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NCAA FB Week 9 (67-44 YTD 60.36% : 6-4 LW)

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by F1rstdegree:

I am new to the whole capping my own games as I have always been just someone who enjoyed having some action on the games.  What would you say is the most important factor in capping your games?  I have setup an excel sheet using some statistics to try and produce early lines and it has seemed to work ok so far but laid off some games due to injury etc.  Been following you this season and decided to try and join the forum by posting as well now.  

Welcome guy. Warmest wishes to you. 
 
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Posted: #27
Wk 8 Card
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La Tech -5

 
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Posted: #28
Gl this week bro
 
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Posted: #29
Looking at la tech

Best of luck bro

.
 
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Posted: #30
JDN, Keep up the good work.

Best of Luck , bud  
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #31
What are your thoughts on a pretty good Boise team getting 8. Tracking Southwick is out, but he went out in the first quarter last week and the team responded pretty strong in the second with Hedrick.
 
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Posted: #32
PENDING FUTURES:
BYU UNDER 8.5 RSW      looks ok right now at 5-2                              
ARMY UNDER 4.5 RSW   looks okay, at 3-5
CAL UNDER 4.5 RSW    looks great, 1-6
KENT STATE OVER 5.5 RSW   looks poor right now, 2-6
SOUTHERN MISS UNDER 5.5 RSW           WINNER
WESTERN MICHIGAN UNDER 5.5 RSW    WINNER
RICE to win C-USA +750  
RICE to win C-USA +450  JUST ADDED


adding another unit to rice to win the conference. Marshall is getting too much respect. 

they are playing down to their competition and surely if they win their half of CUSA E, they will not be -12 vs rice, which would constitute a -500/+420 ML. 

if marshall plays rice it should also be played at rice. id say it would be -3 either way, which allows for a great hedge possibility if need be. 
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by BEARS1985:

What are your thoughts on a pretty good Boise team getting 8. Tracking Southwick is out, but he went out in the first quarter last week and the team responded pretty strong in the second with Hedrick.


would play over 57...byu looks impressive on offense and i dont think they can be stopped at home depends on the weather. it could be biitch cold in utah on friday night. i mean bittch cold. 
 
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Posted: #34
BOL this week JDN.  Keep pickin winners!  One of the best out there!
 
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Posted: #35
BYU/Boise over backers be careful. It will be the exact opposite of houston/byu game....expect a lot of clock drainage.  I would be surprised if either team passes 25 point mark. 
 
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Posted: #36
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by jdnmoney:



would play over 57...byu looks impressive on offense and i dont think they can be stopped at home depends on the weather. it could be biitch cold in utah on friday night. i mean bittch cold. 
 
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Posted: #38
jd, what do you think of the illini this week? thx.cal179
 
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Posted: #39
Wk 8 Card *updated*
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La Tech -5
San Diego state v fresno state over 61.5
Emu vs NIU over 67
Ucla vs oregon over 70 ***monster play 4 units ***
AF +20
Troy +11
Wyo +7
Wake vs miami over 64
FAU +25
 
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Posted: #40
UCLA v OREGON goes way over 70 as once again oddsman are setting this too low. Oregon should explode and understand that all expect 50+ points from them, and ucla will score enough to hang around. Not sure it reaches 100, but I'll say 52-28 is what I see this game as.

I expect oregon and ucla to score a lot of points
 
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Posted: #41
Love that Ducks/Bruins over 70. Good luck this week
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by jdnmoney:

Motivation
Revenge factor
Third down conversions O and D
Redzone %
FG kicking quality
Punting avg.
YPG, YPP rushing and passing
Pace of play (how quick they snap the ball)
Recent bye weeks
Injuries
Coaching ties
Penalties
Recent three yrs head to head

thats a nice comprehensive list...most important i would say in no particular order:
motivation
revenge factor
coaching ties
recent 3 yr h2h
 
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Posted: #43
hi bro,i am surprise,where  is gridclown today,good call on future,bol jdn this week
 
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Posted: #44
JD-

Typo on Miami over?  I show 54...
 
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Posted: #45
It's 54, typo
 
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Posted: #46
Wyo scares me, got burned on them last week
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by jdnmoney:

I'm in finance management so no time at work.

I dedicate lots of time to capping. Many hours on Sunday and monday and then throughout week also. There is no easy win and the season is a grind. I find that weeks 1 and 2 are easiest to make money and I have hit 70% aggregate over weeks 1 and 2 the L3 yrs.

This and weightlifting are all i do outside of work and raising my daughter Charlotte.

Lets raise these Wonderful Kids 

Great Capping fellow FATHER
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #48
***wake vs miami over 54***

CORRECTION FROM POST 39
 
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Posted: #49
Great picks jdn...riding with you again but I did have to hold my nose on FAU +25 while I pushed the accept button...no offense...lol

bol all
 
 
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Posted: #50
If Manziel plays would AM be a consideration being a letdown spot for Vandy and a bounce back game for A&M? Even with that defense or lack of in A&M
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