NCAA WEEK 13 **** How the Mickey Mouse Clubhouse can save your gambling life****

TS DOESNT F*CKING MATTER 

Heres a list of things most people think are important, but arent:

1) Who the "public" is on

2) Trends

3) Stats

4) "Expert" opinions

5) Rankings

6) Injuries

7) Weather

8) Traps or fishy lines (including reverse line movement RLM)

Let me save you some time...the guys that make these lines do this for a living. They know more than you and me. So, dont worry about trends, stats, weather, injuries and rankings....that is ALL incorporated into the line they put out. Assume the line good. If you think a line is fishy or is a trap, its because you havent done your homework or dont know what you're talking about. Trust me, there are no traps...just gamblers playing mind games with themselves....Let me save you some more time, if you are concerned with who "the public" is on you wont get very far.....The reason? Everyone is the public, and everyone can be a sharp. Thats why its so hard to hit above 50%....people miss easy winners trying to "fade" the public and then miss easy winners trying to be "sharp". Each game is its own puzzle....

What do you need to know?

1) Where & when is the game?

2) Who a team just played and who are they going to play next?

3) "Matchups" 

4) Trusting your instincts 

Ya gotta know in college football location is everything. Road games are tough. Night road games are tougher, especially at certain locations. These are 18-22 year old kids and its hard to get your mind right. Next, teams coming off a big win or loss and/or teams with a huge game on deck have a tendancy to not play their best...this falls into 3 categories 1) letdown 2) lookahead 3) sandwich (combo of 1 & 2) . Matchup involves multiple things, but that includes the coaching and things like the o line vs d line. Instincts are something you should be developing over time. Ya gotta trust what your eyes see and what your gut tells you. Avoid "listening" to the announcers and monday morning chatter....

BINGO! well said TRAIN & GL This week

Quote Originally Posted by ad1260:

Great post Train…I like it.

Unlike you I read/watch too much SHITT. I need to cut about 80 percent of it out and I think I'd be more successful. 

On to tonight sir! What's your play on this Toledo/Bowling Green game?

Tonight, gimme BG +7.5 & U59.5 for some action

I'm no preacher, just a humble covers servant.

Add:

Pitt/Cuse U49.5

LVille/ND U53

Man , totals lookin tough this week.

Quote Originally Posted by tideman:

Good stuff.....oh and I am kind of partial to SpongeBob 

Ive never been a cartoon guy. Never like the Simpsons etc. South Park was funny for a season.....

16-13 somebody

gruhn

Quote Originally Posted by DegenCurtis21:

Very, very good and informative post. 

Love Kansas State also...They've struggled vs running QBs.Trevor Boykin ran for 133 yards & 3 TDs on them last year. They played Auburn tough but their only two losses are to teams with running QBs..WVU doesn't have that. Kansas State will control block & force turnovers to win. 58 is way too high for that total. Especially a frigid 25+ degree night in Morgantown. Holgorsen has also been very conservative w/ his play calls lately. Kansas State & ML UNDER parlay. Add in Raiders in good spot for Chiefs for potential big pay day...parlay king.

I think it's great spot for East Carolina to bounce back vs bad Tulane team. ECU coming off back to back losses on road are gonna wanna come home & blast this pathetic defense. 3 TD win shouldn't be too much to ask. Was on Cincy last week. 

Nebraska just got embarrassed badly to Wisconsin, coming home to redeem themselves vs a Minnesota team that just gave it their all in the snow to knock off Ohio State. Going on road this isn't a good spot for them. Especially considering it's a revenge spot where Minn beat them 34-23 at home last year. 

Notre Dame & UNC overs are also pretty likely plays with how abysmal those teams have been defensively lately. UNC is giving up 41 a game, while only playing ONE ranked team (Notre Dame). The ACC is trash. 

It's tough playing back to back road games in the SEC. Was on Mizzou last week but this is a tough task for them. Tennessee has played excellent at home & I still think Matty Mauk is a little too turnover prone. Mizzou took Tennesee to woodshed 31-3 last year at home. Good spot for Tenn. 

Must win game for Ole Miss. Don't think Arkansas is completely there yet. Tough to expect another effort like that put forth vs LSU, shutting them out. This game might go under 20 points. 

Just some thoughts to share. 

Love all your thoughts bro....already eyeballing Oakland....

A K St & U58/Oakland ML & U42.5 parlay pays 30-1