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NCAA FB Week 9 (67-44 YTD 60.36% : 6-4 LW)

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Posted: #1
Season Record YTD: 67-44-2    (60.36%)    
Season Record Sides: 32-23     (58.19%)    
Season Record Totals: 35-21-1  (62.50%)   
MONSTER PLAYS YTD: 4-2-1   (66.67%)    
YTD Units: +24.02 units                         
Units Last Week: -1.2 units                   



PENDING FUTURES:
BYU UNDER 8.5 RSW                                   
ARMY UNDER 4.5 RSW  
CAL UNDER 4.5 RSW 
KENT STATE OVER 5.5 RSW 
SOUTHERN MISS UNDER 5.5 RSW           WINNER
WESTERN MICHIGAN UNDER 5.5 RSW    WINNER
RICE to win C-USA +750   


Week 8 Recap:

  Wazzu vs Oregon over 73
 Texas state vs Georgia state under 49.5
 Mich vs Indy over 67
Kent state +7.5
 ECU -21.5
Cincy vs uconn under 24 1H
New Mexico +10.5 ***monster play 4u***
La Tech +7.5
 Baylor TT o55

 New Mex St. vs Rice under 28.5 2H : 1.5units

6 Wins: +6.5u
4 Losses: -7.7u
Net: -1.2u






previous thread:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101712516&page=9
 
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Posted: #2
great job so far ats, plus looks like 5 futures winners
 
Captain
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Posted: #3
Great year so far JD 
 
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Boy, what a stupid play that was by me in playing new mexico +10.5 last week. was a complete misread and I am completely sorry for anyone who had to lose money on that garbage play. I AM SORRY.

it really spoiled a solid week and took me from winning about 7 units to losing just over 1 unit.
 
Once again I feel as though some of the plays were good, but the breaks just didnt go my way this week yet again. La Tech was up 10-0 before two fluke TD"s by UNT and they end up losing by 2 TD's and fall apart late.

Kent state has a great 1st drive, and they get their FG attempt blocked. they then before half while training 17-7 sack SALA QB and cause him to fumble. the play would have resulted in Kent ball 1st n 10 at the So. ALA 6, instead they said he "threw it" and ruled inc. pass and So. Ala ran the clock out before half.

UCONN gives up two TD;s in the L2mins of the half to screw that 1st H under which was 10-7 with 1 min. left before half. finished 23-7 with the two late scores.





Week 9 Leans:

LT -6
UNT -10
Boise vs BYU over 57
Houston +9
Miami oh +26
FAU +26
EMU vs NIU over (71 or less)
Ill +11.5
Kansas +36
Fresno St -8.5
Ole Miss -41
Furman (+51 or higher) currently at +47
            (would also bet over (63 or higher)
Oregon -21
 
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Lines courtest of BETONLINE.AG and those lines come out sunday at 1pm CST.

those are the lines i post for leans, but my plays will be timestamped and will post updated lines at that time. will NOT use lines from sunday afternoon if the plays are posted at a later date.

please refer HERE for inquiries of where i get certain lines.


"I play at 5Dimes, Betonline.ag"
 
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Posted: #6
top notch
 
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Well I didn't play NM for 4 units jdn but for about a unit. Couldn't pull the string on a big play as my numbers were not indicating NM to be a play. However, obv with just a small overall loss for the week your keen capping skills are still on target.

What I did admire is the courage to put up what was going to be an obviously unpopular monster play. No guts...no glory. All great cappers have that ability to be a hardcore contrarian when necessary and at times suffer for it.

Thank you for your great generosity to post CFB plays and to allow all us to profit from them.

BOL to you this week and all who tail.
 
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Man, the time you put into this I find truly incredible.  Is this your main after work hobby?  Are you able to do this at work?   Excuse my curiosity I just find it fascinating how much you put into your capping. 
 
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I'm in finance management so no time at work.

I dedicate lots of time to capping. Many hours on Sunday and monday and then throughout week also. There is no easy win and the season is a grind. I find that weeks 1 and 2 are easiest to make money and I have hit 70% aggregate over weeks 1 and 2 the L3 yrs.

This and weightlifting are all i do outside of work and raising my daughter Charlotte.
 
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Posted: #10
You sound like me. Work, gym, capping. REPEAT
 
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Posted: #11
I am new to the whole capping my own games as I have always been just someone who enjoyed having some action on the games.  What would you say is the most important factor in capping your games?  I have setup an excel sheet using some statistics to try and produce early lines and it has seemed to work ok so far but laid off some games due to injury etc.  Been following you this season and decided to try and join the forum by posting as well now.  
 
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Motivation
Revenge factor
Third down conversions O and D
Redzone %
FG kicking quality
Punting avg.
YPG, YPP rushing and passing
Pace of play (how quick they snap the ball)
Recent bye weeks
Injuries
Coaching ties
Penalties
Recent three yrs head to head
 
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Posted: #13
Is there a place where you can find most of this information? Again keep up the good work!
 
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Philsteele.com
Espn.com
Teamrankings.com
Masseyratings.com
Fbguru
Team we sights.
 
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Posted: #15
Jd. U da man. Calling the poster for writing about the jets in the college forum was priceless as well as the question about Oregon having value at 21.
Got a question about value myself. How about Louisville laying 19.5 to south Florida? if Louisville won on Friday night and USF doesn't come in on a 2 game winning streak, this spread is 25+.
I've seen south Florida and anemic is all I can say about their passing game. Louisville should dominate on defense. Louisville is my strong lean.
 
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Posted: #16
I love North Texas -10 -115 this week at Southern Miss. Care to share your thoughts jdnmoney?
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #17
JD I tailed you again this week but its all good, I really don't feel u need to apologise for anything due to the time and effort you put in and all We have to do is follow and that's the risk we take. Thanks again and looking forward to this weeks plays. 

 
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Posted: #18
Louisville as UNT i really like this week

Ill crunch the numbers but i expect those two on my card sat.
 
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Posted: #19

 





Week 9 Leans:

LT -6
UNT -10
Boise vs BYU over 57
Houston +9
Miami oh +26
FAU +26
EMU vs NIU over (71 or less)
Ill +11.5
Kansas +36
Fresno St -8.5
Ole Miss -41
Furman (+51 or higher) currently at +47
            (would also bet over (63 or higher)
Oregon -21
[/Quote]

Does anybody have JDN's phone #??  Hurry and inform him that someone hacked his account and is trying to bet Kansas +36. HURRY!!

 

 
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Posted: #20
oh great... now i gotta scour the internet to find out who the hell Furman is.

BOL JD.
 
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Posted: #21
JDN = one of covers' very top handicappers - with BigGiantKiller, WahooS, and a very few others .... 
 
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Posted: #22
I know I mentioned this before, but never trust UConn stuff to cover for the rest of the season. 

I'm a student at UConn and see them play. They're terrible.
 
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I also really like Arizona -15.5 at Colorado Jdnmoney. You might want to take a look at it.
SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #24
Best of luck this week bro. Keep killing it
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by omgdonbeebe:

Does anybody have JDN's phone #??  Hurry and inform him that someone hacked his account and is trying to bet Kansas +36. HURRY!!

Baylor 76-20

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