Is this the game the Kent St offense finally wakes up? So many squandered opportunities in every game....very frustrating...
Was leaning Illinois +10, but also kinda eyeing the over as possibly a better bet....I think both teams defense is weak enough to allow some points. How can the Wisc defense get up for this game after the ND and Michigan but whoopins? Offensively, Wisconsin may be a wild card if Mertz is out....Might be the game where Wisconsin gets going and puts up 42.....or lays an egg and the final is 13-10....lol
Duck
@TRAIN69
With Kent. In my opinion they are the better team this year. They have not forgotten about the 70-35 azz whooping UB put on them last year. I think they want to repay the favor this year. I would expect them to try to put up as much as possible for the entire game. Would not surprise me if this is the week they finally get it together. UB can score as well. I think Kent puts up a big number at home. 45-31 type game.
Wi/Ill…yeah, I think this week WIsc gets clicking offensively…could very well put up a 35 spot.
I love Wisconsin here. People focusing way too much on the record. Look at the box score, week 1 against Penn state
First downs 29-11 wiscy
Yards 365-297 (180-50 rushing)
t.o.p 43min to 17 min
Penn St stood tall in their own end zone. Wiscy red zone trips..
1st/goal PSU 2: 0 points missed FG
1st/10 PSU 12: 0 points fumble
1st/goal PSU 1: 0 points INT
They statistically dominated the #4 team in the country and just shot themselves in the foot. Wisconsin won’t be shut down like that by Illinois. I also don’t think people really respect what Michigan just did in Madison. Teams don’t just walk into Camp Randall and pound the Badgers like that
Week 6: * Updated Card*
Weekday Plays
Thurs: Tulane +6.5 0.33u risked
Friday: Charlotte + FIU over 59 0.33u risked
Saturday Plays:
New Mexico State +35 -116
UTEP ML +109
UGA -14 -122
Akron +15
Illinois + Wisconsin over 41 -112
Kent State + Buffalo over 61.5
ECU +10.5 -111
San Jose State ML +118
warning: my weekday plays this season have been uncharacteristically bad… some close losses and bad beats. usually I start the week off right, but this season I have missed the mark on weekday games for whatever reason. 3-12-1 on games that take place outside of Saturday. 41-20-1 on Saturday’s themselves…
Tulane plays really well at home…they should be motivated after they gave last years game away (up 24-7 and lost)…Houston pounded tulsa last week on the road…everyone saw it. Why are they laying such a small number?? Tulane +6.5
FIU defense is horrific. 584, 699 and 704 yards allowed the last three weeks. Charlotte should get whatever they want on offense. FIU should press on offense knowing they will need to score to stay in this. Charlotte d has allowed over 400 each of the last 3 weeks as well. We could see 900+ total yards here…even by conservative standards this should get over the 59…could be 42-41 type score.
@YucatanDan
No .. no mccall is not .. don’t let inferior competition clog your mindset .. the system is built for him to succeed .. lousy defenses .. talented senior skill players around him .. and a stud young head coach and a line that protects him .. he would be a backup on most power 5 teams
@Degenbeter
I think you are right on that Tulane looks like a team that quits .. they no longer play defense and the line opened at -4 and is up to -6 ..
I like your card tho duck .. I like you going after bottom feeder teams like UTEP and NMST you are off to a solid start
(as In you found some teams .. oddsmakers are struggling to make lines for them and you are confident and capitalizing)
Week 6: * Updated Card*
Weekday Plays
Thurs: Tulane +6.5 0.33u risked
Friday: Charlotte + FIU over 59 0.33u risked
Saturday Plays:
New Mexico State +35 -116
UTEP ML +109. Added more at -122. ***MAX PLAY***
UGA -14 -122
Akron +15
Illinois + Wisconsin over 41 -112
Kent State + Buffalo over 61.5
ECU +10.5 -111
San Jose State ML +118
Making UTEP a MAX PLAY this week. Reasoning to follow
https://southernmiss.com/news/2021/10/5/football-will-hall-media-conference-utep-week.aspx
southern miss down to their 4th string quarterback on the depth chart. While he did perform well against rice, who hasn’t this year…likely a flash in the pan from what my take away are.
in reading the media reports this week, It seems as though southern miss is scrambling to figure out what to do, and I do not suspect that they will have much offensive success this week against UTEP.
their output this season minus FCS bottom feeder grambling has been:
south Alabama: 7 points 259 total yards
Troy: 9 points 156 total yards
Alabama: 14 points 214 total yards
Rice: 19 points (inc a KO Ret TD and rice volunteered a safety to end the game) 378 yards.
They are 16/60 26.66% on third down in those 4 games.
Southern miss has the 126th rated efficiency for offensive production and 124th rated pass defense.
soythern miss has given up 23 sacks this year, and last game out UTEP started bringing the blitz and created havoc for old dominions QB.
UTEP has two great WR in Jarrett and cowing. They should be able to get open against the USM secondary and big, chunk plays should been seen if Harrison can connect. I also love the element of using the running QB and the Rhino package to power run their way to first downs.
UTEP schedule gets much tougher the following three weeks with La Tech, FAU and UTSA On the docket, so with this being a great chance to get a 5th win and get closer to bowl eligibility (UNT and rice later in the schedule), I expect a max effort from UTEP on offense and defense to get a big road win for their program
Week 6: * Updated Card*
Weekday Plays
Thurs: Tulane +6.5 0.33u risked
Friday: Charlotte + FIU over 59 0.33u risked
Saturday Plays:
New Mexico State +35 -116
UTEP ML +109. Added more at -122. ***MAX PLAY***
UGA -14 -122
Akron +15
Illinois + Wisconsin over 41 -112
Kent State + Buffalo over 61.5
ECU +10.5 -111
San Jose State ML +118
SMU Team Total over 34.5
@TRAIN69
I like that over...and was about to play it myself, but just decided to isolate the SMU team total over instead. they have been humming on offense, and still not quite convinced Navy can shut them down...would think this would get over 55.5, but it could be 41-20...
SMU was able to completely shut down UNT...maybe that happens to navy this week, and SMU wins 44-10? likely not tho
Week 6: * Updated Card*
Weekday Plays
Thurs: Tulane +6.5 0.33u risked
Friday: Charlotte + FIU over 59 0.33u risked
Saturday Plays:
New Mexico State +35 -116
UTEP ML +109. Added more at -122. ***MAX PLAY***
UGA -14 -122
Akron +15
Illinois + Wisconsin over 41 -112
Kent State + Buffalo over 61.5
ECU +10.5 -111
San Jose State ML +118
SMU Team Total over 34.5
New Mexico + San Diego State over 41.5 -122
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