Finally booked a win last week. It might have been a small win, but it was a freaking win after 2 losing weeks. Another positive is that I went 2-0 on O/U plays, and that was an area I seemed to be struggling in this season.
I haven't looked at anything yet this week, and I'm in a hurry today so I don't have much time to get my Week 8 thread going. I just wanted to get a first post up. I will have my 5 teams of honorable mention post as always up a little later, along with some early line write ups.
Let's get 'em this week.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
ATS: 33-24 +1490
O/U: 6-6 -290
YTD: 39-30 +1200
Finally booked a win last week. It might have been a small win, but it was a freaking win after 2 losing weeks. Another positive is that I went 2-0 on O/U plays, and that was an area I seemed to be struggling in this season.
I haven't looked at anything yet this week, and I'm in a hurry today so I don't have much time to get my Week 8 thread going. I just wanted to get a first post up. I will have my 5 teams of honorable mention post as always up a little later, along with some early line write ups.
Louisville I want to talk about the Cardinals. Main reason being I have gotten burnt betting against them the last two weeks. This team plays some of the toughest defense I have seen. I have underestimated this teams ability to hold the ball for long timely drives, and even though they may not score a lot, they can put a couple on the board to cover. They have fired offensive coordinator, I coud see this team getting things turned around with Will Stein taking the snaps. I think he might be returning from injury, and that would be a huge spark for this offense. They host Rutgers at home this weekend. I see a potential Under play brewing up.
LSU Yes I am placing this team up for mention again. They are good, and they will cover. They completely shut down Tennessee on the road, and I cannot wait for the Alabama game. I just have to say one name, Tyrann Mathieu. This guy is a stud, and with the speed and size of the defensive line, quarterbacks don't stand a chance.
Virginia Congratulations and my hat goes off to you! Somebody finally figured out how to stop that GT triple option offense. It was only a matter of time before they met a defense that brought their graphing calculator to class.
USC This team played outstanding this week. They finally learned how to run the ball. Hey all it took was a bye week. They showed their defensive colors proudly after giving up tons of points in the two prior games. I feel Barkley is the man right now. The PAC 12 isn't looking so easy with USC and Washington finding ways to win.
Oklahoma I am mentioning this team last, because I want to tell them to, "Get their shit together!!!!!!" You guy looked absolutely horrifying, it was turnover city last week. I'm starting to think you guys bet Kansas and took the Under. This game should have looked worse than the Texas game. Pick it up fellas, the Cowboys are catching up on horseback quickly.
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5 Teams Up for My Honorable Mention:
Louisville I want to talk about the Cardinals. Main reason being I have gotten burnt betting against them the last two weeks. This team plays some of the toughest defense I have seen. I have underestimated this teams ability to hold the ball for long timely drives, and even though they may not score a lot, they can put a couple on the board to cover. They have fired offensive coordinator, I coud see this team getting things turned around with Will Stein taking the snaps. I think he might be returning from injury, and that would be a huge spark for this offense. They host Rutgers at home this weekend. I see a potential Under play brewing up.
LSU Yes I am placing this team up for mention again. They are good, and they will cover. They completely shut down Tennessee on the road, and I cannot wait for the Alabama game. I just have to say one name, Tyrann Mathieu. This guy is a stud, and with the speed and size of the defensive line, quarterbacks don't stand a chance.
Virginia Congratulations and my hat goes off to you! Somebody finally figured out how to stop that GT triple option offense. It was only a matter of time before they met a defense that brought their graphing calculator to class.
USC This team played outstanding this week. They finally learned how to run the ball. Hey all it took was a bye week. They showed their defensive colors proudly after giving up tons of points in the two prior games. I feel Barkley is the man right now. The PAC 12 isn't looking so easy with USC and Washington finding ways to win.
Oklahoma I am mentioning this team last, because I want to tell them to, "Get their shit together!!!!!!" You guy looked absolutely horrifying, it was turnover city last week. I'm starting to think you guys bet Kansas and took the Under. This game should have looked worse than the Texas game. Pick it up fellas, the Cowboys are catching up on horseback quickly.
Here come the write ups. I have been waiting until the end of the week to post plays, and will continue. My write ups are just leans, or potential plays. I use them to generate conversation about games.
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Here come the write ups. I have been waiting until the end of the week to post plays, and will continue. My write ups are just leans, or potential plays. I use them to generate conversation about games.
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +8.5 I absolutely love Wisconsin here. Everyone wants to rave on and on about Michigan States defense, but when they've been tested they've ended up being exposed. Look what Notre Dame did to Michigan State. This team is has been
exposed in big games. There was a reason they opened as a 3 point
favorite last week against Michigan. The bookies got even for the year
with all that public money they won. There is a reason Wisconsin is favored by this much on the road. Lines are sharp right now people. I honestly expected the Badgers to open at -11.5 or -12.
Now to compare these two teams. All you hear on ESPN is how the Spartan's defense is ranked 4th in the country in points against, well guess what . . . . . . Wisconsin's is ranked 3rd! Enough defensive talk though because we all know both teams can shut shit down. Let's get to the other side of the ball. The Badgers rank 1st in points for, 7th in rushing, and 31st in passing. Michigan State ranks 65th, 66th, and 46th in those same offensive categories. This team flat out struggles to score. They only put up 28 on Michigan last week, and 21 of those points came in the 2nd half. Cousins only passed for 120 yards, against one of the shittiest defenses in the Big 10. Persa threw for over 300 the week before against Michigan.
I believe Wisconsin's ability to run the football will give them the ability to control this game. They use three running backs that all average over 6 yards per carry, and have explosive speed and size. This will definitely open up the play action pass for Wilson. Wilson has thrown for over 1500 yards, and completed 14 touchdowns, and only 1 pick. This game might stay close, but with a couple stops here and there for Wisconsin, I see them winning this game 35-14 similar to the ND game.
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Wisconsin @ Michigan State +8.5 I absolutely love Wisconsin here. Everyone wants to rave on and on about Michigan States defense, but when they've been tested they've ended up being exposed. Look what Notre Dame did to Michigan State. This team is has been
exposed in big games. There was a reason they opened as a 3 point
favorite last week against Michigan. The bookies got even for the year
with all that public money they won. There is a reason Wisconsin is favored by this much on the road. Lines are sharp right now people. I honestly expected the Badgers to open at -11.5 or -12.
Now to compare these two teams. All you hear on ESPN is how the Spartan's defense is ranked 4th in the country in points against, well guess what . . . . . . Wisconsin's is ranked 3rd! Enough defensive talk though because we all know both teams can shut shit down. Let's get to the other side of the ball. The Badgers rank 1st in points for, 7th in rushing, and 31st in passing. Michigan State ranks 65th, 66th, and 46th in those same offensive categories. This team flat out struggles to score. They only put up 28 on Michigan last week, and 21 of those points came in the 2nd half. Cousins only passed for 120 yards, against one of the shittiest defenses in the Big 10. Persa threw for over 300 the week before against Michigan.
I believe Wisconsin's ability to run the football will give them the ability to control this game. They use three running backs that all average over 6 yards per carry, and have explosive speed and size. This will definitely open up the play action pass for Wilson. Wilson has thrown for over 1500 yards, and completed 14 touchdowns, and only 1 pick. This game might stay close, but with a couple stops here and there for Wisconsin, I see them winning this game 35-14 similar to the ND game.
USC @ Notre Dame Over 58 I can't really say which side I like on this game. USC surprised everyone last week, and finally ran the football. Marc Tyler suffered an injury though, and will most likely not be playing this week for the Trojans. Notre has rebounded nicely after losing their first two games, and winning their last four. I think the Irish understand how to take care of the football. When they aren't turning the ball over, they look almost unstoppable. In matter of opinion, this game looks like it might be a 45-35 type of game, in favor of Notre Dame. That makes it too close to choose a side, so potential over play might be brewing here.
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USC @ Notre Dame Over 58 I can't really say which side I like on this game. USC surprised everyone last week, and finally ran the football. Marc Tyler suffered an injury though, and will most likely not be playing this week for the Trojans. Notre has rebounded nicely after losing their first two games, and winning their last four. I think the Irish understand how to take care of the football. When they aren't turning the ball over, they look almost unstoppable. In matter of opinion, this game looks like it might be a 45-35 type of game, in favor of Notre Dame. That makes it too close to choose a side, so potential over play might be brewing here.
Kansas State @ Kansas +10.5 This is such a weird spot. I really expected this line to be like -7 or -8. Kansas State in undefeated, and has been a dog in all of those games. Obviously they can't be an underdog here, but out of nowhere they are favored by double digits??????? Looks really fishy. Kansas put a few points up on Oklahoma last week, I don't see why they wouldn't here either. Kansas State ranks 114th in passing. They did beat Texas Tech last week by a touchdown though. This is a weird game. You have to wonder too if Bill Snyder will just be satisfied with a win however they can get it here because next week they face Oklahoma. This line is dropping will probably wait until the end of the week to see where it moves too.
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Kansas State @ Kansas +10.5 This is such a weird spot. I really expected this line to be like -7 or -8. Kansas State in undefeated, and has been a dog in all of those games. Obviously they can't be an underdog here, but out of nowhere they are favored by double digits??????? Looks really fishy. Kansas put a few points up on Oklahoma last week, I don't see why they wouldn't here either. Kansas State ranks 114th in passing. They did beat Texas Tech last week by a touchdown though. This is a weird game. You have to wonder too if Bill Snyder will just be satisfied with a win however they can get it here because next week they face Oklahoma. This line is dropping will probably wait until the end of the week to see where it moves too.
If anybody has an opinion on why Oklahoma is favored by 29 points, please feel free to post it. Texas Tech can score. They should be able to put up at least 24-28 points. I smell a late cover by Tech here, similar to the A&M game with a touchdown in the last minutes.
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If anybody has an opinion on why Oklahoma is favored by 29 points, please feel free to post it. Texas Tech can score. They should be able to put up at least 24-28 points. I smell a late cover by Tech here, similar to the A&M game with a touchdown in the last minutes.
Wow that was a fun one to watch. I thought I was gonna hit the over when FIU had the ball with 2 and a half minutes left. Where's the useless touchdown when you actually need it LOL. I was actually playing in a poker game with my bookie, so that was the reason for my action tonight. I wanted to have something for he and myself to root for. The funny side of the story is he got loaded with FIU action, and I said I would take half. That actually worked out great, but it is still a loss on my card though it is only a half unit.
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Wow that was a fun one to watch. I thought I was gonna hit the over when FIU had the ball with 2 and a half minutes left. Where's the useless touchdown when you actually need it LOL. I was actually playing in a poker game with my bookie, so that was the reason for my action tonight. I wanted to have something for he and myself to root for. The funny side of the story is he got loaded with FIU action, and I said I would take half. That actually worked out great, but it is still a loss on my card though it is only a half unit.
And there is a bunch of wild animals on the loose that escaped from an exotic animal farm like 35 miles from house. No joke, I am talking lions, tigers, bears, and wolves. Check out 10tv.com this shit is crazy.
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Week 8 Picks:
FIU/Arkansas St. Over 54.5 (-55)
And there is a bunch of wild animals on the loose that escaped from an exotic animal farm like 35 miles from house. No joke, I am talking lions, tigers, bears, and wolves. Check out 10tv.com this shit is crazy.
I got burned in the earlier weeks of the season on a number similar to the Wisconsin number. I waited to see if it would drop to 7 and it ended up at 9.5 by Friday, and I got burnt by a half point on that play. Nick Toon has been labeled probable after a couple days of not knowing his status, and it just looks more promising with him. For all of these reasons I am locking this play in early along with an over play on another game.
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I got burned in the earlier weeks of the season on a number similar to the Wisconsin number. I waited to see if it would drop to 7 and it ended up at 9.5 by Friday, and I got burnt by a half point on that play. Nick Toon has been labeled probable after a couple days of not knowing his status, and it just looks more promising with him. For all of these reasons I am locking this play in early along with an over play on another game.
Oklahoma State @ Missouri +7 What's with all this Missouri will straight up talk? Oklahoma
State should roll here. ESPN hyped last weeks win against Iowa State as a
confidence booster for Missouri,but they did what most teams would
do though, and that's slaughter the Cyclones. I think you have to lay a
touchdown here with a hot team, especially with Weeden coming off a so
so performance. It has to be the Cowboys -7 or Over 68.5 here.
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Oklahoma State @ Missouri +7 What's with all this Missouri will straight up talk? Oklahoma
State should roll here. ESPN hyped last weeks win against Iowa State as a
confidence booster for Missouri,but they did what most teams would
do though, and that's slaughter the Cyclones. I think you have to lay a
touchdown here with a hot team, especially with Weeden coming off a so
so performance. It has to be the Cowboys -7 or Over 68.5 here.
(Im thinking of putting this one in my parlay - OK St to cover)
Quote Originally Posted by GoMuckYaSelf:
Oklahoma State @ Missouri +7 What's with all this Missouri will straight up talk? Oklahoma State should roll here. ESPN hyped last weeks win against Iowa State as a confidence booster for Missouri,but they did what most teams would do though, and that's slaughter the Cyclones. I think you have to lay a touchdown here with a hot team, especially with Weeden coming off a so so performance. It has to be the Cowboys -7 or Over 68.5 here.
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(Im thinking of putting this one in my parlay - OK St to cover)
Quote Originally Posted by GoMuckYaSelf:
Oklahoma State @ Missouri +7 What's with all this Missouri will straight up talk? Oklahoma State should roll here. ESPN hyped last weeks win against Iowa State as a confidence booster for Missouri,but they did what most teams would do though, and that's slaughter the Cyclones. I think you have to lay a touchdown here with a hot team, especially with Weeden coming off a so so performance. It has to be the Cowboys -7 or Over 68.5 here.
Kansas State @ Kansas +10.5 This is such a weird spot. I really expected this line to be like -7 or -8. Kansas State in undefeated, and has been a dog in all of those games. Obviously they can't be an underdog here, but out of nowhere they are favored by double digits??????? Looks really fishy. Kansas put a few points up on Oklahoma last week, I don't see why they wouldn't here either. Kansas State ranks 114th in passing. They did beat Texas Tech last week by a touchdown though. This is a weird game. You have to wonder too if Bill Snyder will just be satisfied with a win however they can get it here because next week they face Oklahoma. This line is dropping will probably wait until the end of the week to see where it moves too.
Found this video, and this video fits my ideas on this matchup perfectly.
https://pregame.com/tv/?v=s7EVY_b9Td4
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Quote Originally Posted by GoMuckYaSelf:
Kansas State @ Kansas +10.5 This is such a weird spot. I really expected this line to be like -7 or -8. Kansas State in undefeated, and has been a dog in all of those games. Obviously they can't be an underdog here, but out of nowhere they are favored by double digits??????? Looks really fishy. Kansas put a few points up on Oklahoma last week, I don't see why they wouldn't here either. Kansas State ranks 114th in passing. They did beat Texas Tech last week by a touchdown though. This is a weird game. You have to wonder too if Bill Snyder will just be satisfied with a win however they can get it here because next week they face Oklahoma. This line is dropping will probably wait until the end of the week to see where it moves too.
Found this video, and this video fits my ideas on this matchup perfectly.
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