and they said Wisconsin... and that is not good. Not good at all.  I don't get into stats, ATS, etc.  I don't bet that way.  I bet with what I see on the field.  And what I have seen from Michigans defense is just god awful. Terrible.  Gross. 

Good Luck.  Hope you are right, but this is what I've seen out of Michigan every game, ALL year... ... March up and down the field offensively in between the 20's, turn the ball over in the redzone (or go for it on fourth down because they don't have a FG kicker) Denard will get hurt at some point, and their defense will get gashed for 4 to 5 yards a pop, setting up easy 3rd down conversions for Miss St.  Michigan can't stop the run, has a terrible secondary and their special teams play is the worst in school history.  How all of that translates into a win, I would love to see.

Not having Tate is pretty big, because I can't remember the last time Denard hasn't went out of a game for at least a series or two, if not the entire game.  Everybody keeps saying how tough the kid is, but as I said in my prior post, I judge by what I see and Denard, in my opinion only, is NOT a tough football player.