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My updated top 15 picks for week 1

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Posted: #76
My weekly 12 pack of picks comes out noon Vegas time Thursday. The 7* will be Clemson
 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by VEGASJASON:

My weekly 12 pack of picks comes out noon Vegas time Thursday. The 7* will be Clemson

So will you be doing 12 or 15 this week?
 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:

 First let me say,l ike a lot of your pics,.

But disagree with Indiana. You say FIU's has horrible passing game?? Last year their QB McGough threw for 2722 yards, 21 td's with 8 int's. Not too shabby. Offense returns every skill position, should be some improvement, right?

Now Indiana gets former FSU DC Tom Allen with his 4-2-5 defense. Will Indiana's defense take right off and excel with this new scheme? Most likely not. How improved will they be? That to me is the big question and I don't have the answer. Time will tell.

Against Sudfeld, at Indy last year FIU was one play away from winning the game.

So, as I see it;

 Indy offense takes step back. (Lost Sudfeld & rb Howard)

Indy defense should improve with new scheme, maybe, but when?

FIU offense takes step forward. (all skill positions return)

FIU defense takes step back. (lose top pass rusher and both cb's.)

If I were to play it, would go with home dog, but too many unkowns for me.

GL

IU also lost starting left tackle Spriggs who the packers traded up to get in round 2

 
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Posted: #79
2722 yards on 6.48 PYA is pretty poor. His Td-Int ratio was an outstanding 21-8. Still no big play wideouts. Just think this is an offense that Indiana will be able to handle. Shocked this forum has had so much interest in the Indiana-FIU game. Maybe it has to do with being one of the more competitive Thursday night games. or the fact these teams played last year.I will have 1 7* 1 6* and 2 5*s down to 2 1*s.
 
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Posted: #80
Indiana ran 81 plays per game FIU 69, Indiana 6.23 ypp, 5.06. 
 
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Posted: #81
Very well and researched info in this thread....THANK YOU for sharing and the open discussions.....

Good Luck this season and I will be following you threads! 
 
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Posted: #82
Does taking A&M at -3 make sense?
 
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Posted: #83
HeHateme funny sn reference. I went back and forth on this game at Pickem when it finally hit +3 on UCLA, I am backing them but it will be at most a 1* for me.
 
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Posted: #84
I happen to have a lovely "coed friend" who goes to ATM, Ill ask her to only sleep with ATM players before the game and not UCLA players.
 
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Posted: #85
Hate the move to -12.5 on OU and Tulsa -5.5 they will be downgraded at those lines.
 
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Posted: #86
OU dropping to a 4*  Indiana the 6* and Stanford now a 5*
 
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Posted: #87
you should post your revised pick list.   I don't think we know what you lowest to highest are anymore.  Thanks.
LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #88
I think he has 21 14* picks, 20 8* picks, 1 900* pick and is contemplating the 2* thru 4* picks










 
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Posted: #89
MBiddy really? 1 7* 1 6* 2 5*s down to 1* for 12 picks total each week.
 
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Posted: #90
well, post the current version VJ!  
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Posted: #91
Longhorn the official weekly 12 pack comes out noon Vegas on Thursday. I give guidance along the way all week on the picks till then.
 
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Posted: #92
I will try to have a thread with my thoughts on all 12 games in the 12 pack. After seeing how crowded this forum is, I figured the desire for someone posting 15 games was limited.(As is my time to monitor that many threads) I settled on the 12 pack instead.
 
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Posted: #93

Anyone have any news on my picks that I might have missed on transfers or injuries or suspensions? Indiana might become a non play due to weather. Have a few other possible changes in mind. Saw a Clemson grad friend of mine her brother played at Auburn. She will be at his lake house laughing her behind off at him about 9 Texas time. Clemson gets up double digits and wins by over 20. Clemson stays my top pick with scored prediction 38-17.
 
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Posted: #94
Score OOPS!
 
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Posted: #95
every gambling degenerate square on the planet is posting their picks now...I just ignore them.    

I have thought about Texas v. Notre Dame.    I think Notre Dame is going to win and cover.    I hear the same sh^t from the Texas coaches.   Kelly and N. Dame is at another level of coaching in college football.   I still hope for the under, that my Longhorns will show some pride.    If I had too pick a side (not an official pick) I would pick Notre Dame to win and cover...I think this spread should be around Notre Dame -7.5... 
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Posted: #96
Quote Originally Posted by VEGASJASON:

I will try to have a thread with my thoughts on all 12 games in the 12 pack. After seeing how crowded this forum is, I figured the desire for someone posting 15 games was limited.(As is my time to monitor that many threads) I settled on the 12 pack instead.


YOU HAVE LOTS OF MIXED MESSAGES in this thread 

YOU STATED ,

1  YOU ALREADY PLAYED A BUNCH OF THE PLAYS FOR SMALLER AMOUNTS ....

2   ALSO THAT YOU PLAY $1k  8 TEAM PARLAYS 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:



YOU HAVE LOTS OF MIXED MESSAGES in this thread 

YOU STATED ,

1  YOU ALREADY PLAYED A BUNCH OF THE PLAYS FOR SMALLER AMOUNTS ....

2   ALSO THAT YOU PLAY $1k  8 TEAM PARLAYS 


Sounds made up
 
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Posted: #98
No I do some parlays of 1K , I Do not do 1k 8 team parlays. Yes I have bet many of these games already. The 12 picks I will release each Thursday are my 12 picks that are official for this site as of noon Vegas time each Thursday and the lines will be current at the time of the post. Obviously week 1 has a build up that the other weeks do not. For instance I have bet about half what I intended to bet on Indiana, I will not be betting more if it stays at -10.5 . Indiana has gone from a top play to a much lower play due to line movement. Some other games have also dropped due to line moves. 
 
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Posted: #99
Longhorn I am certainly with you on that Texas Under a bit surprised it has stuck at 60. Let me say I am rarely a totals bettor on game lines, usually bet halftime totals much more often. ND -3 -120 is on the bubble of making my weekly plays.
 
 
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Posted: #100
How can you go back and change the positioning of these plays? If you have locked in your bets? Is it just purely your gut instinct of how the play will perform? And not reflective of wager size? 

Seems misleading, and with all the swapping and flip flopping it's easy to get confused. 


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